dnap
@dnapway • 12,236 subscribers
buildin @counterpartytv | more clips: @genzzztrade account run by parents
Videos
Palmer Luckey says analysts claiming it's too expensive to manufacture in the US are lying to protect megacorps "I think I have a more realistic view than almost anybody. One of the problems with all these analysts that are telling you that it's going to cost $37,000 to build an American iPhone or $100,000 to buy an American computer." "They're trying to prop up a status quo that the megacorporations want to keep going. They want to outsource everything. They want to hire cheaper non-American labor." "They are willing to say and do anything to convince you that it can't be fixed, that it can't come back, that America is this helpless, neutered, post-relevant empire, and it is just not the case." "How do I know that? Because I have to make stuff in America every day because I work in the defense industry. The stuff that Anduril makes every day is not actually that different from a computer. My drones are basically computers. They have memory, a GPU, a CPU, sensors, batteries, a rugged integration." "The only difference between an Anduril attack drone and a laptop is a keyboard and a screen. That is not that hard to figure out, especially for a guy like me who started Oculus and comes from the consumer electronics space." "We're not going to let people lie about what America can and can't do anymore. We're just going to do it."
dnap1,309,095 просмотров • 3 дней назад
Jensen reveals he first met the Founder of TSMC by cold calling their number off Yellow Pages "I heard about this company in Taiwan, TSMC and UMC at the time. They were of course quite poor companies themselves, and they were barely making it." "TSMC was probably about $300 million, something like that. It's a tiny little company. I heard about Morris Chang. And so I tried to call their US office." "Back in the old days there were yellow pages. I looked it up, TSMC. There's a number there. I called their number and it's a recording. I left my name and my number and said a few things about NVIDIA: we're a new startup company building computer graphics chips. I called several times. Nobody called me back." "And so I finally wrote a letter to Morris Chang. Didn't hear anything for a long time, and then one day it was 6 o'clock or something, this person called and said 'this is Morris Chang from TSMC.'" "And meanwhile, everybody outside my office was playing video games and they're all laughing and screaming. 'Hey shut up! It's Morris!' I was so happy that the founder would actually call us back, because hey, maybe we won't have to die." "And so we talked and he invited me to Taiwan. I came back to Taiwan, and that was the start of everything. Not just that partnership, but just the whole industry."
dnap4,238,595 просмотров • 16 дней назад
![Dario reveals the people who called his GPT-2 fears "pseudoscience" in 2019 are now all applying for jobs at AI labs "I personally was super freaked out by [GPT-2]. I looked at it and I said, my God, you just scale this thing up another factor of a million and it'll be better than humans at everything. This is the defining economic and scientific moment of the modern age. We just don't know it yet. This is going to determine the fate of nations and economies and the future of humanity." "Maybe 10% of the people around me had exactly the same reaction, and it was often the smartest ones. 90% of the people around me, because GPT-2's capabilities in any particular area were not that impressive, it could translate languages, summarize a document and write a few lines of code here and there. It was the broadness and the generality." "But people would look at it and say, in any particular area, that doesn't seem so smart. And so many people just shrugged and they just dismissed it." "I just look at it and I say it's the same thing over and over again. The limitations of the models, six months from now, the things that seemed hard, they're going to be easy. 12 months from now, the things that seemed impossible, the models are going to be doing them regularly." "It's everything we saw with GPT-2; we're seeing it over and over again in wider and wider swaths of the world. And the world is gradually finally being convinced." Daniela Amodei: "I remember at the time there were some very well-respected computer scientists and AI and ML leaders who basically bullied some of the researchers who worked on [GPT-2] on Twitter and were like, this is stupid. We don't know why you guys are even talking, this model is so incapable." "It was like you were sort of a quack if you believed this was a really significant moment." Dario: "That's all been memory-holed. All the researchers who were like, oh, this is pseudoscience, it doesn't make sense, all of them are applying for jobs at the LLM companies." "We never say it out loud to any particular one, but we look at them and they're like, we remember what you were saying in 2019. You have no credibility on this matter."](https://image.24vids.com/tw-2115032238614339622/amplify_video_thumb/2115032096460914688/img/0tTmiQzFiLnuXQzi.jpg)
Dario reveals the people who called his GPT-2 fears "pseudoscience" in 2019 are now all applying for jobs at AI labs "I personally was super freaked out by [GPT-2]. I looked at it and I said, my God, you just scale this thing up another factor of a million and it'll be better than humans at everything. This is the defining economic and scientific moment of the modern age. We just don't know it yet. This is going to determine the fate of nations and economies and the future of humanity." "Maybe 10% of the people around me had exactly the same reaction, and it was often the smartest ones. 90% of the people around me, because GPT-2's capabilities in any particular area were not that impressive, it could translate languages, summarize a document and write a few lines of code here and there. It was the broadness and the generality." "But people would look at it and say, in any particular area, that doesn't seem so smart. And so many people just shrugged and they just dismissed it." "I just look at it and I say it's the same thing over and over again. The limitations of the models, six months from now, the things that seemed hard, they're going to be easy. 12 months from now, the things that seemed impossible, the models are going to be doing them regularly." "It's everything we saw with GPT-2; we're seeing it over and over again in wider and wider swaths of the world. And the world is gradually finally being convinced." Daniela Amodei: "I remember at the time there were some very well-respected computer scientists and AI and ML leaders who basically bullied some of the researchers who worked on [GPT-2] on Twitter and were like, this is stupid. We don't know why you guys are even talking, this model is so incapable." "It was like you were sort of a quack if you believed this was a really significant moment." Dario: "That's all been memory-holed. All the researchers who were like, oh, this is pseudoscience, it doesn't make sense, all of them are applying for jobs at the LLM companies." "We never say it out loud to any particular one, but we look at them and they're like, we remember what you were saying in 2019. You have no credibility on this matter."
dnap447,208 просмотров • 4 дней назад
Mark Zuckerberg says Alexandr Wang is the sharpest entrepreneur of his generation: "Alex is the guy. He's the fucking guy." "Alex and I had spent a bunch of time talking over the years, and maybe once every few months or something we'd talk. And I was always just very impressed by how he thought about things strategically." "I kind of had this view of like, all right, currently he's doing this very operational data business, but it always felt to me like he was the sharpest entrepreneur of his generation of the ones who I had a chance to meet." "I think maybe when we got started, a lot of people were like, okay, like how is this going to work? It's like the social media guy is working with the data guy. Like, are we going to build a frontier lab here or what?" "My really strong conviction is because I talked to all the leaders of all the labs, all the heads of research, all this stuff, and I was like, no, Alex is the guy. Like he's the fucking guy." "We need this kind of strategic clarity that he has around the different ways that we want to approach this, the kind of extreme focus on talent density, on the clarity of communicating the different vision which we kind of fashioned together over this period." "And a bunch of things that I think were kind of extreme but have basically worked, like having this very flat culture was something that you were kind of really obsessed with."
dnap2,597,825 просмотров • 19 дней назад
Palmer Luckey reveals the startup he'd build today: oxytocin doping to end divorce "I would try to end the tragedy of divorce with oxytocin doping for marriage counseling." "We understand mammal pair bonding pretty well. There's a lot of people who want to stay together. Most of the people who don't want to stay together should stay together, especially for their kids." "And we can, if people think SSRIs are fine, which they're not, but if they were, then oxytocin doping to stay together is definitely fine." "It's the mammal pair bonding chemical. There's things you can do to increase the uptake, and it's very well understood. Also, totally unregulated, which is great. Unregulated spaces are a lot easier to do. You can go buy a kilogram of oxytocin on Sigma Aldrich Chemical Supply right now, and if you do that, maybe you won't die alone." "It's pure biology. It's used for women who don't bond with their kids, and now for women who don't bond with their husbands. It's also used for kids with various neurological issues, some kids with autism who struggle with pair bonding." "The cool thing is it's a self-reinforcing loop. We understand that very well. Unlike most drugs, it doesn't form a chemical dependency. It actually unburdens you from a chemical dependency."
dnap3,345,034 просмотров • 24 дней назад
Chamath says the top seven AI companies are raising so much money that they are crowding out the Treasury market "The entire United States economy is levered to the AI complex. We're talking about seven or eight companies that set the tone for the entire country. And whether we like it or not, that is where we are." "The most important companies in the world are in a massive spending binge. These were highly profitable, highly cash accretive, highly cash flow generative businesses that have said 'we're going to put the foot down on spending because we believe in what's coming into the future'. That's what drives GDP, and it's what drives growth." "The AI complex now owes $340-400 billion to the market. These companies are raising so much money, it starts to crowd out the capital markets. And the most important part of the capital market that it starts to crowd out is the appetite for government treasuries." "The amount of money that they need to raise through the end of 2027, it's 30% of all of what the Treasury is about to issue in that same period. So they're, whether we like it or not, they are going to start competing for demand.: "Isn't this nuts? You have seven companies that are crowding up the treasury market."
dnap40,799 просмотров • 23 часов назад
Peter Thiel explains what Trump got wrong in both of his terms "I think the two administrations made opposite mistakes." "The first administration brought in all these people who couldn't agree, and it was just all this internal fighting." "The second administration, I think overcorrected for the mistake of the first term with all these loyalty tests. You got an administration staffed by not very smart, but very loyal people." "There’s all sorts of ways it can be criticized. It also, reflected a way that things had reached a certain exhaustion, and certainly on the Republican side."
dnap4,085,006 просмотров • 1 месяц назад
David Friedberg reveals France's public spending is 57% of GDP: greater than that of communist countries "This chart is a measure of public spending as a percent of GDP; Rand Group Research published it. And you can see the comparison of France's public spending as a percent of GDP, to the peak public spending as a percent of GDP of major communist nations, Soviet Union during, communist Romania, Venezuela under Chavez, and then communist China." "It certainly been a socialist state, right? That's my point. I think this is such a precious lesson for the West to look at. We all think that there's some political problem with Macron or whoever it was." "The more the government spends, the worse the conditions get for its people, not the opposite. And then the people riot and revolt and say that the government's not spending enough and the government needs to be doing more." "Take a guess where the US is today. Federal government spending is $7.4 trillion, state and local government spending is $4.6 trillion. You add those two together, it's $12 trillion out of a $33 trillion GDP. US public spending is roughly 36% of GDP. France today is the same as the US, it's about 120% debt to GDP." "France today is operating its national government spending deficit is 5.4% of GDP. The US is actually 6.2% of GDP. France is I think probably the first to go because they're only growing their economy at half a percent while the US is growing 2.3%." "So we're still kind of hanging on because we have some degree of economic growth that's allowing us to kind of hold things together." "But I would argue that we are facing the same sort of fiscal cliff that leads to this extraordinary social unrest as France, all the economic measures are aligned, we're at the same rate, we're at the same set of problems."
dnap479,480 просмотров • 7 дней назад
Sequoia partner Doug Leone reveals he got a root canal with no Novocaine to see if he was really a badass "I had to get a root canal. And I had to go to a meeting right after that. I told the dentist, drill without any Novocaine.” “My whole life, I wanted to see if I was a badass or not. Am I a fake badass that has this envelope nobody could tell, or am I really a badass on the inside?" "He drilled and I jumped. And I told the dentist, I won't move again. And I didn't move again. I used the trick of thinking what it must be like to go to war and lose an arm or two legs. That's pain with consequences. Mine was pain with no consequences." “It’s just nerve endings from there to my brain to my spine, f*ck it I’m not moving.” "I had to go home and change my shirt because I was a puddle of sweat. But I didn't move. And so I love fear. It does wonders for me."
dnap7,012,309 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад
Chamath says Silicon Valley lost what made it great and only cares about money now "Silicon Valley has completely lost what made it great. It was a place for weirdos, for people at the fringes, for people that really were idealistic. And it has become something that's far from that now. It is the equivalent of what Harvard used to be. It's a credentialing place." "When we came, we used to aspire to meet the Bill Campbells of the world, Mike Moritz, John Doerr. Those folks are gone. We used to aspire to work for Steve Jobs. He's not here." "And in that breach, all we have done is focused on making money in every single way that we can, hand over fist. And there's nothing wrong with that. Except now it’s at a point where we need to do a better job of acknowledging it and trying to do a little bit better.” “Every time we don't, and we're given a chance to be better, and we're not, the hatred builds, the animus builds. And that's what we're seeing now."
dnap3,835,917 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад
Sam Altman says Trump and Xi would win the Nobel Peace Prize for a one-page AI agreement “I think Presidents Trump and Xi would get the Nobel Peace Prize together if they could agree on something that should be easy to agree to. And it would be wonderful.” “I think that clearly the two countries are going to compete in lots of ways, and this is going to be important socioeconomically, geopolitically. But they should be able to agree that no one should be taking a certain level of risk with the development process of this.” “And even if just the US and China could agree on some shared standards and testing for development of this technology, I think that'd be a wonderful accomplishment that the two of them can deliver.” “I don’t think this is hard. This is like a one page document.”
dnap2,203,218 просмотров • 1 месяц назад
Daniela Amodei reveals the woman who trains Claude's character has a PhD in philosophy, not AI or ML "It's unusual, right? You would think, oh, the person that's training the character of these models must be a computer scientist or somebody who's studied ML or AI for many decades." "Amanda's technical and she technically trains the model, but I think it is very felt in Claude's character when you communicate with it that there's this kind of experience, something that's very wise, kind of the best version of the better angel of your nature trying to answer your questions." "But if you kind of poke Claude in these difficult areas where maybe different philosophical traditions might conflict, I think that's where you especially feel Amanda because you'll sort of see like, 'oh well, you might want to consider things from this point of view but you could also consider it from this point of view.'" "I think it's important because as the world begins to rely on these models more and more, you don't want to be locked into one philosophical tradition because ethics and morality are quite complicated, and different people and different cultures might have different answers about how they would like you to behave.”
dnap122,935 просмотров • 4 дней назад
Chamath explains the political calculus behind Obama’s anti AI speech “This is a very important moment for a very simple reason, which is that the world is about to endow 3-6 companies with about $10 trillion of wealth.” “And what Obama knows very well is that most of those companies are overwhelmingly left leaning. And what he also knows is that there is a huge portion of that money that will then get put into philanthropic and charitable causes that then he and the people around him will be beneficiaries of." “That is the truth. We already know this because we know that some of these frontier corporations actually ask you to sign up DAFTs and have a portion of your stock that you're willing to pledge. So this money is going to go to things other than consumption or savings. It's going to go into PACs, it's going to go into political movements, and they stand to disproportionately benefit." “So this has nothing to do with prosperity. This is a very simple political calculus. If you freeze frame the economy the way it is today, a handful of organizations that will disproportionately be able to affect the Democrats will win, they will capture the lion's share of the economic gains. And then they will help the Democrats win power. That's all this is."
dnap1,316,814 просмотров • 1 месяц назад
Jake Paul reveals how 20 influencers k*lled Vine by demanding $1 million each "The top 20 Viners told Vine, hey, you have to start paying us, otherwise we're going to stop posting on here because they weren't paying us. And we knew we were getting ripped off. We were bringing in all of the content, all of the views, all of the fans." "And we were like, hey, we need a million dollars. They went back to Twitter and they were like, hey, they want a million dollars. They came back and were like, yeah, we could pay you the million dollars." "We all stopped posting on the platform, transitioned to posting on Facebook, YouTube, and Snapchat. And within a couple of months, Vine died out.”
dnap1,024,922 просмотров • 1 месяц назад
Dario responds to critics: “I would rather they make fun of me than to wake up one day and discover that someone used Claude to k*ll a bunch of people.” “Almost every day I'm made fun of on social media because our model's biology safeguards are too strong. And biology students complain, they make jokes that we can't use the model.” “But the reason for that is that we have strong safeguards. And I would rather they make fun of me than to wake up one day and discover that someone used our model, Claude, to kill a bunch of people. I don't want that.” “I would repeat the same point, which is that it shouldn't be my responsibility alone or Anthropic's responsibility alone or all of the AI company's responsibility alone or even one government's responsibility alone. This is bigger than all of us.”
dnap1,200,955 просмотров • 1 месяц назад
![Ben Horowitz says Anthropic is one of the most negligent companies he’s ever seen on security "The irony on these things is wild. Anthropic is one of the most negligent companies that we've ever seen in terms of their own security." "They let Claude code, one of their crown jewels, just like walk out the door because they had such bad OPSEC." "I'll tell you a funny story. So when we first got Opus 4.5, we were doing cybersecurity checks for the firm. So we had an agent basically set up a website for a pet store. And then we took another agent and said, 'Tell us if we can exploit that web store.' And it gave us all the exploits it could find. So Opus 4.5 wrote really buggy code. Great." "And then we said, 'Oh, the SQL injection you found, is that actually exploitable?' And it goes, 'Let's pop it open.' And the agent using Opus 4.5 breaks into the website and steals all the [data], and we call Anthropic. And what they tell us is, 'You prompted it wrong.' That was their answer." "So these guys are doing that on the one hand. And then on the other hand, they're coming up with theoretical scenarios about other people's software. That's bad. And so like, what the hell." "On the distillation thing, you know, to build their model, they distilled the works of every author, every creative, every scientist for the last 2000 years. For them to be complaining about distillation, which, by the way, distilling a model is not even illegal. It's just a violation of the terms of service." "It's just so much. And the fact that they get people to write things supporting these bananas, ridiculous, two-faced ideas. And the timing here is very suspicious."](https://image.24vids.com/tw-2111353386046304387/amplify_video_thumb/2111353307747028992/img/tOE8TEZO2GmFdRHe.jpg)
Ben Horowitz says Anthropic is one of the most negligent companies he’s ever seen on security "The irony on these things is wild. Anthropic is one of the most negligent companies that we've ever seen in terms of their own security." "They let Claude code, one of their crown jewels, just like walk out the door because they had such bad OPSEC." "I'll tell you a funny story. So when we first got Opus 4.5, we were doing cybersecurity checks for the firm. So we had an agent basically set up a website for a pet store. And then we took another agent and said, 'Tell us if we can exploit that web store.' And it gave us all the exploits it could find. So Opus 4.5 wrote really buggy code. Great." "And then we said, 'Oh, the SQL injection you found, is that actually exploitable?' And it goes, 'Let's pop it open.' And the agent using Opus 4.5 breaks into the website and steals all the [data], and we call Anthropic. And what they tell us is, 'You prompted it wrong.' That was their answer." "So these guys are doing that on the one hand. And then on the other hand, they're coming up with theoretical scenarios about other people's software. That's bad. And so like, what the hell." "On the distillation thing, you know, to build their model, they distilled the works of every author, every creative, every scientist for the last 2000 years. For them to be complaining about distillation, which, by the way, distilling a model is not even illegal. It's just a violation of the terms of service." "It's just so much. And the fact that they get people to write things supporting these bananas, ridiculous, two-faced ideas. And the timing here is very suspicious."
dnap282,481 просмотров • 14 дней назад
Leopold explains his approach to not blowing up (2024) "Obviously, not blowing up is task number one and two or whatever. I think this investment firm is going to just be betting on AGI and superintelligence before the decade is out, making the bets you would make if you took that seriously." "I think if that's wrong, the firm is not going to do that well." "The thing you have to be able to resist is, you know, one or a couple or a few individual calls. It's like AI stagnates for a year because of the data wall, or you got the call wrong on when revenue would go up." "You have to get timing right. I do think in general that the sequence of bets on the way to AGI is actually pretty critical, and something people underrate."
dnap2,336,979 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад
President Trump calls Jensen mid-interview at the All-In Summit to say AI taking over the world is a hoax Jensen: "Mr. President? I've got to tell you something. If it wasn't because of you calling, I would... I'm on stage with the besties." Trump: "You see, the great thing about life is that Jensen can develop the most complex computer chip in the world that nobody can copy for 10 years, but he can't figure out how to put me on speaker." "So, the AI, it's almost a conspiracy, and the happiest group is China, they're very happy." "I'm telling you, it's all a hoax. The data centers are great and they make people wealthy and they make states wealthy and it's the oil of the next 20, 25 years. It's bigger than the Internet." "The robots are not going to be taking over the world and that's not going to happen. The AI will not be taking over the rest of the world. The whole thing is a hoax." "Now, with that, we have to be a little bit careful, but that doesn't mean we're going to stop an industry. So I'm with you all the way."
dnap1,049,522 просмотров • 1 месяц назад
Dario reveals he was never interested in starting a business before Anthropic "I don't think either of us imagined that we would start a company. That's not really how either of us thought of our lives or about what we wanted to do. I had always wanted to be a scientist. I actually found companies in business to be of very little interest to me." Daniella Amodei: “I would say Dario and I were very unusual in that, from a really early age, we just genuinely really liked each other. We were always just best friends since we were really little.” “I don't think starting a company was ever on our bingo card. Neither of us were particularly company oriented." "I would call myself a classic do-gooder. I worked in international development. I felt really strongly about helping people everywhere in the world have equal access and opportunity.” “And I became a vegetarian when I was quite young. It's the only thing that I did first. Dario did everything first because he's older, but I became a vegetarian and then he became a vegetarian." Dario: “I think I was three years later or so. It seemed convincing to me."
dnap67,477 просмотров • 4 дней назад
David Friedberg says the US needs an economic reset to avoid having a social collapse like France "It depends on how far the collapse goes. You could have this sort of social collapse that you see in some countries that involve rioting and murd*r and all these sorts of things." "Or you end up having what is more of like an economic collapse, which is sort of like Argentina and Brazil, Greece more recently, where the ability to service the debt because the government got too big forces this kind of restructuring of the economy." "And yes, there are still massive protests, there is still an incredible loss of net worth, there's an incredible inflation effect that wipes out asset values for people. And you end up having kind of economic resetting without the great social resetting." "I think we have to do something. I don't think we can run a higher deficit-to-GDP than France in the United States with the same debt-to-GDP as France and only modestly higher GDP growth. I think we are fundamentally going to need to have some degree of reset in the United States." "The question is, do we want it to be a massive social reset, or do the left and the right want to put on their hard hats and say, 'Okay, we got to go in the mines and do the work and figure out how to cut this from seven and a half years to four years and do it in a way that doesn't destroy the economy.'"
dnap125,174 просмотров • 7 дней назад