Aralez 🐕
@0xAralez • 36,705 subscribers
Full-Time Trader / First $500k in 22 yrs Daily ALPHA in my TG ⇓
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🚨 WARNING: $BTC'S FINAL TRAP IS HERE For the last 2 weeks I've been warning you about this PUMP to $82k All of 2026 market has been running one simple pattern: Relief bounce -> Bull Trap forming -> distribution kicks in -> 25%+ dump My plan is simple: $82K → $84K → $61K → $49K → $98k → $170k The mass LONG liquidation is still ahead Don't get caught in the whales' trap... Turn on alerts so my next setup doesn't pass you by...
Aralez 🐕389,751 views • 1 month ago
🚨 $BTC IS FOLLOWING MY PLAN TO THE LETTER A couple days ago I said $84K -> first target for the market Today that target got tagged... Here's what I expect next: 1. Bull Trap forming in the $84K-$87K zone 2. 5-7 days of chop 3. Downtrend kicks in + FVG retest at $72K 4. Liquidity clusters swept at $61K / $57K 5. Slow bottom formation + start of mass accumulation Right now market is quietly setting up the biggest Bull Trap of the year Key thing here is not to fumble and not become exit liquidity Don't get caught in the whales' trap Turn on alerts so my next setup doesn't pass you by...
Aralez 🐕301,799 views • 1 month ago
🚨 MY 2026 $BTC MARKET PREDICTION: JUN → Sweep of $60k JUL → $53k + Bear Trap AUG → Rally to $65k-$68k SEP → Bottom at $46k OCT → Recovery starts NOV → Rally to $85k+ DEC → Push to $100k It's important to understand that bear market is still ongoing and cycle bottom has not been set yet... I was one of few who accurately called 2025 ATH and major drop to $60k Turn on notifications so you don't miss next call...
Aralez 🐕593,183 views • 5 months ago
🚨 BITCOIN IS ONE STEP FROM FINAL BULL TRAP $BTC broke $81K and everyone sees market slowly grinding toward $83K Everyone thinks massive rally has started, but I think they're about to get wrecked... The massive price squeeze is still ahead, here's my plan: $81K -> $85K -> $72K -> $66K -> $60K -> $81K - Everyone expects more upside -> $85K - Bull Trap forms -> $72K - "It's just a normal pullback" -> $66K - Acceptance of the drop -> $60K - Key liquidity sweep That's exactly what I'm waiting for in the near term The bottom doesn't form when everyone is in FULL PANIC The market bottoms when everyone thinks the bottom is already in... REMINDER: Nailed the $BTC top at ~$126K while everyone was still buying higher Warned about the $98K → $60K and $83K → $57K dumps before they played out too Most people notice my calls only once the move is already over... Turn notifs on - don't be late to the next big setup
Aralez 🐕150,078 views • 1 month ago
🚨 WARNING: $SPX IS SETTING UP A 20% CRASH The S&P 500 has been dumping for weeks Most people still think this is just another healthy pullback They have NO idea what's coming Wave 6 has already marked the top. The final melt-up could be over Here's what changed Inflation is back. June CPI: 3.5%. Energy prices are ripping again The Fed held rates at 3.50-3.75% in July - but three FOMC members dissented, demanding a HIKE 9 of 18 Fed officials now pencil in at least one hike this year Markets price a roughly 55% chance of a 2026 hike. September is live New Chair Kevin Warsh built his reputation on one thing: killing inflation He doesn't need market's permission And there's more Only five stocks have been carrying the entire index: → Apple → Nvidia → Amazon → Microsoft → Meta The index holds 503 stocks but trades like it holds 54 A 10% drop in just the top 5 drags the whole index down ~2.6% Now the leaders are cracking Meta fell 8% in a day after earnings. Free cash flow: down 91%. AI capex: $130-145 BILLION this year We've seen this movie before 2018: Fed hiked into weakness → $SPX fell nearly 20% in one quarter 2022: Fed tightened into sticky inflation → -25% peak to trough If the Fed hikes in September: → The AI trade reprices → Index concentration breaks → Dip buyers get trapped → The correction turns into a crash My call: $SPX ends this cycle 20%+ lower - from ~7,800 toward 6,200 This isn't caution. This is the setup Reminder: I called the 2025 $BTC ATH and drop to $60k. The next call matters more Follow and turn notifications on. I'll post next major move BEFORE it becomes obvious
Aralez 🐕250,726 views • 2 months ago
🚨 $SPCX IS NEXT BLACK SWAN The biggest IPO in history just started cracking $75 billion raised on June 12. Bigger than Saudi Aramco. Bigger than anything, ever Six days later: $225 → $191. Down ~15% in 48 hours And the real catalyst hasn't even hit Market just got its newest blue chip It might be its next black swan Here's what nobody's pricing in SpaceX didn't sell you a stock. It sold you a countdown The lockup isn't one cliff. It's staggered - by design First unlock: August 11. Right after Q2 earnings Up to 30% of insider shares. Into open market Then more. Every few weeks. August. September. October A slow, engineered bleed of supply Now connect dots SpaceX reserved up to 30% of the deal for retail. Unusually large Ask yourself one question. Why did they suddenly want YOU in? Because somebody needs buyers for what unlocks in August You're not the investor. You might be the exit Let that sink in And the math doesn't help $2.5 trillion. 6th most valuable company on earth Built on $18.7B in revenue and a $4.9B loss last year Over 100x sales. For a company bleeding billions We've seen this movie Facebook IPO'd at $38 in May 2012 By September: under $18. Cut in half - as lockups expired and insiders sold Same script. Bigger stage. A company this size doesn't fall alone But here's the part nobody's saying This isn't just doom. It's a setup First flush - toward $150, maybe sub-$100 on unlock Then base. Weeks of boring chop while retail gives up Then move. New highs. $260+ Real money isn't made shorting top. It's made loading base Your homework: watch August 11. Watch float. Watch how people feel Bottom won't be a price. It'll be a feeling - day last bull goes quiet This isn't caution. This is map You're early or you're exit. There's no third option IMPORTANT: I called every major $SPX selloff, 2025 $BTC ATH and move from $126k → $60k If you missed those calls - no worries, next ones are already setting up... Turn on notifications - next market calls are already cooking $SPCX
Aralez 🐕375,398 views • 4 months ago
🚨 S&P 500 IS SETTING UP LAST TRAP BEFORE DUMP Look at what's actually happening right now: - Smart money quietly reducing exposure - Index grinding higher on lowest volume of year - Retail sentiment at most bullish since early 2022 56 days of aggressive upside and now the whole move is stalling Breadth is deteriorating - less than 40% of S&P stocks are above their 50-day MA while index sits near highs That's not a rally. That's a handful of mega-caps dragging corpse higher Sideways price + shrinking volume + weakening internals = textbook distribution This is exactly how it looked in Q4 2021 before the 2022 collapse This is exactly how it looked in July 2024 before the August flush Large players don't sell all at once - they distribute into strength while retail is still buying the narrative By time volume confirms the move, exit is already done Fed still holding rates restrictive, earnings growth slowing, buyback blackout window opens next week Remove buyback bid and this market has no floor Not calling an exact top. But setup is there Turn on notifs - I'll update when the signal confirms
Aralez 🐕326,829 views • 4 months ago
🚨 BREAKING: MICHAEL SAYLOR BEGINS SELLING $BTC Man who said "you do not sell your Bitcoin" is now selling Bitcoin Market reacts with immediate panic selling: $BTC < $72K Let that sink in Strategy holds 843,738 BTC - purchased for $63.87 billion at an average price of $75,700 per coin That's the largest corporate Bitcoin position in history And for years, Saylor repeated same thing over and over: Never sell. Never waver. Never flinch Then on an earnings call in May 2026, he said this: "We will probably sell some Bitcoin to fund a dividend - just to inoculate market" That single sentence broke a 5-year religion Here's what changed Strategy now carries $1.5B in annual preferred-stock dividend obligations Those dividends have to be paid in cash Bitcoin doesn't pay dividends So Saylor faces a choice: dilute shareholders with new equity, take on more debt or sell some BTC He chose door number three And there's more Company is sitting on $2.2 billion in unrealized tax benefits tied to high-cost-basis Bitcoin Selective sales could harvest those benefits - legally reducing their tax bill while offloading coins at the same time This isn't panic. This is optimization But here's what the market isn't pricing in Strategy owns approximately 4% of all Bitcoin that will ever exist If they become a consistent seller - even of small amounts - bid structure for BTC changes permanently Every fund, every ETF, every HODLer built their thesis on one assumption: Saylor is a buyer. Always That assumption just died The only time Strategy sold Bitcoin before this was December 2022 - 704 BTC for $11.8 million, purely for a tax loss This time the motivation is structural. Recurring. Tied to obligations that don't go away Watch the Coinbase Prime wallet Watch the 8-K filings The first real sale won't be announced - it'll be discovered I've been tracking institutional Bitcoin flows for years When the signal turns, I post it here first Turn on notifications. You'll want to be early on this one
Aralez 🐕320,926 views • 5 months ago
🚨 WARNING: $SPCX BOTTOM WON'T FEEL LIKE A BOTTOM Retail bought the IPO. Whales sold it to them Now the same people who FOMO'd top are puking bottom This is the most predictable cycle in markets We've seen this movie before: Meta 2012: IPO at $38 → dumped to $17. -54%. "Facebook is dead" Then it 10x'd Palantir 2020: hyped to $45 → bled to $6. Down ~87% Then it became one of the best performers of decade Same script. Different ticker Here's the full $SPCX map: Phase 1 - IPO hype → retail piles in. Done Phase 2 - Whales distribute → dump below IPO. Done Phase 3 - Accumulation → months of boring chop between $84 and $138 Phase 4 - Breakout → institutions enter with size and credibility Phase 5 - Re-rating → leg retail doesn't believe until it's over The path I'm watching: $138 → $111 → $84 $84 → $111 → $138 $138 → $215 → $365 → $500 Ask yourself: why does the chart HAVE to get boring first? Because whales can't buy size in a trending market They need your boredom. They need your capitulation Weak hands leave in the chop. Strong hands load in silence And while the price goes sideways, Starlink revenue keeps compounding. Fundamentals don't chop. Prices do By the time institutions confirm the breakout, the easy 3x is gone The bottom won't feel like an opportunity. It'll feel like the end That's the tell You're accumulating with the whales - or you're liquidity they're waiting for Reminder: I called the 2025 $BTC ATH and drop to $60k publicly Turn notifs on. The breakout call drops here first
Aralez 🐕164,155 views • 2 months ago
🚨 $BTC JUST BROKE A MAJOR SUPPORT ZONE... Based on my chart, here's mid-term plan: 1. Pullback to $65K 2. Start of sell-off + acceptance below $58K 3. Short consolidation range 4. Massive drop below $46K Bear Market continues - another wave of downside is ahead... Important: Over past year, I publicly called $BTC cycle ATH, crash from $126k → $60k and move $83k → $59k before they happened If you caught those updates, you stayed ahead of crowd Missed them? No worries Turn notifs on - next major market call is already loading
Aralez 🐕225,714 views • 4 months ago
🚨 FINAL $BTC BULL TRAP IS HERE The market is following my plan almost perfectly. If you missed it, here’s what I expect through 2027-2028: $64K✅ → $72K✅ → $57K → $42K-$44K → $75K → $116K → $170K More precise timeline: - $72K → AUG ✅ - $57K → AUG–SEP - $42K–$44K → OCT–NOV - $75K → Q1 2027 - $116K → Q3 2027 - $170K → Q3-Q4 2028 QUICK REMINDER: I called $BTC’s ~$126K cycle top before most saw it coming I also flagged $98K → $60K and $83K → $57K sell-offs early Most traders find these calls only after move is already done... Turn notifs on - catch next market call before it’s too late
Aralez 🐕131,010 views • 2 months ago
🚨 $BTC IS SETTING A MAJOR TRAP FOR TRADERS... For more than 3 months, BTC has been trading inside a HTF range, eventually forming an ascending channel Price is now approaching a critical level that could determine the next major move Right now, I see two possible outcomes: 1. Support holds → rally continues toward $79k 2. Support breaks → retest around $75k → dump toward $54k-$58k At the moment, I'm leaning toward scenario #2 and preparing to build short exposure So far, there are no strong signals pointing to a sustainable upside continuation - but that can change quickly Don't become exit liquidity for smart money - turn on notifs, I’ll update
Aralez 🐕241,788 views • 5 months ago
$BTC HAS ALMOST FORMED ITS FINAL BULL TRAP Bitcoin has been consolidating after a strong breakout above $82K A massive liquidity cluster has formed above and it’s only a matter of time before we sweep it... Based on this, here’s my market plan: 1. 2-3 days of sideways action 2. Pump toward $85K 3. Massive dump toward $70K + 3-7 days of consolidation 4. Sweep the key $57.8K level 5. Drop toward $46K + bottom formation begins I previously called market pump above $72K - now history is repeating itself... Turn notifs on so you don’t miss my next market call...
Aralez 🐕90,861 views • 1 month ago
🚨 MY MARKET PREDICTION FOR 2026: May-June 2026: - $BTC drops below $58k - Panic selling peaks across markets - S&P 500 breaks under $6,800 - $ETH slides toward ~$1,700 Q3 2026: - $BTC prints a bottom → whales start accumulation - Fed leadership transition triggers major market shakeout - First US rate cut arrives - Peak distrust across crypto Q4 2026: - $BTC flips back into uptrend → $90k+ - Mass AI integration across crypto markets - Momentum returns as new narratives bring in millions of participants - QE begins amid global crisis conditions
Aralez 🐕251,329 views • 5 months ago
$BTC is setting up final pump before the big wave down... $87K broken, ~12 days of accumulation, final sweep loading at $88K-$90K No BOTTOM until liquidity below gets swept, no sweep = no real pump... Here's the roadmap I'm seeing right now: -> Pump to $88K-$90K -> Pullback below $87K -> Distribution kicks in + dump to $75K -> FVG fill + $61K sweep -> The big wave up begins, target $100K Turn notifications on so you don't miss my next market call...
Aralez 🐕53,033 views • 1 month ago
🚨 JUST MARK MY WORDS: $BTC will drop below $48K after sweeping $78K and 5-7 days of accumulation Based on chart, my plan looks like this: 1. Small pullback 2. 3-7 days of sideways action 3. Breakdown begins + acceptance below $57K 4. Drop toward the mid-term target: $48K After the latest massive $BTC pump, many believe BOTTOM is already in I’m one of the few who sees this as manipulation... Be smarter - don’t get caught in whales’ massive trap! IMPORTANT REMINDER: I was ahead of $BTC’s ~$126K cycle top while most were still bullish Also called $98K → $60K and $83K → $57K flushes before they played out Most traders discover my calls only when move is already over... Turn notifs on - don’t be late for next major setup
Aralez 🐕112,005 views • 2 months ago
🚨 DON'T BUY $SPCX HERE The 41% rip off the low is real. The reason for it is not This isn't accumulation. It's shorts running for exit The post-IPO script so far: 1. IPO Launch: $135 → $201.80 peak close in three days (DONE) 2. Distribution: -50% flush to ~$102. Below IPO price by week five (DONE) 3. Aug 6: 911.5M shares unlock - $98.7 billion of supply, 143% of the float. The "kill shot" closed +6.1% (DONE) 4. Squeeze: short interest 34% → 11% in one week. Tape back to $141 (DONE - you are here) 5. The fade: squeeze fuel spent. Eight more unlock tranches through Dec 8 - up to 40% of company tradable by December 6. The base: $100-$120. Where bottom gets built. Where I buy "Shorts that wanted to short are out of bullets." That's S3's own read this week Out of bullets = out of buyers. Covering isn't conviction But now flip it around July 7: Nasdaq-100 inclusion. Billions in forced passive buying. The tape swallowed it and kept falling Aug 6: 911 MILLION shares of forced supply. The tape swallowed it and closed green Good news couldn't lift it in July. Bad news couldn't sink it in August That flip is how bottoms start We've seen this exact candle before Facebook 2012: IPO'd at $38, dumped 54% to $17.55 on lock-up fear. Then monster November unlock hit - roughly 800M shares. FB closed +13% that day Bottom confirmed. It never looked back - a 10x over the following years $SPCX printed the same candle on Aug 6 But FB still needed months of boring base-building before markup. So will this - at 88x sales, froth needs time, not one squeeze So here's the map Distribution exhausts itself into the remaining tranches The bottom forms in the $100-$120 zone into Dec 8 Accumulation starts there - quietly, while everyone's still trading crash I'm flat. My bids are set. The moment I make my first buy, I'll post it right here in real time I called the 2025 $BTC ATH and drop to $60k. The next entry matters more than next exit Turn notifs on so you don’t miss my next market call...
Aralez 🐕120,582 views • 2 months ago
🚨 DON'T SHORT $BTC HERE $BTC to $62K - just start of FVG pullback... I'm planning to open the biggest short position of my life: Entry: $69k Take Profit: $59k / $50k Stop Loss: $78k Limit orders are set - waiting for market reaction Turn on notifs so you don't miss next call...
Aralez 🐕178,347 views • 4 months ago