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Abdirashid Hashi

@AnalystSomalia242,874 subscribers

| A former minister and ex–think tank director |

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Because President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud refused to listen to Somalis, abide by his constitutional mandate, and respect the country’s agreed political settlement, the international community is now telling him to stop acting recklessly. See the attached videos. Those in government — and those outside it — who used to cheer him on and tell him, “Dear Leader, you are on the right track,” should be ashamed of themselves. The first video is from today’s African Union Somalia mission troop-contributing countries presser. They openly acknowledge that Somalia has a serious political problem and make it clear that President HSM must sit down with the opposition and solve the disagreement. They also state that these countries will serve as observers. The second video, released by the U.S. Embassy, features the senior U.S. general responsible for the Horn of Africa, who speaks about the consequences of ignoring political problems. They said they will leave if these are not solved. We warned Prez Hassan Sheikh Mohamud it would come to this. The world invested blood and treasure to help Somalia stabilize — not to create a mini dictator. He refused to listen. Now they are reading him the riot act. After the communiqué was read, President HSM objected to its inclusion. But of course the statement was intentionally included and broadcast to pressure him and publicly register the troop-contributing countries’ displeasure. If he refuses to heed their message, they can ultimately withdraw their troops, leaving him cornered. This is not something we wanted. No Somali should want a man who nominally claims to be our President to be humiliated in this way. But it is Somalia that has been humiliated because of his past conduct, which has placed the nation in this weakened position. #CaanaKaDhanHee (Good riddance)

Because President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud refused to listen to Somalis, abide by his constitutional mandate, and respect the country’s agreed political settlement, the international community is now telling him to stop acting recklessly. See the attached videos. Those in government — and those outside it — who used to cheer him on and tell him, “Dear Leader, you are on the right track,” should be ashamed of themselves. The first video is from today’s African Union Somalia mission troop-contributing countries presser. They openly acknowledge that Somalia has a serious political problem and make it clear that President HSM must sit down with the opposition and solve the disagreement. They also state that these countries will serve as observers. The second video, released by the U.S. Embassy, features the senior U.S. general responsible for the Horn of Africa, who speaks about the consequences of ignoring political problems. They said they will leave if these are not solved. We warned Prez Hassan Sheikh Mohamud it would come to this. The world invested blood and treasure to help Somalia stabilize — not to create a mini dictator. He refused to listen. Now they are reading him the riot act. After the communiqué was read, President HSM objected to its inclusion. But of course the statement was intentionally included and broadcast to pressure him and publicly register the troop-contributing countries’ displeasure. If he refuses to heed their message, they can ultimately withdraw their troops, leaving him cornered. This is not something we wanted. No Somali should want a man who nominally claims to be our President to be humiliated in this way. But it is Somalia that has been humiliated because of his past conduct, which has placed the nation in this weakened position. #CaanaKaDhanHee (Good riddance)

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BREAKING Somalia’s political leaders gathered this morning at the Office of the President, otherwise known as Villa Somalia. President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud hosted them to discuss the way forward on the electoral model, among other issues such as drought and security. The FGS President and the leaders of Puntland and Jubaland, as well as other Mogadishu-based presidential candidates, accepted the President’s offer to meet at the Presidency, which they agreed to instead of an independent venue, as some had preferred. We knew this was coming. Meanwhile, a mere five days ago, on 19 February, someone in Kenya — whose name I cannot mention because he said so — tweeted: “Somalia’s electoral and constitutional dispute enters a dangerous phase, risk of violence mounting fast.” Right. There is a reason this space is called Abdirashid Hashi.

BREAKING Somalia’s political leaders gathered this morning at the Office of the President, otherwise known as Villa Somalia. President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud hosted them to discuss the way forward on the electoral model, among other issues such as drought and security. The FGS President and the leaders of Puntland and Jubaland, as well as other Mogadishu-based presidential candidates, accepted the President’s offer to meet at the Presidency, which they agreed to instead of an independent venue, as some had preferred. We knew this was coming. Meanwhile, a mere five days ago, on 19 February, someone in Kenya — whose name I cannot mention because he said so — tweeted: “Somalia’s electoral and constitutional dispute enters a dangerous phase, risk of violence mounting fast.” Right. There is a reason this space is called Abdirashid Hashi.

