
Casus Belli
@casusbellii • 83,475 subscribers
Slightly French Analyst / Investigator using all the "INT" | Mostly Africa and ex-USSR | RT ≠ endorsement and views are my own | DM for business
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🇨🇫 | Another video that has been released shows Central African forces alongside Russian mercenaries from the Wagner Group. Vehicles belonging to the UN Mission in the Central African Republic (MINUSCA) can also be seen. Although the armed men in the video speak Arabic and wear sand-colored fatigues similar to those of Chadian and Sudanese forces, they are likely local troops from Vakaga. They claim to now control Amdafok.
Casus Belli156,273 просмотров • 3 дней назад

28/ Since this morning the malian army released 2 communiqué saying the situation was in control. The government also released phone numbers to reach out for civilians. The national TV released a special intervention asking citizens to stay calm, and more importantly to not record any incident and publish it and rather to follow only the malian army communiqué.
Casus Belli93,689 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

🇲🇱🇷🇺| Mali's national television broadcast images of a new military convoy carrying Russian military equipment (Spartak and various armored vehicles) a few days after the arrival of sanctioned Russian vessels in Guinea Conakry. This is the third delivery of Russian equipment by sanctioned vessels to Guinea Conakry since the beginning of 2025, and coincides with the restructuring of the "Wagner" system in Mali, which has now become "Africa Corps".
Casus Belli257,768 просмотров • 1 год назад
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🇬🇳🇷🇺🚨| Footage emerging are showing multiple russian vehicles damage and destroyed including MRAPs and a BTR.
Casus Belli41,230 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

🇷🇺🇸🇳🚨| The Mersin (IMO 9428683), a Panamanian-flagged oil tanker, sank off the coast of Senegal. The ship had left Taman (Russia) bound for Senegal (Dakar). The ship does not appear to be on any sanctions lists and its owner appears to be a Turkish company. This comes at a time when Ukrainian forces have struck two ships from Russia's ghost fleet in the Black Sea. The last visible AIS signal dates from November 25.
Casus Belli88,353 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

20/ Footage showing JNIM commander Abdourhamane Zaza, and his troops stealing stuff from the malian tuareg general El Hadj Ag Gamou in Kidal governorate building. Zaza was the JNIM commander in charge of the Tinzawaten attack back in july 2024 which led to the death of multiple Wagner members and considered as one of the biggest russian loss.
Casus Belli33,665 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Here is Igor Gromyko, russian ambassador to Mali Ambassade de Russie au Mali speaking to RT on the events in Mali Besides the official narrative that says Russia supports Mali, he adds up with two points : - Ukraine is referred as a support of terrorist groups with drones (makes a reference to one of the biggest russian "Wagner" loss back in 2024 in Tinzawaten but don’t acknowledge their presence, only speaks about malian forces) - France which is allegedly backing Ukraine Here again, no reference to Africa Corps losses or retreat or even one way negotiations with terrorists in Kidal and other locations these lasts days without warning malians. And of course no comment on the russian equipments left behind and losses.
Casus Belli24,325 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Right all along award 🥇 Unsurprisingly, France is accused by the junta leader of carrying out this attack on Niamey airport after 24 hours of total silence. He also accuses Côte d'Ivoire and Benin, naming the presidents of the three countries. However, it was this same junta leader who had organized an emergency meeting with his intelligence and security services a few days ago regarding the risk of an imminent attack by terrorist groups on Niamey airport due to security breach.
Casus Belli41,683 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

🇲🇱 🇨🇳 | Malian forces have received a number of Chinese military equipment items, including aerial and ground drones. I am not sure about the identification of the ground drones, but this may be the first time we have seen them deployed (feel free to correct me). The video was shot in KATI during a troop review. (Kudos Iván)
Casus Belli26,084 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

🇲🇱🇷🇺🚨| New images posted on social networks show the arrival of a Russian military convoy in Mali, including an M-21 GRAD missile launcher. The previous convoy observed on 17/01 had been delivered from the port of Conakry to Mali via two ships: Adler and Siyanie Severa. At the time, Russian sources indicated that the equipment came from Russia and was destined for Africa Corps. (h/t Iván López)
Casus Belli52,305 просмотров • 1 год назад

On re: location of Assimi Goita, its not clear at all and there is different rumors While his camp was indeed targeted i don’t believe he was killed. My understanding is that he is hiding somewhere with his security team. Back in november 2024 there was a video released by CANiK (turkish gun manufacturing company)showing turkish instructors training the presidential guard. There are potentially turkish security guards ensuring the safety of Assimi Goita among the presidential guard but no visual confirmation so far, hard to say wether they are just instructors/technicians (remember the whole AES relies on turkish TB-2 drones and other systems) or if it’s more than that (sadat ?)
Casus Belli11,933 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

🇫🇷🇧🇫| Calls to attack the French embassy in Ouagadougou are being circulated on social media. Activists filmed themselves in videos calling for the French embassy to be set on fire on February 14, 2026, if France does not move its embassy out of the country. (cc France Diplomacy 🇫🇷🇪🇺 France Diplomatie 🇫🇷🇪🇺 La France au Burkina Faso🇫🇷🇧🇫 )
Casus Belli20,690 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

🇲🇱🇨🇳| A new video of a military convoy has appeared on social networks in recent hours, showing a large military convoy crossing Guinea into Mali. Several armored vehicles under tarpaulins have been identified. Presumably Chinese military equipment Earlier, a road accident sent a truck and several MRAPs into a ravine in Guinea Conakry, causing a traffic jam on the N1 in the Segueyah sector, resulting in at least 3 deaths.
Casus Belli25,440 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад