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Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

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Daily updates on Tom Lee’s market insights/research, the Fundstrat GRNY ETF, and BMNR. | Not affiliated with Tom Lee, Fundstrat or BMNR.

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TOM LEE SAYS BANKS WILL LOOK MORE LIKE TECH STOCKS - AI reduces labor, the biggest bank expense - Margins expand without revenue growth - Higher margins lead to higher multiples

TOM LEE SAYS BANKS WILL LOOK MORE LIKE TECH STOCKS - AI reduces labor, the biggest bank expense - Margins expand without revenue growth - Higher margins lead to higher multiples

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TOM LEE SAYS ROBINHOOD COULD BE A 100X FROM HERE If the biggest financial services company in 10 years needs to be Mag 7-sized, that's a $10 trillion entry price, and he thinks Robinhood $HOOD is a real contender: - One of these companies, maybe JP Morgan $JPM, maybe Robinhood, becomes a Mag 7 name - The way Apple $AAPL, Google $GOOGL, and Meta $META own a customer relationship, Robinhood could become one of the top five customer relationships out there - If Robinhood reaches Mag 7 scale at a $10 trillion entry price, that's roughly 100x from today, and buybacks along the way could push the per-share return even higher

TOM LEE SAYS ROBINHOOD COULD BE A 100X FROM HERE If the biggest financial services company in 10 years needs to be Mag 7-sized, that's a $10 trillion entry price, and he thinks Robinhood $HOOD is a real contender: - One of these companies, maybe JP Morgan $JPM, maybe Robinhood, becomes a Mag 7 name - The way Apple $AAPL, Google $GOOGL, and Meta $META own a customer relationship, Robinhood could become one of the top five customer relationships out there - If Robinhood reaches Mag 7 scale at a $10 trillion entry price, that's roughly 100x from today, and buybacks along the way could push the per-share return even higher

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

98,752 views • 12 days ago

TOM LEE: THE MARKET IS GOING TO FALL HARD THIS SUMMER AND THEN EXPLODE He's not backing off his S&P 8,000 target. But there's a detour first: -Margin debt is up 55% year over year. Fifth highest in 75 years. That almost always forces a correction -The drawdown is coming. The rally after it is bigger -Hyperscalers will start monetizing everything they've built.

TOM LEE: THE MARKET IS GOING TO FALL HARD THIS SUMMER AND THEN EXPLODE He's not backing off his S&P 8,000 target. But there's a detour first: -Margin debt is up 55% year over year. Fifth highest in 75 years. That almost always forces a correction -The drawdown is coming. The rally after it is bigger -Hyperscalers will start monetizing everything they've built.

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

369,067 views • 1 month ago

TOM LEE SAYS $2 TRILLION OF SPACEX STOCK UNLOCKS 90 DAYS AFTER THE IPO - Cites Paul Tudor Jones using the same setup to call the 1999 top - SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs could total $4 trillion combined - That's 5 to 7% of the entire S&P 500 in new supply hitting the market

TOM LEE SAYS $2 TRILLION OF SPACEX STOCK UNLOCKS 90 DAYS AFTER THE IPO - Cites Paul Tudor Jones using the same setup to call the 1999 top - SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs could total $4 trillion combined - That's 5 to 7% of the entire S&P 500 in new supply hitting the market

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

615,109 views • 3 months ago

TOM LEE SAYS THE NEXT 18-24 MONTHS COULD BE THE BEST OF OUR LIVES - Retail investors are coming off the sidelines and chasing this rally - 🇺🇸 multiples should be going up, not down, war exposed that - We could get both earnings AND multiple expansion this year

TOM LEE SAYS THE NEXT 18-24 MONTHS COULD BE THE BEST OF OUR LIVES - Retail investors are coming off the sidelines and chasing this rally - 🇺🇸 multiples should be going up, not down, war exposed that - We could get both earnings AND multiple expansion this year

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

707,849 views • 4 months ago

ELON MUSK JUST EXPLAINED WHY HE IGNORES QUARTERLY EARNINGS, AND IT LINES UP WITH TOM LEE MORE THAN IT LOOKS He manages SpaceX on a 5-to-10-year horizon, the Mars spending was disclosed in the S1, and short-term earnings pressure mostly comes from managers whose own pay depends on quick results. Tom Lee's market thesis runs on earnings too, just measured in years, not quarters. He argues profits rising faster than prices is why the S&P is cheaper now than in January, with AI margin expansion still ahead. One ignores the quarter, the other tracks the multi-year trend. Both are pointing in the same direction: the long arc is what counts. I wonder if Tom Lee Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FundstratDirect.com sees Musk's approach as the same long-term lens he applies to the market.

ELON MUSK JUST EXPLAINED WHY HE IGNORES QUARTERLY EARNINGS, AND IT LINES UP WITH TOM LEE MORE THAN IT LOOKS He manages SpaceX on a 5-to-10-year horizon, the Mars spending was disclosed in the S1, and short-term earnings pressure mostly comes from managers whose own pay depends on quick results. Tom Lee's market thesis runs on earnings too, just measured in years, not quarters. He argues profits rising faster than prices is why the S&P is cheaper now than in January, with AI margin expansion still ahead. One ignores the quarter, the other tracks the multi-year trend. Both are pointing in the same direction: the long arc is what counts. I wonder if Tom Lee Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FundstratDirect.com sees Musk's approach as the same long-term lens he applies to the market.

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

111,189 views • 22 days ago

TOM LEE SAYS A BIG DRAWDOWN IS COMING THEN THE RALLY OF OUR LIFETIME - 10 of 13 new Fed chairs triggered a 10%+ drawdown in year one - S&P on path to 7,300 then a decline that will feel like a bear market - After that, we could see one of the strongest rallies of our lifetime

TOM LEE SAYS A BIG DRAWDOWN IS COMING THEN THE RALLY OF OUR LIFETIME - 10 of 13 new Fed chairs triggered a 10%+ drawdown in year one - S&P on path to 7,300 then a decline that will feel like a bear market - After that, we could see one of the strongest rallies of our lifetime

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

554,930 views • 4 months ago

TOM LEE: NVIDIA $NVDA IS HAVING ITS APPLE $AAPL MOMENT AND THE RE-RATING MAY NOT BE OVER He compares Nvidia to the way Apple was once viewed: - Apple used to be seen as a hardware phone maker that should trade around 10x earnings - Then it re-rated closer to 30x as investors understood the business differently - He thinks a similar re-rating can still come for Nvidia, even with big expectations heading into earnings

TOM LEE: NVIDIA $NVDA IS HAVING ITS APPLE $AAPL MOMENT AND THE RE-RATING MAY NOT BE OVER He compares Nvidia to the way Apple was once viewed: - Apple used to be seen as a hardware phone maker that should trade around 10x earnings - Then it re-rated closer to 30x as investors understood the business differently - He thinks a similar re-rating can still come for Nvidia, even with big expectations heading into earnings

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

216,044 views • 1 month ago

TOM LEE: 7,800 FIRST, THEN A 10 TO 15% PULLBACK WORTH BUYING He still thinks the market is in an up phase before a correction comes later for understandable reasons: - Near term, he sees 7,700 to 7,800 first - Then a 10 to 15% pullback driven by the Fed, a major IPO unlock, and petroleum shortages - But earnings are strong, investors are offsides, and he thinks fund managers buy the dip

TOM LEE: 7,800 FIRST, THEN A 10 TO 15% PULLBACK WORTH BUYING He still thinks the market is in an up phase before a correction comes later for understandable reasons: - Near term, he sees 7,700 to 7,800 first - Then a 10 to 15% pullback driven by the Fed, a major IPO unlock, and petroleum shortages - But earnings are strong, investors are offsides, and he thinks fund managers buy the dip

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

144,272 views • 1 month ago

TOM LEE SAYS 2027 COULD BE ONE OF THE BEST YEARS OF RETURNS IN OUR LIFETIME - Sees S&P pushing to 7,700 before a bear-market-feel pullback into October - Pressure points: new Fed chair, energy shock, SpaceX and OpenAI IPO unlocks - Post-midterms sets up a strong rally into 2027

TOM LEE SAYS 2027 COULD BE ONE OF THE BEST YEARS OF RETURNS IN OUR LIFETIME - Sees S&P pushing to 7,700 before a bear-market-feel pullback into October - Pressure points: new Fed chair, energy shock, SpaceX and OpenAI IPO unlocks - Post-midterms sets up a strong rally into 2027

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

222,177 views • 2 months ago

TOM LEE: ANY SPACEX PULLBACK IS GOING TO BE A BUYING OPPORTUNITY He won't put a price target on a company where all the growth is in the future: - A target today is almost a guess: it's like discounting 20 years of future value down to now - The coming share unlock will create more tradable shares and likely some selling pressure - Original investors hedging their holdings is exactly what turns into a buying opportunity

TOM LEE: ANY SPACEX PULLBACK IS GOING TO BE A BUYING OPPORTUNITY He won't put a price target on a company where all the growth is in the future: - A target today is almost a guess: it's like discounting 20 years of future value down to now - The coming share unlock will create more tradable shares and likely some selling pressure - Original investors hedging their holdings is exactly what turns into a buying opportunity

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

132,213 views • 1 month ago

TOM LEE SAYS 2027 COULD BE ONE OF THE BIGGEST RALLIES OF OUR LIFETIME - S&P 7,300 was aspirational, still fuel for more upside - Two late-year risks: a new Fed chair and a petroleum shortage - Sees the market exiting 2026 at 7,700 or higher

TOM LEE SAYS 2027 COULD BE ONE OF THE BIGGEST RALLIES OF OUR LIFETIME - S&P 7,300 was aspirational, still fuel for more upside - Two late-year risks: a new Fed chair and a petroleum shortage - Sees the market exiting 2026 at 7,700 or higher

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

261,359 views • 3 months ago

TOM LEE SAYS THE $1.4 TRILLION MARGIN CALL IS THE REAL STORY BEHIND THIS SELLOFF - Micron $MU is down 41% from highs, forcing AI-heavy funds to post more collateral - Margin debt jumped to $1.4 trillion over 12 months, historically a level that forces consolidation - Korea's KOSPI fell 41% since June, triggering an emergency meeting and a finance minister apology

TOM LEE SAYS THE $1.4 TRILLION MARGIN CALL IS THE REAL STORY BEHIND THIS SELLOFF - Micron $MU is down 41% from highs, forcing AI-heavy funds to post more collateral - Margin debt jumped to $1.4 trillion over 12 months, historically a level that forces consolidation - Korea's KOSPI fell 41% since June, triggering an emergency meeting and a finance minister apology

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

55,203 views • 21 days ago

TOM LEE: NVIDIA AT 19x MAKES NO SENSE - $60B revenue, guiding to $70B - 70%+ YoY growth - Trades at 19x forward PE - Costco trades near 50x “How does Nvidia trade at half the multiple of consumer staples?”

TOM LEE: NVIDIA AT 19x MAKES NO SENSE - $60B revenue, guiding to $70B - 70%+ YoY growth - Trades at 19x forward PE - Costco trades near 50x “How does Nvidia trade at half the multiple of consumer staples?”

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

334,166 views • 5 months ago

Tom Lee just now on CNBC Closing Bell: We’re in an AI supercycle and sees Nvidia as a bargain at 26x forward earnings … cheaper than Costco or Walmart today and far below Cisco’s 60x back in 1998. In his view, valuations now look far more reasonable than in 1999

Tom Lee just now on CNBC Closing Bell: We’re in an AI supercycle and sees Nvidia as a bargain at 26x forward earnings … cheaper than Costco or Walmart today and far below Cisco’s 60x back in 1998. In his view, valuations now look far more reasonable than in 1999

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

599,615 views • 11 months ago

TOM LEE SAYS SCARCE ASSETS ARE THE TRADE OF 2026 - Names $NVDA, $INTC, $AMD, $MU, and $GE as the scarcity plays - If oil has peaked, buy the inverse: S&P 500, $ETH, and the Mag 7 - Sees S&P at $7,700 by year end after a bear-market-feel pullback

TOM LEE SAYS SCARCE ASSETS ARE THE TRADE OF 2026 - Names $NVDA, $INTC, $AMD, $MU, and $GE as the scarcity plays - If oil has peaked, buy the inverse: S&P 500, $ETH, and the Mag 7 - Sees S&P at $7,700 by year end after a bear-market-feel pullback

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

203,376 views • 3 months ago

Tom Lee said on CNBC: Today’s pullback looks like a buying opportunity and stocks could be 60 points higher a week from now

Tom Lee said on CNBC: Today’s pullback looks like a buying opportunity and stocks could be 60 points higher a week from now

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

536,281 views • 10 months ago

TOM LEE: ETHEREUM IS THE 2ND BEST ASSET SINCE THE WAR STARTED He also says: - War spending: $30B/month, heading to $100B - Every $10 in gas = only $4-5B/month consumer hit - Bitcoin #3 ... both beating equities outright

TOM LEE: ETHEREUM IS THE 2ND BEST ASSET SINCE THE WAR STARTED He also says: - War spending: $30B/month, heading to $100B - Every $10 in gas = only $4-5B/month consumer hit - Bitcoin #3 ... both beating equities outright

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

239,297 views • 4 months ago

TOM LEE: BITCOIN OVER $100,000 AND ETHEREUM BACK OVER $5,000 BY YEAR END He sets a clear test for whether the crypto thesis still holds: - He sees Bitcoin above $100,000 and Ethereum back over $5,000 by the end of the year - Bitcoin has been down three quarters in a row but never four, so a June-to-September bounce is the test, and no bounce would mean something's broken - The real floor is production cost: Bitcoin sits about 5% below it now, and falling to half of production cost would mean the network itself can't be supported

TOM LEE: BITCOIN OVER $100,000 AND ETHEREUM BACK OVER $5,000 BY YEAR END He sets a clear test for whether the crypto thesis still holds: - He sees Bitcoin above $100,000 and Ethereum back over $5,000 by the end of the year - Bitcoin has been down three quarters in a row but never four, so a June-to-September bounce is the test, and no bounce would mean something's broken - The real floor is production cost: Bitcoin sits about 5% below it now, and falling to half of production cost would mean the network itself can't be supported

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

73,114 views • 1 month ago

Tom Lee just said on CNBC Closing Bell that he still sees the S&P 500 reaching 7,000 or higher by the end of the year Source: FS Insight

Tom Lee just said on CNBC Closing Bell that he still sees the S&P 500 reaching 7,000 or higher by the end of the year Source: FS Insight

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

467,869 views • 10 months ago

TOM LEE: CRYPTO IS THE DOWNSTREAM STORY OF AI AND IT'S HAPPENING NOW BlackRock is tokenizing almost every asset. Here's what's coming: -Young people will be trading tokenized stocks on crypto rails within 12 months -Oil already trades on weekends via crypto rails. Almost every asset class is next -Memory stocks went nowhere in 2024-2025, then went parabolic in 2026. Crypto is in that same setup

TOM LEE: CRYPTO IS THE DOWNSTREAM STORY OF AI AND IT'S HAPPENING NOW BlackRock is tokenizing almost every asset. Here's what's coming: -Young people will be trading tokenized stocks on crypto rails within 12 months -Oil already trades on weekends via crypto rails. Almost every asset class is next -Memory stocks went nowhere in 2024-2025, then went parabolic in 2026. Crypto is in that same setup

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

94,538 views • 1 month ago