๐๐ง๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฌ๐ ๐ช๐บ๐ต๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ
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International Affairs & Intercultural Nego | Eastern ๐ช๐บ | Tracking the collapse of russiaโs war economy & war machine #NAFO โ @wilendhornets ไฟ็ฝๆฏๆฏ้ฃๆด๏ผไธญๅฝๆฏๆฐๅๅๅใ
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๐ฅRussians are panicking over Ukraineโs new refinery strike tactics. Drones reportedly switch targets mid-flight, and Trump can no longer simply pull the plug. The Russian Telegram channel *ะะฝะตะฒะฝะธะบ ะ ะฐะทะฒะตะดัะธะบะฐ* (Intelligence Officerโs Diary, 147,800 subscribers) describes a major shift in Ukraineโs long-range drone campaign following the strikes on Kstovo, Samara and Yaroslavl. Previously, Ukrainian drones were sent toward predetermined targets. If the first drones successfully hit a refinery unit, the rest continued toward the same target. Now, according to the Russian channel, Ukrainian operators can monitor strikes in real time and redirect incoming drones while they are still in flight. Once a primary distillation unit is hit, subsequent drones can be redirected toward storage tanks, cracking units, electrical substations or other critical equipment. Instead of concentrating an entire wave on one target, Ukraine can distribute the damage across multiple parts of the refinery. The Russians are describing something far more dangerous for their oil industry than simply larger drone attacks: the ability to adapt an entire strike while it is happening. The channel attributes this capability to Israeli HiSKY SmartLight satellite communications terminals, which it says Ukraine is using as an alternative to Starlink. It claims the terminals allow two-way communication over Russian territory, making it possible to adjust flight paths, identify air-defence positions and redirect drones around interception zones. And then comes the most revealing part. The Russian channel argues that American restrictions on Starlink have backfired spectacularly. Its conclusion: "Trump has simply lost his leverage over Kyivโs long-range strikes." And: "Ukraine has slipped off the American leash and found a commercial alternative that the White House cannot switch off with a phone call." That is coming from a Russian military channel, not Ukrainian propaganda. Moscow is now discussing a scenario in which Ukraine can strike multiple critical refinery units in a single operation, adapt to Russian air defences in real time and continue its campaign without depending on American-controlled communications. Putin has been trying to get Trump to restrain Ukraineโs refinery strikes. Now Russian military commentators are warning that even American pressure may no longer be enough. The irony is extraordinary. Washington reportedly tried to limit Ukraineโs options. The Russians are now complaining that Ukraine has found a way around those limits. The HiSKY deployment, electronic-warfare resistance and real-time retargeting capabilities are claims made by the Russian channel, not independently established technical facts. The attribution in the draft matters, especially for the claims about Trumpโs leverage.
๐๐ง๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฌ๐ ๐ช๐บ๐ต๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ626,189 views โข 2 days ago
๐บ๐ธ๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆ๐ช๐บ Abu Dhabiโs big diplomatic breakthrough by Trumpโs real-estate boys: Zelensky had to sit them down and explain, like they were five, that Ukraine isn't a distressed asset in Florida. "I've had to explain this to the Real Estate Bros Kushner & Witkoff: the Donbass isn't my personal property to flip. I can't just gift them an extra two kilometers because it makes the term sheet look cleaner or because someone in Moscow offered a 'package deal'. The Donbas is not my building. People live there. Try thinking about it as if Russians had already taken half of Florida and were asking Trump to hand over the rest so you two could finally close the deal and go back to building luxury resorts on the rubble." Once again, Ukraine rejected the US plan to gift its regions to Moscow.
๐๐ง๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฌ๐ ๐ช๐บ๐ต๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ227,457 views โข 1 day ago
Russian negotiators told Zelenskyโs team they werenโt allowed to discuss reducing the killing. What Ukraine heard: Putin is enraged and wants the shelling to continue. Meanwhile Macron is publicly saying the US has stopped supporting Ukraine, and the FT reports Washington throttled Starlink to strengthen russiaโs hand at the table. Putin demands more Ukrainian blood. Washington makes sure Ukraine pays the price for refusing to surrender.
๐๐ง๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฌ๐ ๐ช๐บ๐ต๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ47,737 views โข 9 hours ago
๐ท๐บ Economist Vyacheslav Shiryaev: If Ukraine decides to finish the job, russiaโs oil refining can be wiped out in 2 to 3 weeks. Not years. WEEKS. Over the past 5 days, 3 russian refineries have been completely shut down. Ten major refineries left. One a day. Gasoline production โ zero. russia cannot import 100,000 tonnes of fuel a day. It doesnโt have the currency. It doesnโt have the options. Ukraine holds the switch. And once the refineries are gone, the war economy runs on fumes.
๐๐ง๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฌ๐ ๐ช๐บ๐ต๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ319,686 views โข 4 days ago
Volodymyr Zelenskyy / ะะพะปะพะดะธะผะธั ะะตะปะตะฝััะบะธะน Putin is getting bolder. Yesterdayโs sham talks proved it. Moscow is back to its 2021 demands. Ukraine says Starshield restrictions are letting Russian drones through. Trump is helping Putinโs army to slaughter Ukrainians. A stain America will never wash off.
๐๐ง๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฌ๐ ๐ช๐บ๐ต๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ21,168 views โข 12 hours ago
๐ฅ Two humiliations in one week for russia: the last russian diesel tanker U-turns from the US, and Ukraine just knocked out 30% of russiaโs refining throughput. Again Throughput: 700,000 โ 500,000 tonnes/day. Kirishi, NORSI, Ryazan, Yaroslavl hit. Fuel limits reimposed in multiple regions. 9 of the 35 largest plants disrupted. Fuel caps already back in at least 8 regions. The pause is over. One week of resumed strikes and Russia has lost roughly 30% of refining throughput again. The refineries are burning again. Fuel caps reimposed across multiple regions. Reuters, citing industry sources. Nine of the 35 largest refineries have seen disrupted operations since the end of October. Combined nameplate capacity of the plants hit: 300 000 tonnes per day (2.2 million barrels). Total primary refining capacity: ~930 000 tonnes per day. Actual crude throughput has fallen from 700 000 tonnes per day at the end of October to 500 000 tonnes per day now โ about 10 % below the SeptemberโOctober average. The drop relative to the plants that were running is closer to 30 %. The list includes four of the largest plants: Kirishi / KINEF (Leningrad, ~20โ22 Mt/year) โ hit 9 November. NORSI (Nizhny Novgorod, 17 Mt). Ryazan (Rosneft, 17 Mt). Slavneft-YANOS (Yaroslavl, 15 Mt). Plus Novokuibyshevsk, Bashneft-UNPZ and Afipsky. Fuel sale limits are already back in at least eight regions. Leningrad: 30 litres gasoline / 50 litres diesel. Karelia, Buryatia, Moscow Rosneft stations and others have re-imposed caps. The refining capacity that was restored during the two-week pause has been taken offline again.
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1/ ๐ท๐ธ๐ท๐บ Vuฤiฤ just lost Serbia. russiaโs most useful Balkan ally called a snap election to cling to power. Students who spent 2 yrs in the streets crushed him. Moscow spent a decade buying influence with cheap gas & political cover. Europe didn't oust him. Serbians did.
๐๐ง๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฌ๐ ๐ช๐บ๐ต๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ412,422 views โข 17 days ago
๐ฅ Kazakhstan HALTED the AtyrauโSamara pipeline. Ukraine hit russiaโs major oil hub in Samara โ Europeโs largest tank farm. 71 tanks. 1.6M mยณ. This is how you cut export routes without touching a port.
๐๐ง๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฌ๐ ๐ช๐บ๐ต๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ103,888 views โข 10 days ago
1/ ๐บ๐ธ๐บ๐ฆ๐ท๐บ โTrump has been bought by Putin.โ โ Retired U.S. Gen. Ben Hodges, ex-Army Europe commander. โHe can admit he belongs to Putin, or keep stalling and hope the next president protects him from prosecution.โ
๐๐ง๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฌ๐ ๐ช๐บ๐ต๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ37,844 views โข 6 days ago
๐ฅ Ukraine has shut down all three of russiaโs Azov Sea ports. Rostov governor: Rostov, Taganrog and Azov are effectively closed. Piers and storage facilities damaged. 7,000 jobs still being paid. Loans still due. The whole port industry is at risk.
๐๐ง๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฌ๐ ๐ช๐บ๐ต๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ39,850 views โข 7 days ago
๐บ๐ธ๐ช๐บ Diplomats lie. Body language doesnโt.
๐๐ง๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฌ๐ ๐ช๐บ๐ต๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ1,618,120 views โข 9 months ago
๐ฅ russian economist: โThere is actually no way out of it.โ Vladislav Zhukovsky: the only way out of russiaโs fuel crisis is to stop the destruction of its refineries. โBut we see that this is not happening.โ Today Ukraine hit Kirishi โ russiaโs second-largest refinery. 20 million tonnes a year. And more is coming. ๐บ๐ฆ ๐งต 1/4
๐๐ง๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฌ๐ ๐ช๐บ๐ต๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ369,957 views โข 2 months ago
๐ฅ This has never happened before. Retired colonel Viktor Baranets just admitted on air that ๐ท๐บ officers shot down the Malaysian Boeing over Donbas. โA Russian officer shot it downโฆ because this infection had entered our airspace.โ 298 dead.
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