Pepesso
@0xPepesso • 158,166 subscribers
DeFi Diver & Memecoin Maestro 🐸 | Catching airdrops & spinning crypto threads 🧵 | Your go-to for Pepe-style alpha 🔍
Shorts
Videos
🚨 SPACEX IPO IS LOADING THE BIGGEST INSIDER SELL EVENT IN A DECADE This could end up as the largest scheduled cash-out in modern market history SpaceX is set to list on June 12 at a $1.75-$2 trillion valuation That instantly makes it bigger than Microsoft, putting it behind only Apple and Nvidia in the entire US market Meanwhile the company posted a $4.28 billion loss in Q1 2026 alone. Total losses since founding: roughly $41.3 billion Insiders hold 95% of every share that exists - that's about $1.66 trillion of wealth sitting in private hands, waiting for the door to open Normally insiders are frozen for 180 days after a listing to stop a wave of selling from crushing the stock on day one SpaceX threw that rulebook out the window: > Around 60 days after listing: 20% of insider shares come unlocked > If the stock runs 30% above IPO price: another 10% unlocks automatically > Days 70, 90, 105, 120 and 135: a fresh 7% chunk releases at each step > After Q3 earnings hit: another 28% comes free By late November, roughly 93% of eligible insider shares can already be sold This isn't an IPO. It's the most carefully scheduled insider exit Wall Street has ever signed off on I've watched this exact movie play out before Every IPO that ran loose lockups looked beautiful until the supply started hitting, then bled for months Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated on this one
Pepesso2,676,370 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten
🚨 ELON MUSK JUST MADE EVERYONE A HIDDEN MILLIONAIRE $SPCX just filed a $75B IPO and Tesla holders already own a piece without knowing it This IPO with $1.75T valuation will definitely be the argest in recorded history Drops June 12 The crowd is focused on BTC charts and almost nobody is tracking what's actually being assembled here In March, Tesla converted its $2B xAI stake into a direct SpaceX shareholding TSLA holders became SpaceX shareholders before the IPO even priced - they just don't know it On top of that - Wedbush puts 80-90% odds on a full Tesla/SpaceX merger as a 2027 scenario Last time Musk pulled a structural move like this: SolarCity merger, 2016, TSLA ran 4,828% over the next 12 years $10,000 became $492,800 The scale of what's being built here is a different category from anything I've seen this cycle As for me, June 12 is circled - this is the kind of setup you don't wait for confirmation on Save this. This is a generational wealth play
Pepesso2,255,184 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten
🚨 $SPCX IPO IS THE BIGGEST LIQUIDITY TRAP IN MODERN HISTORY Everyone thinks SpaceX IPO is free money People said the exact same thing about Meta in 2012 However, after Meta went public, the stock dumped over 50% in the first 100 days Retail bought the hype, insiders got their exit Now the same scenario is repeating again SpaceX goes public June 12 at $135/share - $1.75 to $2 TRILLION valuation That would make it one of the 7 largest companies in the entire US market overnight But here's the problem: This is not an IPO but a $75 BILLION liquidity event 555 million shares × $135 = $75B that needs to be absorbed by someone Insiders own 95% of SpaceX right now, public float is 5% That means insiders are sitting on over $1.6 TRILLION in paper wealth After June 12, they will start converting it into real cash Lockup expires September–December 2026 That's when the real dumping begins Michael Burry already warned about this He said SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic could raise more capital than 300 dot-com IPOs in 2000 - COMBINED And this isn't just words: $912M in $PLTR puts + $186M in $NVDA puts extended into 2027 Connect the dots This could be the largest coordinated insider cashout in market history I've studied macro for 10 years and nailed the October BTC $126k ATH while everyone were screaming about supercycle Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Pepesso1,046,896 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten
🚨 WARREN BUFFETT WENT ALL IN SELLING His sell-to-buy ratio just hit 15:1 This happened only twice in history: Dot-com Bubble crash in 2000 and AI Bubble right now $397,000,000,000 idle in cash Buffett Indicator at 227% vs 88% historical average This man definitely knows something and preparing for max pain scenario Save this. Let's see who's right by Q4.
Pepesso778,248 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten
🚨 THIS BITCOIN HISTORICAL FRACTAL IS ABSOLUTELY CRAZY The last time the Fed hiked rates after an extended pause during a bear market, Bitcoin staged a quick ~5% fakeout pump right into the 50-week moving average... before dropping 60% Now look at the 2026 weekly chart The exact same macro pattern is lining up right now: 2022 Cycle: > Fed rate decision after pause > Quick ~5% pump into 50-week SMA > Massive ~60% macro dump followed Current 2026 Setup: > Fed rate decision after long pause > Price squeezes into 50-week SMA > Major downside liquidity stacked below Bulls are celebrating this local push, but historical odds suggest this move could be the setup before the real drop unfolds If history repeats, the higher probability path leans toward a deeper reset before a true structural bottom forms Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Pepesso136,005 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
🚨 DON'T GET TRAPPED SHORTING BITCOIN AT $80,000 $BTC is pushing into the final leg of a Three Drives Pattern Shorting here before the pattern completes carries terrible risk-to-reward Orderbook data shows a massive cluster of short stops sitting right above the $82.8k Monthly Range High Drive 3 frequently spikes into that liquidity line above to wipe out early shorts before the actual cool-down triggers Strong ETF inflows and Treasury liquidity could limit any downside pullback to the $74.4k support floor A clean daily close and reclaim of Monthly High = invalidation of the Three Drives reversal setup Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Pepesso128,444 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten
🚨 $SPCX DUMPED. I'VE WARNED YOU THIS WAS COMING Phase one is done: $150 -> $225 -> $150 Classic IPO pump into distribution, straight back to open Phase two is in motion, and here's what I'm watching: > $134 = below the IPO opening range, where day-one positioning starts to crack > $117 = the real flush, where retail bag holders finally give up > $85 - $91 = full capitulation zone and the first real bounce This is how every overvalued IPO gets cleaned up before the actual move When that washout completes, the setup flips entirely: $90 -> $160 -> $250 - Oppenheimer already set a $250 target, and that's the level that makes sense ONLY once the shakeout is done Patience > panic on this one
Pepesso177,927 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten
🚨 HANTAVIRUS = THE BIGGEST BLACK SWAN OF 2026? COVID dropped SPX 35.92% in 32 days. That was fast and brutal Hantavirus mortality is 40% vs COVID's 1%. No vaccine. No mRNA shortcut US Department of Health just confirmed 35 new suspected cases of hantavirus infection overnight in US alone Do you understand? This time, the panic won't stop after a 32-day flush like in 2020 If history repeats, this could bleed the entire 2025 AI bubble dry Markets at ATH. Top 10 stocks = 41% of S&P. Zero pandemic premium priced in The AI bubble is priced for absolute perfection, relying entirely on fragile Taiwan/Nvidia supply chains and endless Big Tech CapEx Even without full lockdowns, mere panic will trigger violent compression in this insanely crowded trade CDC and WHO says human-to-human transmission is rare, but we heard exact same words before COVID pandemic Markets don't wait for the catastrophe - they front-run the uncertainty Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Pepesso178,612 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten
$BTC IS RUNNING EXACT SAME 2022 SCRIPT 2021: $69k ATH -> Bull Trap -> collapse 2025: $126k ATH -> Bull Trap -> exact same scenario repeating Here is the playbook: 1. Long-term support trendline lost 2. Breakdown below MA200 in progress 3. Relief rally next 4. Final capitulation wick Cycle bottom is not in yet, but we are getting close This is the last shakeout before the bull market Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated!
Pepesso140,151 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten
🚨 BITCOIN JUST PRINTED TEXTBOOK FOMO TRAP Price just spiked directly into $85k, triggering a massive $630M short squeeze right where retail gets euphoric This $84.8k–$85k zone is a classic trap range designed to lure in late FOMO longs right before the market resets This is the roadmap I'm watching: $84.8k Trap Peak -> $76k Pullback -> $68.5k Shakeout -> $90,000+ Surge Sellers need to push price down into that $68.5k panic zone to flip retail crowd sentiment bearish before the real move to $90k can begin Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Pepesso40,619 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
🚨 EVERY MAJOR S&P 500 CRASH WAS PRECEDED BY A MACD PEAK Just look at the chart: 2000 top: MACD peaked at ~100 -> index dropped -49.60% 2008 top: MACD peaked at ~75 -> index dropped -57.69% 2026: MACD is sitting at 496 The peaks that caused 50% crashes don't even register on the same scale as where we are right now Every single time this indicator turned from elevated levels - major crash followed Current reading is 5x higher than anything that preceded a major crash in 30 years of data I don't know exactly when it turns. But when it does, there's no historical reference for what follows Position accordingly!
Pepesso145,816 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten
🚨 $SPCX IS REPEATING THE PALANTIR IPO 99% of retail doesn't understand why this happens Here's the mechanic: Early investors waited 10+ years to sell. The IPO is their exit However, they can't sell immediately - there's a legal lock-up period When it expires, major selling wave hits - that's the real dump $PLTR ran the exact same script: > Sept 2020: listed at $10 > Jan 2021: peak at $39 - lock-up expiring, insiders selling into every candle > Late 2022: crashed to $6 - retail gave up, institutions loaded quietly and it went from $6 to $207. 34x $SPCX: IPO June 12, peak $225 four days later, now $156 But the lock-up hasn't expired. It releases in waves: > Late July: first 20% of insider shares hit the market > Aug-Oct: another 35% drops every 2 weeks > Dec 8: the rest unlocks The $147 low wasn't the shakeout. The real selling pressure starts next month Scenario 1 - $145-150 holds through all lock-up waves -> setup confirmed -> $250+ Scenario 2 - we lose $130 on high volume -> deeper flush incoming I'm watching $145 as the line Follow + notifs on - I'll post when I start building the position
Pepesso99,129 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten
🚨 $SPCX LOOKS EXACTLY LIKE $NVDA AND $TSLA BEFORE THEIR BIGGEST MOVES Most people see a failed IPO. That's exactly what they said about both of them Nvidia - 1999 IPO, pumped 7x on dot-com hype, crashed 80% while retail walked away. Institutions loaded in silence - then Nvidia ran 50x from the bottom before anyone noticed Tesla - 2010 IPO at $17, pumped to $30, fell back below IPO price within a week. Flat for two years, retail wrote it off - then 8x in 14 months and 300x today $SPCX just gave you the same sequence: IPO pump to $225, flush to $150, retail already considering it dead That's not a failed trade - that's the setup Institutions don't announce when they're loading, but the chart tells you everything: low volatility, tight range, no headlines That's exactly the moment to buy it Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Pepesso93,851 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten
🚨 $BTC WYCKOFF IS PLAYING OUT EXACTLY AS I CALLED IT Three phases already completed: 1. SC (Selling Climax) - panic candle, volume spike, sharp capitulation drop 2. AR (Automatic Rally) - fast bounce straight off the climax low 3. ST (Secondary Test) - lower-volume retest of the lows, supply exhausted One phase left: the Spring near $49k The Spring isn't a crash - it's a classic market trap Price dips below the accumulation range, shakes out every remaining weak hand, then reverses before anyone can react The crowd sees a breakdown, Wyckoff traders see the entry This is the mechanism: most people sell at the Spring, which is exactly why it has to happen - weak hands out before smart money can run price Every independent signal is pointing to the $49K level This is where patience pays Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Pepesso83,061 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten
🚨 ETHEREUM SETS UP A WAVE 4 PULLBACK $ETH is completing daily Wave 3 after an aggressive impulse surge Market structure shows downside imbalance left behind during the rally, creating a primary Wave 4 target between $2,112 and $2,222 However, buyers may front-run that deeper zone at the 0.236 Fib near $2,324 A shallow bounce from $2,324 could push price toward the $2,784 to $2,966 target box before a deeper retrace into the $2,100 floor Because Wave 2 was extremely sharp, Elliott Wave alternation favors a flatter, shallow consolidation for Wave 4 A daily close below $2,050 invalidates the Wave 4 pullback structure Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Pepesso43,113 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
🚨 S&P 500 REPEATING DOT COM CRASH SCENARIO Just look at the chart, we are perfectly repeating 2000 Dot Com Bubble fractal The top 10 stocks now control 40% of the entire index - concentration that has already exceeded the dot-com peak, when the top 10 held 27% In the last 28-session rally, just 10 stocks drove 69% of the gains Retail investors funneled $700 billion into equities since January - five times faster than during the dot-com bubble And the buyers chasing semiconductor stocks are already planning their exit at the first sign of slowing momentum That's exactly how even the strongest rallies collapse The dot-com Nasdaq fell 78% and took 15 years to recover its high The AI bubble has better fundamentals, but better fundamentals didn't save anyone in 2000 either Do you really think $700 billion of anxious retail money holds when momentum stalls? Save this. Come back in 18 months
Pepesso102,631 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten