Shawn

@ShawnCT_ • 316,392 subscribers

Full-time speculator. Narrative ➤ Sentiment ➤ Price. Research ≠ prediction. ✈️Telegram group

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This could be the most important Bitcoin signal right now, yet 95% of people will ignore it. Every time BTC has fallen to or near its 4-Year SMA: 2019: Around $3,000 2020: Around $5,000 2022: Around $16,000 Each time, it turned out to be a generational buying opportunity. And now, BTC is back in that zone.

This could be the most important Bitcoin signal right now, yet 95% of people will ignore it. Every time BTC has fallen to or near its 4-Year SMA: 2019: Around $3,000 2020: Around $5,000 2022: Around $16,000 Each time, it turned out to be a generational buying opportunity. And now, BTC is back in that zone.

72,571 просмотров

BREAKING: “Trump insider” with a reported high win rate just opened a $10.4M $BTC short at 40x leverage. He has been on the right side of several major moves this year. Position: $10.4M BTC short (40x cross) | +$1.88M unrealized PnL ~2–3% upside → liquidation risk Either he knows something… or a squeeze is coming.

BREAKING: “Trump insider” with a reported high win rate just opened a $10.4M $BTC short at 40x leverage. He has been on the right side of several major moves this year. Position: $10.4M BTC short (40x cross) | +$1.88M unrealized PnL ~2–3% upside → liquidation risk Either he knows something… or a squeeze is coming.

85,403 просмотров

“TRUMP INSIDER” WITH A 100% WIN RATE JUST OPENED: - $43.9M $NVDA LONG - $22.7M $GOOGL LONG - $20.1M $BTC LONG This is his biggest and boldest bet of the past week. He must know something…

“TRUMP INSIDER” WITH A 100% WIN RATE JUST OPENED: - $43.9M $NVDA LONG - $22.7M $GOOGL LONG - $20.1M $BTC LONG This is his biggest and boldest bet of the past week. He must know something…

48,679 просмотров

Don’t ignore the impact of the CLARITY Act delay. The last delay in January 2026 triggered a BTC pullback from $97K to $62K. Now the Senate has postponed the vote until after the summer recess, and approval odds are falling. BTC is entering a danger zone.

Don’t ignore the impact of the CLARITY Act delay. The last delay in January 2026 triggered a BTC pullback from $97K to $62K. Now the Senate has postponed the vote until after the summer recess, and approval odds are falling. BTC is entering a danger zone.

41,674 просмотров

BREAKING: A “Trump insider” trader with a reported high win rate just opened a $13.93M $BTC long. Entry: $59,147. Liquidation: $56,907 He’s already down ~$67K… and only needs another 3–4% drop to get liquidated. But here’s the interesting part: He has correctly called several major moves this year. Either he knows something… Or the next major rally is about to begin.

BREAKING: A “Trump insider” trader with a reported high win rate just opened a $13.93M $BTC long. Entry: $59,147. Liquidation: $56,907 He’s already down ~$67K… and only needs another 3–4% drop to get liquidated. But here’s the interesting part: He has correctly called several major moves this year. Either he knows something… Or the next major rally is about to begin.

69,287 просмотров

Insane! This signal has preceded every major bull market top over the past 20+ years. Historically, whenever margin debt surged and then peaked, the market typically topped within the following 0–3 months, before a sharp correction or even a bear market. And now it's happening again.

Insane! This signal has preceded every major bull market top over the past 20+ years. Historically, whenever margin debt surged and then peaked, the market typically topped within the following 0–3 months, before a sharp correction or even a bear market. And now it's happening again.

50,966 просмотров

even the biggest hater would forgive after seeing this

even the biggest hater would forgive after seeing this

34,536 просмотров

I’ll be deleting this tweet soon. 🤫 $BTC’s bear‑market bottom is set to land between 55K–60K. I probably shouldn’t be leaking this.

I’ll be deleting this tweet soon. 🤫 $BTC’s bear‑market bottom is set to land between 55K–60K. I probably shouldn’t be leaking this.

57,227 просмотров

Time is officially running out. The CLARITY Act has less than 6 weeks to survive, or crypto gets NO regulatory clarity in 2026. ⏳ While retail thinks the bill is "almost done," the political reality is grim: • The Deadline: It MUST pass the committee by late April. If it misses the May Senate floor, it's dead for the year. • The Illusion: People think they are just arguing over stablecoin yields. • The Truth: Massive roadblocks like DeFi jurisdiction and SEC ultimate authority haven't even been resolved yet. The stablecoin fight isn't the final hurdle; it's just the first one that leaked to the public.

Time is officially running out. The CLARITY Act has less than 6 weeks to survive, or crypto gets NO regulatory clarity in 2026. ⏳ While retail thinks the bill is "almost done," the political reality is grim: • The Deadline: It MUST pass the committee by late April. If it misses the May Senate floor, it's dead for the year. • The Illusion: People think they are just arguing over stablecoin yields. • The Truth: Massive roadblocks like DeFi jurisdiction and SEC ultimate authority haven't even been resolved yet. The stablecoin fight isn't the final hurdle; it's just the first one that leaked to the public.

75,029 просмотров

Why May 2026 Could Be the End for Most Holders? This is not just a prediction; it is the inescapable death spiral of mid-term election years. Unchanged for 12 years. Looking back at the real data from the last three cycles, the historical alignment is chilling: 2014: GOP Landslide, - 60%. 2018: Split Power, - 67%. 2022: Split Power, - 66%. Now, the 2026 mid-term curse has fully awakened. Based on current models, if a -64% correction hits, BTC will crash to $30K. History does not joke with you; May is already here.

Why May 2026 Could Be the End for Most Holders? This is not just a prediction; it is the inescapable death spiral of mid-term election years. Unchanged for 12 years. Looking back at the real data from the last three cycles, the historical alignment is chilling: 2014: GOP Landslide, - 60%. 2018: Split Power, - 67%. 2022: Split Power, - 66%. Now, the 2026 mid-term curse has fully awakened. Based on current models, if a -64% correction hits, BTC will crash to $30K. History does not joke with you; May is already here.

60,514 просмотров

The banquet menu looked less appealing to Trump than a McDonald’s menu

The banquet menu looked less appealing to Trump than a McDonald’s menu

52,505 просмотров

It’s "Alpha" when I find it. It’s "Exit Liquidity" when you shill it. The trust issues are real. 📉💀

It’s "Alpha" when I find it. It’s "Exit Liquidity" when you shill it. The trust issues are real. 📉💀

81,799 просмотров

I’ve been watching PlasmaFDN closely 👀. The mainnet Beta and XPL token drop is coming on Sept 25, and on day one there’s expected to be $2B TVL with over 100 DeFi integrations—so everything should run smoothly with solid liquidity. ▪ Zero-fee USDT transfers on PlasmaBFT ▪ Super low borrowing rates ▪ Instant Layer 1 utility ▪ Last token sale oversubscribed by $373M ▪ Pre-launch XPL FDV hit $6.9B Compared to other L1s, Plasma is built from the ground up for stablecoin payments—fast, low-cost, and well integrated. Tron and ETH also have stablecoin ecosystems, but Plasma’s combination of zero fees and deep liquidity could easily pull in new users and capital. I really think Plasma isn’t just launching another L1. If they can keep fees low, maintain deep liquidity, and secure strong partnerships, it could become the go-to stablecoin network and shake up the scene against Tron and ETH, making the whole space a lot more interesting. #Plasma #DeFi

I’ve been watching PlasmaFDN closely 👀. The mainnet Beta and XPL token drop is coming on Sept 25, and on day one there’s expected to be $2B TVL with over 100 DeFi integrations—so everything should run smoothly with solid liquidity. ▪ Zero-fee USDT transfers on PlasmaBFT ▪ Super low borrowing rates ▪ Instant Layer 1 utility ▪ Last token sale oversubscribed by $373M ▪ Pre-launch XPL FDV hit $6.9B Compared to other L1s, Plasma is built from the ground up for stablecoin payments—fast, low-cost, and well integrated. Tron and ETH also have stablecoin ecosystems, but Plasma’s combination of zero fees and deep liquidity could easily pull in new users and capital. I really think Plasma isn’t just launching another L1. If they can keep fees low, maintain deep liquidity, and secure strong partnerships, it could become the go-to stablecoin network and shake up the scene against Tron and ETH, making the whole space a lot more interesting. #Plasma #DeFi

103,220 просмотров

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Genuinely impressed by Grok 4.6 Test it with different prompts. Put it next to other models. The results keep coming out strong. And this was just one simple prompt: Create a 3d Queen Anne's Revenge shipusing three.js in white themebackground so ship is properly visible

Genuinely impressed by Grok 4.6 Test it with different prompts. Put it next to other models. The results keep coming out strong. And this was just one simple prompt: Create a 3d Queen Anne's Revenge shipusing three.js in white themebackground so ship is properly visible

146,033 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Argentina delivered the worst World Cup final performance in history. The numbers say it all: The only team in World Cup final history without a single shot on target during regulation time. 6 yellow cards and 1 red card, the most cards shown to any team in a World Cup final. The fewest shots on target by any team that reached extra time. 25 fouls, the second-highest total in a World Cup final, only behind Argentina’s performance in 2022. The most cards received by any team at this World Cup.

Argentina delivered the worst World Cup final performance in history. The numbers say it all: The only team in World Cup final history without a single shot on target during regulation time. 6 yellow cards and 1 red card, the most cards shown to any team in a World Cup final. The fewest shots on target by any team that reached extra time. 25 fouls, the second-highest total in a World Cup final, only behind Argentina’s performance in 2022. The most cards received by any team at this World Cup.

101,583 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

The only time my chart moves exactly how I want

The only time my chart moves exactly how I want

47,095 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Elon Musk evolution 1998-2026. The greatest hairline comeback in human history. 🏆

Elon Musk evolution 1998-2026. The greatest hairline comeback in human history. 🏆

78,926 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Ronaldo’s most debated moments. “Golden Boot is better than Ballon d’Or.” “I’m the best player in history.” “The Ballon d’Or is losing credibility.” “Saudi League is not worse than Ligue 1.” And somehow… it always ends up as Messi vs Ronaldo again.😂

Ronaldo’s most debated moments. “Golden Boot is better than Ballon d’Or.” “I’m the best player in history.” “The Ballon d’Or is losing credibility.” “Saudi League is not worse than Ligue 1.” And somehow… it always ends up as Messi vs Ronaldo again.😂

72,908 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

I don't think BitMEX shutting down means Bitcoin is suddenly heading to $180K. Looking back: After Mt. Gox collapsed, Bitcoin entered a new cycle. After BitGrail failed, Bitcoin eventually emerged from the 2018 bear market. FTX's collapse came almost exactly at the 2022 cycle bottom. But both Mt. Gox and FTX collapsed because of massive balance sheet holes and bank-run dynamics, which accelerated deleveraging and flushed weak hands out of the market. BitMEX is completely different. It didn't implode overnight or suffer a massive run on withdrawals. It chose to shut down after steadily losing trading volume and market share over the years. I don't think this should be viewed as a bullish signal.

I don't think BitMEX shutting down means Bitcoin is suddenly heading to $180K. Looking back: After Mt. Gox collapsed, Bitcoin entered a new cycle. After BitGrail failed, Bitcoin eventually emerged from the 2018 bear market. FTX's collapse came almost exactly at the 2022 cycle bottom. But both Mt. Gox and FTX collapsed because of massive balance sheet holes and bank-run dynamics, which accelerated deleveraging and flushed weak hands out of the market. BitMEX is completely different. It didn't implode overnight or suffer a massive run on withdrawals. It chose to shut down after steadily losing trading volume and market share over the years. I don't think this should be viewed as a bullish signal.

