David Lee

@dlee4three • 16,713 subscribers

Nuanced & Informative NBA & Draft Analysis | GT ‘24 | Data Engineer | Hawks Film Room: @atlhawksfilm | Writer @afronews | hoops for the people @thehwcollectlve

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David Lee

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Welcome to The 5th Factor - a site built by David Lee with the aim to provide nuanced and informative NBA &amp; draft analysis that's useful for every type of basketball fan. let's walk through the features together 🧶

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Here's a quick look at how the tool works, the rankings are driven by some underlying proprietary PBP stats that will be released in the coming days Planning on ending this cycle with a philosophical piece based on the results from people using this tool!

Every season Cleveland keeps Donovan Mitchell on the roster further depreciates the 30+% of the cap they allocated to Evan Mobley. 1 of the most glaring examples of incongruence between a team’s two best players in the league, CLE MUST make a decision between them this offseason

Duncan Robinson instructed Paul Reed to slip the flare BEFORE the play DRob knows CLE wants to show 2 on Cade, so he ghosts the step-up screen and veers into Reed's screen CLE scrambles -&gt; Mobley has to show -&gt; Reed slips &amp; it's a wide-open layup with Spida in weakside help

In my heart I’m not much of a Tim Duncan “hater” but I couldn’t pass up an opportunity to spread the gospel Here’s a snippet of my argument for Kevin Garnett’s case as the best power forward in NBA history

Fox’s struggles vs the Wolves was preceded by another guard whose efficacy is similarly dependent on their star big, Jamal Murray Near career-low rim frequencies in the RS led to subpar offensive process vs the best drop big ever Murray could grift/get up 3s, Fox is in trouble.

Jabari mirroring KD in warmups

the Thunder ran PNR out of "Empty" alignment on 54% of their on-ball screens in Game 5 in Games 6 &amp; 7, they ran Empty PNR just 18 times on a combined 60+ on-ball screens (27%) they scored 1.2 PPP on Empty PNRs in those 2 games &amp; just 0.83 PPP on PNRs overall

The Houston Rockets’ recent struggles are reflective of their inheritance of Kevin Durant’s fatal flaw 1 of 3 teams above .500 with a losing clutch record 2nd most TO prone team in the clutch KD is at a career-low 26.3 TSA/100, worst non-pass TOV% since ‘14 and is 15th% in 3PAr

38% career NBA range 3-point shooter on volume + shot versatility with the frame to follow in Shead footsteps my favorite senior guard in this class and one of my picks to outperform his draft slot by a huge margin

Zaccharie Risacher received his 1st career DNP-CD tonight, the latest indication of the Hawks’ deprioritizing his involvement Here’s why the lineup data + my hand tracked data vehemently supports Quin Snyder’s decisions to reduce Zacch’s role as the playoffs loom

eject everyone and let’s call it a night

the Magic completely erased Duren’s impact in their Game 1 win DET grabbed just 15% of their missed FGA &amp; attempted 49% of their TSA at the FT line due to strategic fouling from ORL ORL collapsed on every Duren PNR, &amp; unleashed Suggs as a roamer on each post tough

some thoughts on the Atlanta Dream building the WNBA version of the 2026 Hornets pairing a voracious offensive rebounder with a bunch of high-volume 3P shooters = easy way to achieve a + 10rORTG

The Miami Heat grossly misevaluated Kel’El Ware’s strengths as a prospect and are wasting his outlier offensive abilities attempting to correct traits that were evident in his NCAA profile

some quick thoughts on the Hawks’ defensive shift that powered their comeback NY only involved directly in 2 offensive actions after Kuminga became his primary matchup: Ram Spread PNR &amp; Horns Snap JK’s physicality on both ends was absolutely massive

The gap between Podz’ perception &amp; his IMPACT is the largest I’ve ever seen within a players’ own fanbase He’s consistently won his minutes by complementing Curry &amp; positively impacting the possession battle, just to be met with constant unmerited vitriol by GSW fans!

Jalen Duren’s shortcomings have been ruthlessly exploited in the playoffs, creating a virtually unprecedented contract situation in this cap environment, as a potential All-NBA restricted free agent. DET *should* still retain him, but for how much?

a eulogy on the Trae Young era i don’t disagree with Onsi Saleh’s emphasis on versatility, both in terms of asset management and roster construction the focal point now shifts to Jalen Johnson, with the ‘26 draft becoming even more vital in deciding the course of this franchise

NBA teams run plays much more often than most people would expect. Here’s a look into the Hawks’ playbook + how to learn how to identify set plays Atlanta runs a set on &gt; 60% of their halfcourt possessions and are ~5% more efficient when they run a set (0.97 HC PPP -&gt; 1.02)

Results-oriented teams extend guys to contracts after outlier shooting years and move off of decision makers without letting their moves fully pan out (Process Sixers) Process-oriented teams remain competitive even without superior talent Process &gt; results always.

Welcome to The 5th Factor - a site built by David Lee with the aim to provide nuanced and informative NBA & draft analysis that's useful for every type of basketball fan. let's walk through the features together 🧶

Duncan Robinson instructed Paul Reed to slip the flare BEFORE the play DRob knows CLE wants to show 2 on Cade, so he ghosts the step-up screen and veers into Reed's screen CLE scrambles -> Mobley has to show -> Reed slips & it's a wide-open layup with Spida in weakside help

the Thunder ran PNR out of "Empty" alignment on 54% of their on-ball screens in Game 5 in Games 6 & 7, they ran Empty PNR just 18 times on a combined 60+ on-ball screens (27%) they scored 1.2 PPP on Empty PNRs in those 2 games & just 0.83 PPP on PNRs overall

the Magic completely erased Duren’s impact in their Game 1 win DET grabbed just 15% of their missed FGA & attempted 49% of their TSA at the FT line due to strategic fouling from ORL ORL collapsed on every Duren PNR, & unleashed Suggs as a roamer on each post tough

some quick thoughts on the Hawks’ defensive shift that powered their comeback NY only involved directly in 2 offensive actions after Kuminga became his primary matchup: Ram Spread PNR & Horns Snap JK’s physicality on both ends was absolutely massive

The gap between Podz’ perception & his IMPACT is the largest I’ve ever seen within a players’ own fanbase He’s consistently won his minutes by complementing Curry & positively impacting the possession battle, just to be met with constant unmerited vitriol by GSW fans!

Jalen Duren’s shortcomings have been ruthlessly exploited in the playoffs, creating a virtually unprecedented contract situation in this cap environment, as a potential All-NBA restricted free agent. DET should still retain him, but for how much?

NBA teams run plays much more often than most people would expect. Here’s a look into the Hawks’ playbook + how to learn how to identify set plays Atlanta runs a set on > 60% of their halfcourt possessions and are ~5% more efficient when they run a set (0.97 HC PPP -> 1.02)

Results-oriented teams extend guys to contracts after outlier shooting years and move off of decision makers without letting their moves fully pan out (Process Sixers) Process-oriented teams remain competitive even without superior talent Process > results always.