Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)
@TomLeeTracker • 52,383 subscribers
Daily updates on Tom Lee’s market insights/research, the Fundstrat GRNY ETF, and BMNR. | Not affiliated with Tom Lee, Fundstrat or BMNR.
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TOM LEE SAYS SEPTEMBER COULD BE A STRONG MONTH FOR STOCKS He thinks the market is set up for an upside surprise despite widespread September caution: - Inflation fears could ease as the jobs report, August CPI and the September FOMC decision play out - Lee thinks the odds of a September rate hike could fall all the way to zero - He sees $7,900 to $8,000 on the S&P 500 $SPX as a level where investors should be bullish, with today’s wall of worry creating a buying opportunity
Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)284,479 次观看 • 1 个月前
TOM LEE SAYS $2 TRILLION OF SPACEX STOCK UNLOCKS 90 DAYS AFTER THE IPO - Cites Paul Tudor Jones using the same setup to call the 1999 top - SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs could total $4 trillion combined - That's 5 to 7% of the entire S&P 500 in new supply hitting the market
Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)615,898 次观看 • 4 个月前
TOM LEE SAYS THE NEXT 18-24 MONTHS COULD BE THE BEST OF OUR LIVES - Retail investors are coming off the sidelines and chasing this rally - 🇺🇸 multiples should be going up, not down, war exposed that - We could get both earnings AND multiple expansion this year
Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)707,849 次观看 • 5 个月前
TOM LEE: THE MARKET IS GOING TO FALL HARD THIS SUMMER AND THEN EXPLODE He's not backing off his S&P 8,000 target. But there's a detour first: -Margin debt is up 55% year over year. Fifth highest in 75 years. That almost always forces a correction -The drawdown is coming. The rally after it is bigger -Hyperscalers will start monetizing everything they've built.
Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)369,198 次观看 • 3 个月前
TOM LEE SAYS A BIG DRAWDOWN IS COMING THEN THE RALLY OF OUR LIFETIME - 10 of 13 new Fed chairs triggered a 10%+ drawdown in year one - S&P on path to 7,300 then a decline that will feel like a bear market - After that, we could see one of the strongest rallies of our lifetime
Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)554,930 次观看 • 5 个月前
TOM LEE SAYS NEXT WEEK COULD BE A CLEARING EVENT FOR STOCKS The key question is whether AI confidence comes back after a stalled trade: - AI stocks have stalled because of data centre concerns and political opposition - Jensen Huang could reinject confidence by showing that demand remains relentless - Fed uncertainty is still building, making the next set of appearances another major market signal
Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)120,522 次观看 • 1 个月前
TOM LEE SAYS THIS DIP IS AN OVERREACTION He thinks falling inflation could quickly turn today’s selloff into a major rally: - Lee says the economy remains strong enough for earnings revisions to keep moving higher - He expects core PCE at 3.3% to fall back into the 2% range, which could trigger a positive market reaction - Cyclicals, tech, consumer discretionary and financials could all rebound sharply if inflation fears prove wrong
Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)55,860 次观看 • 22 天前
TOM LEE SAYS CRYPTO COULD BECOME THE SETTLEMENT RAILS FOR A $100T AI ECONOMY The argument is that machine-to-machine transactions may need blockchain rails more than traditional finance rails: - An agentic AI economy could see less value in traditional financial settlement systems - Real-world AI use cases may require microtransactions, instructions, taxation, and secure settlement - Tom Lee says if AI grows from a $10T to $100T economy, crypto may not stay stuck near $1.5T
Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)101,220 次观看 • 1 个月前
TOM LEE: NVIDIA $NVDA IS HAVING ITS APPLE $AAPL MOMENT AND THE RE-RATING MAY NOT BE OVER He compares Nvidia to the way Apple was once viewed: - Apple used to be seen as a hardware phone maker that should trade around 10x earnings - Then it re-rated closer to 30x as investors understood the business differently - He thinks a similar re-rating can still come for Nvidia, even with big expectations heading into earnings
Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)216,044 次观看 • 3 个月前
MARK NEWTON SEES THE S&P RALLYING TO 7,800-7,850 IN THE NEXT MONTH - Markets have priced in a 95% chance of a hike this week, disappointing would trigger a negative reaction - 25 bps with a less-hawkish tone would rally bonds and push stocks higher - Fundstrats Mark Newton CMT says he sees inflation as transitory, oil is supply driven and will come down next year
Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)49,073 次观看 • 23 天前
Tom Lee just now on CNBC Closing Bell: We’re in an AI supercycle and sees Nvidia as a bargain at 26x forward earnings … cheaper than Costco or Walmart today and far below Cisco’s 60x back in 1998. In his view, valuations now look far more reasonable than in 1999
Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)599,615 次观看 • 1 年前
TOM LEE SAYS 2027 COULD BE ONE OF THE BEST YEARS OF RETURNS IN OUR LIFETIME - Sees S&P pushing to 7,700 before a bear-market-feel pullback into October - Pressure points: new Fed chair, energy shock, SpaceX and OpenAI IPO unlocks - Post-midterms sets up a strong rally into 2027
Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)222,177 次观看 • 4 个月前
TOM LEE SAYS ROBINHOOD COULD BE A 100X FROM HERE If the biggest financial services company in 10 years needs to be Mag 7-sized, that's a $10 trillion entry price, and he thinks Robinhood $HOOD is a real contender: - One of these companies, maybe JP Morgan $JPM, maybe Robinhood, becomes a Mag 7 name - The way Apple $AAPL, Google $GOOGL, and Meta $META own a customer relationship, Robinhood could become one of the top five customer relationships out there - If Robinhood reaches Mag 7 scale at a $10 trillion entry price, that's roughly 100x from today, and buybacks along the way could push the per-share return even higher
Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)98,752 次观看 • 2 个月前
ELON MUSK JUST EXPLAINED WHY HE IGNORES QUARTERLY EARNINGS, AND IT LINES UP WITH TOM LEE MORE THAN IT LOOKS He manages SpaceX on a 5-to-10-year horizon, the Mars spending was disclosed in the S1, and short-term earnings pressure mostly comes from managers whose own pay depends on quick results. Tom Lee's market thesis runs on earnings too, just measured in years, not quarters. He argues profits rising faster than prices is why the S&P is cheaper now than in January, with AI margin expansion still ahead. One ignores the quarter, the other tracks the multi-year trend. Both are pointing in the same direction: the long arc is what counts. I wonder if Tom Lee Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FundstratDirect.com sees Musk's approach as the same long-term lens he applies to the market.
Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)111,189 次观看 • 2 个月前
TOM LEE SAYS ONE OF THE BIGGEST RALLIES OF OUR LIFETIME COULD BE STARTING He thinks the fourth quarter could mark the beginning of a much larger move into next year: - Lee says the S&P 500 $SPX could easily finish above 8,200 by year end - Tech is expected to do much of the heavy lifting, with the Mag 7 and software names starting to come back to life - As long as the AI trade stays intact, he expects the current correction to give way to a major year-end rally
Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)38,121 次观看 • 23 天前
TOM LEE: 7,800 FIRST, THEN A 10 TO 15% PULLBACK WORTH BUYING He still thinks the market is in an up phase before a correction comes later for understandable reasons: - Near term, he sees 7,700 to 7,800 first - Then a 10 to 15% pullback driven by the Fed, a major IPO unlock, and petroleum shortages - But earnings are strong, investors are offsides, and he thinks fund managers buy the dip
Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)144,272 次观看 • 3 个月前
