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MLB research platform based on game simulations • Thousands of subscribers rely on https://t.co/kecgJWiGNd each day • Daily Park Factors • Full Game Projections

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Wrigley Field is rated +40% for homers today - but the boost varies by hitter Guys that hit it around the warning track more often, like Jackson Merrill (+62%), are more impacted by the conditions

Wrigley Field is rated +40% for homers today - but the boost varies by hitter Guys that hit it around the warning track more often, like Jackson Merrill (+62%), are more impacted by the conditions

125,126 просмотров

Murakami's moon shot last night was the highest/softest HR hit since Statcast began over 10 years ago. There had never been a HR hit < 99 mph and higher than 46° launch angle. He hit it 95.8 at 48°. Maybe it was the wind?🤔

Murakami's moon shot last night was the highest/softest HR hit since Statcast began over 10 years ago. There had never been a HR hit < 99 mph and higher than 46° launch angle. He hit it 95.8 at 48°. Maybe it was the wind?🤔

165,245 просмотров

Wrigley is showing a 34% HR boost tonight…but that number varies for each hitter. Nico Hoerner (+57%) hits shorter fly balls toward the shallow part of Wrigley while Shea Langeliers (+19%) hits it deeper and spreads it around

Wrigley is showing a 34% HR boost tonight…but that number varies for each hitter. Nico Hoerner (+57%) hits shorter fly balls toward the shallow part of Wrigley while Shea Langeliers (+19%) hits it deeper and spreads it around

73,219 просмотров

The new Batter Park Factors page now accounts for today’s weather! William Contreras batted balls since 2022 laid over Wrigley Field 🔴 Stadium only: -8.1 HRs 🟢 Stadium and Weather: +34.3 HRs

The new Batter Park Factors page now accounts for today’s weather! William Contreras batted balls since 2022 laid over Wrigley Field 🔴 Stadium only: -8.1 HRs 🟢 Stadium and Weather: +34.3 HRs

52,230 просмотров

Michael King’s performance fell off a cliff late last season after dealing with two IL stints He allowed 20 runs and 9 HRs (!) in just 17.2 spring training innings 😬 He’ll get the start against Detroit tonight

Michael King’s performance fell off a cliff late last season after dealing with two IL stints He allowed 20 runs and 9 HRs (!) in just 17.2 spring training innings 😬 He’ll get the start against Detroit tonight

40,472 просмотров

Another feature added to the Starting Pitchers page You can now view bullpen projections - on their own or in the same table with starters:

Another feature added to the Starting Pitchers page You can now view bullpen projections - on their own or in the same table with starters:

17,134 просмотров

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The unluckiest home run hitter in 2026 was Bryan Reynolds, who lost an estimated 8.2 HRs to stadium and weather effects The Top 10 Unluckiest: Bryan Reynolds: 17 HRs (-8.2) Riley Greene: 21 HRs (-7.7) Alec Burleson: 26 HRs (-7.4) Mike Trout: 22 HRs (-6.3) Miguel Vargas: 33 HRs (-6.7) Zach Neto: 27 HRs (-5.5) James Wood: 30 HRs (-5.4) Kevin McGonigle: 18 HRs (-4.7) Wilyer Abreu: 24 HRs (-4.6) Otto Lopez: 11 HRs (-4.6)

The unluckiest home run hitter in 2026 was Bryan Reynolds, who lost an estimated 8.2 HRs to stadium and weather effects The Top 10 Unluckiest: Bryan Reynolds: 17 HRs (-8.2) Riley Greene: 21 HRs (-7.7) Alec Burleson: 26 HRs (-7.4) Mike Trout: 22 HRs (-6.3) Miguel Vargas: 33 HRs (-6.7) Zach Neto: 27 HRs (-5.5) James Wood: 30 HRs (-5.4) Kevin McGonigle: 18 HRs (-4.7) Wilyer Abreu: 24 HRs (-4.6) Otto Lopez: 11 HRs (-4.6)

184,731 просмотров • 22 дней назад

Ballpark Pal is back, and the revamped site is completely free until April 1st! Here’s a guide to the 2026 version - from Just Baseball’s Peter Appel:

Ballpark Pal is back, and the revamped site is completely free until April 1st! Here’s a guide to the 2026 version - from Just Baseball’s Peter Appel:

871,266 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

The luckiest pitcher in 2026 when it came to HRs was Randy Vasquez, who had an estimated 7.5 taken away by stadium and weather effects (and Jackson Merrill) The Top 10 Luckiest: Randy Vasquez: 16 HRs (-7.5) Michael McGreevy: 21 HRs (-6.7) Shane McClanahan: 10 HRs (-5.5) Grant Holmes: 22 HRs (-5.4) Eduardo Rodriguez: 19 HRs (-5.0) Sean Manaea: 25 HRs (-4.7) Seth Lugo: 23 HRs (-4.4) Michael Soroka: 10 HRs (-4.2) Rhett Lowder: 18 HRs (-4.1) Kyle Leahy: 15 HRs (-3.5)

The luckiest pitcher in 2026 when it came to HRs was Randy Vasquez, who had an estimated 7.5 taken away by stadium and weather effects (and Jackson Merrill) The Top 10 Luckiest: Randy Vasquez: 16 HRs (-7.5) Michael McGreevy: 21 HRs (-6.7) Shane McClanahan: 10 HRs (-5.5) Grant Holmes: 22 HRs (-5.4) Eduardo Rodriguez: 19 HRs (-5.0) Sean Manaea: 25 HRs (-4.7) Seth Lugo: 23 HRs (-4.4) Michael Soroka: 10 HRs (-4.2) Rhett Lowder: 18 HRs (-4.1) Kyle Leahy: 15 HRs (-3.5)

36,727 просмотров • 17 дней назад

Introducing the new “Parks” tab on Batter pages! This lets you see how a hitter’s profile is affected by each stadium

288,482 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

An estimated +33 homers have been added by stadium & weather effects at Wrigley this year The top 10 most fortunate, ranked by HR chance in a MLB-neutral environment: #10: Kyle Tucker - 2.6% HR chance #9: Pete Crow-Armstrong - 1.9% #8: Matt Chapman - 1.7% #7: Brandon Marsh - 1.4% #6: Dillon Dingler - 0.8% #5: Dansby Swanson - 0.7% #4: Fernando Tatis Jr - 0.4% #3: Dansby Swanson - 0.3% #2: Michael Busch - 0.3% #1: Shea Langeliers - 0.03%

An estimated +33 homers have been added by stadium & weather effects at Wrigley this year The top 10 most fortunate, ranked by HR chance in a MLB-neutral environment: #10: Kyle Tucker - 2.6% HR chance #9: Pete Crow-Armstrong - 1.9% #8: Matt Chapman - 1.7% #7: Brandon Marsh - 1.4% #6: Dillon Dingler - 0.8% #5: Dansby Swanson - 0.7% #4: Fernando Tatis Jr - 0.4% #3: Dansby Swanson - 0.3% #2: Michael Busch - 0.3% #1: Shea Langeliers - 0.03%

90,528 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Solid hitting conditions are expected for the Home Run Derby tonight. Citizens Bank is a top HR park down both lines 77° ☀️ 8 mph 💨⬆️↗️ There’s a guide on Ballpark Pal that helps you analyze each hitter in the field:

Solid hitting conditions are expected for the Home Run Derby tonight. Citizens Bank is a top HR park down both lines 77° ☀️ 8 mph 💨⬆️↗️ There’s a guide on Ballpark Pal that helps you analyze each hitter in the field:

147,683 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

Mookie Betts had an estimated 7.4 HRs added by stadium and weather effects this year, which was the most in MLB The Top 10: Mookie Betts: 23 HRs (+7.4) Eugenio Suarez: 26 HRs (+7.0) Hunter Goodman: 41 HRs (+6.8) Manny Machado: 30 HRs (+6.7) Tyler Soderstrom: 19 HRs (+6.0) Christian Walker: 29 HRs (+5.7) Joc Pederson: 26 HRs (+5.5) Junior Caminero: 42 HRs (+5.0) Nolan Arenado: 30 HRs (+4.9) Alex Bregman: 28 HRs (+4.7)

Mookie Betts had an estimated 7.4 HRs added by stadium and weather effects this year, which was the most in MLB The Top 10: Mookie Betts: 23 HRs (+7.4) Eugenio Suarez: 26 HRs (+7.0) Hunter Goodman: 41 HRs (+6.8) Manny Machado: 30 HRs (+6.7) Tyler Soderstrom: 19 HRs (+6.0) Christian Walker: 29 HRs (+5.7) Joc Pederson: 26 HRs (+5.5) Junior Caminero: 42 HRs (+5.0) Nolan Arenado: 30 HRs (+4.9) Alex Bregman: 28 HRs (+4.7)

34,206 просмотров • 21 дней назад

The Top 5 most egregious meatballs taken deep for homers this season #5 - Luis Gil to Christian Walker #4 - Michael King to Jared Young #3 - Ryan Johnson to Yohel Pozo #2 - Martin Perez to Julio Rodriguez #1 - Gerrit Cole to Jacob Gonzalez

The Top 5 most egregious meatballs taken deep for homers this season #5 - Luis Gil to Christian Walker #4 - Michael King to Jared Young #3 - Ryan Johnson to Yohel Pozo #2 - Martin Perez to Julio Rodriguez #1 - Gerrit Cole to Jacob Gonzalez

83,509 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

The unluckiest pitcher in 2026 when it came to HRs was Jeffrey Springs, who had an estimated +9.5 added by stadium and weather effects The Top 10 Unluckiest: Jeffrey Springs: 35 HRs (+9.5) Shota Imanaga: 35 HRs (+7.7) Aaron Nola: 37 HRs (+7.4) Jacob Lopez: 23HRs (+5.8) Gerrit Cole: 22 HRs (+5.7) Freddy Peralta: 23 HRs (+5.3) Zach Wheeler: 21 HRs (+5.0) Brady Singer: 32 HRs (+4.8) Nathan Eovaldi: 24 HRs (+4.8) Mike Burrows: 21 HRs (+4.7)

The unluckiest pitcher in 2026 when it came to HRs was Jeffrey Springs, who had an estimated +9.5 added by stadium and weather effects The Top 10 Unluckiest: Jeffrey Springs: 35 HRs (+9.5) Shota Imanaga: 35 HRs (+7.7) Aaron Nola: 37 HRs (+7.4) Jacob Lopez: 23HRs (+5.8) Gerrit Cole: 22 HRs (+5.7) Freddy Peralta: 23 HRs (+5.3) Zach Wheeler: 21 HRs (+5.0) Brady Singer: 32 HRs (+4.8) Nathan Eovaldi: 24 HRs (+4.8) Mike Burrows: 21 HRs (+4.7)

27,499 просмотров • 19 дней назад

The Top 10 Nastiest Strikeout Pitches this year - based on swinging strike probability from the Ballpark Pal model #10: Aaron Nola vs Griffin Conine #9: Jacob Misiorowski vs Graham Pauley #8: A.J. Minter vs Romy Gonzalez #7: Sam Bachman vs Tyler Soderstrom #6: Tyler Phillips vs Jarren Duran #5: Will Warren vs Yoan Moncada #4: Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Rafael Flores #3: Chris Sale vs Jarren Duran #2: Griffin Canning vs Isaac Collins #1: Nolan McLean vs Bryce Harper

The Top 10 Nastiest Strikeout Pitches this year - based on swinging strike probability from the Ballpark Pal model #10: Aaron Nola vs Griffin Conine #9: Jacob Misiorowski vs Graham Pauley #8: A.J. Minter vs Romy Gonzalez #7: Sam Bachman vs Tyler Soderstrom #6: Tyler Phillips vs Jarren Duran #5: Will Warren vs Yoan Moncada #4: Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Rafael Flores #3: Chris Sale vs Jarren Duran #2: Griffin Canning vs Isaac Collins #1: Nolan McLean vs Bryce Harper

61,831 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

The new dimensions at Kauffman Stadium have produced 10-13 extra homers this year (20-26% increase so far). Unfortunately for KC, the visitors have taken better advantage Royals: 3 definite new HRs, 1 maybe Visitors: 7 definite new HRs, 1 probably, 1 maybe

The new dimensions at Kauffman Stadium have produced 10-13 extra homers this year (20-26% increase so far). Unfortunately for KC, the visitors have taken better advantage Royals: 3 definite new HRs, 1 maybe Visitors: 7 definite new HRs, 1 probably, 1 maybe

97,810 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Kody Clemens has been the unluckiest hitter since the All-Star Break with the largest gap between "expected" and actual outcomes He's lost an estimated 6 homers and 33 total bases to stadium/weather/batted ball luck over his last 1,000 pitches faced

Kody Clemens has been the unluckiest hitter since the All-Star Break with the largest gap between "expected" and actual outcomes He's lost an estimated 6 homers and 33 total bases to stadium/weather/batted ball luck over his last 1,000 pitches faced

26,036 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

All 9 of Ronald Acuña Jr.'s near-misses this season Home run chance is based solely on how the ball left the bat (not distance), ignoring the stadium and weather

All 9 of Ronald Acuña Jr.'s near-misses this season Home run chance is based solely on how the ball left the bat (not distance), ignoring the stadium and weather

51,853 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Park factors have always been been applied at the hitter level, but now you can see where the #’s come from For example: why Nico Hoerner is +64% for HRs today vs Sal Frelick (+21%) who’s playing in the same park ⬇️ Hoerner hits more toward Wrigley’s sweet spot in left

Park factors have always been been applied at the hitter level, but now you can see where the #’s come from For example: why Nico Hoerner is +64% for HRs today vs Sal Frelick (+21%) who’s playing in the same park ⬇️ Hoerner hits more toward Wrigley’s sweet spot in left

36,660 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

James Wood's 13 near-misses this season: Home run chance is based solely on how the ball left the bat (not distance), ignoring the stadium and weather

James Wood's 13 near-misses this season: Home run chance is based solely on how the ball left the bat (not distance), ignoring the stadium and weather

22,146 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

Welcome to 2026! There's an actual game tonight and the site is live with game sims for the next two days. Key things to know: -Site is free until April 1st -Price is the same ($10/month) -Last year’s login and subscription don't carry over -Lots of new stuff 👇Peter Appel

Welcome to 2026! There's an actual game tonight and the site is live with game sims for the next two days. Key things to know: -Site is free until April 1st -Price is the same ($10/month) -Last year’s login and subscription don't carry over -Lots of new stuff 👇Peter Appel

17,249 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

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