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President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud needs to apologize to the 4 million Somalis in the diaspora whose citizenship he has questioned as per the attached video. He should show them respect, not ridicule. These are the very people who have kept Somalia afloat for 35 years. Moreover, Hassan’s Mogadishu-holed-up FGS contributed only $369.4 million to Somali society in 2024. By contrast, the very diaspora citizens he disparages sent $2.4 billion in remittances alone. And that’s not the full picture — the diaspora also injects millions more through investment and tourism. Yet here we are, with a president on video making a hateful, unacceptable statement that history will not forget. In plain terms: the diaspora he talks down to contributed 650% more to the national economy than his government. He must apologize for his hateful words. Moreover, smart governments make policy carefully, assessing how it affects their most productive citizens. Countries such as India, Ethiopia, and Eritrea issue ID cards to their diasporas, easing administrative hurdles. These cards supplement passports from their adopted countries and allow overseas citizens to come home without being labeled “foreigners” or forced to pay hefty double visa fees—the very burdens Hassan Sheikh and FMS leaders now impose on Somalis abroad. By contrast, demanding that one is “only Somali” if holding a Somali passport is discriminatory. Somali citizenship—Somalinimo itself — is attained by blood (jus sanguinis), not by the farce the president is pushing. And let’s be clear: the Somali citizens he mocks did not leave voluntarily. They were driven out—by warlords and by terror groups. Apologize Mr. President.

President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud needs to apologize to the 4 million Somalis in the diaspora whose citizenship he has questioned as per the attached video. He should show them respect, not ridicule. These are the very people who have kept Somalia afloat for 35 years. Moreover, Hassan’s Mogadishu-holed-up FGS contributed only $369.4 million to Somali society in 2024. By contrast, the very diaspora citizens he disparages sent $2.4 billion in remittances alone. And that’s not the full picture — the diaspora also injects millions more through investment and tourism. Yet here we are, with a president on video making a hateful, unacceptable statement that history will not forget. In plain terms: the diaspora he talks down to contributed 650% more to the national economy than his government. He must apologize for his hateful words. Moreover, smart governments make policy carefully, assessing how it affects their most productive citizens. Countries such as India, Ethiopia, and Eritrea issue ID cards to their diasporas, easing administrative hurdles. These cards supplement passports from their adopted countries and allow overseas citizens to come home without being labeled “foreigners” or forced to pay hefty double visa fees—the very burdens Hassan Sheikh and FMS leaders now impose on Somalis abroad. By contrast, demanding that one is “only Somali” if holding a Somali passport is discriminatory. Somali citizenship—Somalinimo itself — is attained by blood (jus sanguinis), not by the farce the president is pushing. And let’s be clear: the Somali citizens he mocks did not leave voluntarily. They were driven out—by warlords and by terror groups. Apologize Mr. President.

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What Will The International Community Say Now? When former President Mohamed Farmaajo engineered parliament’s extension of his term in 2021, he argued that he had not personally extended his mandate — that parliament had given him the extension. Last night, Prez Hassan Sheikh Mohamud made a similar argument in the attached video, stating that parliament, through the constitutional changes he spearheaded, had given themselves — as well as him and his cabinet — an additional year in office. This is despite his earlier public position that his mandate was four years and that even if the constitution were amended to provide for five-year terms, such changes would not apply to him, parliament, or his cabinet, but only to the next government. Below are selected quotes showing how the international community reacted in April 2021 when Farmaajo’s term extension was announced. I am wondering what they will say now, particularly given that U.S. Embassy Mogadishu, Somalia and UK in Somalia🇬🇧🇸🇴 representatives convened and facilitated three days of mediation talks. The African Union Peace and Security Council: “Condemns the actions of 12 April 2021 by the House of the People, which extended the mandate of the President and the Parliament, as effectively delaying the elections, thereby undermining unity and stability of the country, the nascent democratic and constitutional processes, which also threaten the relative peace and security, as well as the important gains that Somalia has made over the years with the support of the AU and other partners with huge sacrifices;” April 2021 — UN Security Council: “called on all parties to reject violence and resume dialogue as a matter of urgency and without precondition. They called on Somalia’s leaders to recognise and build upon the many areas of agreement already reached, to resolve their remaining differences and to put the interests of the people of Somalia first, within a Somali-owned, Somali-led electoral process, and with an agreed timetable, as soon as possible”; April 13, 2021 — European Union: “Yesterday, the Lower House of the Somali Parliament voted to a de-facto extension of the mandate of the President and the Federal Government by two years … This action undermines the longstanding effort, supported by the EU and the international community, to rebuild Somalia through consensus. The international community, including the EU, have repeatedly and publicly expressed that we could under no circumstances accept an extension of the government mandate, or any partial or parallel process related to the elections …The European Union believes that the passage and signing of this resolution will divide Somalia, impose additional delays and constitute a grave threat to the peace and stability of Somalia and its neighbours. It certainly does not serve the interests of the people of Somalia. April 13, 2021 — USA “The United States Opposes Federal Government Term Extensions Press Statement — Secretary of State “The United States is deeply disappointed by the Federal Government of Somalia’s decision to approve a legislative bill that extends the mandates of the president and parliament by two years. We have stressed repeatedly that … the United States does not support mandate extensions … Such actions would be deeply divisive, undermine the federalism process and political reforms that have been at the heart of the country’s progress and partnership with the international community, and divert attention away from countering al-Shabaab.” Also attached is a video and transcript of then-opposition leader imploring Somalia’s international partners to take a firm stand and call a spade a spade: “Friends of Somalia, we will advise them to be part of the solution. They should stand with where the solution lies, and they should tell any individual who is obstructing a solution: stop, you are not contributing to a resolution.” “Problems should not be allowed to drag on and fester…” says the then opposition leader HSM

