dan linnaeus
@DanLinnaeus • 26,750 subscribers
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![Ali Vaez pledged his fealty to the Islamic Republic, expressing his “national and patriotic duty” as an Iranian, and offering assistance to then Foreign Minister Javad Zarif in 2014 as part of an Iran Experts Initiative. “As an Iranian, based on my national and patriotic duty, I have not hesitated to help you in any way; from proposing to Your Excellency a public campaign against the notion of [nuclear] breakout, to assisting your team in preparing reports on the practical needs of Iran.” That comes from a leaked email sent on Oct 2, 2014 by Ali Vaez, who was then Iran Project Director at the International Crisis Group, to Javad Zarif. [ ICG’s Iran desk had been run by Robert Malley since 2002 through Feb 2014 when he joined Obama’s NSC. His aides, Iran Expert Initiative core recruits, Ali Vaez, Dina Esfandiary and Arianne Tabatabai were key players in the Iran nuclear deal, [Solomon, J. (2024, Feb). How Iran used its ties to a top global NGO. Semafor. David Albright, then a proponent of the JCPOA, remarked on his own surprise while contending with Vaez’s positions in interviews with Jay Solomon. ICG’s public framing kept landing where Tehran needed it to land, and Vaez’s positions on verification and enforcement, which should have been the center of gravity, often aligned with the regime’s. Then there’s the curious case of ICG’s undisclosed 2016 memorandum of understanding with the regime’s Institute for Political and International Studies. IPIS, an arm of the foreign ministry, was responsible for the 2006 Tehran Holocaust denial conference, [Iran International. (2024, Feb). Covert ties between Iran and the International Crisis Group. What is less reported is the parallel uranium and donor backdrop to all this. In 2008, Frank Giustra, Kremlin-aligned Kyiv steel magnate Viktor Pinchuk, George Soros and the MacArthur Foundation each donated $5 million to ICG. Giustra who had joined the board in 2005 would go on to become its co-chairman. Giustra and two key partners, Sergey Kurzin and Ian Telfer, put together the UrAsia Energy deal in 2004 that moved three Kazakh uranium fields to Uranium One. Telfer became the chairman of Uranium One, Giustra shifted to consulting through Endeavor Financial after the 2007 sale that netted the group billions. Telfer then oversaw the transfer of Uranium One to Rosatom. By 2013 the Russians owned the entire project. Little known tidbit is that what was negotiated included an exchange of yellowcake for declared enriched uranium, which Rosatom’s Uranium One Netherlands managed when the deal closed. 200 tons replaced around 11.5 tons of uranium enriched beyond the JCPOA agreed upon threshold. Another detail: Norway actually stepped in to help finance the Kazakh portion of that yellowcake shipment, paying around $6 million to facilitate the transaction and get the LEU out of Iran. Giustra had bailed Telfer out after he, by his own account, lost his shirt in the dot com bust, with $5 million raise for a $17 million company that had flatlined, Wheaton River Minerals. Their first big hit was on an old Marc Rich-Soviet project in Argentina called Bajo de la Alumbrera, which turned into a multi-billion dollar bonanza -- to this day considered by industry insiders as one of the greatest pivot-and-strike moves in modern mining history. The billions generated by Wheaton River, which eventually merged with Goldcorp, gave Telfer and Giustra the capital, the track record, and the loyalty of institutional investors they needed to go into a risky jurisdiction like Kazakhstan a year later and pull off the UrAsia deal. Dr. Sergey Kurzin, the UrAsia deal’s facilitator and longtime Giustra associate, was a soviet nuclear engineer who defected right before the Iron Curtain fell. Within 6 months of landing in London he was working at Exploration Consultants Ltd, that by his own account had Marc Rich as its central client.](https://image.24vids.com/tw-2033282254927974815/amplify_video_thumb/2033282172111532032/img/LrfgwtQthGpHxgol.jpg)
Videos
Hamas doctor murdered 19 year old hostage, Noa Marciano, in Shifa hospital by injecting air into her veins while she begged for her life. Hamas told western media Israeli bombs killed her, and broadcast her body to terrorize Israel, but the IDF recovered her body in November ‘23 from a nearby building to Shifa and video evidence of her death. Her father is telling the story and Scott Jennings is livid. On Non 13, ‘23 Hamas released a video of the IDF Cpl. Noa Marciano speaking on camera. It then cut to showing her body and blaming Israel for her death as a psychological terror tactic. Western media outlets like the BBC and New York times amplified Hamas’s propaganda even though, as they noted, it could not be independently verified. The harrowing video depicting the moments of Noa’s murder at Hamas’s hands was received by her father Avi Marciano via Telegram. Avi first publicly shared the details of Noa’s murder by a doctor at al-Shifa Hospital in May last year, alongside his wife Adi in statements to Israeli media. He publicly shared additional details of it yesterday, speaking to a small crowd about the doctor who lethally injected air into his daughter’s veins while she begged for her life instead of treating her non-life-threatening wounds. Avi’s remarks were shared in an Instagram video posted by activist Shai Deluca.
dan linnaeus281,082 次观看 • 9 个月前
Listen from beginning to end, as a Gaza boy testifies how his cousin and he were coerced by a Hamas unit that raided their family home to go act as forward observers on IDF troop movement in an abandoned building in Gaza City. “For Hamas, our lives are cheap, they have no value.” جسور نيوز
dan linnaeus70,591 次观看 • 9 个月前
Former IDF Spox Jonathan Conricus: I think what Israel has done again is kind of shuffle the cards, and hopefully sent a message to terrorists, their supporters and countries that think about harboring terrorists, that even if you’ve been a beneficiary of the U.S. for a long time, and even if you think that you are untouchable—like you’re a made man in the mafia—you’re not. And if you harbor evil terrorists that kill Israeli civilians and try to kill additional Israeli civilians, and claim that you want to wage jihad until the last Jew is dead in Israel, then you are a target no matter where you are. It’s a matter of a political decision, because the military capabilities exist; Israel has the intel and the ordnance delivery capabilities. And I think what Israel did now is indicate that we are serious and we are going to deliver justice to each and every senior terrorist of value that threatens Israel. I think that’s a very important message. I hope that all terrorists and other state supporters of terrorism are paying notice. I would wish that the Turks would stop housing and supporting Hamas, because that looks like the next episode. Maybe far away, but it looks like kind of the next episode in this saga, and I would rather avoid it. But I think Israel is determined to really shift its posture here in the Middle East and not agree to have its civilians slaughtered like they were on October 7th, and to do everything necessary in order to prevent it—even if it is things that people will find offensive and will criticize Israel for doing. Mario Nawfal Jonathan Conricus John Kiriakou
dan linnaeus73,647 次观看 • 1 年前
There is no greater US threat to its adversaries and major power competitors than Israel. It is the tip of the spear in American global security posture, wielding an opaque strategic doctrine that underwrites CENTCOM’s strategic balance. Israel has the most hardened, technologically capable military and defense industrial complex in the region. It provides an expansive network of intelligence and counterintelligence capabilities, defense tech innovation and acceleration tracks, and a strategic fallback for basing needs in CENTCOM operations. No other power stands in the way of Chinese, Russian, Iranian, and Pakistani influence spreading uncontrollably into the theater. Israel absorbs the diplomatic, reputational and security costs first and the combination of existential stakes and nonnegotiable normative alignment make it dependable under extreme coercive pressure. No other country does more to balance US multitheater load and impose costs on major power competitors eyeing the simultaneity problem for opportunistic openings. No other regional power possesses the capability set, incentives and political will to underwrite the security of critical transcontinental geoeconomic corridors vital for strategic diversification from China’s BRI and adjacent corridors and their nodes. Once understood in its proper geostrategic terms, the reason the US-Israel alliance is under intensified attack becomes manifestly clear.
dan linnaeus27,115 次观看 • 3 个月前
Because 40,000 rabbis converting half a billion Muslims would take ten millennia, and Israel already made plans with democracy, it had to cancel its date with Greater Israel. Accordingly, in land for peace it gave up territory it seized in ‘73 that put it a stone throw from the Nile Delta, relinquishing control of the entire Sinai roughly thrice its size, just to make peace with the Egyptians, even though they ethnically cleansed Jews in the 50s and they are just very rude toward Israel. Still, land for peace was the bargain struck in ‘79. Also, important to note that Begin offered Sadat Gaza then. Sadat declined. No wonder why. Then in 1993-95 Israel traded control of Areas A and B in Judea and Samaria. The Pilisteinian Association took over civil and local policing with security cooperation in Area B. Area C remains under exclusive Israeli military and civilian control. Then in 2005, Israel simply upped and left Gaza unilaterally disengaging and forcing its own people out, even digging up the dead from cemeteries for repatriation. 1973, 1993-95, and 2005, Israel voluntarily shrunk its territorial control in the hopes of securing peace. It would try again in 2008 under Olmert to cede 94 percent of Judea and Samaria and hand over the remainder in Negev land swaps but the Pilistein Liberation Organ would have none of it, insisting instead on nothing less than the conquest of all of Israel via demographic inversion. In 1948 Arab armies tried to destroy Israel but lost a humiliating defeat. The man who coined the term Nakba explained the “seriousness of the disaster” thus: “The defeat of the Arabs in Palestine is no simple setback or light, passing evil. It is a disaster in every sense of the word and one of the harshest of the trials and tribulations with which the Arabs have been afflicted throughout their long history…Seven Arab states declare war on Zionism in Palestine, stop impotent before it, and then turn on their heels.” Ouch. Then in 1967 they tried it again and received a similar shellacking just for seconds and the same progenitor of the term, the Syrian Arab Constantine Zurayk, wrote a scathing sequel, The Meaning of the Nakba Anew. The ‘67 defeat was not merely a temporary “setback” (Naksa) he said, but another profound Nakba. A deeper, self-inflicted disaster rooted in Arab failures. If it wasn’t enough they tried yet again in ‘73, but Sadat’s plan was different. He thought that a limited land grab and a painful cut would enable politics to do the rest. He was only half wrong. And so after delivering the Arabs three humiliating defeats Israel began to offer land for peace, for no other reason than it’s shampooing its hair for the next ten thousand years and won’t have time to meet “Greater Israel”. Yet something appears to be getting lost in translation. Some people just can’t seem to take the hint.
dan linnaeus16,440 次观看 • 3 个月前
A nuclear only deal does not merely fail to address the Iranian missile, drone and proxy files as threats posed to Israeli interests. They threaten Gulf partners, US regional presence, and US multi theater coherence. VP has limited oversight of US strategy. He is not inside the US military command chain, whereas the Commander in Chief sits at its constitutional apex. Inasmuch as Potus has delegated to him the nuclear file only, Vance’s scope does not touch the full gamut of compartmented tier 0 planning let alone the fused products that inform it. In stark contrast, the Israeli PM sitting as the frontline civilian authority of the military and defense complex supporting Centcom in combined operations, is the apex consumer of critical operational intel feeding joint assessments of the full range of Iranian threat vectors. One is the delegated US negotiator on a single critical file. The other sits atop the entire engine of Israeli intelligence production and fused intel coproduction in concert with foreign intelligence partners, inclusive of inputs from US in theater collection and judgments, across every regional file. Do the math. In plain and public view, Tehran, through the Supreme Leader’s military advisor Mohsen Rezaee, today stated its policy to effectively disrupt US grand strategy by holding US resources hostage in a ‘quagmire’. Tehran’s bid is straightforward: tether US resources to Centcom in order to disrupt its global posture and decohere America’s grand strategic imperatives until it acquiesces to Iranian demands. Does a nuclear only deal dispose of the US security dilemma? Not when leaving Iran with the ability to spark integrated air defense saturating mass salvo crises through its “True Promise” operations permits the IRGC to whistle US resources into the theater at will, leaving America vulnerable to coordinated or opportunistic cross theater exploitation that undermines US Indo Pacific posture. That is a prize lever that can be traded to Moscow and Beijing in return for support, making the cost of pivoting to Asia on a suspended nuclear file exceed the cost of staying to finish the job with ready, willing and able partners.
dan linnaeus11,155 次观看 • 3 个月前
Listen to this young Gazan’s seething rebuke of Islamist and Palestinian leadership: “You throw your slogans of resilience, armed struggle, be patient, fight, endure. But we are the patience ... You’ve made us hate this country. You’ve made us hate life … You’ve wrecked us. You’ve wrecked our kids.” Those slogans the young Gazan throws back in their faces, sabr (patience), sumud (steadfastness), muqawama (resistance), jihad—they’re exactly what Brotherhood preachers, Hamas, PIJ, and their patrons have wrapped themselves in for more than eight decades. From the Brotherhood founder al-Banna through al-Hudaybi and al-Qaradawi, they have preached be patient, remain steadfast, wait until “conditions are ripe,” fight only when victory is likely and the harm you will bring on your own people will not exceed the evil you are resisting—a “fiqh of patience and resistance.” That’s their own jurisprudence of balancing harm and good (fiqh al-muwazanat). Even Sayyid Qutb, the revolutionary, warned against “suicidal enthusiasm” that spills blood without changing reality. Yet for three decades Qaradawi wrote the fatwas that licensed suicide bombings against Israeli civilians, chaired the Union of Good that funneled money into Hamas’s military project, and used his Al Jazeera pulpit to portray the group as the vanguard of Islamic revival. And when Oct 7 came, Brotherhood clerics who spent years teaching that jihad must be a last resort with a real chance of success blessed “Al-Aqsa Flood” as holy war. Qaradawi’s successor in Doha prayed for God to “grant victory to our mujahideen brothers” and convened an online conference to praise the attack as jihad. Brotherhood figures from Cairo to Istanbul to Islamabad saluted Hamas, or hid behind “context” instead of saying the one thing their own fiqh demanded: that you don’t knowingly drag your people into a catastrophe you cannot possibly win. What this kid is saying is: you broke that covenant. You demanded our patience and then spent it on operations you knew would blow up our lives, our kids, our future. You turned sabr into a slogan but never applied it to yourselves. You told us to endure, and then you cashed out our endurance on wars you were never going to win. In their own Islamist idiom he is calling them unjust and hypocritical, and it’s devastating. Their refusal to condemn, and their choice instead to glorify, is not neutral silence. It’s a breach of their own rules. It exposes that their “fiqh of patience” is a safety pin they leave in place conveniently and celebrate the moment a proxy pulls it. That’s dissimulation, not piety. It means that Cynthia Farahat’s operational autopsy of the Brotherhood bites much harder than scholarly readings that treat its doctrine of restraint as a pragmatic safeguard. In real world practice, those doctrines collapse into utilitarian grammar, functioning as little more than cover for a transnational paramilitary support network. The Brotherhood is a terrorist organization wrapped in the robes of an Islamic “revival.” This young man’s words are deeply cutting when he says “but we are the patience” and rips into Muslim and Palestinian leadership for its hypocrisy. He is calling the Emperor’s new clothes. Listen … “You come at me with your slogans — steadfastness, resistance, be patient, fight, endure. But we are the patience. Me, as a young man — my life hasn’t even started. You’ve made us hate this country. You’ve made us hate life. We’re drowning. You’ve wrecked us. You’ve wrecked our kids. Our future? No education, no healthcare. Give us a decent life, you who call yourselves responsible for us — whether Hamas, the Jihad, Fatah, any official body that claims to represent the Palestinian people. I’m exhausted from this unjust land — this unjust land, to its people, to us. Man, we’re tired. Enough. Enough. Every two years — a war.” Source: Jusoor News International (JNI)
dan linnaeus14,826 次观看 • 9 个月前
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