Ariel Hernandez
@RealSimpleAriel • 64,802 subscribers
Day trader turned swing trader. Here to help others improve their trading! Join me for live streaming on Discord. https://t.co/RRhmvGkkh0
Videos
8/3/2026 Daily Recap: Ready for both sides. - We have a possible FTD on tap this week with $QQQ - $SPY less than 1% away from an ATH. I would suspect we get there tomorrow. - Software continues to act best with cybersecurity leading the charge. $DDOG $CRWD $PANW. - But you also have some mega caps carrying the torch as well these last few days $MSFT $AMZN $GOOGL $META and $NVDA. - Semis can continue to rest here while other parts of this market have taken charge. - Industrials, Emerging markets, Genomics, Software, travel and leisure, restaurant and retail. It's a market of stocks and not just semiconductors and that is what is really helping over the past few weeks. - The market can easily rest tomorrow as we churn through some of this supply OR we can rally and get that FTD as soon as tomorrow. - No need for a crystal ball, just keep your RS list updated with some setups. and In case we reject, what names do you go after in that scenario. Let the traction in your portfolio be your guide.
Ariel Hernandez28,217 Aufrufe • vor 2 Tagen
$SMH just hit 10x ATR from the 50sma today! The last time SMH was this extended from the 50sma was... Never That's right. Since inception it has NEVER been this stretched from the 50sma. We are now part of history! Make sure you share and tag those who bitched and moaned about the low volume on the way up
Ariel Hernandez157,437 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten
7/23/2026 Daily recap: Not so Magnificent 7. - $GOOGL bumps capex but closes down 7% and possibly losing the 200sma to close the week tomorrow. - $TSLA already living below the 200sma cannot get out of it's own way for earnings either. -14.5% today - $INTC reported after the close finally showing a little life. We will see what comes tomorrow. - $MAGS losing the 200sma once again. Not a place we want to establish ourselves. - Several names showing relative strength $MU $SNDK $AMD $DELL $ASML and could be the leaders from here if the market can start to catch a bid. - Railroads hitting new highs all over the place today. $CSX $NSC $UNP $WAB $CNI - Aerospace and Defense showing life $ITA $LMT $RTX $GE - $PPH $IBB $XBI still hanging around and maybe we have a rebound in those groups. - $HACK $CIBR $DDOG $FTNT $CRWD $PANW coming under pressure all week and losing another growth group. Lets see if they can find a bid soon. - It's a very tough swing environment so being patient for more setups to roll around unless you need to own Railroads!
Ariel Hernandez22,357 Aufrufe • vor 13 Tagen
7/6/2026: Samsung takes the wind out of memory? - Samsung reported earnings and brought down $EWY which causes a domino effect in $MU $SNDK $WDC after the close. - $QQQ continues to consolidate but the action out of semiconductors was a bit lack luster. - $MAGS on the other hand trying to bounce some lead by $AAPL $TSLA $GOOGL. - $NVDA looks borderline lifeless and the market has been able to brush past that fact for several weeks now. Does that change on a loss of the 200sma. - $ARKG $XBI $IBB $PPH still the leading group but mostly extended and hard to chase at this point. - $XLF $KRE impressive action out of the banking stocks. - You can be comfortable playing themes you may not normally find yourself in. You can short former leadership. Or you can go fishing.
Ariel Hernandez36,135 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
7/1/2026 Daily Recap: Bulls Trapped! - New names emerged $RDDT $HOOD which was a welcomed sign. - Banks continue higher $XLF $KRE - Memories struggle $MU $SNDK $WDC wide and loose - Mega caps try to bounce back $AAPL $AMZN $TSLA - Healthcare names are starting to get a touch extended here $GH $HNGE $TWST. - Market is healthy and what we are seeing is rotation. - Short and sweet tonight got caught up watching the USA world cup match!
Ariel Hernandez37,525 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
7/9/2026: Magnificent Chop - $MAGS gap down and then rally all day off of the 200sma. $META $AMZN $GOOGL $MSFT $NVDA $TSLA all showing some real signs of life today. - $IGV oops reversal which was very impressive to see - $SMH gap and crap $AMAT $LRCX $KLAC $TSM $INTC nothing pretty about that action in my opinion - $HACK $CIBR one of the best acting groups in the growth space. $CRWD $PANW $RBRK $OKTA $DDOG - $XLK $QQQ $SPY looks like we are trying to head higher after consolidating for nearly two months. (hope i don't jinx this) - $XLP being lead down by $COST which is actually nice to see. $ARKG continues to fly. $TXG has been very impressive. - Tough to gain traction so I find myself trading small size and very little here.
Ariel Hernandez29,631 Aufrufe • vor 27 Tagen
7/8/2026 Daily Recap: Expected bounce, now what? - $EWY bounce along the early June lows which obviously helped $SNDK $MU but that is just some base building for now. $QQQ continues to chop. - $NVDA $AVGO waking up along the 200sma and important they keep a bid. - Stretched bio and healthcare starting to pullback $MRNA $GH $ARKG - Nice undercut and rally for $NBIS. Still some work to do but the $WGMI names woke up today as well. - $XLE $XLK were the only two S&P sectors that closed in the green today. Really felt like summer trading today. - June is supposed to be a seasonally strong month and it wasn't look that way at first but closed with nice action out of $PENG and $DELL. - A bounce here seems possible but into some supply. - Before we go running for the buy button make sure you are looking for pullbacks into key levels in this chop!
Ariel Hernandez29,686 Aufrufe • vor 28 Tagen
7/7/2026: Everyone on Drugs - $XBI $IBB starting to accelerate and could use a small bit of digestion. - $USO a bit of a bounce today and we started to see the strength yesterday with $VLO $DINO $MPC. - Memory names washout and rally near their 50sma. $SNDK $MU. Not putting it past this group to stage a multiday rally but not thinking these names are ready for new highs. - Photonics continue to show weakness $LITE $AAOI $CIEN. - $WGMI names continue to sell off despite strong news for $WULF yesterday. - $NVDA holds the 200sma again just as it appeared ready to slump. - $TSLA flirting with higher but cannot seem to regain it's footing above the 200sma. If we can get back above that level I suspect the "robotics" theme is something we start to hear more about. - $SPCX holding along IPO lows. $149 is an important spot to hold. - Software and more importantly cybersecurity is acting best in the growth sector but not much to do there $PANW $CRWD $DDOG $RBRK $OKTA. - Healthcare, Pharma and Bio is the best of the bunch so for me that means less is more until I see the Nasdaq leading the way.
Ariel Hernandez25,520 Aufrufe • vor 29 Tagen
5/19/2026: Line in the sand has been set! - Leaders found support at key spots today! - $SNDK $MU $ARM $MRVL $ALAB $AMD $INTC lead the way for semis and memory names after a pullback into the 20sma. - $BE $HUT $AMZN offer up some undercut and rally spots that also hold well. - $IGV not the best action today. $CIBR had gotten very extended and took a breather plus $MSFT $NOW $CRM $ORCL all closing down from the open. - Oil and gas related names continue to be a leading group on my screens. Can't say I love seeing $USO at new highs. $LB $VLO $MPC $DINO $CVX $XOM $SLB $HAL - Consumer Staples continue to act well also $XLP. $COST $WMT into new all time highs. - $XLV trying to make its way back above the 200sma. Ideally this doesn't become a leader in anyway. Would prefer to see growth leading. - $XSD $SMH semiconductors healthy after seeing the come off of historic extended levels. - $GLD $SLV Gold and Silver once again acting as if the high we saw in January will not be contested with for a long time to come. - $BTC $ETH also refuses to participate with or without the market. - $COPX crowded copper trade continues to weaken. - $URA Uranium and $REMX rare earth groups were also taken to the woodshed as of late. - I think more consolidation feels like the likely path here. - A negative for me would be a round trip on $SPY $QQQ today with a negative reaction to $NVDA earnings. - Leaders that bounced cannot lose todays established lows.
Ariel Hernandez51,798 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten
6/30/2026 Daily Recap: Semis lead with a side of window dressing! - Semi Equipment and Materials group continues it's incredible pace $AMAT $LRCX $KLAC $ASML $UCTT $ICHR $ACMR $ONTO $COHU $KLIC $TER $FORM littered with names at new highs. - $SNDK with the $3000 target today sent it up 11%. A bit wide and loose but the memory group remains vitally important. - $FCEL acting like a young $BE and up 100% in the last 3 sessions - $UFO continues its rebound since Friday with $RKLB trading back above $100. Ideally it can reclaim the 50sma and we can build a higher low over the coming sessions. - $AMD new high ground today. $INTC looks ready for higher. $MRVL $ARM starting to shape up as well. - Neocloud leader $NBIS springs back into action. $HUT $WULF $CIFR quiet inside days. Eyeing into tomorrow to see if this group wants to follow through from here. - Software names with Cyber security leading look incredible. $DDOG $PANW $CRWD $RBRK $OKTA $DOCN $TWLO $FROG $SNOW. - $DIA $IWM $MDY new all time closing highs while $QQQ $SPY finish consolidating.
Ariel Hernandez22,529 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
6/24/2026 Daily Recap: MU saves growth!? - Micron $MU massive earnings report and a gap right back towards an all time high. Taking $SNDK $WDC $STX with it. - $MAGS continue to do nothing. $AMZN $GOOGL $TSLA $MSFT $NVDA $META have stopped acting like leadership for several weeks and even months now. - $XBI has been where we have seen recent leadership $APGE $SYRE $ORKA $RYTM - $ARKG out to 3 year highs $TWST $CRSP $TXG $TEM $PSNL - $ITB $XHB $TOL woke up over the last few days. - $JETS $AAL $UAL $DAL have been fantastic since crude oil peaked. - $UFO continues to be in rough shape. Looking to possibly take a stab on $RKLB against the 200sma but can't say that I love the way that group along with $SPCX have been acting. - $EWY the ETF to watch here on the back of this move for memory names. - $BTC $ETH continue to act very poorly. $MSTR $STRC seeing the full effect of a crypto bear. - $KRE continues to act well and another reason why the $IWM outperforms the Nasdaq and much less volatile. - Money is flowing to many other places which is very healthy to see! $RSP .7% on the day!
Ariel Hernandez23,198 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
6/25/2026: It's a Biotech bull! - $XBI $IBB continue the awesome move higher with Genomic stocks $ARKG $TWST $TXG $PSNL $GH - Homebuilders $XHB $ITB $TOL $PHM trying to lead once again. - $JETS getting a lift as Crude Oil has been in a steady decline for a few weeks $DAL $UAL $AAL - $MU obviously stole the show on earnings but leave it to $SNDK to close up 22% to $MU 16% - $MAGS completely out of favor this year and speeding up below the 200sma. They are an absolute no touch here even if they stage a short term rally. - $UFO coming into a key level with the 200sma $RKLB $PL $ASTS already cut in half but with $SPCX unable to rally we will see what happens against the 200 day. - $EWY with the overnight gap down and taking the memory names with it. - There seems to be some very ugly under the surface unless you are playing a few of the first groups mentioned above. - That ugly action is part of the chop necessary to build new bases in the growth space after many made a few hundred % moves.
Ariel Hernandez22,227 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
6/16/2026 Daily Recap: Chop and more sideways - $SMH almost a 5% down day for the semiconductors. $MRVL $INTC $AMD $SNDK $MU $ARM - $MAGS tight inside session with the help from $AAPL $GOOGL. - $USO $XLE $XOP far too news driven and really nothing to do in that group at the moment. - $WGMI needs to finish digesting but names I'm watching $APLD $CIFR $HUT $WULF - I was hopeful for software names today but absolutely no love yet. $DDOG $OKTA $CRWD $NTAP. - $XLF reclaiming the 200sma over the last few days. $GS $MS the two horses in that group. - Optics trade god awful $CIEN $LITE $AAOI $AXTI - I don't think this market did anything wrong today outside of punishing some late buyers. My issue here is my lack of tight setups. - Holiday shortened week = be patient.
Ariel Hernandez26,015 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
6/7/2026: One Ugly day or something more? - $XLK loses 6.66% but ultimately it was a pullback that needed to happen - $EWY -14% played a big roll in our markets also coming down since they have been the memory trade for the last year. $MU $SNDK $WDC $STX - $XSD $WGMI $PBW $COPX $GDXJ $URA $SMH $TAN all effectively down double digits. And in some cases with the gold and uranium they become no touch until they can establish themselves back above their long term trend. - Aerospace and Defense $UFO back into the 50sma, could be a spot to consider but with SpaceX IPO coming this week I think sitting on the sidelines looks like the better option. $RKLB $PL $ASTS - $BTC $ETH not much to be said there, lots of negativity around the crypto space right now but there is no real reason to try and predict a bottom. Before it ever makes a big move it will need to reestablish itself back above the 200sma. $IGV after briefly trying to reclaim it's own 200sma we quickly rejected that area with the help of $PLTR $MSFT $CRM $NOW. Healthcare Plans and Drug Manufacturers have been one of the standout groups this week and over the last month. $UNH $MOH $LLY $OSCR $GH. Genomics deserve a mention as well. $ARKG $TXG. - Maybe if we get a gap down/washout tomorrow there is a chance for a quick mean reversion setup but there is all the reasons in the world to just remain patient here for ranges to tighten back up.
Ariel Hernandez28,594 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
All the new unchained PDT traders having a field day with SpaceX next Friday
Ariel Hernandez29,667 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten
5/28/2026 Daily Recap: When Drones Fly! - We were given some news that the U.S. government could be investing directly into drone companies. $AVEX $RCAT $RDW $AVAV $DRS $KTOS $UMAC $ONDS and just about every aerospace and defense name had a great day today! - Software continues to act like a group that has bottomed $MSFT $ORCL $TEAM $NOW $RBRK - Industrial metals are really acting incredible $STLD $NUE $AA $CENX $ATI $TECK $RIO $SCCO. - $MAGS continue to act fantastic $AAPL $GOOGL $AMZN $TSLA and $NVDA trying to reclaim the 20sma. - Crypto both down on the day while markets push into new all time highs. Easy avoid for now. $BTC $ETH - $CLOU ETF starting to look a heck of a lot better. Names in that group have already been acting well $DDOG $DOCN $AKAM $TWLO - $ARKG genomics incredible past few sessions $TXG $TWST $CRSP $PSNL $ILMN - $TAN continues to speed up $FSLR $SEDG $ENPH - $QQQ getting back towards 10x ATR from the 50sma so keep new positions on a tight leash - $CL_F continues to weaken which is reducing inflation fears and helping drive names higher. - Ignoring what the index is doing and focusing on your entries will pay you far better than being worried about how stretched the Q's might be. - Getting stopped out in quick succession on new positions and seeing leaders have failed breakouts would be the only reason to get negative. We haven't seen much of that yet.
Ariel Hernandez27,071 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten
6/3/2026 Daily Recap: Time for profit taking? - $SNDK $WDC $MU all close in positive territory but starting to speed up quite a bit. - $MRVL Could have very well seen it's highs for a while after trading 20x ATR from the 50sma last night. - Momentum in the optics quickly erased. $AAOI $LITE. $CIEN $GLW $COHR I thought acted much better but Ciena with earnings tomorrow. - Semiconductors still a leading group with $LRCX $KLAC $NVTS $RMBS $ON $SIMO and more all seeing new highs for the move. - Mega caps came under some pressure today $MSFT $GOOGL $AMZN $NVDA $AAPL all closing down 1-3% for the day. - $CRWD with earnings in the after hours session trading down about $70. Expected pause after the run up into earnings. - Software came under the most pressure b2b days after a very a very large move over the past month. $MSFT $PLTR $NOW $SNOW $MDB - Uranium names after showing big strength yesterday proceed to round trip most of the move as well. $CCJ $UEC $UUUU - With $XLK as extended as it still is, a multi week pause would really be helpful or else we could see some blow off moves which I view as a negative
Ariel Hernandez22,740 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten