Big Swing Tempo
@BigSwingTempo • 4,023 subscribers
Golfer obsessed with my swing. Software engineer. Retired powerlifter. Wannabe writer sharing my thoughts on learning the game and the mental side of golf.
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How many strokes is this actually worth? In the latest Bob Does Sports bobdoessports video, Bob putts into an 8 inch hole while Grant Horvat Grant Horvat putts into a hole barely bigger than the golf ball. Obviously Bob has an advantage. But how big of one? So I did some completely unnecessary golf math and built a Monte Carlo simulation to find out. I assumed: * Bob: 8” hole * Normal: 4.25” * Grant: ~1.75” * Golf ball: 1.68” Basically, I wrote a program to simulate 100,000 rounds, modeling the start line and speed of each putt, whether it went in, and where the next putt would be after a miss. The answer: about 17 strokes over 18 holes. And that’s an “average”. The advantage range across all simulations was 12-29 strokes. Big range! But the interesting part is where those strokes come from. Bob: - Normal hole → ~32.5 putts - 8” hole → ~29.1 putts - Advantage: ~3 strokes Grant: - Normal hole → ~29.3 putts - 1.75” hole → ~43.5 putts - Disadvantage: ~14 strokes I would’ve guessed Bob’s giant hole was doing most of the heavy lifting. It’s not even close. Grant’s cup is brutal because the first putt isn’t really the problem. Hit a 15 footer to 2 feet with a normal cup? Great putt. Basically a guaranteed two-putt. Hit it to 2 feet when the hole is barely bigger than the ball? You still have some work to do. That’s where the 3 and 4 putts start piling up. Obviously Grant’s exact hole size matters a ton, and I’m estimating it at ~2”. But under that assumption, the Monte Carlo simulation says the setup is roughly equivalent to giving Bob 17 strokes. Completely unnecessary golf math, but I needed to know.
Big Swing Tempo115,626 просмотров • 16 дней назад
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