Aralez 🐕
@0xAralez • 26,768 subscribers
Full-Time Trader / First $500k in 22 yrs Daily ALPHA in my TG ⇓
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🚨 $SPCX IS NEXT BLACK SWAN The biggest IPO in history just started cracking $75 billion raised on June 12. Bigger than Saudi Aramco. Bigger than anything, ever Six days later: $225 → $191. Down ~15% in 48 hours And the real catalyst hasn't even hit Market just got its newest blue chip It might be its next black swan Here's what nobody's pricing in SpaceX didn't sell you a stock. It sold you a countdown The lockup isn't one cliff. It's staggered - by design First unlock: August 11. Right after Q2 earnings Up to 30% of insider shares. Into open market Then more. Every few weeks. August. September. October A slow, engineered bleed of supply Now connect dots SpaceX reserved up to 30% of the deal for retail. Unusually large Ask yourself one question. Why did they suddenly want YOU in? Because somebody needs buyers for what unlocks in August You're not the investor. You might be the exit Let that sink in And the math doesn't help $2.5 trillion. 6th most valuable company on earth Built on $18.7B in revenue and a $4.9B loss last year Over 100x sales. For a company bleeding billions We've seen this movie Facebook IPO'd at $38 in May 2012 By September: under $18. Cut in half - as lockups expired and insiders sold Same script. Bigger stage. A company this size doesn't fall alone But here's the part nobody's saying This isn't just doom. It's a setup First flush - toward $150, maybe sub-$100 on unlock Then base. Weeks of boring chop while retail gives up Then move. New highs. $260+ Real money isn't made shorting top. It's made loading base Your homework: watch August 11. Watch float. Watch how people feel Bottom won't be a price. It'll be a feeling - day last bull goes quiet This isn't caution. This is map You're early or you're exit. There's no third option IMPORTANT: I called every major $SPX selloff, 2025 $BTC ATH and move from $126k → $60k If you missed those calls - no worries, next ones are already setting up... Turn on notifications - next market calls are already cooking $SPCX
Aralez 🐕357,989 Aufrufe • vor 2 Tagen
🚨 MY 2026 $BTC MARKET ROADMAP: JUN → Pullback to $69k JUL → Sweep of $59k + dump toward $55k AUG → Sideways chop + Bull Trap SEP → Bottom forms ~$45k-$52k OCT → Heavy whale accumulation NOV → Uptrend resumes DEC → $BTC above $90k For now, key thing to understand is simple: BEAR MARKET isn't over yet - final leg down is still ahead I was among few who called 2025 $BTC ATH, crash from $126k → $60k and breakdown from $83k → $59k before it happened Missed those calls? No stress - more big setups are loading Turn on notifs - next call could be the biggest one yet
Aralez 🐕147,423 Aufrufe • vor 3 Tagen
🚨 MY 2026 $BTC MARKET PREDICTION: JUN → Sweep of $60k JUL → $53k + Bear Trap AUG → Rally to $65k-$68k SEP → Bottom at $46k OCT → Recovery starts NOV → Rally to $85k+ DEC → Push to $100k It's important to understand that bear market is still ongoing and cycle bottom has not been set yet... I was one of few who accurately called 2025 ATH and major drop to $60k Turn on notifications so you don't miss next call...
Aralez 🐕590,425 Aufrufe • vor 17 Tagen
🚨 S&P 500 IS SETTING UP LAST TRAP BEFORE DUMP Look at what's actually happening right now: - Smart money quietly reducing exposure - Index grinding higher on lowest volume of year - Retail sentiment at most bullish since early 2022 56 days of aggressive upside and now the whole move is stalling Breadth is deteriorating - less than 40% of S&P stocks are above their 50-day MA while index sits near highs That's not a rally. That's a handful of mega-caps dragging corpse higher Sideways price + shrinking volume + weakening internals = textbook distribution This is exactly how it looked in Q4 2021 before the 2022 collapse This is exactly how it looked in July 2024 before the August flush Large players don't sell all at once - they distribute into strength while retail is still buying the narrative By time volume confirms the move, exit is already done Fed still holding rates restrictive, earnings growth slowing, buyback blackout window opens next week Remove buyback bid and this market has no floor Not calling an exact top. But setup is there Turn on notifs - I'll update when the signal confirms
Aralez 🐕325,939 Aufrufe • vor 11 Tagen
🚨 BREAKING: MICHAEL SAYLOR BEGINS SELLING $BTC Man who said "you do not sell your Bitcoin" is now selling Bitcoin Market reacts with immediate panic selling: $BTC < $72K Let that sink in Strategy holds 843,738 BTC - purchased for $63.87 billion at an average price of $75,700 per coin That's the largest corporate Bitcoin position in history And for years, Saylor repeated same thing over and over: Never sell. Never waver. Never flinch Then on an earnings call in May 2026, he said this: "We will probably sell some Bitcoin to fund a dividend - just to inoculate market" That single sentence broke a 5-year religion Here's what changed Strategy now carries $1.5B in annual preferred-stock dividend obligations Those dividends have to be paid in cash Bitcoin doesn't pay dividends So Saylor faces a choice: dilute shareholders with new equity, take on more debt or sell some BTC He chose door number three And there's more Company is sitting on $2.2 billion in unrealized tax benefits tied to high-cost-basis Bitcoin Selective sales could harvest those benefits - legally reducing their tax bill while offloading coins at the same time This isn't panic. This is optimization But here's what the market isn't pricing in Strategy owns approximately 4% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist If they become a consistent seller - even of small amounts - bid structure for BTC changes permanently Every fund, every ETF, every HODLer built their thesis on one assumption: Saylor is a buyer. Always That assumption just died The only time Strategy sold Bitcoin before this was December 2022 - 704 BTC for $11.8 million, purely for a tax loss This time the motivation is structural. Recurring. Tied to obligations that don't go away Watch the Coinbase Prime wallet Watch the 8-K filings The first real sale won't be announced - it'll be discovered I've been tracking institutional Bitcoin flows for years When the signal turns, I post it here first Turn on notifications. You'll want to be early on this one
Aralez 🐕320,557 Aufrufe • vor 19 Tagen
🚨 $BTC IS FOLLOWING ROADMAP PERFECTLY... Retail believes bottom is already in, but data says otherwise 2022-2023 → 2026-2027 I expect Bitcoin cycle bottom to look very similar How will we know the bottom is finally in? 1. Extreme panic and fear across the market 2. Massive accumulation volume 3. Retail starts calling BTC a scam again Reminder: I was among few who publicly called 2025 $BTC ATH, move from $126k → $60k and drop from $83k → $59k If you missed those calls, don't worry - next ones are still ahead Turn on notifs so you don't miss opportunity
Aralez 🐕129,019 Aufrufe • vor 11 Tagen
🚨 $BTC IS SETTING A MAJOR TRAP FOR TRADERS... For more than 3 months, BTC has been trading inside a HTF range, eventually forming an ascending channel Price is now approaching a critical level that could determine the next major move Right now, I see two possible outcomes: 1. Support holds → rally continues toward $79k 2. Support breaks → retest around $75k → dump toward $54k-$58k At the moment, I'm leaning toward scenario #2 and preparing to build short exposure So far, there are no strong signals pointing to a sustainable upside continuation - but that can change quickly Don't become exit liquidity for smart money - turn on notifs, I’ll update
Aralez 🐕240,552 Aufrufe • vor 21 Tagen
🚨 MY 2026 $BTC MARKET ROADMAP: JUN → Bounce to $66k JUL → Low around $54k AUG → Bottom formation SEP → Recovery + support retest OCT → Uptrend resumes NOV → Rally to $83k DEC → $100k $BTC Key thing to understand right now: bear market is still in full swing and downside pressure remains Most likely, cycle bottom hasn't been set yet - the best accumulation zone is still ahead... I was one of few who accurately called 2025 ATH and subsequent drop to $60k Turn on notifs so you don't miss next call...
Aralez 🐕131,296 Aufrufe • vor 13 Tagen
🚨 MY MARKET PREDICTION FOR 2026: June 2026: - $BTC pumps to $68k -> drops below $58k - Maximum panic among retail - S&P 500 runs up to 7,700 - $SPCX pumps $200+ Q3 2026: - $BTC hits cycle bottom + accumulation phase begins - First US rate cut arrives - S&P 500 dumps to 7,200 - Peak distrust across crypto Q4 2026: - $BTC flips back into uptrend → $85k+ - U.S stock market takes a heavy leg down - Capital rotates massively into crypto - QE begins amid global crisis conditions
Aralez 🐕72,530 Aufrufe • vor 8 Tagen
🚨 I CALLED THIS $BTC DROP 10 DAYS AGO... Based on my chart, near-term plan: 1. Push to $79K + CME GAP fill ✅ 2. Drop to $65K + liquidity sweep ✅ 3. Dump to $52K + local bottom 4. Accumulation → new low → recovery Turn on notifs so you don't miss next market call...
Aralez 🐕152,132 Aufrufe • vor 17 Tagen
$BTC JUST BROKE A KEY 4-MONTH SUPPORT ZONE... After a relief bounce, I expect price to continue its major downside move toward $52k by end of June... $60k → $67k → $52k → $40k → $70k → $110k+ My next $BTC targets: 1. $67k this week 2. $52k by end of June 3. $40k by end of summer 4. $110k+ by early 2027 I'm the one who publicly called 2025 $BTC ATH, recent move from $126k → $60k and drop from $83k → $59k... I post market forecasts daily If you missed previous ones, don't worry - next calls are still ahead Turn on notifs - you won't want to miss next call
Aralez 🐕92,974 Aufrufe • vor 12 Tagen
🚨 MY MARKET PREDICTION FOR 2026: May-June 2026: - $BTC drops below $58k - Panic selling peaks across markets - S&P 500 breaks under $6,800 - $ETH slides toward ~$1,700 Q3 2026: - $BTC prints a bottom → whales start accumulation - Fed leadership transition triggers major market shakeout - First US rate cut arrives - Peak distrust across crypto Q4 2026: - $BTC flips back into uptrend → $90k+ - Mass AI integration across crypto markets - Momentum returns as new narratives bring in millions of participants - QE begins amid global crisis conditions
Aralez 🐕250,567 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
🚨 S&P 500 WILL HIT $8,000 IN 2026... Based on my chart, here’s 2026-2027 plan: 1. Pullback to $7,200 → rally to $7,700 2. Peak + “Creek” formation 3. Flush to $6,100 + “Spring” setup 4. Retest → breakout toward $8,000+ Don’t be exit liquidity - turn on notifs, I’ll update
Aralez 🐕173,372 Aufrufe • vor 28 Tagen
🚨 $BTC JUST HIT A 9-MONTH CRITICAL LEVEL... Over past few days, market has lost more than 15% of its value, dropping to $61k... During sell-off, price lost critical $63k-$65k zone - a level that could shape market's next major move Based on chart below, here's my roadmap for next 30 days: 1. Break below $61k → bounce to $68k 2. Short consolidation phase 3. Major dump below $48k 4. Local bottom forms → accumulation begins Mini rally is officially over - only downside from here... Broader trend still points to fresh local lows Bounces toward $70k are still possible, but we all know how this ends... Prepare for next wave down - turn on notifs, I'll update
Aralez 🐕84,403 Aufrufe • vor 16 Tagen
🚨 $BTC IS TRAPPING EVERYONE... For 110+ days, market has stayed inside an “ascending channel”, slowly printing HHs and HLs Main target of this move was CME GAP ( $79.4k-$81k ) - after filling it, BTC already dropped more than ~12% Strong short reaction now signals broader downside ahead Based on my chart, here’s plan for next 30-60 days: 1. Bounce to $78k to make retail think rally continues 2. Liquidity sweep → move into support zone 3. Breakdown of support + dump toward $63k 4. Sideways consolidation around $63k-$65k 5. Drop toward $52k + formation of cyclical bottom Everything happening right now looks like preparation for a larger market dump There’s no sign of a “new Bull Run” yet... Don’t become liquidity for smart money - turn on notifs, I’ll update
Aralez 🐕111,107 Aufrufe • vor 23 Tagen
🚨 MY MARKET PREDICTION FOR 2026-2027: May-June 2026: - $BTC drops below $58k - Market panic reaches its peak - S&P 500 falls below $6,800 - $ETH declines toward ~$1,600 Q3 2026: - $BTC forms a bottom → whales begin accumulating - Change of Federal Reserve leadership triggers a strong market drop - First US rate cut - Peak distrust in the crypto market - S&P 500 moves toward $5,200 Q4 2026: - $BTC starts a new uptrend, reaching $90k+ - Mass integration of AI into crypto - Market shows strength, new narratives bring millions to participants - Launch of Quantitative Easing amid a global crisis Q1-Q4 2027: - $BTC breaks ATH, reaching $140k+ - BTC becomes #1 safe-haven asset - Federal Reserve begins easing - 3 rate cuts - Real estate declines in at least 3 major US cities - Those who bought $BTC in Q3 2026 achieve nearly 3x within a year
Aralez 🐕226,804 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
🚨 S&P 500 IS ENTERING EUPHORIA ZONE... The index just printed a fresh ATH near 7,600 50+ days of straight uptrend No meaningful pullbacks. No rebalancing. Just relentless grinding higher This is what the late stage of a cycle looks like And most people won't recognize it until it's already too late Here's what I actually think happens next First, the melt-up continues A push toward 7,700-7,800 is still on the table That's when distribution begins Smart money starts quietly exiting while retail is still buying the narrative Then comes the first sell-off Not big one - just enough to shake weak hands and breed complacency "See? It bounced. Everything's fine" That's the trap Because after the complacency phase ends, the real move starts And the real move goes toward 4,000-3,500 That's not a typo That's a 50%+ drawdown from current levels Now here's what makes this cycle different Three of the most hyped companies in the world - SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic - are all expected to go public in 2026 History is clear on what happens when the biggest IPOs in a generation arrive at same time 1999-2000: dot-com peak 2021: SPAC and tech euphoria peak Every time IPO pipeline floods at cycle highs, it's because insiders need liquidity They know something retail doesn't Add historically stretched valuations on top of that Add slowing buybacks - single biggest source of equity demand for past decade And you have a market that's priced for perfection in a world that stopped being perfect a long time ago Euphoria doesn't feel like risk That's exactly what makes it dangerous I've mapped this cycle for months When I see the distribution phase begin, I'll post the signal here - same as always Turn on notifs. You'll want to be early on this one
Aralez 🐕63,364 Aufrufe • vor 18 Tagen