59,416 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Robinhood Chain could become the next billion-dollar meme ecosystem. The reason is simple Every successful ecosystem in crypto was never built around a single meme coin pumping. It was built around the users, attention, and ecosystem effects that memes created. $BRETT once reached a $2B market cap and became one of the most iconic memes in the Base ecosystem. It helped Base attract massive attention, users, and liquidity. Solana followed a similar path. Over the past few years, meme coins became one of Solana’s strongest user acquisition channels. further proved that speculation can be transformed into massive on-chain user growth. Almost every successful ecosystem has gone through a meme-driven growth phase. And Robinhood Chain happens to have several unique advantages: First, it has Robinhood’s distribution power with tens of millions of traditional finance users. Second, Robinhood is building around RWA and tokenized stocks, which requires bringing more users on-chain. Third, memes could become the lowest-friction entry point connecting traditional finance users with the crypto world. Robinhood’s CEO said: “While we’re building Robinhood Chain to be the best chain for RWA… it works great for memes too.” Many people see this as just a casual comment. But I think it reveals Robinhood’s deeper product strategy. Because RWA is unlikely to be the reason users enter crypto for the first time. Very few people will download a wallet and learn how bridges work just to buy a tokenized stock. But a viral meme can become the first interaction that brings users on-chain. Once users enter the ecosystem, they can gradually explore stablecoins, RWA, tokenized stocks, and other on-chain products. If Robinhood can replicate the Base and Solana playbook, Robinhood Chain could become the catalyst for the next major meme wave in crypto.

Robinhood Chain could become the next billion-dollar meme ecosystem. The reason is simple Every successful ecosystem in crypto was never built around a single meme coin pumping. It was built around the users, attention, and ecosystem effects that memes created. $BRETT once reached a $2B market cap and became one of the most iconic memes in the Base ecosystem. It helped Base attract massive attention, users, and liquidity. Solana followed a similar path. Over the past few years, meme coins became one of Solana’s strongest user acquisition channels. further proved that speculation can be transformed into massive on-chain user growth. Almost every successful ecosystem has gone through a meme-driven growth phase. And Robinhood Chain happens to have several unique advantages: First, it has Robinhood’s distribution power with tens of millions of traditional finance users. Second, Robinhood is building around RWA and tokenized stocks, which requires bringing more users on-chain. Third, memes could become the lowest-friction entry point connecting traditional finance users with the crypto world. Robinhood’s CEO said: “While we’re building Robinhood Chain to be the best chain for RWA… it works great for memes too.” Many people see this as just a casual comment. But I think it reveals Robinhood’s deeper product strategy. Because RWA is unlikely to be the reason users enter crypto for the first time. Very few people will download a wallet and learn how bridges work just to buy a tokenized stock. But a viral meme can become the first interaction that brings users on-chain. Once users enter the ecosystem, they can gradually explore stablecoins, RWA, tokenized stocks, and other on-chain products. If Robinhood can replicate the Base and Solana playbook, Robinhood Chain could become the catalyst for the next major meme wave in crypto.

61,546 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

At first, people didn't take this chart seriously... but it just keeps playing out exactly as planned.

At first, people didn't take this chart seriously... but it just keeps playing out exactly as planned.

68,474 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

This Bitcoin chart might make even the strongest bulls nervous. MVRV Z-Score is flashing a warning: In 2019, BTC spent 133 days in the historical undervaluation zone. In 2022, it lasted 210 days. But this time, MVRV Z-Score is still only at 1.19. We haven’t even reached the extreme levels that marked previous cycle bottoms.

This Bitcoin chart might make even the strongest bulls nervous. MVRV Z-Score is flashing a warning: In 2019, BTC spent 133 days in the historical undervaluation zone. In 2022, it lasted 210 days. But this time, MVRV Z-Score is still only at 1.19. We haven’t even reached the extreme levels that marked previous cycle bottoms.

51,903 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Fact or fiction? More Perfect Union just dropped a bombshell exposing how Musk leverages index fund mandatory buying rules to turn everyday retail investors and 401(k) holders into high-price bag holders. "The reason why I described it as a bag holder situation is because it feels like it’s getting engineered to be one." When an IPO suddenly dumps a massive allocation onto ordinary investors, it’s not generosity, it’s a massive red flag. Wall Street professionals know the price is absolutely nuts, so they pass the bill to you.

Fact or fiction? More Perfect Union just dropped a bombshell exposing how Musk leverages index fund mandatory buying rules to turn everyday retail investors and 401(k) holders into high-price bag holders. "The reason why I described it as a bag holder situation is because it feels like it’s getting engineered to be one." When an IPO suddenly dumps a massive allocation onto ordinary investors, it’s not generosity, it’s a massive red flag. Wall Street professionals know the price is absolutely nuts, so they pass the bill to you.

72,155 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

CZ admits he was wrong about RWA. A year ago, he doubted whether anyone would trade tokenized real-world assets. Today, tokenized Treasuries, oil futures, and pre-IPO stocks are growing faster than he ever expected. What do you think about this?

CZ admits he was wrong about RWA. A year ago, he doubted whether anyone would trade tokenized real-world assets. Today, tokenized Treasuries, oil futures, and pre-IPO stocks are growing faster than he ever expected. What do you think about this?

58,770 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

I just found a guaranteed winning trade. And the annualized return is as high as 93%. Right now Polymarket prices the chance of $BTC dropping below $55k this year at 66%. Most people think the major support will hold, but they are completely blind to whale manipulation. Bull whales previously tried to artificially suppress the Yes shares to hide the crisis, but the defense line has completely collapsed. Once the liquidation cascade hits, a $10,000 bet on Yes will directly become $14,664. That is a clean 46.6% profit, equivalent to nearly 2 years of S&P 500 returns. Stop listening to the fake narratives. Leverage this market pricing. 👇

I just found a guaranteed winning trade. And the annualized return is as high as 93%. Right now Polymarket prices the chance of $BTC dropping below $55k this year at 66%. Most people think the major support will hold, but they are completely blind to whale manipulation. Bull whales previously tried to artificially suppress the Yes shares to hide the crisis, but the defense line has completely collapsed. Once the liquidation cascade hits, a $10,000 bet on Yes will directly become $14,664. That is a clean 46.6% profit, equivalent to nearly 2 years of S&P 500 returns. Stop listening to the fake narratives. Leverage this market pricing. 👇

63,377 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

Wall Street Einstein Peter is super bullish on SpaceX: it’s likely to surge straight to $1000 right at open! He says this is due to extreme human frenzy combined with an ultra-scarce float. His warning to retail traders: Don’t catch falling knives! Wait for liquidity to release and price discovery, then follow the momentum.

Wall Street Einstein Peter is super bullish on SpaceX: it’s likely to surge straight to $1000 right at open! He says this is due to extreme human frenzy combined with an ultra-scarce float. His warning to retail traders: Don’t catch falling knives! Wait for liquidity to release and price discovery, then follow the momentum.

58,274 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

The mid-curve is buying Bitcoin again. They are mistaking a temporary relief bounce for a macro reversal. The chart is just a textbook Bear Flag in an Elliott Wave Zigzag correction. This exact pattern was fully validated back in 2021. There is still massive downside room below. Let impatient capital act as exit liquidity first.

The mid-curve is buying Bitcoin again. They are mistaking a temporary relief bounce for a macro reversal. The chart is just a textbook Bear Flag in an Elliott Wave Zigzag correction. This exact pattern was fully validated back in 2021. There is still massive downside room below. Let impatient capital act as exit liquidity first.

58,658 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

Michael Burry, the investor who famously predicted the 2008 financial crisis,is sounding the alarm again... “The most shameless structural manipulation of a major index I've ever seen.” “When the NASDAQ 100 adds SpaceX, your target date fund through the index funds it holds will buy SpaceX with your retirement money automatically. Without asking.”

Michael Burry, the investor who famously predicted the 2008 financial crisis,is sounding the alarm again... “The most shameless structural manipulation of a major index I've ever seen.” “When the NASDAQ 100 adds SpaceX, your target date fund through the index funds it holds will buy SpaceX with your retirement money automatically. Without asking.”

60,351 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

2021: BTC at $67,000 2026: BTC at $64,000… 5 years after turning from Bitcoin hater to believer, this energy giant CFO has now become exactly “the kind of Bitcoin investor he used to mock.” Prevalon Energy CFO Ben Hunnewell once said: “I used to mock people who bought Bitcoin… But the more I researched it, the more I realized it’s a protocol as unbreakable as the decimal system. That’s when I truly started to appreciate it.” How does he feel now?

2021: BTC at $67,000 2026: BTC at $64,000… 5 years after turning from Bitcoin hater to believer, this energy giant CFO has now become exactly “the kind of Bitcoin investor he used to mock.” Prevalon Energy CFO Ben Hunnewell once said: “I used to mock people who bought Bitcoin… But the more I researched it, the more I realized it’s a protocol as unbreakable as the decimal system. That’s when I truly started to appreciate it.” How does he feel now?

57,235 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

I took Michael Saylor’s advice seriously: “Sell your kidney if you have to, but keep the Bitcoin.” So I sold my kidney and went all-in with leverage. But now MicroStrategy just sold 32 BTC to pay dividends. Me: ??? Saylor: Strategic selling, bro. Me: Cool… I strategically lost a kidney.

I took Michael Saylor’s advice seriously: “Sell your kidney if you have to, but keep the Bitcoin.” So I sold my kidney and went all-in with leverage. But now MicroStrategy just sold 32 BTC to pay dividends. Me: ??? Saylor: Strategic selling, bro. Me: Cool… I strategically lost a kidney.

53,211 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

🧵Crypto remains the most overlooked asset class right now. Nasdaq and S&P 500 are trading near historical highs. Traditional assets like gold and crude oil have already made massive macro moves. Meanwhile, the total crypto market cap remains deeply discounted relative to global liquidity trends. When capital starts rotating out of extended legacy markets, crypto is the natural destination. The catch-up move could happen fast.

🧵Crypto remains the most overlooked asset class right now. Nasdaq and S&P 500 are trading near historical highs. Traditional assets like gold and crude oil have already made massive macro moves. Meanwhile, the total crypto market cap remains deeply discounted relative to global liquidity trends. When capital starts rotating out of extended legacy markets, crypto is the natural destination. The catch-up move could happen fast.

52,735 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Keeping up with macro trends and geopolitics around the clock is exhausting. So I took a little break to try Bitget’s new MotoGP-themed mini-game , and I ended up getting totally hooked. 😂 It’s not just a racing game. What’s actually clever is that they’ve baked the UEX concept right in. As you blast around the track, the coins you collect aren’t regular gold , they’re core assets like US stocks, gold, and crypto. Instead of staring at cold, hard candlesticks on a trading screen, you’re sweeping up assets across the map on the racetrack. This visual way of bridging Web2 and Web3 boundaries is surprisingly fresh. And the best part? The more you play, the more you earn,plus you can grab exclusive MotoGP rewards. Here’s the video of my recent race. 🏎️💨

Keeping up with macro trends and geopolitics around the clock is exhausting. So I took a little break to try Bitget’s new MotoGP-themed mini-game , and I ended up getting totally hooked. 😂 It’s not just a racing game. What’s actually clever is that they’ve baked the UEX concept right in. As you blast around the track, the coins you collect aren’t regular gold , they’re core assets like US stocks, gold, and crypto. Instead of staring at cold, hard candlesticks on a trading screen, you’re sweeping up assets across the map on the racetrack. This visual way of bridging Web2 and Web3 boundaries is surprisingly fresh. And the best part? The more you play, the more you earn,plus you can grab exclusive MotoGP rewards. Here’s the video of my recent race. 🏎️💨

74,586 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

If you could travel back to the eve of the 2020 DeFi Summer, what would you do? Matt Hougan believes we’re in a very similar moment right now. Old narratives like BTC/ETH have grown tired, while a new wave of assets,ones that can truly own their niches , are quietly building strength. “The leaders of the next bull market , many of them , might not even have been invented yet.”

If you could travel back to the eve of the 2020 DeFi Summer, what would you do? Matt Hougan believes we’re in a very similar moment right now. Old narratives like BTC/ETH have grown tired, while a new wave of assets,ones that can truly own their niches , are quietly building strength. “The leaders of the next bull market , many of them , might not even have been invented yet.”

43,872 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад