Mario Nawfal
@MarioNawfal • 3,754,321 subscribers
Largest Show on X (Live Daily 10am-8pm ET) | 24x7 Writers Covering News | Investor 700+ Startups | Founder @ibcgroupio , https://t.co/sw7OQ5KOqu
Shorts
Videos
🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump wants Iran to hand him an exit. Fmr Trump Lawyer Robert Barnes says the intel community just told him, in writing, that Iran isn't giving him one. He laid out what leaked out of the Washington Post this week: every round of strikes has hardened Iran's position rather than softened it. Trump saw it happen in real time too, rejecting three separate ceasefire attempts run through Pakistan, Qatar, and finally Iraq's prime minister. Barnes expects a 75% chance Trump hits Pickax Mountain this weekend, a strike that likely won't destroy the facility but gives him something to declare victory over. Rebuild the narrative, claim the nuclear threat is gone, quietly lift the blockade, and let Fox News run with it while his base, already exhausted by this war, doesn't push back. If the plan is a symbolic strike dressed as a win, does anyone still watching get fooled, or does everyone already know the difference? Robert Barnes
Mario Nawfal163,248 views • 3 hours ago
🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. hasn't run out of bombs to drop on Iran. It's run out of targets worth dropping them on. Colonel Mark Cancian, retired Marine and CSIS analyst, broke down why nightly strikes have dropped from roughly 350 targets a day in the war's opening phase to 80-100 now. Munitions aren't the bottleneck yet. Target identification is. Verifying and planning a strike takes time, and doing it every 24 hours caps how many you can hit. "Both sides are engaged in what you might call economic attrition... on several levels, this is a battle of endurance." Cancian says that endurance contest normally favors Iran. No midterms, no domestic political clock, and a regime that already crushed an uprising in January On the loudest rumor circulating, a strike on Pickax Mountain, he's blunt: even the GBU-57 can't reach a facility buried that deep, and a tactical nuke would cross a threshold for a target that isn't even the last one that matters. Neither side is winning this war, and neither can afford to stop fighting.
Mario Nawfal95,183 views • 1 hour ago
🇵🇰 The BLA says it blew up a Pakistani army patrol in Bolan with an IED The Baloch Liberation Army, the separatist group that's been fighting the state out in Balochistan, says its guys ambushed the patrol with a roadside bomb in Bolan district in the province's east and took out at least 12 soldiers. That number's just the BLA talking for now. And it lines up with how the month's gone. July's been brutal for the army in Balochistan, one early wave of attacks alone left 42 people dead across the province, 18 police and 11 soldiers among them. Source: Tabz / Writer: Daniyal
Mario Nawfal105,916 views • 3 hours ago
🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. is reportedly considering a high-risk operation to seize Iran’s enriched uranium if diplomacy fails. The potential mission would involve special forces, ground troops, and engineers entering heavily protected nuclear sites to recover the material. Experts say it could be one of the most complex military operations ever attempted. No decision has been announced, and the plan remains unconfirmed. Source: New York Post / Writer: Lucas
Mario Nawfal54,537 views • 2 hours ago
🇮🇱🇮🇷 Israeli Finance Minister Smotrich on Israel's stance toward Iran: "I don't think the State of Israel has any interest in entering the conflict right now, especially when there is a confrontation between the United States and Iran. That pressure is good for us. Remember, our goal remains to undermine the regime to the point of bringing it down. We cannot accept the existence of a regime that seeks the destruction of the State of Israel while pursuing nuclear weapons. As we see it, bringing down the regime is primarily about weakening it economically..." Writer: Daniyal
Mario Nawfal37,377 views • 2 hours ago
🇮🇷 IRGC spokesperson: “According to the agreement, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz would take place according to arrangements announced by Iran. The United States broke its commitment… Following this breach, the IRGC prevented the passage of ships and struck the violating vessel… The new act of aggression was once again from the United States.” Classic Iran. They claim ownership of the Strait, demand everyone follow their rules, then blame America when ships get hit and the pressure continues. This regime never takes responsibility. Writer: Oliver
Mario Nawfal28,759 views • 1 hour ago
🇺🇦🇷🇺 Moscow keeps announcing major strikes, but the front line tells a slower story. Russian MoD claims it hit Ukrainian positions near Vysokoivanovka in Donetsk and drone command posts near Svetlichnoye in Kharkiv with guided bombs. Russian advances have slowed to a crawl this year, tiny net gains, high losses, and no major breakthroughs. The east remains a grinding stalemate. Writer: Lucas
Mario Nawfal37,971 views • 3 hours ago
🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. could be hitting Iran 400 TIMES A DAY by the middle of next week... Admiral Mark Montgomery, one of the few retired flag officers who speaks on the record while colleagues hide behind "unnamed official," expects that tempo within days, matching the peak of the March war. The buildup spells it out: the largest C-17 and C-5 transport surge from Europe since March, fresh fighter squadrons, electronic warfare aircraft, and above all the bombers, because a single B-1 delivers the precision payload of eight to ten fighters. Together it hands Trump war-peak firepower with no need for Israel at all. Pickaxe Mountain is on the target list, and the Admiral drew the limits exactly. The weapon a B-1 would drop there is large but no bunker buster. A raid can seal doors and wreck entrances; whatever sits deep inside survives. What troubles him lives beneath the tempo. Offensive missiles are entering a cheap 3D-printed era at a tenth the old price, while every defensive interceptor still costs $4 to $10 MILLION a shot, and those are exactly the rounds draining fastest. "We're not ready for this war," he said of the defenses America skipped for twenty years. Mark Montgomery
Mario Nawfal380,987 views • 21 hours ago
🇧🇭 🇮🇷 The mystery strike nobody could pin down finally has names: Bahrain and Kuwait, with UAE cover. It may explain the whole shape of this war... That's the Wall Street Journal's reporting, and Larry Johnson needed one line to make it land: which may be why Iran keeps pounding Kuwait and Bahrain day after day. If it holds, the map rearranges. The two Gulf states taking the heaviest retaliation, the ones whose desalination plants and power stations have been hit, aren't being punished for hosting American aircraft. They pulled a trigger. His verdict on that choice: it may have been a poor one. The forward-looking thread is a London meeting Axios reports for next week, where Washington and London try to assemble a coalition to protect Hormuz shipping. The Europeans reportedly set one condition, stop the shooting first, because nobody sends minesweepers into a live fight. Larry waved the whole thing off, and his reasoning is the war in miniature: the US won't pay the military price freedom of navigation would actually cost, so the only road there runs through negotiating with Iran, which Washington keeps refusing. He also flagged a sharpened US embassy alert for Israel, an Italian carrier suspending Tel Aviv flights, and satellite imagery showing roughly twenty American aircraft now parked on an Israeli base. His sharpest line was the caveat that undercuts every optimist: Iran can absolutely manage one day of March-level intensity. It just can't sustain it. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
Mario Nawfal329,739 views • 19 hours ago
🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Somebody inside that tunnel is keeping a tally of American bombs on the wall. Fmr. U.S. Navy intel officer Malcolm Nance says the strikes on the Jask complex are just shaking rocks, and he knows exactly what's happening inside because he played the same game under Russian bombardment in eastern Ukraine. Mark the wall, laugh, wait: "They were just in there frying up bread, drinking tea and having dates, waiting for the entrance to open." He briefed commanders who insisted the Iranians can't take this. They can take it, he kept telling them. And when the entrance reopens, the anti-ship missiles come out. Malcolm Nance
Mario Nawfal275,682 views • 18 hours ago
🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran is rebuilding faster than America can bomb it... Malcolm Nance has been under bombardment himself, in eastern Ukraine, where his unit stayed sane by tallying Russian impacts and laughing between them. He is certain the same scene is running inside Iran's mountain tunnels right now: a tally scratched on a wall, tea brewing, men waiting for the doors to be dug back open. The Wall Street Journal all but confirmed it. Satellite imagery shows Iran rapidly rebuilding what months of strikes destroyed, missile bases, bridges, ports. No mystery, just arithmetic: a country of 93 million clears rubble with shovels and excavators, while Washington would bid a quarter billion dollar contract for the same job. That arithmetic also breaks the escalation talk. A number making the rounds promises 400 strikes a day. Desert Storm needed six carriers and every Saudi airbase for that tempo; today three carriers are available, the Gulf bases sit abandoned, and quite possibly HALF of America's global precision missile inventory is already gone, missiles designed for Chinese and Russian defenses. Iran takes three and a half hours to cross by jet, and his warning was BLUNT: "You're going to start bombing rubble to bomb rubble." This war is being measured in sorties. The country underneath it is measured in shovels, and the shovels are winning. Malcolm Nance
Mario Nawfal311,676 views • 20 hours ago
🇾🇪🇸🇦 Saudi jets are likely hitting Houthi positions again. The Royal Saudi Air Force has reportedly carried out more airstrikes on the group’s military sites as the fighting between Riyadh and the Iran backed rebels heats back up. Missile launchers and weapons depots are among the reported targets. Source: wfwitness TG / Writer: Lucas
Mario Nawfal76,298 views • 7 hours ago
