Yoshi

@AIYoshi21 • 10,249 subscribers

Operator and Investor | Member @alliance

Shorts

My Prediction Market Tools list + Trading Workflow A) Tools I use: - Betmoar: Filtering + Analysing specific smart money wallets - : Spotting volume and OI changes + whale flows - Polymarket Analytics: Comparing markets across different Prediction Markets - Polycule: Trading on the go - Polysights: Advanced Metrics related to volatility and trends B) My workflow: 1) I usually trade sports + crypto price prediction markets since I have some kind of expertise there 2) I use Betmoar to filter and find interesting markets. Try to enter new markets as early as possible since there are significant mispricings 3) I then use Hashdive to see what OI changes and whale flows are like for a particular market 4) Polymarket Analytics to compare markets across PM and Kalshi to see where I can get the best price 5) Trade directly through PM and Kalshi for now to execute if im on my laptop and Polycule when I'm not 6) I also check in daily on smart money wallets I follow on BetMoar to see if they've made any interesting trades recently I don't focus on Arbitrage, LPing or delta-neutral trades at all. Prefer to either take directional trades where I have an information edge or I'm early Sometimes I'll 'gamble' on sports markets because it's fun C) Takeaways for you: - Only trade in markets you have in-depth knowledge/edge - Being early is lucrative in prediction markets - Pro tools can save you hours trying to find alpha - Don't use too many tools. Use a few and master them instead - Everyone has their own process. Don't copy mine it won't work for you. The point of this tweet was to educate you on how you can build your own process LMK if there's any other useful tools I should check out that could optimise my workflow further!

My Prediction Market Tools list + Trading Workflow A) Tools I use: - Betmoar: Filtering + Analysing specific smart money wallets - : Spotting volume and OI changes + whale flows - Polymarket Analytics: Comparing markets across different Prediction Markets - Polycule: Trading on the go - Polysights: Advanced Metrics related to volatility and trends B) My workflow: 1) I usually trade sports + crypto price prediction markets since I have some kind of expertise there 2) I use Betmoar to filter and find interesting markets. Try to enter new markets as early as possible since there are significant mispricings 3) I then use Hashdive to see what OI changes and whale flows are like for a particular market 4) Polymarket Analytics to compare markets across PM and Kalshi to see where I can get the best price 5) Trade directly through PM and Kalshi for now to execute if im on my laptop and Polycule when I'm not 6) I also check in daily on smart money wallets I follow on BetMoar to see if they've made any interesting trades recently I don't focus on Arbitrage, LPing or delta-neutral trades at all. Prefer to either take directional trades where I have an information edge or I'm early Sometimes I'll 'gamble' on sports markets because it's fun C) Takeaways for you: - Only trade in markets you have in-depth knowledge/edge - Being early is lucrative in prediction markets - Pro tools can save you hours trying to find alpha - Don't use too many tools. Use a few and master them instead - Everyone has their own process. Don't copy mine it won't work for you. The point of this tweet was to educate you on how you can build your own process LMK if there's any other useful tools I should check out that could optimise my workflow further!

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This smart Polymarket trader has a PnL of $330k with $225m in volume! 1) Here's his strategy: - Buy moonshot bets like 'Will Kanye win the elections'. Essentially buying lottery tickets and hoping one hits - You may be asking, but isnt this just gambling? Well yes, on an individual position basis its a coin toss. But in aggregate, he manages his position sizes very efficiently and is able to ensure diversification of bets - This leads to almost VC-esque returns where most bets are expected to go to 0 but the few that hit do a 100x - Very risky strategy IMO but has worked for this trader 2) Here's how you can copy trade him in 20 seconds using TradeFox: - Paste his wallet address in the search bar - Follow him and then click copy all trades - Input variables based on your risk tolerance and click 'Copy' TradeFox will now automatically copy every single trade made by Agriculture Secretary within 3 seconds (Link in comments)

This smart Polymarket trader has a PnL of $330k with $225m in volume! 1) Here's his strategy: - Buy moonshot bets like 'Will Kanye win the elections'. Essentially buying lottery tickets and hoping one hits - You may be asking, but isnt this just gambling? Well yes, on an individual position basis its a coin toss. But in aggregate, he manages his position sizes very efficiently and is able to ensure diversification of bets - This leads to almost VC-esque returns where most bets are expected to go to 0 but the few that hit do a 100x - Very risky strategy IMO but has worked for this trader 2) Here's how you can copy trade him in 20 seconds using TradeFox: - Paste his wallet address in the search bar - Follow him and then click copy all trades - Input variables based on your risk tolerance and click 'Copy' TradeFox will now automatically copy every single trade made by Agriculture Secretary within 3 seconds (Link in comments)

193,858 views • 9 months ago

This Polymarket looks like an easy bond - 'Will $BTC be above $100k on Nov 13?' - Current $BTC price is $103k - Odds are 95.5% - There's 10 hours left for the market to resolve - IMO this is an easy bond Smart Money 1) Heavily skewed towards YES 2) This trader - blubblerbuster consistently trades Price Prediction Markets successfully and has a PnL of $27k 3) He's the 3rd biggest holder of YES (Pro Tip: Here's how I found this market on TradeFox: a) Open the Market Dropdown on the trade page b) Use the Bonding Soon filter c) Click on interesting markets ) Link in comments

This Polymarket looks like an easy bond - 'Will $BTC be above $100k on Nov 13?' - Current $BTC price is $103k - Odds are 95.5% - There's 10 hours left for the market to resolve - IMO this is an easy bond Smart Money 1) Heavily skewed towards YES 2) This trader - blubblerbuster consistently trades Price Prediction Markets successfully and has a PnL of $27k 3) He's the 3rd biggest holder of YES (Pro Tip: Here's how I found this market on TradeFox: a) Open the Market Dropdown on the trade page b) Use the Bonding Soon filter c) Click on interesting markets ) Link in comments

18,123 views • 9 months ago

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