What Will The International Community Say Now? When former President Mohamed Farmaajo engineered parliament’s extension of his term in 2021, he argued that he had not personally extended his mandate — that parliament had given him the extension. Last night, Prez Hassan Sheikh Mohamud made a similar argument in the attached video, stating that parliament, through the constitutional changes he spearheaded, had given themselves — as well as him and his cabinet — an additional year in office. This is despite his earlier public position that his mandate was four years and that even if the constitution were amended to provide for five-year terms, such changes would not apply to him, parliament, or his cabinet, but only to the next government. Below are selected quotes showing how the international community reacted in April 2021 when Farmaajo’s term extension was announced. I am wondering what they will say now, particularly given that U.S. Embassy Mogadishu, Somalia and UK in Somalia🇬🇧🇸🇴 representatives convened and facilitated three days of mediation talks. The African Union Peace and Security Council: “Condemns the actions of 12 April 2021 by the House of the People, which extended the mandate of the President and the Parliament, as effectively delaying the elections, thereby undermining unity and stability of the country, the nascent democratic and constitutional processes, which also threaten the relative peace and security, as well as the important gains that Somalia has made over the years with the support of the AU and other partners with huge sacrifices;” April 2021 — UN Security Council: “called on all parties to reject violence and resume dialogue as a matter of urgency and without precondition. They called on Somalia’s leaders to recognise and build upon the many areas of agreement already reached, to resolve their remaining differences and to put the interests of the people of Somalia first, within a Somali-owned, Somali-led electoral process, and with an agreed timetable, as soon as possible”; April 13, 2021 — European Union: “Yesterday, the Lower House of the Somali Parliament voted to a de-facto extension of the mandate of the President and the Federal Government by two years … This action undermines the longstanding effort, supported by the EU and the international community, to rebuild Somalia through consensus. The international community, including the EU, have repeatedly and publicly expressed that we could under no circumstances accept an extension of the government mandate, or any partial or parallel process related to the elections …The European Union believes that the passage and signing of this resolution will divide Somalia, impose additional delays and constitute a grave threat to the peace and stability of Somalia and its neighbours. It certainly does not serve the interests of the people of Somalia. April 13, 2021 — USA “The United States Opposes Federal Government Term Extensions Press Statement — Secretary of State “The United States is deeply disappointed by the Federal Government of Somalia’s decision to approve a legislative bill that extends the mandates of the president and parliament by two years. We have stressed repeatedly that … the United States does not support mandate extensions … Such actions would be deeply divisive, undermine the federalism process and political reforms that have been at the heart of the country’s progress and partnership with the international community, and divert attention away from countering al-Shabaab.” Also attached is a video and transcript of then-opposition leader imploring Somalia’s international partners to take a firm stand and call a spade a spade: “Friends of Somalia, we will advise them to be part of the solution. They should stand with where the solution lies, and they should tell any individual who is obstructing a solution: stop, you are not contributing to a resolution.” “Problems should not be allowed to drag on and fester…” says the then opposition leader HSM

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Didn’t read Matt Bryden’s “Somalia at Risk of Becoming a Jihadist State”? Here’s the TL;DR — (and what he’s really doing.) Bryden’s latest piece is a two-dozen-page “brief” in his signature style: open with al-Shabaab “at the gates,” narrate Somali history as one straight line to collapse, and close by insisting only external intervention can keep the fallout “manageable.” The themes never change: federalism is broken; the national government is the villain; Islamists lurk everywhere; donors are exhausted and abandoning; Somaliland deserves recognition; and any federal member state arguing with Mogadishu becomes a “responsible actor.” This isn’t new. It’s the latest entry in a 30-year pattern: • 1999 – Building Block Approach: praise Ethiopia, warn against a Somali central government. • 2003 – No Quick Fixes: downplay terrorism; call critics “alarmist.” • 2003 – Banana Test: argue Somaliland already meets recognition standards. • 2013 – Somalia Redux?: dismiss national progress as a “surreal bubble.” • 2021 – Fake Fight: claim the FGS was colluding with al-Shabaab. The new brief simply reheats the formula. What makes this brief even more revealing is Bryden’s fixation on Islam — in a country that is 100% Sunni Muslim and whose political actors remain united in fighting al-Shabaab and ISIS. Of course he knows religion and politics mix everywhere: Kenya’s evangelical blocs, Ethiopia’s Orthodox and Pentecostal actors, Europe’s Christian Democrats, and the decisive role of America’s Bible Belt states. Yet somehow, Muslim politicians in Somalia are “the threat.” This five-year fear cycle of “the barbarians are coming” is his franchise. Meanwhile, Somalia actually cooperates daily with Kenya, Ethiopia, the EU, UK, U.S., UAE, Qatar, and Türkiye on security, intelligence, aid, and counter-terrorism. Contrary to his script, the UK injected £30 million into Somalia’s security transition last month; the EU continues to fund AUSSOM; the U.S. conducts regular FGS requested strikes; and the successive government he pronounces “dead on arrival” lifted the arms embargo, secured multibillion-dollar debt relief, and — inconveniently for his framing — now Somalia sits on the UN Security Council. Meanwhile, Somalia has had six presidents since 2000, repeated peaceful transfers of power, and zero coups — outperforming most of the global South. Elections are messy, yes, and we’re entering that season again, but they remain peaceful and actors accept results. None of this fits his screenplay. Then comes the Hollywood section of his brief, where he weites: “al-Shabaab’s potential capture of Mogadishu need not foreshadow a total jihadist conquest… A Provisional Federal Government could be established in a secure interim capital…” And continues: “The balance of forces… between a Mogadishu-based al-Shabaab and a Provisional Federal Government in Baidoa… al-Shabaab’s access to port revenues would triple its income…” And! “Since the militants would stand to inherit most of the arms, equipment, and vehicles currently in the SNA’s possession, al Shabaab’s military capabilities would rapidly surge.” At this point, anyone still drinking from Bryden’s well should reconsider. And perhaps — being well beyond retirement age — he might sip his Kool-Aid quietly instead of splashing it across respected platforms. Finally Somalia gave Matt Bryden a lucrative 35-year career, and he repaid it with scorn. Still, we genuinely wish him long and health life — long enough to watch, year after year, the results of our hard work. Also, neither Soomaalinimo — our march toward a strong, peaceful state — nor Islaamnimo — our pride in our faith and our Prophet — is going anywhere. So, pal, dhexda dhuuqso (tighten your belt — you’ll need it). As for this attached video: that’s Stadium Mogadishu — and no, it does not look like a city al-Shabaab is about to “capture.” Not today. Not tomorrow. Not ever.

Didn’t read Matt Bryden’s “Somalia at Risk of Becoming a Jihadist State”? Here’s the TL;DR — (and what he’s really doing.) Bryden’s latest piece is a two-dozen-page “brief” in his signature style: open with al-Shabaab “at the gates,” narrate Somali history as one straight line to collapse, and close by insisting only external intervention can keep the fallout “manageable.” The themes never change: federalism is broken; the national government is the villain; Islamists lurk everywhere; donors are exhausted and abandoning; Somaliland deserves recognition; and any federal member state arguing with Mogadishu becomes a “responsible actor.” This isn’t new. It’s the latest entry in a 30-year pattern: • 1999 – Building Block Approach: praise Ethiopia, warn against a Somali central government. • 2003 – No Quick Fixes: downplay terrorism; call critics “alarmist.” • 2003 – Banana Test: argue Somaliland already meets recognition standards. • 2013 – Somalia Redux?: dismiss national progress as a “surreal bubble.” • 2021 – Fake Fight: claim the FGS was colluding with al-Shabaab. The new brief simply reheats the formula. What makes this brief even more revealing is Bryden’s fixation on Islam — in a country that is 100% Sunni Muslim and whose political actors remain united in fighting al-Shabaab and ISIS. Of course he knows religion and politics mix everywhere: Kenya’s evangelical blocs, Ethiopia’s Orthodox and Pentecostal actors, Europe’s Christian Democrats, and the decisive role of America’s Bible Belt states. Yet somehow, Muslim politicians in Somalia are “the threat.” This five-year fear cycle of “the barbarians are coming” is his franchise. Meanwhile, Somalia actually cooperates daily with Kenya, Ethiopia, the EU, UK, U.S., UAE, Qatar, and Türkiye on security, intelligence, aid, and counter-terrorism. Contrary to his script, the UK injected £30 million into Somalia’s security transition last month; the EU continues to fund AUSSOM; the U.S. conducts regular FGS requested strikes; and the successive government he pronounces “dead on arrival” lifted the arms embargo, secured multibillion-dollar debt relief, and — inconveniently for his framing — now Somalia sits on the UN Security Council. Meanwhile, Somalia has had six presidents since 2000, repeated peaceful transfers of power, and zero coups — outperforming most of the global South. Elections are messy, yes, and we’re entering that season again, but they remain peaceful and actors accept results. None of this fits his screenplay. Then comes the Hollywood section of his brief, where he weites: “al-Shabaab’s potential capture of Mogadishu need not foreshadow a total jihadist conquest… A Provisional Federal Government could be established in a secure interim capital…” And continues: “The balance of forces… between a Mogadishu-based al-Shabaab and a Provisional Federal Government in Baidoa… al-Shabaab’s access to port revenues would triple its income…” And! “Since the militants would stand to inherit most of the arms, equipment, and vehicles currently in the SNA’s possession, al Shabaab’s military capabilities would rapidly surge.” At this point, anyone still drinking from Bryden’s well should reconsider. And perhaps — being well beyond retirement age — he might sip his Kool-Aid quietly instead of splashing it across respected platforms. Finally Somalia gave Matt Bryden a lucrative 35-year career, and he repaid it with scorn. Still, we genuinely wish him long and health life — long enough to watch, year after year, the results of our hard work. Also, neither Soomaalinimo — our march toward a strong, peaceful state — nor Islaamnimo — our pride in our faith and our Prophet — is going anywhere. So, pal, dhexda dhuuqso (tighten your belt — you’ll need it). As for this attached video: that’s Stadium Mogadishu — and no, it does not look like a city al-Shabaab is about to “capture.” Not today. Not tomorrow. Not ever.

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Peaceful and prayerful Mogadishu. Ali Jumale Mosque last night after Taraweeh prayers.

Peaceful and prayerful Mogadishu. Ali Jumale Mosque last night after Taraweeh prayers.

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2024 waan guuleysanney ee 2025 yaan nala dhabar-jebin! Abiy iyo Itoobiya iyo askartooda iyo adeegayaashooda meel ayaan iska saaray 2024 ee Madaxweyne Hassan Sheikh Mohamud -doow fadlan 2025 hanoo jebin oo ciidankooda dalka albaabka danbe ha ka soo gelin. Itoobiya si strategic ah ayay u fekertaa aanna isku haynaa. Qaab taktical ah ha u fakarin. Madaxweyne xitaa kuuma qabaan. Sidaad maqlaysid ayuu magacaaga oo soolane ah askarigaan ugu qaloonbinayaa. Madaxweynoow dalka halis ha gelin.

2024 waan guuleysanney ee 2025 yaan nala dhabar-jebin! Abiy iyo Itoobiya iyo askartooda iyo adeegayaashooda meel ayaan iska saaray 2024 ee Madaxweyne Hassan Sheikh Mohamud -doow fadlan 2025 hanoo jebin oo ciidankooda dalka albaabka danbe ha ka soo gelin. Itoobiya si strategic ah ayay u fekertaa aanna isku haynaa. Qaab taktical ah ha u fakarin. Madaxweyne xitaa kuuma qabaan. Sidaad maqlaysid ayuu magacaaga oo soolane ah askarigaan ugu qaloonbinayaa. Madaxweynoow dalka halis ha gelin.

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🇩🇯 🇪🇹 🇸🇴 If #Ethiopia wants commercial / non sovereign sea access, as its foreign minister claims, #Djibouti has just presented a once-in-a-lifetime deal: 100% management of an already built port, right on Ethiopia’s doorstep. But mark my words, Abiy and his lackeys will scramble for excuses to reject Djibouti’s unrefusable offer. If Ethiopia seeks to seize its neighbors' sovereign seas, it will fail. In fact, the odds of Ethiopia’s multi-ethnic, conflict-ridden, and unstable state splintering into smaller states are far higher than its chances of ever claiming #Somalia’s or any other country’s sea.

🇩🇯 🇪🇹 🇸🇴 If #Ethiopia wants commercial / non sovereign sea access, as its foreign minister claims, #Djibouti has just presented a once-in-a-lifetime deal: 100% management of an already built port, right on Ethiopia’s doorstep. But mark my words, Abiy and his lackeys will scramble for excuses to reject Djibouti’s unrefusable offer. If Ethiopia seeks to seize its neighbors' sovereign seas, it will fail. In fact, the odds of Ethiopia’s multi-ethnic, conflict-ridden, and unstable state splintering into smaller states are far higher than its chances of ever claiming #Somalia’s or any other country’s sea.

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Videos

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Because President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud refused to listen to Somalis, abide by his constitutional mandate, and respect the country’s agreed political settlement, the international community is now telling him to stop acting recklessly. See the attached videos. Those in government — and those outside it — who used to cheer him on and tell him, “Dear Leader, you are on the right track,” should be ashamed of themselves. The first video is from today’s African Union Somalia mission troop-contributing countries presser. They openly acknowledge that Somalia has a serious political problem and make it clear that President HSM must sit down with the opposition and solve the disagreement. They also state that these countries will serve as observers. The second video, released by the U.S. Embassy, features the senior U.S. general responsible for the Horn of Africa, who speaks about the consequences of ignoring political problems. They said they will leave if these are not solved. We warned Prez Hassan Sheikh Mohamud it would come to this. The world invested blood and treasure to help Somalia stabilize — not to create a mini dictator. He refused to listen. Now they are reading him the riot act. After the communiqué was read, President HSM objected to its inclusion. But of course the statement was intentionally included and broadcast to pressure him and publicly register the troop-contributing countries’ displeasure. If he refuses to heed their message, they can ultimately withdraw their troops, leaving him cornered. This is not something we wanted. No Somali should want a man who nominally claims to be our President to be humiliated in this way. But it is Somalia that has been humiliated because of his past conduct, which has placed the nation in this weakened position. #CaanaKaDhanHee (Good riddance)

Abdirashid Hashi

49,938 просмотров • 14 дней назад

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Madobe Is Not the Issue — Somalia’s Federal Election Is In 2019, Ahmed Sheikh Mohamed Islam was ELECTED, and then-opposition leader and former President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud risked his life to attend the inauguration in Kismaayo — the footage of his warm congratulations still exists and is attached. Equally, Hamza Abdi Barre — who now protests Madobe’s November 2024 re-election — was then the Chairman of Jubaland’s Independent Electoral Commission and personally certified that very process. The attached clip speaks for itself. Today, after Madobe followed the same state-led process used by all Federal Member States, those who once endorsed him now cry “improper election,” while President Hassan Sheikh has himself extended the mandates of leaders of Galmudug, Southwest state, and Hirshabelle — powers granted by neither federal nor state constitutions. These regions have operated under expired terms since as far back as 2022, yet it is Jubaland that is treated as the national emergency. The contradiction is staggering. Barely seven months remain of the federal mandate, with parliamentary elections due in February and March — the real clock is ticking. Somalia has no time for manufactured outrage or convenient scapegoats. Madobe’s election — held a year ago — is not the national debate; the urgent task is agreeing on a federal electoral model. Excellencies Hassan Sheikh Mohamud and Hamza Abdi Barre, let us return to the real conversation: your dwindling mandate and the national election ahead. Madobe cannot be the red herring. Somalia sees through it.

Abdirashid Hashi

124,501 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад

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The attached video features Dr. Mohamed Nur Ga’al, Speaker of the Galmudug State Parliament, speaking yesterday at a forum in Mogadishu about the Federal Government’s handling of the ongoing Galmudug parliamentary election. His candid account, which drew both applause and laughter, laid bare the extraordinary irony of the Federal Government’s unilateral approach and the subordination of Federal Member States. The so-called “direct election,” presented as a major democratic milestone for Somalia, has, in his telling, reduced an entire state leadership to the status of bystanders. Dr. Ga’al began by explaining that both Galmudug and Southwest State had effectively been excluded from the process: “We (Galmudug State) and Southwest State are in the same situation. I do not know whether the Benadir Regional Administration had any role in their election, but as for us, we have been sidelined. The Galmudug administration was told by the Federal Government that we would have no input or role in the election.” He then described the only option left to members of his administration: “We were told that if any of us wanted to run and keep our seats, we were free to compete.” He concluded with perhaps the most striking observation: “But as things stand now, our entire administration in Galmudug is effectively a guest of the Federal Government. If they give us something, we are grateful; if they deny us something, we simply surrender.” This is one of the most astonishing political admissions I have heard in years.

Abdirashid Hashi

13,339 просмотров • 29 дней назад

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Bisinka Abdinur Mohamed sida uu yaaban yahay baan u yaabay. Haddaad u fiirsatidna Shariifku wuu yaaban yahay. Haddii doodda halkaan ku lifaaqan ay Dr. Cabdulfataax Ismaaciil Daahir ka tahay si aqoon-yahan ahaan ah ama macallin ahaan ah u sharax sida dadka qaarkood ay iskaga dhaadhac-siiyeen ama ay u xalaalshadaan ficilka ay samaynaayaan (sida ay u rationalize gareeyaan ama u justify gareeyaan) xitaa hadduu arar iyo afeef ka hormarin lahaa waxay u eg tahay waxa uu video-gan ku sheegayo wax aan ku habboonayn qof Muslim ah oo Soomaali ah — aanna u habboonayn dhagaha dadka Soomaaliyeed; Waxaa doodda Dr-ka ku jira ilaa dhowr war ama hadallo aa diin ahaan aad iyo aad u khaldan (sida waxa la isku yahay oo ii ku sheegay Somali, Cushitic Afrikaan-nimo iyo bini’aadamnimo) Waxaan nahay ama isku nahay waxa ugu weyn (our core identity that surpasses all other) waa islsamnimo iyaduna waxay leedahay xayndaabyo ama parameters aan la dhaafi karin oo xitaa sidaan islaamku ma ogola in loo hadlo oo waxaa jira aayado iyo xaddidayso diidaya — diinta islaamku ma ogola nin walba qumanihiisa ayaa qoorta ugu jira, iyo in la normalize gareeyo ama caadi laga dhigo habdhaqan sma hab fikir kasta sida الغاية تبرر الوسيلة Waxaa iyaduna islaam ahaan khaldan xasuuqa Falastiin oo kale in uu yiraahdo “anaga na dhibi mayso ciduu soo dilay” taasna waxay ka hor imaanaysaa … الْمُسْلِمُ أَخُو الْمُسْلِمِ، لَا يَظْلِمُهُ، وَلَا يَخْذُلُهُ، Khudlaanku waa garab-kabax. Waxaa iyaduna aan dow ahayn reer hebel baa galo lagu sheegaa iwm) dhaqan ahaan, aqoon yahan ahaan waxaa video ku jira waa wax aan laa’iq u ahayn ama u habboonayn Dr. Cabdifitaax; Hadday waxa uu sheegayo uu aaminsan yahayna waa wa’rra’, Tan kale, maalmahaan sida muuqata 𝗦𝗢𝗠𝗔𝗟𝗜 𝗦𝗧𝗥𝗘𝗔𝗠 gaar ahaan Geed Fadhi rag badan bay calooshooda dooxeen, wax badanna ka soo qufeen, waxaana socota ‘kaana dhimey kugana dhimay’; Marka Abdikarim Ali Kaar iyo Shariifow dadkaan aad faageysaan ama calooshooda qufaysaan waxaan idin Iran lahaa joojiya haddiinna joojinahayna almiino yareeya; Hadda wixii ka danbeeya siyaasiyiinta halkaas ku joojiya — oo keena dhallinyaro, ganacsato culumo, abwaanno, waddaniyiin, rag iyo haweenba leh. Saaxiibkay Dr. Abdifitaaxna waxaan leeyahay ama sida macallin u sheeg ama aaminsanow waxaani ku nonoqosho ayay kaaga baahan yihiin;

Abdirashid Hashi

22,053 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

AnalystSomalia's profile picture

Puntland should not be destabilized Puntland is a stable and peaceful state in Somalia. It should not be destabilized. After eight months of fierce fighting against ISIS in the mountainous Bari region, Puntland defeated ISIS. Before that, it had also cleared Al-Shabaab from the territory it administers — an area that accounts for at least one-third of Somalia. Puntland is a core and indispensable part of the Somali Republic. Weakening Puntland weakens Somalia. ————————————————— The song below captures how Somalis in Puntland view themselves and their state. It is titled “Follow Puntland's example” —————————————————— Ku dayo Puntland, ku dayo Follow Puntland's example Ku dayo Puntland, ku dayo Follow Puntland's way Siday bulshadeedu tahay See what its people are like Ku baro Puntland, ku baro Come to know Puntland Ku baro Puntland, ku baro Take note of Puntland Inay nabad buuxda tahay It is a land of complete peace Bal daya galka baaxadda leh Behold its wide and beautiful lakes Bal eeg badaha isku xiran See the seas that meet along its shores Haddana barriga udgoon Then behold the Land of Frankincense Bal eeg bidixda iyo midig Look to your left and to your right Jaleec labadaada baal Let your gaze wander on every side Bal eeg quruxdiisa badan Take in the beauty that surrounds you Dal xiisku u baahan yahay A land made to be discovered

Abdirashid Hashi

11,759 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

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Reports today indicate that Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud is heading to Addis Ababa to meet Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed. This is a grave mistake. Ten months ago, the president was detained in Addis while attending the AU Summit. Throughout 2024, Ethiopia and Abiy schemed to dismember Somalia and annex its sea and land. They haven’t stopped. Less than a month ago, Abiy stalled the Ankara negotiations for seven hours, objecting to the inclusion of the phrase “Somalia’s unity will be respected” in the communiqué. Now, the Turkish president is reportedly planning visits to Ethiopia and Somalia to mediate and normalize relations, expected in Addis and Mogadishu within days or weeks. So why rush to Addis now—a country actively scheming against Somalia? Doesn’t the opinion of the Somali people matter? These are the same people who stood by you. Why throw them under the bus? Abiy and his deep state know how to manipulate and push their interests. They’re creating a wedge between you and your people, setting you up for betrayal once they have you exposed. What is wrong with you? Why can’t you read the room? Somalia has built strong allies like Egypt, Djibouti, and Eritrea, who stuck their necks out for Somalia and for you as a leader. They risked and strained their relationships with Ethiopia and Abiy’s enablers—those who wish ill for Somalia. Are you throwing that all away too? Why act as though nothing has happened? This is the same Ethiopia that sought to seize Somalia’s seas 500 years ago, still wants them now, and will likely want them 500 years from today. The irony is that you and your officials privately admit to Somalis that their worst fears about Abiy’s intentions are true—nothing has changed. Instead of engaging with Abiy, focus on making peace with other Somalis. Go to Puntland and assist in their fight against ISIS. Provide them with some of the resources the world has given to Somalia to tackle this terror group. Reconcile with Mogadishu politicians, including the two former presidents, past prime ministers, and opposition MPs. Make peace with Jubaland. That’s how Somalia can move forward, enabling elections and an agreed-upon constitution. You have real internal issues to address—issues that can be solved. Yet, you seem to be chasing a mirage: Ethiopia is a rational state with two clear objectives—to keep Somalia destabilized and to seize its sea. You have said this yourself over the past twelve months. Have you forgotten? Mr. President, Abiy is an intelligence officer, and he is entrapping you. He will not cajole or arm-twist regional leaders who oppose you, and even if he tries, it will come at great cost to Somalia and to you.

Abdirashid Hashi

70,119 просмотров • 1 год назад

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What Will The International Community Say Now? When former President Mohamed Farmaajo engineered parliament’s extension of his term in 2021, he argued that he had not personally extended his mandate — that parliament had given him the extension. Last night, Prez Hassan Sheikh Mohamud made a similar argument in the attached video, stating that parliament, through the constitutional changes he spearheaded, had given themselves — as well as him and his cabinet — an additional year in office. This is despite his earlier public position that his mandate was four years and that even if the constitution were amended to provide for five-year terms, such changes would not apply to him, parliament, or his cabinet, but only to the next government. Below are selected quotes showing how the international community reacted in April 2021 when Farmaajo’s term extension was announced. I am wondering what they will say now, particularly given that U.S. Embassy Mogadishu, Somalia and UK in Somalia🇬🇧🇸🇴 representatives convened and facilitated three days of mediation talks. The African Union Peace and Security Council: “Condemns the actions of 12 April 2021 by the House of the People, which extended the mandate of the President and the Parliament, as effectively delaying the elections, thereby undermining unity and stability of the country, the nascent democratic and constitutional processes, which also threaten the relative peace and security, as well as the important gains that Somalia has made over the years with the support of the AU and other partners with huge sacrifices;” April 2021 — UN Security Council: “called on all parties to reject violence and resume dialogue as a matter of urgency and without precondition. They called on Somalia’s leaders to recognise and build upon the many areas of agreement already reached, to resolve their remaining differences and to put the interests of the people of Somalia first, within a Somali-owned, Somali-led electoral process, and with an agreed timetable, as soon as possible”; April 13, 2021 — European Union: “Yesterday, the Lower House of the Somali Parliament voted to a de-facto extension of the mandate of the President and the Federal Government by two years … This action undermines the longstanding effort, supported by the EU and the international community, to rebuild Somalia through consensus. The international community, including the EU, have repeatedly and publicly expressed that we could under no circumstances accept an extension of the government mandate, or any partial or parallel process related to the elections …The European Union believes that the passage and signing of this resolution will divide Somalia, impose additional delays and constitute a grave threat to the peace and stability of Somalia and its neighbours. It certainly does not serve the interests of the people of Somalia. April 13, 2021 — USA “The United States Opposes Federal Government Term Extensions Press Statement — Secretary of State “The United States is deeply disappointed by the Federal Government of Somalia’s decision to approve a legislative bill that extends the mandates of the president and parliament by two years. We have stressed repeatedly that … the United States does not support mandate extensions … Such actions would be deeply divisive, undermine the federalism process and political reforms that have been at the heart of the country’s progress and partnership with the international community, and divert attention away from countering al-Shabaab.” Also attached is a video and transcript of then-opposition leader imploring Somalia’s international partners to take a firm stand and call a spade a spade: “Friends of Somalia, we will advise them to be part of the solution. They should stand with where the solution lies, and they should tell any individual who is obstructing a solution: stop, you are not contributing to a resolution.” “Problems should not be allowed to drag on and fester…” says the then opposition leader HSM

Abdirashid Hashi

13,537 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад