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Tony Research

@TonyResearch_63,147 subscribers

Trader & Investor | Defi Researcher | Holder $ETH

Shorts

$BTC UPDATE My long on #BTC is closed My plan has changed: 1. First long zone – $64,700 (DONE) 2. Second long zone – $62,500/$61,200 (DONE) 3. There is a Head and Shoulders pattern on the 1D chart (DONE) 4. First target – $68,500/$69,400 (DONE) 5. Second target – $72K (DONE) 6. Third target – $76K (SEE EXPLANATION BELOW) 7. After that, I expect the final drop to begin in August/September. Bitcoin reached my targets within two days - this shows the strength of the market at the moment. Therefore, I’m considering the possibility of a new target. As I mentioned before, once $BTC reaches our targets, we should see an altcoin rally - and it has already started. As I said earlier, buying spot through DCA is not a bad idea. My $ETH long is still open, while my $BTC long was closed at $69K. To open a short, I need to see bearish structure first. I’m not going to try to catch a knife, so I haven’t opened a short yet. If anything changes, I’ll let you know! DYOR. REMINDER: I warned about the BTC bull trap at $82K, the summer drop, and the SPACE X decline before they even happened. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

$BTC UPDATE My long on #BTC is closed My plan has changed: 1. First long zone – $64,700 (DONE) 2. Second long zone – $62,500/$61,200 (DONE) 3. There is a Head and Shoulders pattern on the 1D chart (DONE) 4. First target – $68,500/$69,400 (DONE) 5. Second target – $72K (DONE) 6. Third target – $76K (SEE EXPLANATION BELOW) 7. After that, I expect the final drop to begin in August/September. Bitcoin reached my targets within two days - this shows the strength of the market at the moment. Therefore, I’m considering the possibility of a new target. As I mentioned before, once $BTC reaches our targets, we should see an altcoin rally - and it has already started. As I said earlier, buying spot through DCA is not a bad idea. My $ETH long is still open, while my $BTC long was closed at $69K. To open a short, I need to see bearish structure first. I’m not going to try to catch a knife, so I haven’t opened a short yet. If anything changes, I’ll let you know! DYOR. REMINDER: I warned about the BTC bull trap at $82K, the summer drop, and the SPACE X decline before they even happened. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

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bitcoin:native UPDATE My local view on #BTC My plan: 1. We got an impulsive move up from the $62K/$64K support zone (DONE) 2. We hit all the Fibonacci targets (DONE) 3. We stopped at Strong Resistance - $83K (DONE) 4. The key zone is $83K/$85K 5. Scenario one - we get a pullback now, followed by a move up toward the key zone (LOAD) 6. Scenario two - we move straight up into the key zone (X) 7. Long zone 1 - 74к/72к and long zone 2 - 72к/69к This is how I currently see bitcoin:native There are some interesting similarities if we study the 2023 price action. Back then, we got a move up from the 0.23 Fibonacci level, and it was only in March 2023 that we came back to this Fibonacci structure to test the 0.382 level. If we draw a new Fibonacci range, that would correspond to the 0.5 level So my view is that I only see $100K for bitcoin:native next year $ETH and $SOL have already outperformed #BTC, both in percentage terms and on the chart Right now, we have already tested the 0.23 Fibonacci level, but there was no reaction. This means there is a high probability that we move lower, where we could look for long positions targeting $83K+ REMINDER: I warned about the BTC bull trap at $82K, the bounce from $62K, the summer drop, and the SPACE X decline before they even happened. FOLLOW ME AND TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

bitcoin:native UPDATE My local view on #BTC My plan: 1. We got an impulsive move up from the $62K/$64K support zone (DONE) 2. We hit all the Fibonacci targets (DONE) 3. We stopped at Strong Resistance - $83K (DONE) 4. The key zone is $83K/$85K 5. Scenario one - we get a pullback now, followed by a move up toward the key zone (LOAD) 6. Scenario two - we move straight up into the key zone (X) 7. Long zone 1 - 74к/72к and long zone 2 - 72к/69к This is how I currently see bitcoin:native There are some interesting similarities if we study the 2023 price action. Back then, we got a move up from the 0.23 Fibonacci level, and it was only in March 2023 that we came back to this Fibonacci structure to test the 0.382 level. If we draw a new Fibonacci range, that would correspond to the 0.5 level So my view is that I only see $100K for bitcoin:native next year $ETH and $SOL have already outperformed #BTC, both in percentage terms and on the chart Right now, we have already tested the 0.23 Fibonacci level, but there was no reaction. This means there is a high probability that we move lower, where we could look for long positions targeting $83K+ REMINDER: I warned about the BTC bull trap at $82K, the bounce from $62K, the summer drop, and the SPACE X decline before they even happened. FOLLOW ME AND TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

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$BTC My plan hasn’t changed My plan for #BTC: 1. First long zone – 64,700 (already opened) 2. Second long zone – 62,500/61,250 3. Target – 69K/72K Today we’re going to see high volatility. Everyone says the FED will hike rates today, but in my opinion the rate will stay unchanged and they’ll raise it in September. So I’m expecting $BTC to recover to 69K/72K, and after that we’ll see the final drop. If anything changes, I’ll let you know! DYOR As a reminder, I warned about the bull trap at $82K and the summer drop. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

$BTC My plan hasn’t changed My plan for #BTC: 1. First long zone – 64,700 (already opened) 2. Second long zone – 62,500/61,250 3. Target – 69K/72K Today we’re going to see high volatility. Everyone says the FED will hike rates today, but in my opinion the rate will stay unchanged and they’ll raise it in September. So I’m expecting $BTC to recover to 69K/72K, and after that we’ll see the final drop. If anything changes, I’ll let you know! DYOR As a reminder, I warned about the bull trap at $82K and the summer drop. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

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bitcoin:native UPDATE My local view on #BTC My plan: 1. We stopped at Strong Resistance - $83K (DONE) 2. Scenario one - pullback to at least $75K liquidity, then a move toward $83K–$85K (LOAD). 3. Fear & Greed Index - 71 4. Open Interest - rising, which means more traders are buying the dip, so we could see further downside. 5. Head & Shoulders pattern, which could play out at least as a liquidity sweep around $75,538. 6. Long zone 1: $74K/$72K 7. Long zone 2: $72K/$69K We got the correction from the Strong Resistance zone. The weekly 50 MA is also right there, so far everything is going according to plan. The plan remains the same - I’m waiting for safer long setups on bitcoin:native. Until Bitcoin breaks above $83K, the trend remains bearish. The monthly structure is, of course, very bullish for BTC, as the monthly candle closed with an engulfing pattern covering the previous two monthly candles. $ETH - still holding the long. $ETH - local trade closed at a loss after hitting my stop-loss. Coins I’m watching: $ETH, $SOL, $HYPE, $LIT, $PUMP, $MNT, $CAKE, $ZRO REMINDER: I warned about the BTC bull trap at $82K, the bounce from $62K, the summer drop, and the SPACE X decline before they even happened. FOLLOW ME AND TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

bitcoin:native UPDATE My local view on #BTC My plan: 1. We stopped at Strong Resistance - $83K (DONE) 2. Scenario one - pullback to at least $75K liquidity, then a move toward $83K–$85K (LOAD). 3. Fear & Greed Index - 71 4. Open Interest - rising, which means more traders are buying the dip, so we could see further downside. 5. Head & Shoulders pattern, which could play out at least as a liquidity sweep around $75,538. 6. Long zone 1: $74K/$72K 7. Long zone 2: $72K/$69K We got the correction from the Strong Resistance zone. The weekly 50 MA is also right there, so far everything is going according to plan. The plan remains the same - I’m waiting for safer long setups on bitcoin:native. Until Bitcoin breaks above $83K, the trend remains bearish. The monthly structure is, of course, very bullish for BTC, as the monthly candle closed with an engulfing pattern covering the previous two monthly candles. $ETH - still holding the long. $ETH - local trade closed at a loss after hitting my stop-loss. Coins I’m watching: $ETH, $SOL, $HYPE, $LIT, $PUMP, $MNT, $CAKE, $ZRO REMINDER: I warned about the BTC bull trap at $82K, the bounce from $62K, the summer drop, and the SPACE X decline before they even happened. FOLLOW ME AND TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

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$BTC My local view on #BTC My plan: 1. First long zone – 64,700 2. Second long zone – 62,500/61,250 3. Target – 69K/72K If anything changes, I’ll let you know! DYOR As a reminder, I warned about the bull trap at $82K and the summer drop. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

$BTC My local view on #BTC My plan: 1. First long zone – 64,700 2. Second long zone – 62,500/61,250 3. Target – 69K/72K If anything changes, I’ll let you know! DYOR As a reminder, I warned about the bull trap at $82K and the summer drop. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

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MARK MY WORDS $BTC will close the FVG at $70K Then we’ll see the final drop So far, everything is going according to plan: 1. Long in the 0.5–0.618 Fibo zone - $62,320/$61,230 (DONE?) 2. Look for a reversal structure on 1H/4H, e.g. a double bottom (DONE?) 3. First target - $68,500/$69,400 4. Second target - $72K 5. After that, I expect the final drop to begin in August/September. $BTC could still dip lower before moving toward $72K As I mentioned earlier, $ETH is also following my plan and looks stronger than #BTC Don’t forget that we’re dealing with probabilities! The key thing to understand is that we’re still in a bearish trend, so be careful with long positions. Many believe the bottom has already been reached. I think the final part hasn’t started yet. If anything changes, I’ll let you know! DYOR. REMINDER: I warned about the $BTC bull trap at $82K, the summer drop, and the $SPCX decline before it even happened. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

MARK MY WORDS $BTC will close the FVG at $70K Then we’ll see the final drop So far, everything is going according to plan: 1. Long in the 0.5–0.618 Fibo zone - $62,320/$61,230 (DONE?) 2. Look for a reversal structure on 1H/4H, e.g. a double bottom (DONE?) 3. First target - $68,500/$69,400 4. Second target - $72K 5. After that, I expect the final drop to begin in August/September. $BTC could still dip lower before moving toward $72K As I mentioned earlier, $ETH is also following my plan and looks stronger than #BTC Don’t forget that we’re dealing with probabilities! The key thing to understand is that we’re still in a bearish trend, so be careful with long positions. Many believe the bottom has already been reached. I think the final part hasn’t started yet. If anything changes, I’ll let you know! DYOR. REMINDER: I warned about the $BTC bull trap at $82K, the summer drop, and the $SPCX decline before it even happened. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

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🚨 THE FINAL PHASE OF BEAR MARKET IS VERY CLOSE! $126K → $81K → $97K → $62K → $75K → $43K FINAL DROP IS STILL AHEAD - BE CAREFUL AND PREPARE YOUR POSITIONS IN ADVANCE EVERYTHING IS GOING ACCORDING TO MY PLAN, DONT WORRY TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS, FOLLOW ME AND BOOKMARK THIS

🚨 THE FINAL PHASE OF BEAR MARKET IS VERY CLOSE! $126K → $81K → $97K → $62K → $75K → $43K FINAL DROP IS STILL AHEAD - BE CAREFUL AND PREPARE YOUR POSITIONS IN ADVANCE EVERYTHING IS GOING ACCORDING TO MY PLAN, DONT WORRY TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS, FOLLOW ME AND BOOKMARK THIS

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$ETH My local view on #ETH My plan: 1. Liquidity sweep at 1804 2. Long zone: 1720/1800 3. Conservative target: 2000 4. If $BTC reaches 70K/72K, then $ETH target is 2100/2200 If anything changes, I’ll let you know! DYOR As a reminder, I warned about the bull trap at $82K and the summer drop. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

$ETH My local view on #ETH My plan: 1. Liquidity sweep at 1804 2. Long zone: 1720/1800 3. Conservative target: 2000 4. If $BTC reaches 70K/72K, then $ETH target is 2100/2200 If anything changes, I’ll let you know! DYOR As a reminder, I warned about the bull trap at $82K and the summer drop. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

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$HYPE UPDATE My local view on #HYPE So far, everything is going according to plan: 1. Liquidity taken (DONE) 2. Long zone - $52/$49.7, global channel midline & trendline (DONE) 3. $57 minimum target - 50% of the position closed (DONE) 4. Holding the remaining 50% - 0.5 Fib target: $60 5. Final target: $61/$62 6. If $51/$49.7 breaks, shorts become the priority 7. Second long zone - $41/$48 for a bounce/retest of the global channel & trendline I’m planning to start my first spot buys in the $38–$48 zone. Greed is taking over now, so everyone has to decide for themselves when to close their long. Greed leads to Poverty Reminder: I expect the final correction to start in August/September, with $BTC setting its low around October/November. If anything changes, I’ll let you know. DYOR As a reminder, I warned about the bull trap at $82K and the summer drop. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

$HYPE UPDATE My local view on #HYPE So far, everything is going according to plan: 1. Liquidity taken (DONE) 2. Long zone - $52/$49.7, global channel midline & trendline (DONE) 3. $57 minimum target - 50% of the position closed (DONE) 4. Holding the remaining 50% - 0.5 Fib target: $60 5. Final target: $61/$62 6. If $51/$49.7 breaks, shorts become the priority 7. Second long zone - $41/$48 for a bounce/retest of the global channel & trendline I’m planning to start my first spot buys in the $38–$48 zone. Greed is taking over now, so everyone has to decide for themselves when to close their long. Greed leads to Poverty Reminder: I expect the final correction to start in August/September, with $BTC setting its low around October/November. If anything changes, I’ll let you know. DYOR As a reminder, I warned about the bull trap at $82K and the summer drop. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

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🚨 THE FINAL PHASE OF BEAR MARKET IS VERY CLOSE! Next target for $BTC is filling the CME gap And when it happens... A HUGE AMOUNT OF SHORT POSITIONS WILL BE LIQUIDATED This is all a TRAP! BUT everyone will call it a breakout! Everyone already thinks the bull market is back BULLS won't like what's coming next Because everyone will be fooled again REMEMBER, THIS IS JUST MANIPULATION - A BULL TRAP! EVERYTHING IS GOING ACCORDING TO MY PLAN, DON’T WORRY. TURN ON NOTIFS, FOLLOW & BOOKMARK!

🚨 THE FINAL PHASE OF BEAR MARKET IS VERY CLOSE! Next target for $BTC is filling the CME gap And when it happens... A HUGE AMOUNT OF SHORT POSITIONS WILL BE LIQUIDATED This is all a TRAP! BUT everyone will call it a breakout! Everyone already thinks the bull market is back BULLS won't like what's coming next Because everyone will be fooled again REMEMBER, THIS IS JUST MANIPULATION - A BULL TRAP! EVERYTHING IS GOING ACCORDING TO MY PLAN, DON’T WORRY. TURN ON NOTIFS, FOLLOW & BOOKMARK!

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🚨 $HYPE is going exactly as I told you. We saw a correction into the 56–60 zone. NOW: HYPE is heading toward the target $65–$70! We are seeing a bull trap on this asset. After testing the 0.5 Fibonacci level, we got a local reversal pattern: an inverted head and shoulders. New Fibonacci target: 0.5–0.618 = $65–$70 This is just a bounce before the further drop to $38–$48! Spot buys start at $48. Not before. Share your opinion in the comments - what do you expect from this asset? As a reminder, I warned about the bull trap at $82K and the summer drop MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE

🚨 $HYPE is going exactly as I told you. We saw a correction into the 56–60 zone. NOW: HYPE is heading toward the target $65–$70! We are seeing a bull trap on this asset. After testing the 0.5 Fibonacci level, we got a local reversal pattern: an inverted head and shoulders. New Fibonacci target: 0.5–0.618 = $65–$70 This is just a bounce before the further drop to $38–$48! Spot buys start at $48. Not before. Share your opinion in the comments - what do you expect from this asset? As a reminder, I warned about the bull trap at $82K and the summer drop MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE

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$ETH UPDATE My local view on #ETH So far, everything is going according to plan: 1. We broke out of the wedge and are now retesting it (DONE) 2. Liquidity sweep at $1,804 (LOANDING?) 3. First long zone: $1,720/$1,800 4. Second long zone: $1,744/$1,680 5. Conservative target: $2,000 6. If $BTC reaches $70K/$72K, then $ETH target is $2,100/$2,200 REMINDER: I said the probability of reaching the second zone was low, and that we might not even reach the first long zone. $ETH looks much stronger than $BTC, so if you bought #ETH on June 30 when I was targeting $1,950/$2,000 - well done. I can’t give you an overly risky long entry, so I highlighted two long zones. There is still a possibility that we reach them. Over the next 30–90 days, I expect the final correction to begin. If anything changes, I’ll let you know! DYOR. REMINDER: I warned about the $BTC bull trap at $82K, the summer drop, and the $SPCX decline before it even happened. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

$ETH UPDATE My local view on #ETH So far, everything is going according to plan: 1. We broke out of the wedge and are now retesting it (DONE) 2. Liquidity sweep at $1,804 (LOANDING?) 3. First long zone: $1,720/$1,800 4. Second long zone: $1,744/$1,680 5. Conservative target: $2,000 6. If $BTC reaches $70K/$72K, then $ETH target is $2,100/$2,200 REMINDER: I said the probability of reaching the second zone was low, and that we might not even reach the first long zone. $ETH looks much stronger than $BTC, so if you bought #ETH on June 30 when I was targeting $1,950/$2,000 - well done. I can’t give you an overly risky long entry, so I highlighted two long zones. There is still a possibility that we reach them. Over the next 30–90 days, I expect the final correction to begin. If anything changes, I’ll let you know! DYOR. REMINDER: I warned about the $BTC bull trap at $82K, the summer drop, and the $SPCX decline before it even happened. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

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$HYPE UPDATE My local #HYPE trade is now closed So far, everything is going according to plan: 1. Liquidity taken (DONE) 2. Long zone - $52/$49.7, global channel midline & trendline (DONE) 3. $57 minimum target - 50% of the position closed (DONE) 4. In the TG channel, I added to my position at $55, bringing my average entry to $53.8 (DONE) 5. Took profit today at $59.8 (DONE) 6. $61/$62 targets are still possible as well Congratulations to everyone who took this trade with me - you made money. That’s your achievement, because you made the decision to take the risk. I’m expecting the final correction at the end of August/September, so be careful with longs. My $ETH long is still open (in profit), as is my $BTC long (currently at a small loss). I also haven’t closed my global #BTC short, as I’m still waiting for the final correction. If anything changes, I’ll let you know! DYOR. REMINDER: I warned about the $BTC bull trap at $82K, the summer drop, and the SPACE X decline before they even happened. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

$HYPE UPDATE My local #HYPE trade is now closed So far, everything is going according to plan: 1. Liquidity taken (DONE) 2. Long zone - $52/$49.7, global channel midline & trendline (DONE) 3. $57 minimum target - 50% of the position closed (DONE) 4. In the TG channel, I added to my position at $55, bringing my average entry to $53.8 (DONE) 5. Took profit today at $59.8 (DONE) 6. $61/$62 targets are still possible as well Congratulations to everyone who took this trade with me - you made money. That’s your achievement, because you made the decision to take the risk. I’m expecting the final correction at the end of August/September, so be careful with longs. My $ETH long is still open (in profit), as is my $BTC long (currently at a small loss). I also haven’t closed my global #BTC short, as I’m still waiting for the final correction. If anything changes, I’ll let you know! DYOR. REMINDER: I warned about the $BTC bull trap at $82K, the summer drop, and the SPACE X decline before they even happened. MY NEXT CALL WILL BE THE BIGGEST ONE OF THIS CYCLE. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

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WHEAT IS GOING ACCORDING TO PLAN Previously, I wrote about the reasons why we could see wheat prices rise. From a technical analysis perspective, we also bounced off the monthly trendline. REMINDER: I warned about the BTC bull trap at $82K, the bounce from $62K, the summer drop, and the SPACE X decline before they even happened. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

WHEAT IS GOING ACCORDING TO PLAN Previously, I wrote about the reasons why we could see wheat prices rise. From a technical analysis perspective, we also bounced off the monthly trendline. REMINDER: I warned about the BTC bull trap at $82K, the bounce from $62K, the summer drop, and the SPACE X decline before they even happened. TURN ON NOTIFICATIONS. MOST PEOPLE WILL FOLLOW ME TOO LATE.

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