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Cecile Shaw

@CecileShaw • 9,785 subscribers

✝️Dual 🇺🇸 🇨🇦 Citizen| Anti 🇨🇦 Govt healthcare monopoly - Mom died on waitlist | Policy analyst| Adult Human Female | Small Gov|Hamiltonian-Clay Economics

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🚨Trump just grouped Canada with Iran. “I hope Canada appreciates being in the same sentence as Iran.” He says both want a deal badly. Canadian Conservatives have been flagging how many IRGC-linked figures have sought refuge or quietly settled in the country. TD Bank paid record multi-billion-dollar U.S. penalties in 2024 over massive AML failures. Treasury Secretary Bessent says a major bank will be sanctioned Monday as part of the Iran pressure campaign. Are Trump’s comments foreshadowing something bigger?

🚨Trump just grouped Canada with Iran. “I hope Canada appreciates being in the same sentence as Iran.” He says both want a deal badly. Canadian Conservatives have been flagging how many IRGC-linked figures have sought refuge or quietly settled in the country. TD Bank paid record multi-billion-dollar U.S. penalties in 2024 over massive AML failures. Treasury Secretary Bessent says a major bank will be sanctioned Monday as part of the Iran pressure campaign. Are Trump’s comments foreshadowing something bigger?

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🚨Debunking Canadian Dairy Claims: ➡️Claim 1: “American dairy farmers never hit the 250% tariff. We never charge your dairy farmers that!” Answer: Because U.S. farmers stay under the quota on purpose. They self-restrict. They could easily blow past it. They don’t, because anything over the line triggers a 250% tariff that would wipe out their margins. Canada’s dairy supply-management system, govt production quotas, administered prices, and sky-high over-quota tariffs is used by no other OECD country. A protected, politically powerful cartel that inflates prices, restricts output, blocks fair competition, reduces choice and is extremely wasteful. ➡️Claim 2: "We're reliable trading partners & don't violate trade trade agreements." 🇳🇿New Zealand, Australia, UK, Mexico, not just the U.S. would disagree. Both the USMCA & the CPTPP required Canada to grant limited extra dairy access. 🇺🇸Under the USMCA, the U.S. was promised access to about 3.5% of Canada’s dairy market. 🇦🇺Under the 2018 CPTPP in force for Canada, Australia, and New Zealand, Canada also promised to open about 3.3% of its dairy market to CPTPP partners. However, Canada then administered those quotas in ways that BLOCKED the access it had promised in both agreements. The U.S. won a USMCA panel over that quota system. New Zealand won a CPTPP panel over the same basic problem & Australia joined the CPTPP case as a 3rd party. 🫵When multiple trading partners say the problem is you, maybe the problem is you. New Zealand dismantled a similar supply management system in the early 1990s so it could compete on open markets. Canada is free to keep this archaic system. At the same time, other countries are equally free to walk away from trade from a country whose market is this closed, costly, incompatible with fair competition, and repeatedly fails to deliver the access it promised. ➡️Claim 3: "But U.S. dairy contains rBST/growth hormone!" False. While it's legal in the U.S., less than 2% of farmers use it according to the Food Professor on Clyde Do Something 🇺🇸🇨🇦 podcast. ➡️Claim 4: “But the U.S. & other countries subsidize their dairy industries too!” 😡 Not all subsidies are created equal. Examine which is more unfair. Supply management is by far the more distorting to a market. Constant govt price-setting & output control is far more unfair than the short-term crisis or disaster payments used by the U.S. & other countries. Those countries use short term subsidies that are not built into the market as a permanent cartel. Canada should stop being the outdated outlier and, if it insists on support, subsidize in a temporary way that most other countries use. Ideally there would be no subsidies. But if there is a choice, short term payments are far fairer than the current systemic supply-managed cartel.

Cecile Shaw

51,188 次观看 • 14 天前

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🚨Before accusing the United States of being unfair or asking too much, look at the historical pattern of the 20 other trade deals it has signed & what other leaders commented. Carney walked away & said the U.S. terms were “uneconomic, unfair” and that Washington “asked too much & offered too little.” That is NOT what other leaders & dealmakers said. 🔵 EU - Ursula von der Leyen: “Today’s deal creates certainty in uncertain times. It delivers stability and predictability…Together, we can ensure stable, predictable, balanced and mutually beneficial transatlantic trade.” 🔴 UK - Keir Starmer: “This is a really fantastic, historic day… This is going to boost trade… not only protect jobs, but create jobs.” 🟠 India - Narendra Modi: “Delighted that Made in India products will now have a reduced tariff of 18%. Big thanks to President Trump… it benefits our people and unlocks immense opportunities for mutually beneficial cooperation.” 🌸 Japan - Officials said they “protected national interests,” locked in 15% auto tariffs with no quota, and later called it a “GREAT DEAL.” Same basic model everywhere for the other countries: Lower U.S. tariff, partner opens its market, investment to purchase commitments. 🍁 Canada was offered what Washington called the BEST treatment of any major exporter. Carney still walked. Never provided transparency of the details. Yet, 20 other governments made a fair deal and called it historic, balanced, mutually beneficial, or at least certain. Carney is the outlier. The receipts are public. 🟡 UAE businessman Sultan Ahmed bin Sulayem: “What Trump wants is fair trade. He doesn’t want free trade. From Trump’s point, the American market is open. You want to work with the US and open your market.”

Cecile Shaw

42,463 次观看 • 18 天前

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