
Craig Steinke
@Craig_Steinke • 49,101 subscribers
Co-founder, CEO & Director of BluEnergies Ltd. A West Africa deepwater oil & gas explorer targeting Cretaceous basin floor fan plays. TSXV: BLU | OTCQX: BLUGF
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Elon Musk says the AI boom is about to hit a wall on power, and the hold-up is gas turbines. They're sold out through 2030, and only three companies on earth make the blades inside them. Now, Silicon Valley just found out it's in the natural gas business:👇 Musk told Dwarkesh Patel that AI chips are now being made faster than anyone can build the power plants to switch them on. He says other forms of power are very hard to scale quickly, which leaves gas. And you can't just order more gas turbines. The choke point is a single part. According to Musk, you can get everything else for a turbine 12 to 18 months before the vanes and blades arrive. Only three casting companies in the world make them, and all three are massively backlogged. The order books say the same thing. GE Vernova, America's biggest gas turbine maker, reported last week that 122 GW of its turbines are now ordered or reserved. It expects at least 130 GW by year-end. At the 20 GW a year it was aiming to build at by this quarter, that's roughly six years of production spoken for. Here's what that looks like on the ground. Musk says his xAI team had to gang together a whole bunch of turbines just to get a gigawatt online. They hit permit problems in Tennessee, so they crossed the border and built the power plant in Mississippi. Every one of those turbines burns natural gas. Gas already makes 40% of America's electricity, and the EIA expects record US power generation this year and again next year, with data centres one of the main drivers. I've said for a long time that years of underinvestment in oil and gas end one way: the industry hits a wall on supply. And Elon just described what that wall looks like. For years, Western energy policy treated gas as a fuel on its way out. Exploration was discouraged, projects were slowed and capital went elsewhere. Now the AI boom needs more of it than anyone planned for, and the supply chain behind it is already stretched. The energy transition was always going to be a longer road than its advocates admitted. Musk's long-term answer is solar in space, but the AI clusters going up on the ground right now are running on natural gas.
Craig Steinke56,438 просмотров • 6 дней назад
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