Aralez ๐
@0xAralez โข 34,960 subscribers
Full-Time Trader / First $500k in 22 yrs Daily ALPHA in my TG โ
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$BTC IS ONE STEP FROM A MASSIVE DUMP My short-term roadmap for 2026-2028: $77K โ $84K โ $57K โ $47K (Bottom) โ $126K โ $180K Here's the detailed plan: โ $57K / by late SEP โ $47K / NOV-DEC โ $126K / Q2-Q3 2027 โ $180K / Q1-Q2 2029 Turn notifications on so you don't miss my next market call...
Aralez ๐70,070 Aufrufe โข vor 4 Tagen
$BTC HAS ALMOST FORMED ITS FINAL BULL TRAP Bitcoin has been consolidating after a strong breakout above $82K A massive liquidity cluster has formed above and itโs only a matter of time before we sweep it... Based on this, hereโs my market plan: 1. 2-3 days of sideways action 2. Pump toward $85K 3. Massive dump toward $70K + 3-7 days of consolidation 4. Sweep the key $57.8K level 5. Drop toward $46K + bottom formation begins I previously called market pump above $72K - now history is repeating itself... Turn notifs on so you donโt miss my next market call...
Aralez ๐88,336 Aufrufe โข vor 11 Tagen
๐จ JUST MARK MY WORDS: $BTC will drop below $50K after forming a Bull Trap above $83K Rally is losing momentum before final breakout, while whales are already distributing... Based on this, my market plan is simple: 1. Bull Trap forms around $84K 2. Dump begins โ FVG test around ~$72K 3. Distribution in $60K-$63K zone 4. Sweep of 1st target: $57.8K 5. Drop below my mid-term target: $48K 6. Bottom formation + accumulation phase begins This could start playing out very soon - be ready for the worst Turn notifs on so you donโt miss my next major market call...
Aralez ๐71,142 Aufrufe โข vor 11 Tagen
๐จ WARNING: $SPX IS SETTING UP A 20% CRASH The S&P 500 has been dumping for weeks Most people still think this is just another healthy pullback They have NO idea what's coming Wave 6 has already marked the top. The final melt-up could be over Here's what changed Inflation is back. June CPI: 3.5%. Energy prices are ripping again The Fed held rates at 3.50-3.75% in July - but three FOMC members dissented, demanding a HIKE 9 of 18 Fed officials now pencil in at least one hike this year Markets price a roughly 55% chance of a 2026 hike. September is live New Chair Kevin Warsh built his reputation on one thing: killing inflation He doesn't need market's permission And there's more Only five stocks have been carrying the entire index: โ Apple โ Nvidia โ Amazon โ Microsoft โ Meta The index holds 503 stocks but trades like it holds 54 A 10% drop in just the top 5 drags the whole index down ~2.6% Now the leaders are cracking Meta fell 8% in a day after earnings. Free cash flow: down 91%. AI capex: $130-145 BILLION this year We've seen this movie before 2018: Fed hiked into weakness โ $SPX fell nearly 20% in one quarter 2022: Fed tightened into sticky inflation โ -25% peak to trough If the Fed hikes in September: โ The AI trade reprices โ Index concentration breaks โ Dip buyers get trapped โ The correction turns into a crash My call: $SPX ends this cycle 20%+ lower - from ~7,800 toward 6,200 This isn't caution. This is the setup Reminder: I called the 2025 $BTC ATH and drop to $60k. The next call matters more Follow and turn notifications on. I'll post next major move BEFORE it becomes obvious
Aralez ๐250,726 Aufrufe โข vor 1 Monat
๐จ MY 2026 $BTC MARKET PREDICTION: JUN โ Sweep of $60k JUL โ $53k + Bear Trap AUG โ Rally to $65k-$68k SEP โ Bottom at $46k OCT โ Recovery starts NOV โ Rally to $85k+ DEC โ Push to $100k It's important to understand that bear market is still ongoing and cycle bottom has not been set yet... I was one of few who accurately called 2025 ATH and major drop to $60k Turn on notifications so you don't miss next call...
Aralez ๐592,929 Aufrufe โข vor 3 Monaten
๐จ FINAL $BTC BULL TRAP IS HERE The market is following my plan almost perfectly. If you missed it, hereโs what I expect through 2027-2028: $64Kโ โ $72Kโ โ $57K โ $42K-$44K โ $75K โ $116K โ $170K More precise timeline: - $72K โ AUG โ - $57K โ AUGโSEP - $42Kโ$44K โ OCTโNOV - $75K โ Q1 2027 - $116K โ Q3 2027 - $170K โ Q3-Q4 2028 QUICK REMINDER: I called $BTCโs ~$126K cycle top before most saw it coming I also flagged $98K โ $60K and $83K โ $57K sell-offs early Most traders find these calls only after move is already done... Turn notifs on - catch next market call before itโs too late
Aralez ๐130,752 Aufrufe โข vor 1 Monat
๐จ JUST MARK MY WORDS: $BTC will drop below $48K after sweeping $78K and 5-7 days of accumulation Based on chart, my plan looks like this: 1. Small pullback 2. 3-7 days of sideways action 3. Breakdown begins + acceptance below $57K 4. Drop toward the mid-term target: $48K After the latest massive $BTC pump, many believe BOTTOM is already in Iโm one of the few who sees this as manipulation... Be smarter - donโt get caught in whalesโ massive trap! IMPORTANT REMINDER: I was ahead of $BTCโs ~$126K cycle top while most were still bullish Also called $98K โ $60K and $83K โ $57K flushes before they played out Most traders discover my calls only when move is already over... Turn notifs on - donโt be late for next major setup
Aralez ๐111,704 Aufrufe โข vor 27 Tagen
๐จ $SPCX IS NEXT BLACK SWAN The biggest IPO in history just started cracking $75 billion raised on June 12. Bigger than Saudi Aramco. Bigger than anything, ever Six days later: $225 โ $191. Down ~15% in 48 hours And the real catalyst hasn't even hit Market just got its newest blue chip It might be its next black swan Here's what nobody's pricing in SpaceX didn't sell you a stock. It sold you a countdown The lockup isn't one cliff. It's staggered - by design First unlock: August 11. Right after Q2 earnings Up to 30% of insider shares. Into open market Then more. Every few weeks. August. September. October A slow, engineered bleed of supply Now connect dots SpaceX reserved up to 30% of the deal for retail. Unusually large Ask yourself one question. Why did they suddenly want YOU in? Because somebody needs buyers for what unlocks in August You're not the investor. You might be the exit Let that sink in And the math doesn't help $2.5 trillion. 6th most valuable company on earth Built on $18.7B in revenue and a $4.9B loss last year Over 100x sales. For a company bleeding billions We've seen this movie Facebook IPO'd at $38 in May 2012 By September: under $18. Cut in half - as lockups expired and insiders sold Same script. Bigger stage. A company this size doesn't fall alone But here's the part nobody's saying This isn't just doom. It's a setup First flush - toward $150, maybe sub-$100 on unlock Then base. Weeks of boring chop while retail gives up Then move. New highs. $260+ Real money isn't made shorting top. It's made loading base Your homework: watch August 11. Watch float. Watch how people feel Bottom won't be a price. It'll be a feeling - day last bull goes quiet This isn't caution. This is map You're early or you're exit. There's no third option IMPORTANT: I called every major $SPX selloff, 2025 $BTC ATH and move from $126k โ $60k If you missed those calls - no worries, next ones are already setting up... Turn on notifications - next market calls are already cooking $SPCX
Aralez ๐375,140 Aufrufe โข vor 3 Monaten
๐จ WARNING: $SPCX BOTTOM WON'T FEEL LIKE A BOTTOM Retail bought the IPO. Whales sold it to them Now the same people who FOMO'd top are puking bottom This is the most predictable cycle in markets We've seen this movie before: Meta 2012: IPO at $38 โ dumped to $17. -54%. "Facebook is dead" Then it 10x'd Palantir 2020: hyped to $45 โ bled to $6. Down ~87% Then it became one of the best performers of decade Same script. Different ticker Here's the full $SPCX map: Phase 1 - IPO hype โ retail piles in. Done Phase 2 - Whales distribute โ dump below IPO. Done Phase 3 - Accumulation โ months of boring chop between $84 and $138 Phase 4 - Breakout โ institutions enter with size and credibility Phase 5 - Re-rating โ leg retail doesn't believe until it's over The path I'm watching: $138 โ $111 โ $84 $84 โ $111 โ $138 $138 โ $215 โ $365 โ $500 Ask yourself: why does the chart HAVE to get boring first? Because whales can't buy size in a trending market They need your boredom. They need your capitulation Weak hands leave in the chop. Strong hands load in silence And while the price goes sideways, Starlink revenue keeps compounding. Fundamentals don't chop. Prices do By the time institutions confirm the breakout, the easy 3x is gone The bottom won't feel like an opportunity. It'll feel like the end That's the tell You're accumulating with the whales - or you're liquidity they're waiting for Reminder: I called the 2025 $BTC ATH and drop to $60k publicly Turn notifs on. The breakout call drops here first
Aralez ๐164,013 Aufrufe โข vor 1 Monat
๐จ DONโT BUY bitcoin:native AT CURRENT PRICES The market is currently in a major Bull Trap phase Crowd thinks bottom is in, while whales are quietly distributing their bags To me, roadmap looks clear: 1. Distribution begins inside Short Zone 2. FVG test ($65K-$75K) 3. Short Order Flow forms 4. Build SHORT positions โ drop toward $63K 5. Acceptance below $57.8K โ bottom formation below $48K 6. Start of massive accumulation Bullish sentiment is flooding market right now, with many high-cap ALTs already pumping 50-60% This is a trap... I expect the final move to begin in early September If anything changes, Iโll be one of first to post an update QUICK REMINDER: I called $98K โ $60K bitcoin:native flush before crowd saw it coming Also flagged the $83K Bull Trap before it played out Most traders only found my calls after move was already done... Turn notifs on - catch my next market calls early
Aralez ๐78,912 Aufrufe โข vor 20 Tagen
๐จ DON'T SHORT $BTC NOW $BTC hit $63K - waiting for key FVG test Planning to open my biggest short yet: -> Entry: $68.7k -> Target: $57.8k / $49k Major dump phase ahead - waiting for limit fills... Turn on notifs - next market calls are already cooking
Aralez ๐246,742 Aufrufe โข vor 2 Monaten
๐จ S&P 500 IS SETTING UP LAST TRAP BEFORE DUMP Look at what's actually happening right now: - Smart money quietly reducing exposure - Index grinding higher on lowest volume of year - Retail sentiment at most bullish since early 2022 56 days of aggressive upside and now the whole move is stalling Breadth is deteriorating - less than 40% of S&P stocks are above their 50-day MA while index sits near highs That's not a rally. That's a handful of mega-caps dragging corpse higher Sideways price + shrinking volume + weakening internals = textbook distribution This is exactly how it looked in Q4 2021 before the 2022 collapse This is exactly how it looked in July 2024 before the August flush Large players don't sell all at once - they distribute into strength while retail is still buying the narrative By time volume confirms the move, exit is already done Fed still holding rates restrictive, earnings growth slowing, buyback blackout window opens next week Remove buyback bid and this market has no floor Not calling an exact top. But setup is there Turn on notifs - I'll update when the signal confirms
Aralez ๐326,829 Aufrufe โข vor 3 Monaten
๐จ BREAKING: MICHAEL SAYLOR BEGINS SELLING $BTC Man who said "you do not sell your Bitcoin" is now selling Bitcoin Market reacts with immediate panic selling: $BTC < $72K Let that sink in Strategy holds 843,738 BTC - purchased for $63.87 billion at an average price of $75,700 per coin That's the largest corporate Bitcoin position in history And for years, Saylor repeated same thing over and over: Never sell. Never waver. Never flinch Then on an earnings call in May 2026, he said this: "We will probably sell some Bitcoin to fund a dividend - just to inoculate market" That single sentence broke a 5-year religion Here's what changed Strategy now carries $1.5B in annual preferred-stock dividend obligations Those dividends have to be paid in cash Bitcoin doesn't pay dividends So Saylor faces a choice: dilute shareholders with new equity, take on more debt or sell some BTC He chose door number three And there's more Company is sitting on $2.2 billion in unrealized tax benefits tied to high-cost-basis Bitcoin Selective sales could harvest those benefits - legally reducing their tax bill while offloading coins at the same time This isn't panic. This is optimization But here's what the market isn't pricing in Strategy owns approximately 4% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist If they become a consistent seller - even of small amounts - bid structure for BTC changes permanently Every fund, every ETF, every HODLer built their thesis on one assumption: Saylor is a buyer. Always That assumption just died The only time Strategy sold Bitcoin before this was December 2022 - 704 BTC for $11.8 million, purely for a tax loss This time the motivation is structural. Recurring. Tied to obligations that don't go away Watch the Coinbase Prime wallet Watch the 8-K filings The first real sale won't be announced - it'll be discovered I've been tracking institutional Bitcoin flows for years When the signal turns, I post it here first Turn on notifications. You'll want to be early on this one
Aralez ๐320,926 Aufrufe โข vor 3 Monaten
๐จ $ETH IS FORMING WYCKOFF ACCUMULATION What points to this? Right now, market is completing โresistance zone testโ phase after pushing above $2,360 Based on historical data, this is usually followed by a price pullback - but itโs not that simple... Hereโs my 3-6 month roadmap: 1. Decline โ test $1,750โ$1,500 support 2. Breakdown โ โSpringโ around $1,300 3. Recovery โ support retest 4. Strong rally โ โSOSโ & โBUโ 5. Break resistance โ rally toward $4,000 In short: I expect a drop toward ~$1,300 first, followed by a recovery toward $4,000. Full structure will take time to develop, but by end of year we could already be at stage 4 - around $2,700 Donโt rush into buying $ETH here - turn on notifs, Iโll update
Aralez ๐81,824 Aufrufe โข vor 29 Tagen
๐จ $BTC JUST BROKE A MAJOR SUPPORT ZONE... Based on my chart, here's mid-term plan: 1. Pullback to $65K 2. Start of sell-off + acceptance below $58K 3. Short consolidation range 4. Massive drop below $46K Bear Market continues - another wave of downside is ahead... Important: Over past year, I publicly called $BTC cycle ATH, crash from $126k โ $60k and move $83k โ $59k before they happened If you caught those updates, you stayed ahead of crowd Missed them? No worries Turn notifs on - next major market call is already loading
Aralez ๐225,472 Aufrufe โข vor 2 Monaten
๐จ DON'T SHORT $BTC HERE $BTC to $62K - just start of FVG pullback... I'm planning to open the biggest short position of my life: Entry: $69k Take Profit: $59k / $50k Stop Loss: $78k Limit orders are set - waiting for market reaction Turn on notifs so you don't miss next call...
Aralez ๐178,347 Aufrufe โข vor 2 Monaten
๐จ SELL $BTC BEFORE ITโS TOO LATE After 2 months of accumulation, BTC is forming a major Bull Trap. Yesterday, $3B+ in SHORTS got liquidated in just 4 hours and itโs only starting During a bear phase, market usually follows this pattern: Sharp dump โ range + liquidity on both sides โ liquidity sweep + mass liquidations โ reversal โ new lows Based on this, my roadmap for next 2-3 months is simple: 1. Test 0.5-0.618 IMB zone + Bull Trap formation โ 2. 3-7 days of distribution 3. Sweep liquidity at $57K 4. Short sideways range 5. Dump toward bottom formation zone around $44K On latest pump, major ALTs like $ETH and $SOL have already rallied 30-50% This creates false illusion that a massive market rally is just getting started Itโs a major trap - market is setting up for one final dump before cycle bottom forms This is where many traders make mistake of FOMOing into assets The best accumulation opportunity is still ahead IMPORTANT: I was one of the first to call $BTC ATH around $126K One of the few who warned about $98K โ $60K & $83K โ $57K squeeze-dumps Many traders still see my market calls when itโs already too late... Follow me & turn notifs on so you donโt miss my next market calls
Aralez ๐70,801 Aufrufe โข vor 1 Monat
๐จ $BTC IS SETTING A MAJOR TRAP FOR TRADERS... For more than 3 months, BTC has been trading inside a HTF range, eventually forming an ascending channel Price is now approaching a critical level that could determine the next major move Right now, I see two possible outcomes: 1. Support holds โ rally continues toward $79k 2. Support breaks โ retest around $75k โ dump toward $54k-$58k At the moment, I'm leaning toward scenario #2 and preparing to build short exposure So far, there are no strong signals pointing to a sustainable upside continuation - but that can change quickly Don't become exit liquidity for smart money - turn on notifs, Iโll update
Aralez ๐241,283 Aufrufe โข vor 3 Monaten
๐จ Retail's dumping $SPCX right before Elon's biggest play 2016: Tesla buys SolarCity. Wall Street calls it a bailout What followed: $TSLA +4,828%. $10K became half a million Now the same play is forming at 10x the scale February: SpaceX absorbs xAI. Combined entity: $1.25 TRILLION March: FTC clears Tesla to convert its $2B xAI stake into direct SpaceX equity June: Wedbush puts 80-90% odds on full Tesla x SpaceX merger by early 2027 This isn't a forecast. It's a calendar And the unlock dump everyone's afraid of? That's the entry being handed out SolarCity holders sat through years of "bailout" headlines before payoff This time the catalysts are already dated My zone stays $85-$100 - pre-merger prices on the biggest structural move of decade You're early or you're the exit Turn on notifs - I'll update when signal confirms
Aralez ๐97,210 Aufrufe โข vor 1 Monat