Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings |

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Fmr. SEAL Team 6 Squadron Leader | @KyivPost Correspondent | NYT Bestselling Author | Geopolitical & military analysis | Follow for Battle Maps of Ukraine

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Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings |

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HOW’S IT GOING? Ukraine's MoD reports that last month 35,000 Russians made the ultimate sacrifice for Putin. One Russian was killed every 74 seconds, 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. 80% of them were eliminated by Ukrainian FPVs.

COMBAT DARWINISM: In this oldie but goodie, two Russian geniuses attempt to disable a captured Ukrainian surface-to-air missile launch tube. Hilarity ensues.

OLDIE BUT GOODIE: Two Russian aero-space rocket surgeons discover that deliving an anti-tank mine by duct taping it to a drone is not a viable means of delivery.

BURNING: Following UKR's mass attack on Putin’s Novorossyisk naval station and oil port, Russia shifted tanker loading to the oil refinery in Tuapse. It’s been burning for two days now following a Ukrainian drone strike.

REALLY? Lavrov says, 'Russia harbors no aggressive plans toward NATO or EU members, but if Europe decides to go to war, Russia is ready for it right now’. Russia has presently lost more than 1M troops fighting ONE non-NATO nation.

HYPER-SONIC DUD: One of Putin’s 𝘸ü𝘯𝘥𝘦𝘳𝘸𝘢𝘧𝘧𝘦𝘯, a Kh-47/M2 Kinzhal aero-ballistic missile, veered off target and buried itself in the back garden of a Ukrainian home. Explosive Ordnance Disposal techs rendered the warhead safe &amp; dragged it off.

DARWIN AWARD: Only Russia would embark on a scheme to cammoflage low value targets into higher value platforms. Here, Russian UAZ Bukhanka vans are disguised as 'turtle tanks’, complete with fake barrels and armor. Ukraine noticed.

SPRAY &amp; PRAY: Russia's much hyped 'Terminator' IFV looks like it needs a few bolts tightened. Note the ‘play’ in the muzzles of the twin cannons as they fire. Accuracy seems not to have been a priority when the design was finalized.

BULL’S EYE: Slava 🇺🇦 posts this combat video of a Ukrainian FPV strike on a Russian Pantsir S-1 air defense complex. The 1st phase of every UKR strike targets Russian air defenses. Russia has lost &gt;50% of these point defense platforms.

SCALP! Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 posts this combat video of Ukrainian SCALP cruise missiles targeting a Russian UAV storage site near Donetsk airport overnight on April 14. SCALP missiles and GBU-39 guided bombs were delivered bythe UKR air force.

HAMMER TIME: Ukrainian Air Force fighters are delivering French AASM-250 Hammer guided bombs on Russian command nodes and troop concentrations. Combat footage below.

NO MATTER WHERE YOU GO-- THERE YOU ARE: Russian soldiers, like this one (walking solo), have discovered one of the insoluble problems of winter warfare: footprints. And they always lead to their maker. Video below:

LONG FIGHT: Ukraine's Defense Intelligence says Russia plans to recruit ~12,000 North Korean workers by end of 2025 for Alabuga SEZ in Tatarstan—home to Shahed/Geran murder-drone production. #UkraineWar #Russia #Drones

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THREAT? Ru sources are reporting that Moscow is conducting exercises for a nuclear strike on NATO and the US. 5 of the last 9 Russian ICBM launch attempts failed. This is video of the latest Ru test. Watch for the mushroom cloud at the end.

RUSSIA’S CEASEFIRE? A US-brokered 3-day truce (9-11 MAY) was ignored by Russian troops. Russia launched &gt;140 attacks, 10 assaults, and &gt;850 drone strikes in the hours around the parade."

MORALE IS A FACTOR: Russian crews frequently dismount their vehicles and leave all of the hatches open. It's susected that this is done to allow their vehicles to be destroyed so crews do not have to approach the Zero Line.

PAYBACK: Woofers posts this delightful video of a strike on Russia’s infamous 64th Brigade - the butchers of Butcha. Each red circle marks a fleeing war criminal. Enjoy the show, link below.

CAUGHT IN THE ACT: The Finnish Border Guard has released footage of its operators fast roping onto the Russian shadow fleet vessel 𝘍𝘪𝘵𝘣𝘶𝘳𝘨. The ship was seized after deliberately dragging anchor and damaging underwater cables.

COMBAT DARWINISM: Russian training & fieldcraft is abysmal. Here, the crew of a Russian PC3B multiple rocket launch system discovers that setting up at a conspicuous crossroad is always a bad idea. A Ukrainian HIMARS drives the point home.

HAMMER TIME: UKR intel discovered that Russia was working to establish a drone control post in a former sugar factory in Tyotkino, in Kursk Oblast. A Ukrainian MiG-29MU1 dropped by to deploy a pair French AASM ‘Hammer’ bombs. Video below:

BLUE BEAM: Like their one-time Nazi allies, the Russians are now using blue colored spotlights to direct anti-aircraft artillery (AAA). These lights are typically radar guided &amp; used to coordinate the convergence of other spotlights &amp; coordinate fire.

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NO WIN SITUATION: Russian ineptitude. A vatnik daylight attack, in column, perpendicular to the Zero Line, with no supporting or suppressive fires. That's the guys that don’t ‘fly’ will wind up walking home.

POKROVSK: More footage has been released of the UKR repulse of a Russian 'assault column’ on the M-30 HWY south of Pokrovsk. On 10 DEC the formation was engaged and broken up by Ukrainian FPVs before it could enter the urban area.

DOWN BY THE STERN: The Russian shadow fleet tanker Mersin suffered ‘3 external explosions’ while in transit off the coast of Sengal. After flooding in her machinery spaces, she is down by the stern and unable to precede under her own power. A pity.

PUTIN WILL SAY-- that Ukrainians in the occupied territories ‘voted’ to join the Russian Federation. This is what the ‘Referendum’ looked like. Armed soldiers knocked on your door and demanded that you ‘vote’ YES while they watched. This was OCT ’22.

NEVER GETS OLD: Russian propagandists have threatened to nuke London, Paris, Stockholm &amp; Helsinki. Enjoy this video of a recent test of Russia's premire ICBM, the 'Sarmat'. This is the 5th failed Russian ICBM test launch since 2024.

FROM KYIV: As another of Washington’s ‘two week windows’ evaporates, Putin launches the largest drone attack of the war on Ukrainian civilians. Indications &amp; Warnings reports from Ukraine’s capital.

BLUSTER: Ru's threats to nuke NATO continue. Should Putin do it, he'd face instant retaliation, not only from the US, but its nuclear partners --France &amp; the UK--who both have capable nuclear triads. This is how a retaliatory strike would look. The end.

PAIN AT THE PUMP: While Putin attacks Ukrainain apartment buildings, Ukraine is carrying out a stragic campaign against Russia refineriers and POL infrastructute. The result? Increasingly disaffected Russians in gas lines....

HYPER-SONIC DUD: One of Putin’s 𝘸ü𝘯𝘥𝘦𝘳𝘸𝘢𝘧𝘧𝘦𝘯, a Kh-47/M2 Kinzhal aero-ballistic missile, veered off target and buried itself in the back garden of a Ukrainian home. Explosive Ordnance Disposal techs rendered the warhead safe & dragged it off.

SPRAY & PRAY: Russia's much hyped 'Terminator' IFV looks like it needs a few bolts tightened. Note the ‘play’ in the muzzles of the twin cannons as they fire. Accuracy seems not to have been a priority when the design was finalized.

BULL’S EYE: Slava 🇺🇦 posts this combat video of a Ukrainian FPV strike on a Russian Pantsir S-1 air defense complex. The 1st phase of every UKR strike targets Russian air defenses. Russia has lost >50% of these point defense platforms.

RUSSIA’S CEASEFIRE? A US-brokered 3-day truce (9-11 MAY) was ignored by Russian troops. Russia launched >140 attacks, 10 assaults, and >850 drone strikes in the hours around the parade."

BLUE BEAM: Like their one-time Nazi allies, the Russians are now using blue colored spotlights to direct anti-aircraft artillery (AAA). These lights are typically radar guided & used to coordinate the convergence of other spotlights & coordinate fire.

NEVER GETS OLD: Russian propagandists have threatened to nuke London, Paris, Stockholm & Helsinki. Enjoy this video of a recent test of Russia's premire ICBM, the 'Sarmat'. This is the 5th failed Russian ICBM test launch since 2024.

FROM KYIV: As another of Washington’s ‘two week windows’ evaporates, Putin launches the largest drone attack of the war on Ukrainian civilians. Indications & Warnings reports from Ukraine’s capital.

BLUSTER: Ru's threats to nuke NATO continue. Should Putin do it, he'd face instant retaliation, not only from the US, but its nuclear partners --France & the UK--who both have capable nuclear triads. This is how a retaliatory strike would look. The end.