🇹🇷🇺🇸 Turkey is STILL locked out of the U.S F-35 program, despite Erdogan hoping Trump would let them in after the NATO summit in Ankara The State Department sent a letter to Congress stating Turkey has not met the legal requirements to rejoin the F-35 program, primarily due to the Russian S-400 air defense systems it has Turkey was rumored to be on the verge of selling its S-400s, and until it does so, it stays locked out Source: Jerusalem Post / Writer: Ian
Mario Nawfal99,486 views • 10 hours ago
🇮🇷 🇺🇸 A $2 billion radar was wiped out by two $20,000 drones. Fmr. U.S. Navy intel officer Malcolm Nance walks through the systematic blinding: the Qatari radar controlling the entire Gulf's airspace, gone. THAAD radars hit in the UAE and Jordan. Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain, the base Nance lived on, abandoned and run by telemetry from Norfolk while Iranian drones level it almost symbolically: "The Iranians have put us technically out of the theater." Patrols now fly five hours from Sicily. CENTCOM will likely move to Israel. And his starkest prediction: "Mark my words, the US will leave Kuwait." Malcolm Nance
Mario Nawfal202,022 views • 18 hours ago
🇺🇸🇮🇷 The biggest lie in global energy markets may be starting to fall apart. For months, we've been told the oil market is under control, but economist Philip Pilkington says that's becoming impossible to sustain. His argument isn't simply that oil prices have been manipulated; it's that the entire strategy is beginning to collide with physical reality. Philip believes officials have been able to suppress futures prices through a combination of AI-driven trading, carefully crafted political messaging, and massive short positions entering the market at key moments. The result? A paper market that looks far calmer than the physical energy market underneath it. But futures contracts don't put diesel into trucks, and optimistic headlines don't refill storage tanks. According to Philip, that's where the strategy is starting to unravel. China is returning to global oil markets, refining margins remain unusually high, physical fuel markets are tightening, and the Strategic Petroleum Reserve continues to shrink. Every additional disruption puts more pressure on a system that's already running with far less room for error than it had a few months ago. Philip believes the Trump administration had a plan to carry the energy market safely through the midterms. It relied on temporary diplomacy with Iran, lower Chinese demand and continued releases from America's Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Then Trump tore up the MOU, China started buying more oil again, and the assumptions behind the entire strategy began to fall apart. Philip Pilkington
Mario Nawfal339,980 views • 1 day ago
🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump remains trapped because he still refuses to accept how much leverage Iran possesses. He still thinks overwhelming American power will eventually force Tehran to give in, and political scientist Ian Bremmer says that's the mistake keeping this war alive. Instead, Iran has shown it can keep raising the economic cost of the war without crossing Trump's red lines. Ian doesn't think Iran believes it can defeat the U.S militarily; it believes it can make continuing the war more painful than ending it. And so far, it's working. Trump keeps threatening to destroy Iran's infrastructure, eliminate its leadership and dramatically escalate the conflict. But Ian points to something more revealing than Trump's rhetoric: His actions. Despite months of fighting, Trump has avoided the biggest escalations. No ground invasion, no sustained campaign against Iran's energy sector, and no full-scale assault on the country's leadership. Even after American casualties, his instinct has repeatedly been to play them down rather than use them to justify a much wider war. And Tehran has noticed. It increasingly sees a president who talks like he's preparing for total war but behaves like someone searching for an exit. The bigger problem, Ian says, is inside the White House itself. Trump's advisers know the military and economic costs are mounting, and many want the war to end, but very few are willing to tell Trump the uncomfortable truth: Iran has far more leverage over how this ends than Washington expected. Until Trump accepts that reality, Ian believes a genuine compromise remains unlikely. ian bremmer
Mario Nawfal353,956 views • 1 day ago
🚨🇸🇦 BREAKING: ARAMCO is burning. -New footage reportedly shows massive plumes of smoke rising from the Aramco complex at Jazan on Saudi Arabia's Red Sea coast -At least five missiles were reported fired, with the Houthis' "escalation with escalation" vow barely 24 hours old and no formal claim yet -No Saudi damage assessment or casualty count has been released, and the smoke's exact source within the complex is unconfirmed Source: MES on TG / Writer: Daniel
Mario Nawfal195,611 views • 20 hours ago
🚨🇮🇱🇵🇸 WATCH: The moment a Palestinian took the gun from an Israeli security coordinator and opened fire, near the West Bank village of Tell. One Israeli was shot dead, and at least two others were injured by the gunfire of the Palestinian who snatched the weapon. Israeli soldiers “eliminated the terrorist who carried out the attack and injured several Israeli civilians.” Source: Times of Israel, bintjbeilnews / Writer: Michael
Mario Nawfal455,724 views • 1 day ago