Ali Hashem علي هاشم
@Alihashem • 112,485 subscribers
🇱🇧|🇸🇱 @AJEnglish | Founder @darhashembooks & @aljadahmedia | bylines @AlMonitor @AmwajMedia @foreignpolicy| MA Politics & IR (#Iran) @RoyalHolloway
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Two of southern Lebanon’s main cities, Tyre and Nabatieh, now face the direct threat of Israeli occupation. Israeli forces have advanced to within 5 km of Nabatieh, reaching Zawtar Al-Sharqieh, while residents of Tyre have already received evacuation orders. The Lebanese government has no intention of mounting a military defense, leaving negotiations as its only recourse. Which is quite awkward. Hezbollah’s FPV drones can inflict costs on advancing Israeli forces, but cannot halt an invasion. Iran’s condition, that Israel refrain from attacking Beirut and the southern suburbs, carries no real operational weight, as Netanyahu is clearly pursuing a new facts-on-the-ground strategy regardless. More Israeli soldiers will be killed as more Lebanese land will be taken. Our villages have been systematically razed over these past months, and now the cities themselves are in the crosshairs. Anyone waiting for a quick resolution should abandon that hope. I don’t see this as a crisis that could be measured in weeks or months, it is a transformation, total transformation that’s could last for years. And they will not be years of quiet suffering, they will be long, grinding, destructive years, with no clear end and no promise of anything resembling normalcy.
Ali Hashem علي هاشم39,575 次观看 • 8 天前
Most important takeaway from Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf’s interview with State TV, “We made progress in the Islamabad negotiations, but the gaps are wide and some fundamental points remain.” MBG covered several topics in what could be described as a message before a turning point, tone was explanatory, less rhetorical, carried both political and strategic messages. Here are points I found interesting: 📌 It is clear that the enemy was defeated, but this is different from saying that we destroyed their army. When the enemy does not achieve its goals, it means it has been defeated 📌The enemy intended to bring counter-revolutionaries into the country from our western and eastern borders to create chaos inside, but it did not succeed and was defeated. 📌All the enemy's effort was to impose their demands on us, and it is important that we assert our rights; therefore, negotiation is a method of struggle here. 📌Securing the nation's rights must be our main goal, and rest assured that there will be no surrender in the diplomatic arena. 📌I emphasize that we have always sought to normalize transit through the Strait of Hormuz and still do; if it has stopped now, it is because the ceasefire was not fully established in Lebanon. 📌If we were negotiating with the US at the time Trump said so, then why were there so many ultimatums? Why were they threatening to strike our infrastructure? 📌 We did not conduct any negotiations until 48 hours before the ceasefire. Trump is a master of lying and psychological warfare. Yesterday he posted 8 tweets, 7 of which were lies. 📌 Our negotiations began on Saturday when we arrived in Pakistan, and before that, only in the last 48 hours of the war leading to the ceasefire, messages were exchanged through Pakistan. 📌Our approach was that our entry into the 10-point negotiation framework would be when the Lebanon ceasefire was established and Iran's frozen assets were released. 📌Basically, our first meeting with Mr. Asim Munir as a mediator lasted 2 hours and 15 minutes in Islamabad, focusing on the Lebanon ceasefire. His first meeting with the Americans was also on this subject. From there, we saw their efforts to pursue the ceasefire begin, and they implemented the ceasefire incompletely. 📌Currently, we also have disagreements on several issues related to the nuclear matter and the Strait of Hormuz. Of course, the essence of negotiation is for understanding, but we have our principles. 📌The Zionist regime and America have constantly had a cycle of war - ceasefire - peace, and this cycle must be broken, and sustainable peace must be established with guarantees that war will not happen again. 📌We have reached conclusions on some issues, but not on others, and other proposals have been made; we are still far from a final discussion. 📌We insist on some issues which are non-negotiable for us, and their number is one or two, and the other side also has similar points. 📌In summary, we made progress in the Islamabad negotiations, but the gaps are wide and some fundamental points remain. 📌We have tried to follow the experiences of past periods and the distrust towards the U.S., and (in case of agreement) our policy will also be step-by-step action; it should not be that we fulfill our commitments but they do not; in case of agreement, we take one step and they must also take one step.
Ali Hashem علي هاشم160,423 次观看 • 1 个月前
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After around 50 days in Iran, covering the war and later ceasefire, it’s time for some rest. Leaving the country behind in the midst of “no war no peace” stalemate, anticipation of something that is to come, Trump’s Godot. I’m not sure when I’ll be back and how, but quite certain there’s not yet a closure to the conflict. I hope I was useful during these weeks of coverage. Video from my ride to the airport.
Ali Hashem علي هاشم69,649 次观看 • 1 个月前
