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Babak Taghvaee - The Crisis Watch

@BabakTaghvaee1109,072 subscribers

Defense & Security Analyst, Author and Historian. I wrote for BBC, Israel Hayom & RFE/RL in the past. Now for @PtisiMagazine, @Combat_Journal & @AFMonthly

Shorts

BREAKING: U.S. Army Patriot PAC-3 long-range air-defense batteries are attempting to shoot down incoming Iranian ballistic missiles launched by the IRGC Aerospace Force at Muwaffaq Al-Salti Air Base and Prince Hassan Air Base in Jordan, using MIM-104F interceptors. Tonight, unfortunately, the U.S. Army is once again going to expend a large number of its valuable MIM-104F interceptors against the incoming Iranian ballistic missiles.

BREAKING: U.S. Army Patriot PAC-3 long-range air-defense batteries are attempting to shoot down incoming Iranian ballistic missiles launched by the IRGC Aerospace Force at Muwaffaq Al-Salti Air Base and Prince Hassan Air Base in Jordan, using MIM-104F interceptors. Tonight, unfortunately, the U.S. Army is once again going to expend a large number of its valuable MIM-104F interceptors against the incoming Iranian ballistic missiles.

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BREAKING: The precision strikes on multiple civilian houses in Kuhestak, southern Iran, kill the ng five civilians in a wedding ceremony, were carried out using AGM-84H/K SLAM-ER cruise missiles launched by F/A-18E/F Super Hornets of the U.S. Navy. These strikes were precise, and the evidence indicates that the houses were deliberately targeted. This was not the result of a missile simply going off course: the target coordinates would have been programmed into the missiles as part of the strike mission conducted by aircraft operating from USS George H.W. Bush. Interestingly, I have also noticed a cluster of bots associated with a notorious contractor working for the Israeli Prime Minister’s Office—someone who was once my friend—spreading disinformation claiming that the destruction was caused by a misfired Iranian missile. First, they do not appear to be familiar with the geography and seemingly do not even know where Kuhestak is located. Second, wreckage identified as belonging to the cruise missiles used in the U.S. Navy strike has reportedly been recovered and filmed. They should stop spreading this disinformation. It does nothing except make Netanyahu’s office look bad. Stop it.

BREAKING: The precision strikes on multiple civilian houses in Kuhestak, southern Iran, kill the ng five civilians in a wedding ceremony, were carried out using AGM-84H/K SLAM-ER cruise missiles launched by F/A-18E/F Super Hornets of the U.S. Navy. These strikes were precise, and the evidence indicates that the houses were deliberately targeted. This was not the result of a missile simply going off course: the target coordinates would have been programmed into the missiles as part of the strike mission conducted by aircraft operating from USS George H.W. Bush. Interestingly, I have also noticed a cluster of bots associated with a notorious contractor working for the Israeli Prime Minister’s Office—someone who was once my friend—spreading disinformation claiming that the destruction was caused by a misfired Iranian missile. First, they do not appear to be familiar with the geography and seemingly do not even know where Kuhestak is located. Second, wreckage identified as belonging to the cruise missiles used in the U.S. Navy strike has reportedly been recovered and filmed. They should stop spreading this disinformation. It does nothing except make Netanyahu’s office look bad. Stop it.

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BREAKING: The IRGC Aerospace Force has just launched three Khorramshahr-3 or 4 ballistic missiles from its Al-Qadir ballistic missile base in Yazd, central Iran, toward a U.S. military base somewhere in Jordan. These ballistic missiles are equipped with cluster munitions and can present a particularly difficult interception challenge for the U.S. Army’s Patriot PAC-3 air-defense systems. Their cluster-munition payloads can disperse submunitions across a wide area, potentially damaging multiple aircraft parked in the open on the aprons and ramps of an air base. However, I doubt that many valuable aircraft remain at the targeted base, as the U.S. military has most likely evacuated or dispersed them in anticipation of further Iranian ballistic-missile attacks.

BREAKING: The IRGC Aerospace Force has just launched three Khorramshahr-3 or 4 ballistic missiles from its Al-Qadir ballistic missile base in Yazd, central Iran, toward a U.S. military base somewhere in Jordan. These ballistic missiles are equipped with cluster munitions and can present a particularly difficult interception challenge for the U.S. Army’s Patriot PAC-3 air-defense systems. Their cluster-munition payloads can disperse submunitions across a wide area, potentially damaging multiple aircraft parked in the open on the aprons and ramps of an air base. However, I doubt that many valuable aircraft remain at the targeted base, as the U.S. military has most likely evacuated or dispersed them in anticipation of further Iranian ballistic-missile attacks.

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BREAKING: It finally happened early this morning, and U.S. President Donald Trump could not prevent it. The Israeli Air and Space Force struck Abu al-Duhur Airbase in Syria, targeting the base where the newly established Syrian Air Force had been working to restore its combat aviation capability. The airbase housed a recently reactivated MIG-23UB combat trainer, Su-22UM/M4 fighter-bombers and L-39 advanced jet trainers, while Syria has also been attempting to return other surviving Assad-era combat aircraft to operational condition. The message from Israel is increasingly clear: it will not tolerate the reconstruction of a Syrian air-combat capability. As Damascus attempts to reactivate surviving aircraft and rebuild its air force, Israel continues to demonstrate that such assets and the infrastructure supporting them may become targets.

BREAKING: It finally happened early this morning, and U.S. President Donald Trump could not prevent it. The Israeli Air and Space Force struck Abu al-Duhur Airbase in Syria, targeting the base where the newly established Syrian Air Force had been working to restore its combat aviation capability. The airbase housed a recently reactivated MIG-23UB combat trainer, Su-22UM/M4 fighter-bombers and L-39 advanced jet trainers, while Syria has also been attempting to return other surviving Assad-era combat aircraft to operational condition. The message from Israel is increasingly clear: it will not tolerate the reconstruction of a Syrian air-combat capability. As Damascus attempts to reactivate surviving aircraft and rebuild its air force, Israel continues to demonstrate that such assets and the infrastructure supporting them may become targets.

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BREAKING: In the city of Mashhad in northeastern Iran, an somee used his car to ram a group of Basij paramilitary forces of the IRGC and their families, who had gathered. As a result of the attack, a number of Basij personnel were killed. There is currently no information about the fate of the driver. It is unclear whether he managed to flee the scene, was arrested, or was killed.

BREAKING: In the city of Mashhad in northeastern Iran, an somee used his car to ram a group of Basij paramilitary forces of the IRGC and their families, who had gathered. As a result of the attack, a number of Basij personnel were killed. There is currently no information about the fate of the driver. It is unclear whether he managed to flee the scene, was arrested, or was killed.

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BREAKING: The U. S. Military kills Iranian civilians in an attempt to show Force to the IRGC. In order to put pressure on the Islamic regime of Iran, tonight the U.S. military carried out an airstrike against a village in southern Iran that resulted in significant civilian casualties. In Kouhestak, Sirik County, a U.S. MQ-9A Reaper armed drone flown from Al-Dhafra Air Base launched two AGM-114 Hellfire missiles at a wedding ceremony. More than 50 people were injured and at least five people, including a young child, were killed. Rescue and emergency operations are still underway. The strike raises serious questions about the targeting decision and whether civilians were knowingly put at risk as part of an effort to increase pressure on the Islamic regime of Iran.

BREAKING: The U. S. Military kills Iranian civilians in an attempt to show Force to the IRGC. In order to put pressure on the Islamic regime of Iran, tonight the U.S. military carried out an airstrike against a village in southern Iran that resulted in significant civilian casualties. In Kouhestak, Sirik County, a U.S. MQ-9A Reaper armed drone flown from Al-Dhafra Air Base launched two AGM-114 Hellfire missiles at a wedding ceremony. More than 50 people were injured and at least five people, including a young child, were killed. Rescue and emergency operations are still underway. The strike raises serious questions about the targeting decision and whether civilians were knowingly put at risk as part of an effort to increase pressure on the Islamic regime of Iran.

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BREAKING: At least ten more ballistic missiles have been launched by the IRGC Aerospace Force at air bases hosting U.S. military forces in Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates. Ballistic missile launches have been reported tonight from Bidkaneh near Tehran and the Imam Ali Missile Base near Khorramabad, as well as from four additional ballistic missile bases near Orumiyeh, Tabriz, Shiraz and Karaj.

BREAKING: At least ten more ballistic missiles have been launched by the IRGC Aerospace Force at air bases hosting U.S. military forces in Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates. Ballistic missile launches have been reported tonight from Bidkaneh near Tehran and the Imam Ali Missile Base near Khorramabad, as well as from four additional ballistic missile bases near Orumiyeh, Tabriz, Shiraz and Karaj.

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BREAKING: The Iranian Air Defense Force and the IRGC Aerospace Force have been left without operational surface-to-air missile systems in Tehran. Unable to engage the U.S. Air Force B-1B bombers flying over the Iranian capital, they are using anti-aircraft cannons in an apparent attempt to reassure regime supporters and maintain morale. Anti-aircraft cannon crews are firing hopelessly into the sky over Tehran tonight, with little prospect of reaching the high-flying American bombers. #OperationEpicFury

BREAKING: The Iranian Air Defense Force and the IRGC Aerospace Force have been left without operational surface-to-air missile systems in Tehran. Unable to engage the U.S. Air Force B-1B bombers flying over the Iranian capital, they are using anti-aircraft cannons in an apparent attempt to reassure regime supporters and maintain morale. Anti-aircraft cannon crews are firing hopelessly into the sky over Tehran tonight, with little prospect of reaching the high-flying American bombers. #OperationEpicFury

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BREAKING: The United States Air Force is now targeting almost every airplane and helicopter at Tehran–Mehrabad International Airport. They are destroying what could have formed the future Iranian Air Force after the fall of the Islamic regime of Iran. #OperationEpicFury #OperationLionsRoar

BREAKING: The United States Air Force is now targeting almost every airplane and helicopter at Tehran–Mehrabad International Airport. They are destroying what could have formed the future Iranian Air Force after the fall of the Islamic regime of Iran. #OperationEpicFury #OperationLionsRoar

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BREAKING: It is being reported that the IRGC Aerospace Force has targeted a hotel in Manama, Bahrain, where a number of U.S. Navy personnel and commanders who had reportedly relocated from the U.S. Fifth Fleet headquarters had been staying. The hotel is reportedly on fire following the strike. No official confirmation has yet been issued regarding the target, casualties, or the extent of the damage.

BREAKING: It is being reported that the IRGC Aerospace Force has targeted a hotel in Manama, Bahrain, where a number of U.S. Navy personnel and commanders who had reportedly relocated from the U.S. Fifth Fleet headquarters had been staying. The hotel is reportedly on fire following the strike. No official confirmation has yet been issued regarding the target, casualties, or the extent of the damage.

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BREAKING: I have confirmation that the Israeli Air Force used soft-kill weapons to cut electricity in Tehran and Karaj. Fortunately, none of the power plants were bombed. According to my sources in the IDF, the Israeli Air Force used CBU-94/B “Blackout” cluster bombs equipped with BLU-114/B soft-kill submunitions to induce electrical short circuits at multiple power plants and transformer stations, including those in the Pirouzi district of eastern Tehran. The aluminum filaments dispersed by these submunitions have adhered to wiring, transformers, and other electrical components, disrupting their function and preventing electricity generation. Once these materials are removed and affected components are cleaned and repaired, power can be restored in Tehran and Karaj. This action appears to have served as a warning to the Islamic regime of Iran and a test of its tolerance and response in the event of actual airstrikes targeting power infrastructure. #OperationEpicFury #OperationLionsRoar

BREAKING: I have confirmation that the Israeli Air Force used soft-kill weapons to cut electricity in Tehran and Karaj. Fortunately, none of the power plants were bombed. According to my sources in the IDF, the Israeli Air Force used CBU-94/B “Blackout” cluster bombs equipped with BLU-114/B soft-kill submunitions to induce electrical short circuits at multiple power plants and transformer stations, including those in the Pirouzi district of eastern Tehran. The aluminum filaments dispersed by these submunitions have adhered to wiring, transformers, and other electrical components, disrupting their function and preventing electricity generation. Once these materials are removed and affected components are cleaned and repaired, power can be restored in Tehran and Karaj. This action appears to have served as a warning to the Islamic regime of Iran and a test of its tolerance and response in the event of actual airstrikes targeting power infrastructure. #OperationEpicFury #OperationLionsRoar

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BREAKING: These are the first videos of the airstrikes conducted by Hermes-900 armed drones of the Israeli Air Force against Basij militiamen and IRGC terrorists who had set up roadblocks to intimidate the people of Tehran, the capital city of Iran, tonight. They are being hunted one by one. These are the same people who massacred tens of thousands of Iranians in January, and now they are paying the price for their crimes. #OperationLionsRoar #OperationEpicFury

BREAKING: These are the first videos of the airstrikes conducted by Hermes-900 armed drones of the Israeli Air Force against Basij militiamen and IRGC terrorists who had set up roadblocks to intimidate the people of Tehran, the capital city of Iran, tonight. They are being hunted one by one. These are the same people who massacred tens of thousands of Iranians in January, and now they are paying the price for their crimes. #OperationLionsRoar #OperationEpicFury

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#Breaking: Contrary to what U.S. President #Trump stated, and despite claims by Islamic regime officials, including Araghchi, it now appears that the first detained protester, Erfan Soltani, who was scheduled to be executed on January 13, was in fact executed on that day. His family has not been allowed to meet him and has received no information about his whereabouts. They believe the regime carried out his execution and is deliberately concealing the news, possibly to avoid provoking a reaction from U.S. President Trump. #IranMassacre #IranRevolution #IranRevolution2026 #IranProtest #IranProtest2026 #DigitalBlackoutIran #IranDigitalBlackout

#Breaking: Contrary to what U.S. President #Trump stated, and despite claims by Islamic regime officials, including Araghchi, it now appears that the first detained protester, Erfan Soltani, who was scheduled to be executed on January 13, was in fact executed on that day. His family has not been allowed to meet him and has received no information about his whereabouts. They believe the regime carried out his execution and is deliberately concealing the news, possibly to avoid provoking a reaction from U.S. President Trump. #IranMassacre #IranRevolution #IranRevolution2026 #IranProtest #IranProtest2026 #DigitalBlackoutIran #IranDigitalBlackout

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BREAKING: Suspected IRGC attack at La Porte near Pasadena, Texas, United States, with reports that two fuel tankers are on fire. They might have used Mexican Narco terrorists to do this. It might have also been done by the IRGC hackers remotely. The FBI needs to investigate this immediately. This might be linked to the Islamic regime of Iran. #OperationLionsRoar #OperationEpicFury

BREAKING: Suspected IRGC attack at La Porte near Pasadena, Texas, United States, with reports that two fuel tankers are on fire. They might have used Mexican Narco terrorists to do this. It might have also been done by the IRGC hackers remotely. The FBI needs to investigate this immediately. This might be linked to the Islamic regime of Iran. #OperationLionsRoar #OperationEpicFury

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BREAKING: CENTCOM has released footage showing the destruction of an Iranian Air Force Kaman-99 one-way attack drone while it was being towed along the runway at the 10th Tactical Fighter Base in Chabahar, southeastern Iran. It is unclear why the drone was being moved in the open despite the apparent risk, given that U.S. Air Force MQ-9A Reaper armed drones operating from Al Dhafra Air Base in the UAE were apparently monitoring the base from the air. #OperationEpicFury

BREAKING: CENTCOM has released footage showing the destruction of an Iranian Air Force Kaman-99 one-way attack drone while it was being towed along the runway at the 10th Tactical Fighter Base in Chabahar, southeastern Iran. It is unclear why the drone was being moved in the open despite the apparent risk, given that U.S. Air Force MQ-9A Reaper armed drones operating from Al Dhafra Air Base in the UAE were apparently monitoring the base from the air. #OperationEpicFury

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BREAKING: Unfortunately, two ballistic missiles launched by the IRGC Aerospace Force hit Tel Aviv in Israel tonight. It is unclear why not only the Arrow-2/3 anti-ballistic missile systems of the IDF, but also the U.S. Army’s THAAD system, did not launch any interceptors to engage the incoming missiles which clearly hit the city. #OperationEpicFury #OperationLionsRoar

BREAKING: Unfortunately, two ballistic missiles launched by the IRGC Aerospace Force hit Tel Aviv in Israel tonight. It is unclear why not only the Arrow-2/3 anti-ballistic missile systems of the IDF, but also the U.S. Army’s THAAD system, did not launch any interceptors to engage the incoming missiles which clearly hit the city. #OperationEpicFury #OperationLionsRoar

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BREAKING: This Arash-2 one-way attack drone of the Iranian Army Ground Force was spotted sitting beside a river in western Iran. Apparently, it refused to go to war or continue toward Jordan and instead decided to relax by the river and have a drink of water.

BREAKING: This Arash-2 one-way attack drone of the Iranian Army Ground Force was spotted sitting beside a river in western Iran. Apparently, it refused to go to war or continue toward Jordan and instead decided to relax by the river and have a drink of water.

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#Breaking: Incredible footage recorded by a mountain climber in North of #Tehran this morning shows the exact moment #Israeli missiles hit their targets in #Tehran , capital city of #Iran during #OperationRisingLion. These were houses and penthouses of the #IRGC Generals and nuclear scientists!

#Breaking: Incredible footage recorded by a mountain climber in North of #Tehran this morning shows the exact moment #Israeli missiles hit their targets in #Tehran , capital city of #Iran during #OperationRisingLion. These were houses and penthouses of the #IRGC Generals and nuclear scientists!

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#Breaking: It has now been revealed that the JF-17 Block III fighter jets of the #PakistanAirForce that flew to the #Azerbaijan Republic a few days ago “for an exercise” were in fact delivered to the Azerbaijani Air Force. These jets took part in Azerbaijan’s Victory Day Parade, where their Pakistani markings had already been removed. They were operated by Azerbaijani pilots, confirming their quiet transfer to Baku.

#Breaking: It has now been revealed that the JF-17 Block III fighter jets of the #PakistanAirForce that flew to the #Azerbaijan Republic a few days ago “for an exercise” were in fact delivered to the Azerbaijani Air Force. These jets took part in Azerbaijan’s Victory Day Parade, where their Pakistani markings had already been removed. They were operated by Azerbaijani pilots, confirming their quiet transfer to Baku.

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Videos

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BREAKING: The IRGC Aerospace Force has now retaliated against the U.S. military strikes in southern Iran, launching tens of ballistic missiles at U.S. military bases in Jordan. This footage shows one of those ballistic missiles being launched moments ago. The IRGC Aerospace Force is not only trying to drain the U.S. Army’s inventory of valuable MIM-104F Patriot PAC-3 interceptors, but is also attempting to target U.S. military aircraft at Mafraq Air Base, Prince Hassan Air Base, and other airbases in Jordan. Timeline of events tonight: 22:28 — Qeshm: Four powerful explosions were reported in quick succession around the city. Reports from the Toula Industrial Township area of Qeshm, near an IRGC facility, described four explosions and said the whistling sound of missiles could be heard immediately before the blasts. 22:28 — Bandar Abbas: Residents reported three explosions coming from the direction of the coast. One witness, whose home is next to Bandar Abbas Airport, reported hearing the explosions. 22:29 — Bandar Abbas: Two major explosions were reported. Other residents reported two explosion sounds and said additional blasts could still be heard. 22:30 — Bandar Abbas: A third and fourth explosion were reported. Another report described two more explosions, bringing the reported number to four. Around the same time — Qeshm: A resident reported that Qeshm had been hit heavily. Khomein: Two missile launches were initially reported, followed by a third. Other witnesses also reported three missiles being launched from Khomein. Aligudarz: Three missile-launch sounds were reported, possibly originating from the direction of Khomein. Khomein: Further missile launches were subsequently reported, with witnesses saying more than three missiles had been fired.

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