Pepesso
@0xPepesso • 161,217 subscribers
DeFi Diver & Memecoin Maestro 🐸 | Catching airdrops & spinning crypto threads 🧵 | Your go-to for Pepe-style alpha 🔍
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🚨 SPACEX IPO IS LOADING THE BIGGEST INSIDER SELL EVENT IN A DECADE This could end up as the largest scheduled cash-out in modern market history SpaceX is set to list on June 12 at a $1.75-$2 trillion valuation That instantly makes it bigger than Microsoft, putting it behind only Apple and Nvidia in the entire US market Meanwhile the company posted a $4.28 billion loss in Q1 2026 alone. Total losses since founding: roughly $41.3 billion Insiders hold 95% of every share that exists - that's about $1.66 trillion of wealth sitting in private hands, waiting for the door to open Normally insiders are frozen for 180 days after a listing to stop a wave of selling from crushing the stock on day one SpaceX threw that rulebook out the window: > Around 60 days after listing: 20% of insider shares come unlocked > If the stock runs 30% above IPO price: another 10% unlocks automatically > Days 70, 90, 105, 120 and 135: a fresh 7% chunk releases at each step > After Q3 earnings hit: another 28% comes free By late November, roughly 93% of eligible insider shares can already be sold This isn't an IPO. It's the most carefully scheduled insider exit Wall Street has ever signed off on I've watched this exact movie play out before Every IPO that ran loose lockups looked beautiful until the supply started hitting, then bled for months Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated on this one
Pepesso2,652,788 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
🚨 ELON MUSK JUST MADE EVERYONE A HIDDEN MILLIONAIRE $SPCX just filed a $75B IPO and Tesla holders already own a piece without knowing it This IPO with $1.75T valuation will definitely be the argest in recorded history Drops June 12 The crowd is focused on BTC charts and almost nobody is tracking what's actually being assembled here In March, Tesla converted its $2B xAI stake into a direct SpaceX shareholding TSLA holders became SpaceX shareholders before the IPO even priced - they just don't know it On top of that - Wedbush puts 80-90% odds on a full Tesla/SpaceX merger as a 2027 scenario Last time Musk pulled a structural move like this: SolarCity merger, 2016, TSLA ran 4,828% over the next 12 years $10,000 became $492,800 The scale of what's being built here is a different category from anything I've seen this cycle As for me, June 12 is circled - this is the kind of setup you don't wait for confirmation on Save this. This is a generational wealth play
Pepesso2,173,680 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten
🚨 $SPCX IPO IS THE BIGGEST LIQUIDITY TRAP IN MODERN HISTORY Everyone thinks SpaceX IPO is free money People said the exact same thing about Meta in 2012 However, after Meta went public, the stock dumped over 50% in the first 100 days Retail bought the hype, insiders got their exit Now the same scenario is repeating again SpaceX goes public June 12 at $135/share - $1.75 to $2 TRILLION valuation That would make it one of the 7 largest companies in the entire US market overnight But here's the problem: This is not an IPO but a $75 BILLION liquidity event 555 million shares × $135 = $75B that needs to be absorbed by someone Insiders own 95% of SpaceX right now, public float is 5% That means insiders are sitting on over $1.6 TRILLION in paper wealth After June 12, they will start converting it into real cash Lockup expires September–December 2026 That's when the real dumping begins Michael Burry already warned about this He said SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic could raise more capital than 300 dot-com IPOs in 2000 - COMBINED And this isn't just words: $912M in $PLTR puts + $186M in $NVDA puts extended into 2027 Connect the dots This could be the largest coordinated insider cashout in market history I've studied macro for 10 years and nailed the October BTC $126k ATH while everyone were screaming about supercycle Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Pepesso1,045,299 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
🚨 WARREN BUFFETT WENT ALL IN SELLING His sell-to-buy ratio just hit 15:1 This happened only twice in history: Dot-com Bubble crash in 2000 and AI Bubble right now $397,000,000,000 idle in cash Buffett Indicator at 227% vs 88% historical average This man definitely knows something and preparing for max pain scenario Save this. Let's see who's right by Q4.
Pepesso777,213 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten
🚨 $SPCX DUMPED. I'VE WARNED YOU THIS WAS COMING Phase one is done: $150 -> $225 -> $150 Classic IPO pump into distribution, straight back to open Phase two is in motion, and here's what I'm watching: > $134 = below the IPO opening range, where day-one positioning starts to crack > $117 = the real flush, where retail bag holders finally give up > $85 - $91 = full capitulation zone and the first real bounce This is how every overvalued IPO gets cleaned up before the actual move When that washout completes, the setup flips entirely: $90 -> $160 -> $250 - Oppenheimer already set a $250 target, and that's the level that makes sense ONLY once the shakeout is done Patience > panic on this one
Pepesso172,074 Aufrufe • vor 28 Tagen
🚨 WARNING: THE REAL $SPCX DUMP HASN'T EVEN STARTED SpaceX came public at $135 in June, ripped to ~$225, then bled all the way back to the mid-$130s. The entire IPO pop, round-tripped I've called this entire move during IPO hype peak And here's the part nobody's pricing in - the actual supply shock is still ahead The timeline that matters: Aug 4 -> first earnings report Aug 6 -> first major unlock, ~911.5M shares worth roughly $123B hit the market - about 68x the stock's daily volume Then staggered tranches bleeding out through the fall Dec 8 -> the full 180-day lock-up expires You can't drop 68x average daily volume of insider supply onto a stock already sitting below its IPO price and expect it to hold Insiders who waited years for liquidity finally get their exit, and every bounce is their sell button If bought right - after that supply gets absorbed - SPCX could be one of the best setups of 2026 But not here. Not into that wall. I'm not buying yet. The second I take my first position, I will post it HERE first Follow + notifs on to not miss it
Pepesso30,978 Aufrufe • vor 5 Tagen
🚨 ETH JUST REJECTED FROM MAJOR RESISTANCE Since the $4,950 top in October, every single bounce has died on one descending trendline October, January, May - and now July at $1,860. Fourth tag, fourth rejection That line is the bear market. As long as price lives below it, rallies are exits, not entries The EMA100 is curling down right above it, so sellers get two layers of confuence at the same spot All the fundamentals agree with the chart: > ETH is down 45% since January > First THREE consecutive red quarterly candles in Ethereum's history > US spot ETFs bled over $10B in 2026, holdings down from 6.14M to 5.19M ETH > Network fees so low that supply is turning inflationary again Institutions aren't buying this dip. They've been handing it to retail for months Target: $1,343 Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Pepesso25,406 Aufrufe • vor 7 Tagen
🚨 $BTC WYCKOFF IS PLAYING OUT EXACTLY AS I CALLED IT Three phases already completed: 1. SC (Selling Climax) - panic candle, volume spike, sharp capitulation drop 2. AR (Automatic Rally) - fast bounce straight off the climax low 3. ST (Secondary Test) - lower-volume retest of the lows, supply exhausted One phase left: the Spring near $49k The Spring isn't a crash - it's a classic market trap Price dips below the accumulation range, shakes out every remaining weak hand, then reverses before anyone can react The crowd sees a breakdown, Wyckoff traders see the entry This is the mechanism: most people sell at the Spring, which is exactly why it has to happen - weak hands out before smart money can run price Every independent signal is pointing to the $49K level This is where patience pays Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Pepesso82,592 Aufrufe • vor 26 Tagen
🚨 $SPCX LOOKS EXACTLY LIKE $NVDA AND $TSLA BEFORE THEIR BIGGEST MOVES Most people see a failed IPO. That's exactly what they said about both of them Nvidia - 1999 IPO, pumped 7x on dot-com hype, crashed 80% while retail walked away. Institutions loaded in silence - then Nvidia ran 50x from the bottom before anyone noticed Tesla - 2010 IPO at $17, pumped to $30, fell back below IPO price within a week. Flat for two years, retail wrote it off - then 8x in 14 months and 300x today $SPCX just gave you the same sequence: IPO pump to $225, flush to $150, retail already considering it dead That's not a failed trade - that's the setup Institutions don't announce when they're loading, but the chart tells you everything: low volatility, tight range, no headlines That's exactly the moment to buy it Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Pepesso79,745 Aufrufe • vor 28 Tagen
$BTC IS RUNNING EXACT SAME 2022 SCRIPT 2021: $69k ATH -> Bull Trap -> collapse 2025: $126k ATH -> Bull Trap -> exact same scenario repeating Here is the playbook: 1. Long-term support trendline lost 2. Breakdown below MA200 in progress 3. Relief rally next 4. Final capitulation wick Cycle bottom is not in yet, but we are getting close This is the last shakeout before the bull market Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated!
Pepesso139,976 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
🚨 HANTAVIRUS = THE BIGGEST BLACK SWAN OF 2026? COVID dropped SPX 35.92% in 32 days. That was fast and brutal Hantavirus mortality is 40% vs COVID's 1%. No vaccine. No mRNA shortcut US Department of Health just confirmed 35 new suspected cases of hantavirus infection overnight in US alone Do you understand? This time, the panic won't stop after a 32-day flush like in 2020 If history repeats, this could bleed the entire 2025 AI bubble dry Markets at ATH. Top 10 stocks = 41% of S&P. Zero pandemic premium priced in The AI bubble is priced for absolute perfection, relying entirely on fragile Taiwan/Nvidia supply chains and endless Big Tech CapEx Even without full lockdowns, mere panic will trigger violent compression in this insanely crowded trade CDC and WHO says human-to-human transmission is rare, but we heard exact same words before COVID pandemic Markets don't wait for the catastrophe - they front-run the uncertainty Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Pepesso178,462 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten
🚨 EVERY MAJOR S&P 500 CRASH WAS PRECEDED BY A MACD PEAK Just look at the chart: 2000 top: MACD peaked at ~100 -> index dropped -49.60% 2008 top: MACD peaked at ~75 -> index dropped -57.69% 2026: MACD is sitting at 496 The peaks that caused 50% crashes don't even register on the same scale as where we are right now Every single time this indicator turned from elevated levels - major crash followed Current reading is 5x higher than anything that preceded a major crash in 30 years of data I don't know exactly when it turns. But when it does, there's no historical reference for what follows Position accordingly!
Pepesso145,816 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten
🚨 $SPCX HAS ONE GOOD ENTRY POINT - IT ISN'T HERE YET Called the IPO pump before day 3 peaked Now let me tell you how I'd actually buy this stock Not at $200. Not at $150. Here's the scale-in I'm building toward: $150 - first position, IPO price reclaim $110 - add, where early retail capitulates $80 - maximum size, if August-December unlocks push it that far Those levels aren't arbitrary - they map directly to where the 4% float expands toward full supply This is the point where insiders run out of shares to sell and the selling pressure structurally ends Right now $22-27B in passive ETF buying is propping a stock that 96% of owners can't sell yet That changes between August and December Once the float clears and the overhang is gone - SPCX becomes a completely different asset The thesis on the company is sound, the timing is wrong for anyone buying today My long-term target once the structure clears: north of $500 within two to three years The people buying at $200 aren't wrong about SpaceX - they're just going to be underwater for a while first Patience > conviction without timing Bookmark this and see I was right by Q4
Pepesso76,194 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
🚨 $BTC CYCLE CLOCK HAS NEVER BEEN WRONG Bear: 365 days Bull: 1,064 days Then repeat Every previuos cycle - 2015, 2018, 2022 - confirmed every time without exception We're on day 252 of the current bear. That means we could expect reversal around 110 days out Most of CT is debating macro and waiting for a catalyst - completely missing the one pattern that has called every cycle The 1,064-day bull that follows is where the real move happens - not in the recovery tweet you see after it's already up 40% This is basically the simplest model in crypto with perfect track record - three cycles, zero misses As for me, everything below $59k is worth DCA'ing, but Q4 is the window I'm building for Everything between now and then is positioning, not panic Don't say you weren't warned later Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated!
Pepesso53,105 Aufrufe • vor 27 Tagen
🚨 $SPCX IS NOW DOWN 25% SINCE I'VE CALLED THE BREAKDOWN If you opened the short with 100x leverage when I mapped the setup, congrats - here is your profits: $100 -> $2,500 $800 -> $20,000 $4,000 -> $100,000 $40,000 -> $1,000,000 That's a 25% drop multiplied by 100 - on a company priced at $1.75 trillion with $5 billion in annual net losses and only 4% of tradeable shares Was this predictable? Completely $1.75T valuation, $5B net loss, 4% float Lockups expiring in waves from August through December as insider supply floods into a float that was never built to absorb it I mapped this right after the IPO hype peak printed at $225 The math was never hard - most people just didn't want to hear it while the euphoria was still running We're in the second phase of a four-part roadmap and the heaviest supply waves haven't even started yet Follow + notifs on, my next calls will be even more important
Pepesso61,243 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
🚨 ETH HASN'T MOVED IN 5 YEARS AND THAT'S EXACTLY THE SETUP Look at this chart BTC ran from $3k to $126k while ETH has been grinding the same $1k-$5k range since 2021 It's not weakness but accumulation The rising channel inside that range is the last structure before the real move When it breaks, and I think it breaks this year - the buy zone is $1,000-1,300 After that? $10k+ rally But first the capitulation nobody wants to talk about Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated!
Pepesso93,932 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten