0xbobaa
@0xbobaaa • 2,278 subscribers
prediction markets researcher. trading polymarket and posting what i find along the way
Shorts
Videos
IN 1987 APPLE FILMED SOMEONE TALKING TO AN AI ASSISTANT ON A TABLET. IT TOOK 38 YEARS TO BECOME REAL. 5 minutes long, no actual technology involved, just a script and a guy in a bow tie playing the voice of the software what they were really guessing at wasn't the hardware, it was how you'd one day talk to a machine, and they nailed the entire conversation 40 years before the machine could hold it the professor asks a vague question, the assistant asks a follow up, remembers what they were just talking about, pulls the right files, joins a video call, suggests the next move, this is a tuesday with chatgpt now, it was science fiction with a bow tie then and here's the strange part, nobody built this from the video, the video came first, reality spent four decades slowly bending itself to match a marketing tape apple didn't predict a product, they wrote the script for how humans and machines would think together, then everyone forgot the script existed while quietly acting it out anyway you think ai assistants are new, they're a 1987 concept film that finally got the parts it was waiting for keep this one, it's the future filmed before it was buildable ↓
0xbobaa1,006,139 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten
IN 1994 SUN MICROSYSTEMS FILMED A WOMAN SWIPING THROUGH A TOUCHSCREEN TABLET AND VIDEO CALLING A COLLEAGUE MID TASK. THE iPAD SHIPPED 16 YEARS LATER shot on 35mm film, more than a hundred engineers and designers on it, set in the year 2004, and here's the thing almost nobody mentions it wasn't allowed to be science fiction, the team had one hard rule, only show things they actually believed could be built, so this wasn't a fantasy reel, it was a spec sheet pretending to be a movie she drags documents with her fingers, talks to the machine, pulls a file from the other side of the world, drops into a live video call without thinking about it, this is a boring afternoon for you now, it was an impossible budget in 1994 the strange part is they weren't dreaming, they were trying to build it, then the company that filmed the future quietly moved on and a different company shipped it a decade and a half later and got called visionary for it nobody stole it, they just forgot it was already designed, down to the gestures your thumbs make every morning you think the touchscreen era started when you first held a phone that felt alive, it was fully storyboarded before some of you were born watch it once and you can't unsee how little we actually invented ↓
0xbobaa927,228 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten
QUANT TRADER OPEN-SOURCED THE ENTIRE POLYMARKET STACK prediction markets stopped trying to win users directly. they're buying distribution now, one brokerage deal at a time. partners already have the customers and the brand that's the whole game. the exchange doesn't need traders, it needs someone who already has them this repo hands you the distribution side. Polygon, USDC, UMA resolution, CLOB engine, matching engine, bot SDKs in Python and Rust. mirrored markets so you get order flow from day one 1,533 commits. tests, docs, infra, security policy. real engineering, not a landing page pretending to be a repo
0xbobaa174,598 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
someone lost $527k on polymarket today trying to arb a resolved market strategy announced they sold BTC the YES market was still open at 80c looked like free money polymarket rule: bets placed after public announcement = void or loss. he didn't know. put in half a million someone else made $35k on the same market just knowing saylor never sells two trades. one market. different homework winner: loser:
0xbobaa224,305 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten
this guy trades like a coward and made $138,384 started with $300 his biggest single win in the entire run: $2,671 35,974 predictions, about $4 of edge on each one he buys the obvious side at 70-90c because degens overpay for 6c lottery tickets, then waits for resolution no thesis, no leverage, no calls
0xbobaa27,559 Aufrufe • vor 29 Tagen
a student made $5,410 from one youtube short and he never said a word on camera 41,115,925 views on a single upload. +9k subscribers. he showed the analytics live the whole thing is six tabs. he scrolls shorts until something is already going viral, then takes that exact clip viewmax downloads the video. the caption remover strips the original text off it. now it's a clean clip claude writes the new script. an ai voiceover reads it. auto captions burn it back in. post he didn't invent a format. he found a proven one and swapped the audio layer the hard part was never making the video. it's knowing which one already works before you touch it works until it doesn't. reused content is the fastest way to lose monetization save it before everyone runs this
0xbobaa12,288 Aufrufe • vor 18 Tagen
this bot has quietly turned polymarket's 5-min bitcoin up/down market into $106,768 36,764 trades since april. about $3 of profit each. no big calls. just the same edge, pressed over and over its strategy is simple: > buys both up and down cheap across the 5-minute window > keeps the book near-balanced so the hedge caps the downside > holds one small extra leg on the side its model favors that tiny imbalance is the whole edge its biggest single win: it bought up at 9c and it settled at $1. +972%, $1,668 on one market this trader's account: and the name? uuddlrlr konami code on an up/down market. one micro-edge, repeated 36,764 times
0xbobaa16,459 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten
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