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Korens

@0xKorens • 2,614 subscribers

Everything is a prediction market if you look close enough @Polymarket (Researcher & Trader & Creator) DMs open

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A trader made +$180K betting on players who never won their matches at the US Open Most people think you need to pick winners to make money on tennis markets This trader does the opposite He made over $180K at the US Open backing players who never won their matches At first, I thought it was luck But there’s a pattern: he buys underdogs for a few cents, expecting the market to swing if they start strong [+] Paul at 0.5¢ → +$58,000 [+] Shapovalov at 12¢ → +$44.700 [+] Safiullin at 4.1¢ → +$42,000 None of them actually won The profits came from the odds moving, not the final scores It’s less about predicting who wins and more about reading market psychology Would you ride those swings, or does that feel too nerve-racking?

A trader made +$180K betting on players who never won their matches at the US Open Most people think you need to pick winners to make money on tennis markets This trader does the opposite He made over $180K at the US Open backing players who never won their matches At first, I thought it was luck But there’s a pattern: he buys underdogs for a few cents, expecting the market to swing if they start strong [+] Paul at 0.5¢ → +$58,000 [+] Shapovalov at 12¢ → +$44.700 [+] Safiullin at 4.1¢ → +$42,000 None of them actually won The profits came from the odds moving, not the final scores It’s less about predicting who wins and more about reading market psychology Would you ride those swings, or does that feel too nerve-racking?

283,392 views

A Polymarket tennis trader who is up $72K in sports markets has now opened a position on one of the biggest matches at the US Open His stats at this tournament are impressive → 18 total trades → 11 correct trades → 61% win rate → +$36.6K total profit → avg. position of $7K Today, he made his pick for the Tiafoe x Shelton match: → Ben Shelton to beat Frances Tiafoe at 73¢ | $10.9K This is a pretty confident pick, especially since Shelton has been playing at an unreal level He beat one of the US Open favorites, Carlos Alcaraz, in five sets This shows his character, ability to stay patient, and handle pressure What do you think about this matchup? I know for sure an American will win

A Polymarket tennis trader who is up $72K in sports markets has now opened a position on one of the biggest matches at the US Open His stats at this tournament are impressive → 18 total trades → 11 correct trades → 61% win rate → +$36.6K total profit → avg. position of $7K Today, he made his pick for the Tiafoe x Shelton match: → Ben Shelton to beat Frances Tiafoe at 73¢ | $10.9K This is a pretty confident pick, especially since Shelton has been playing at an unreal level He beat one of the US Open favorites, Carlos Alcaraz, in five sets This shows his character, ability to stay patient, and handle pressure What do you think about this matchup? I know for sure an American will win

29,160 views

A dude who’s up +$125K this week on tennis markets is now holding $250K in open US Open positions Here’s what he’s currently holding: → Jodar to beat Bu - at 90.6¢ | $105K → No on Medvedev to win the 2026 US Open - at 96.9¢ | $71.1K → No on Rybakina to win the 2026 US Open - at 95.8¢ | $49.3K → No on Zverev to win the 2026 US Open - at 80¢ | $31.4K These four positions are worth around $257K combined Most of his money is on No positions, while his biggest bet is on Jodar to beat Bu With the US Open moving fast, these positions could change quickly But his recent results have been very up and down From June to July, his PnL climbed to around $450K Then August 4 happened He lost around $122K in one day, dropping his PnL close to $100K August ended at -$99.5K, even with a 58% win rate But he kept trading A strong second half of August helped him recover, and his PnL is now back around $223K Now he’s back with $250K in open US Open positions Let’s see if he can turn this into another big win

A dude who’s up +$125K this week on tennis markets is now holding $250K in open US Open positions Here’s what he’s currently holding: → Jodar to beat Bu - at 90.6¢ | $105K → No on Medvedev to win the 2026 US Open - at 96.9¢ | $71.1K → No on Rybakina to win the 2026 US Open - at 95.8¢ | $49.3K → No on Zverev to win the 2026 US Open - at 80¢ | $31.4K These four positions are worth around $257K combined Most of his money is on No positions, while his biggest bet is on Jodar to beat Bu With the US Open moving fast, these positions could change quickly But his recent results have been very up and down From June to July, his PnL climbed to around $450K Then August 4 happened He lost around $122K in one day, dropping his PnL close to $100K August ended at -$99.5K, even with a 58% win rate But he kept trading A strong second half of August helped him recover, and his PnL is now back around $223K Now he’s back with $250K in open US Open positions Let’s see if he can turn this into another big win

27,081 views

This trader focused on one weather system and made over $11,000 in a month Check: All three cities are located in the Pearl River Delta: [+] Hong Kong [+] Shenzhen [+] Guangzhou His favorite range, which brings him the most it's 1¢-10¢ He's best at trading in Hong Kong weather 74.4% win rate across 324 trades in this city Top ticket: $67 ⮕ $1,574 - [Hong Kong 32°C, July 4] - Yes at 4.3¢ His edge isn't finding more markets It's understanding one weather system better than the crowd

This trader focused on one weather system and made over $11,000 in a month Check: All three cities are located in the Pearl River Delta: [+] Hong Kong [+] Shenzhen [+] Guangzhou His favorite range, which brings him the most it's 1¢-10¢ He's best at trading in Hong Kong weather 74.4% win rate across 324 trades in this city Top ticket: $67 ⮕ $1,574 - [Hong Kong 32°C, July 4] - Yes at 4.3¢ His edge isn't finding more markets It's understanding one weather system better than the crowd

50,637 views

The most consistent weather trader I've tracked on Polymarket - and I've been stress-testing what actually drives these markets +$27,500 since February - 89% win rate over 1,300+ trades - Mainland China weather Profile: Edge ⮕ grinding near-certain mispricings, not lottery tickets Most buys are "Yes" on temperature bands the forecast already makes ~85-90% likely, picked up at 20-30¢ - below true odds Where the money came from: $939 ⮕ $3,111 - [Shanghai 27°C+, Apr 6] - Yes at 28¢ $359 ⮕ $1,636 - [Chongqing 27°C, Apr 30] - Yes at 19¢ $29 ⮕ $815 - [Shanghai 29°C, Apr 27] - Yes at 2.6¢ Not one thing - it grinds the near-locks for the base, then mixes in cheap longshots for the convex upside Monthly hit rate - Mar 97%, Apr 93%, May 97% Trades cluster 4am-12pm UTC - midday to evening in China, exactly when each city's daily high locks in Here's the honest part - the weather meta isn't a secret anymore The only real question is how long these markets stay this soft The forecasts I use to spot these come from a tool a friend built - it tracks temperature, rainfall, sudden forecast shifts, and flags "stable cities" where pricing stays predictable Signals, not guarantees - it points, you still read the board and take the trade Tool ⮕

The most consistent weather trader I've tracked on Polymarket - and I've been stress-testing what actually drives these markets +$27,500 since February - 89% win rate over 1,300+ trades - Mainland China weather Profile: Edge ⮕ grinding near-certain mispricings, not lottery tickets Most buys are "Yes" on temperature bands the forecast already makes ~85-90% likely, picked up at 20-30¢ - below true odds Where the money came from: $939 ⮕ $3,111 - [Shanghai 27°C+, Apr 6] - Yes at 28¢ $359 ⮕ $1,636 - [Chongqing 27°C, Apr 30] - Yes at 19¢ $29 ⮕ $815 - [Shanghai 29°C, Apr 27] - Yes at 2.6¢ Not one thing - it grinds the near-locks for the base, then mixes in cheap longshots for the convex upside Monthly hit rate - Mar 97%, Apr 93%, May 97% Trades cluster 4am-12pm UTC - midday to evening in China, exactly when each city's daily high locks in Here's the honest part - the weather meta isn't a secret anymore The only real question is how long these markets stay this soft The forecasts I use to spot these come from a tool a friend built - it tracks temperature, rainfall, sudden forecast shifts, and flags "stable cities" where pricing stays predictable Signals, not guarantees - it points, you still read the board and take the trade Tool ⮕

42,482 views

this guy is making around $1,800/day trading weather markets on Polymarket in just one month of trading, he made around $24K trading weather markets across China and the US some of his stats: >5,000 predictions, 61% win rate, $1.9K biggest win his biggest win came from correctly predicting the highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 5 his pick was 35°C at just 3.2¢, turning $63 into $1,950 his strategy is simple: he looks for undervalued weather markets, mostly priced between 3-20¢ he keeps his trade sizes small, with an average position of around $30 definitely a trader worth watching and learning from

this guy is making around $1,800/day trading weather markets on Polymarket in just one month of trading, he made around $24K trading weather markets across China and the US some of his stats: >5,000 predictions, 61% win rate, $1.9K biggest win his biggest win came from correctly predicting the highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 5 his pick was 35°C at just 3.2¢, turning $63 into $1,950 his strategy is simple: he looks for undervalued weather markets, mostly priced between 3-20¢ he keeps his trade sizes small, with an average position of around $30 definitely a trader worth watching and learning from

13,266 views

just now, I detected this Polymarket profile with that turned $10 into $9,500 with a single trade this trader specializes in weather markets, and this huge return came from one of his weather trades he bet that the highest temperature in Lucknow would be 31°C on September 6, entering at just 0.1¢ this happened, and he made an insane +94,395% return and this wasn’t a one-time hit - he’s already found several similar market inefficiencies on top of his biggest hit, he’s also made +34,312%, +9,900%, and +952% on other trades i pinned his profile in the comments below if you want to check it out ↓

just now, I detected this Polymarket profile with that turned $10 into $9,500 with a single trade this trader specializes in weather markets, and this huge return came from one of his weather trades he bet that the highest temperature in Lucknow would be 31°C on September 6, entering at just 0.1¢ this happened, and he made an insane +94,395% return and this wasn’t a one-time hit - he’s already found several similar market inefficiencies on top of his biggest hit, he’s also made +34,312%, +9,900%, and +952% on other trades i pinned his profile in the comments below if you want to check it out ↓

13,013 views

A guy is up +$77,000 in just 1 month trading the Cincinnati Open - and he’s now holding another position at 35.5¢ This trader created his account 64 days ago, but August has been a completely different level for him The Cincinnati Open has turned him into a seriously profitable trader Here are some of his previous positions: → Anisimova beat Eala at 43.7¢ | +$26,160 → Cobolli beat Paul at 27.5¢ | +$20,390 → Tiafoe beat Auger-Aliassime at 36.1¢ | +$15,520 All three were bets on underdogs and all three turned out to be excellent decisions What I find interesting is that he keeps finding value on players the market is underestimating And today, he’s doing it again His acive position: → Bejlek beat Keys at 35.5¢ | $5,500 If Bejlek wins, the trader will lock in around $10K in profit I’m also taking his side on this one Bejlek is a big underdog, but at 35.5¢ the market is giving her a much better chance than the odds might suggest After the results he has produced throughout this Cincinnati Open, this is definitely a position worth watching

A guy is up +$77,000 in just 1 month trading the Cincinnati Open - and he’s now holding another position at 35.5¢ This trader created his account 64 days ago, but August has been a completely different level for him The Cincinnati Open has turned him into a seriously profitable trader Here are some of his previous positions: → Anisimova beat Eala at 43.7¢ | +$26,160 → Cobolli beat Paul at 27.5¢ | +$20,390 → Tiafoe beat Auger-Aliassime at 36.1¢ | +$15,520 All three were bets on underdogs and all three turned out to be excellent decisions What I find interesting is that he keeps finding value on players the market is underestimating And today, he’s doing it again His acive position: → Bejlek beat Keys at 35.5¢ | $5,500 If Bejlek wins, the trader will lock in around $10K in profit I’m also taking his side on this one Bejlek is a big underdog, but at 35.5¢ the market is giving her a much better chance than the odds might suggest After the results he has produced throughout this Cincinnati Open, this is definitely a position worth watching

11,620 views

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A sports trader with $2.68M in total profit on Polymarket is already loading up on today’s US Open matches He’s just started building his position, and here are his first moves: → Karen Khachanov to beat Learner Tien at 37¢ | $8.8K → Elena Rybakina to beat Naomi Osaka at 57¢ | $6.1K → Alexander Blockx to beat Francisco Cerundolo at 59.1¢ | $4.6K I’m sure he’ll size up his position as the match gets closer He also actively trades live, so we’ll see more of his trades in real time He’s one of the most experienced sports traders on Polymarket He has a wide range of strategies and approaches to analyzing the markets I covered one of his strategies in a previous post And he’s already secured some big payouts at the US Open: → Francisco Cerundolo to beat Taylor Fritz at 39.5¢ → won +$66.2K → Maria Sakkari to beat Robin Montgomery at 42.1¢ → won +$61.5K → Arthur Gea to beat Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 36.8¢ → won +$44.8K Definitely worth keeping an eye on his activity throughout this tournament He’s already showing strong conviction before the matches, and his live trading could make his positions even more interesting to follow I’ll leave his profile link in the pinned comment ↓
0:30
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A sports trader with $2.68M in total profit on Polymarket is already loading up on today’s US Open matches He’s just started building his position, and here are his first moves: → Karen Khachanov to beat Learner Tien at 37¢ | $8.8K → Elena Rybakina to beat Naomi Osaka at 57¢ | $6.1K → Alexander Blockx to beat Francisco Cerundolo at 59.1¢ | $4.6K I’m sure he’ll size up his position as the match gets closer He also actively trades live, so we’ll see more of his trades in real time He’s one of the most experienced sports traders on Polymarket He has a wide range of strategies and approaches to analyzing the markets I covered one of his strategies in a previous post And he’s already secured some big payouts at the US Open: → Francisco Cerundolo to beat Taylor Fritz at 39.5¢ → won +$66.2K → Maria Sakkari to beat Robin Montgomery at 42.1¢ → won +$61.5K → Arthur Gea to beat Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 36.8¢ → won +$44.8K Definitely worth keeping an eye on his activity throughout this tournament He’s already showing strong conviction before the matches, and his live trading could make his positions even more interesting to follow I’ll leave his profile link in the pinned comment ↓

Korens

305,905 views • 1 month ago

A Polymarket whale with over $8M in total profits just put $268K on a US Open semifinal One of the hottest matches of the tournament will take place tonight, with Alexander Zverev facing Karen Khachanov This trader has made his pick: → Alexander Zverev to beat Karen Khachanov at 79¢ | $267.8K If that happens, he will make a $71,000 profit This is a pretty convincing pick, and I agree with it Zverev is the clear favorite in this matchup, and rightfully so Khachanov is having one of his best US Open runs of his career, but going up against a player like Zverev is a completely different level This trader has been very active throughout the tournament and has already secured some impressive wins Here are some of them: → Frances Tiafoe to beat Alex Michelsen at 57¢ → won +$247.0K → Coco Gauff to beat Mirra Andreeva at 47.3¢ → won +$244.1K → Ben Shelton to beat Carlos Alcaraz at 38.3¢ → won +$183.7K This should be an extremely interesting match, but I’m convinced we’ll see some serious dominance from Zverev on the court What are your thoughts on this matchup? I’ll pin this trader’s profile in the comments ↓
0:28
0xKorens's profile picture

A Polymarket whale with over $8M in total profits just put $268K on a US Open semifinal One of the hottest matches of the tournament will take place tonight, with Alexander Zverev facing Karen Khachanov This trader has made his pick: → Alexander Zverev to beat Karen Khachanov at 79¢ | $267.8K If that happens, he will make a $71,000 profit This is a pretty convincing pick, and I agree with it Zverev is the clear favorite in this matchup, and rightfully so Khachanov is having one of his best US Open runs of his career, but going up against a player like Zverev is a completely different level This trader has been very active throughout the tournament and has already secured some impressive wins Here are some of them: → Frances Tiafoe to beat Alex Michelsen at 57¢ → won +$247.0K → Coco Gauff to beat Mirra Andreeva at 47.3¢ → won +$244.1K → Ben Shelton to beat Carlos Alcaraz at 38.3¢ → won +$183.7K This should be an extremely interesting match, but I’m convinced we’ll see some serious dominance from Zverev on the court What are your thoughts on this matchup? I’ll pin this trader’s profile in the comments ↓

Korens

48,668 views • 1 month ago

After going 3/3 yesterday, this sports trader with $2.68M in total profit on Polymarket is already loading up on today’s US Open matches And he’s already back with two new picks for today: → Linda Noskova to beat Aryna Sabalenka at 31¢ | $2.6K → Alex Michelsen to beat Frances Tiafoe at 42¢ | $2.0K Yesterday, all three of his picks ended up winning Now he’s looking to keep the streak alive What makes this interesting is that he’s not just picking favorites He’s taking positions on players the market is giving much lower chances to win And if he keeps trading live, we could see him add even more to these positions before the matches start He’s already proven that his US Open reads are worth watching Can he go 2/2 today and extend his streak? I’ll keep tracking his moves in real time ↓
0:45
0xKorens's profile picture

After going 3/3 yesterday, this sports trader with $2.68M in total profit on Polymarket is already loading up on today’s US Open matches And he’s already back with two new picks for today: → Linda Noskova to beat Aryna Sabalenka at 31¢ | $2.6K → Alex Michelsen to beat Frances Tiafoe at 42¢ | $2.0K Yesterday, all three of his picks ended up winning Now he’s looking to keep the streak alive What makes this interesting is that he’s not just picking favorites He’s taking positions on players the market is giving much lower chances to win And if he keeps trading live, we could see him add even more to these positions before the matches start He’s already proven that his US Open reads are worth watching Can he go 2/2 today and extend his streak? I’ll keep tracking his moves in real time ↓

Korens

43,341 views • 1 month ago

A trader made ~$2,000 every day trading soccer markets on Polymarket His numbers are honestly impressive: [+] 54.7% win rate [+] $36,000 total profit [+] $696,000 total volume And the most interesting part? You can copy his trades with 0% fees This trader is one of the best examples of a trader worth copying It’s all about taking a lot of positions, finding good entries and repeating the same process over and over The problem is actually following a wallet like this yourself You need to constantly watch Polymarket just to catch his entries and exits in time With copytrading, you can simply follow the wallet and have his positions copied automatically I attached a video showing how it works and pinned this trader’s profile in the comments ↓
1:11
0xKorens's profile picture

A trader made ~$2,000 every day trading soccer markets on Polymarket His numbers are honestly impressive: [+] 54.7% win rate [+] $36,000 total profit [+] $696,000 total volume And the most interesting part? You can copy his trades with 0% fees This trader is one of the best examples of a trader worth copying It’s all about taking a lot of positions, finding good entries and repeating the same process over and over The problem is actually following a wallet like this yourself You need to constantly watch Polymarket just to catch his entries and exits in time With copytrading, you can simply follow the wallet and have his positions copied automatically I attached a video showing how it works and pinned this trader’s profile in the comments ↓

Korens

28,858 views • 1 month ago

This is another US Open match I’m paying close attention to today Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula - I’m taking Sabalenka here Pegula has been playing some really good tennis this season and I expect another competitive match But I still think Sabalenka has the edge She leads the H2H 9-4 and has beaten Pegula in their last two US Open meetings Sabalenka’s power is a huge factor for me If she can keep the unforced errors under control, I think she has enough firepower to take control of the match The live markets on MagicMarkets: → Sabalenka to win - 64.9¢ → Pegula to win - 36.7¢ And the game handicap: → Sabalenka -3 - 50.7¢ → Pegula +3 - 52.3¢ I’m backing Sabalenka here At around 65¢ on the winner market, I’m comfortable taking her side She has already shown she can handle Pegula on this stage, and I’m expecting another big performance tonight Who are you taking?
0:26
0xKorens's profile picture

This is another US Open match I’m paying close attention to today Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula - I’m taking Sabalenka here Pegula has been playing some really good tennis this season and I expect another competitive match But I still think Sabalenka has the edge She leads the H2H 9-4 and has beaten Pegula in their last two US Open meetings Sabalenka’s power is a huge factor for me If she can keep the unforced errors under control, I think she has enough firepower to take control of the match The live markets on MagicMarkets: → Sabalenka to win - 64.9¢ → Pegula to win - 36.7¢ And the game handicap: → Sabalenka -3 - 50.7¢ → Pegula +3 - 52.3¢ I’m backing Sabalenka here At around 65¢ on the winner market, I’m comfortable taking her side She has already shown she can handle Pegula on this stage, and I’m expecting another big performance tonight Who are you taking?

Korens

18,008 views • 1 month ago

A sports trader with ~$1M in total profit on Polymarket has just made his first bet on this year’s US Open Here’s who he’s backing in the US Open women’s semifinal: → Coco Gauff to beat Elena Rybakina at 48¢ | $9.5K This is his first trade at this major tournament He has traded tennis matches before and has shown some strong results What makes his picks especially interesting is that he’s a real trader, not just someone making random predictions He has only 230 predictions in total, which shows how careful he is with his decisions I agree with his pick because Gauff has a lot of character and knows how to perform under pressure She’s also playing on home soil, which gives her some extra support and energy Here are some of this whale’s past trades: → Ekaterina Alexandrova to beat Anastasia Potapova — 51.7¢ → won +$12.1K → Tyra Caterina Grant to beat Katie Boulter — 28¢ → won +$10.8K → Donna Vekic to beat Emma Raducanu — 43.2¢ → won +$10.6K He’s already shown he can find value in women’s tennis Now it’s time to see if his first US Open pick can deliver I’ll leave his profile link in the pinned comment ↓
0:40
0xKorens's profile picture

A sports trader with ~$1M in total profit on Polymarket has just made his first bet on this year’s US Open Here’s who he’s backing in the US Open women’s semifinal: → Coco Gauff to beat Elena Rybakina at 48¢ | $9.5K This is his first trade at this major tournament He has traded tennis matches before and has shown some strong results What makes his picks especially interesting is that he’s a real trader, not just someone making random predictions He has only 230 predictions in total, which shows how careful he is with his decisions I agree with his pick because Gauff has a lot of character and knows how to perform under pressure She’s also playing on home soil, which gives her some extra support and energy Here are some of this whale’s past trades: → Ekaterina Alexandrova to beat Anastasia Potapova — 51.7¢ → won +$12.1K → Tyra Caterina Grant to beat Katie Boulter — 28¢ → won +$10.8K → Donna Vekic to beat Emma Raducanu — 43.2¢ → won +$10.6K He’s already shown he can find value in women’s tennis Now it’s time to see if his first US Open pick can deliver I’ll leave his profile link in the pinned comment ↓

Korens

17,210 views • 1 month ago

Rafael Jodar pulled off an insane comeback in the Cincinnati Open R32 - turning it into a +$53,000 payday for one trader At one point, Jodar was down (5-1) in the third set against Shapovalov The match looked almost impossible to turn around But Jodar somehow won six straight games, saved two match points, and closed out the set (7-5) to complete the comeback One trader had bought Jodar at just 32.5¢, putting $25,700 into the position, when Jodar lost (1-2) with a break After the comeback, the position generated → [+$53,382 profit] I attached a video of the comeback below ↓
1:24
0xKorens's profile picture

Rafael Jodar pulled off an insane comeback in the Cincinnati Open R32 - turning it into a +$53,000 payday for one trader At one point, Jodar was down (5-1) in the third set against Shapovalov The match looked almost impossible to turn around But Jodar somehow won six straight games, saved two match points, and closed out the set (7-5) to complete the comeback One trader had bought Jodar at just 32.5¢, putting $25,700 into the position, when Jodar lost (1-2) with a break After the comeback, the position generated → [+$53,382 profit] I attached a video of the comeback below ↓

Korens

26,731 views • 1 month ago

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