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Emeka Ajene โœ๐Ÿฝ

@eajene โ€ข 8,277 subscribers

Insights on business, innovation, & prosperity in African markets โ€ข Co-founded @GozemTG & strategic intelligence platform @AfridigestHQ โ€ข Words in @FT @NYTimes

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Aliko Dangoteโ€™s business playbook is simple: find where billions of dollars leave the African continent every year, then build the capacity to keep that money at home. When asked how he decides which businesses to be in, Africaโ€™s richest man answers: "I first of all look at what we need as people: What is it that we're supposed to be producing, but we're importing?โ€ In other words, find what Africa imports then produce it domestically. Itโ€™s usually termed import substitution, but he calls it backward integration โ€” understandably because in practice he often does both simultaneously. Every business in the Dangote Group โ€” cement, sugar, salt, petroleum refining, fertilizer, petrochemicals โ€” exists because Africa was spending billions importing something from abroad. If you want to follow Dangoteโ€™s blueprint today, here are five sectors to explore: 1) Refined petroleum. Dangote addressed Nigeria's import dependency, but most of Africa still imports refined fuel; the continentโ€™s annual import bill on refined petroleum products is estimated at $120B. After its West African success, the Dangote Group is already planning a $15โ€“17B replica refinery in East Africa. 2) Machinery & industrial equipment. Africa builds almost none of its own industrial equipment. Instead it spends an estimated $100B annually importing it. This is perhaps a higher risk, longer-horizon play; but it's also where the highest value-add sits. 3) Food processing & agribusiness. Africa spends over $60B on food imports annually โ€” mostly on raw staple grains like wheat, rice, and maize. Opportunities include domestic production of what's imported, production of indigenous crops as substitutes, agro-processing, and coordination infrastructure like commodity exchanges. 4) Building materials beyond cement. Africa spends ~$35B annually on building materials imports, excluding cement. Dangote conquered cement; the next layer is steel, glass, ceramics/tiles, roofing materials, and finished wood products. Urbanization-led investment is a primary driver, and local manufacturing is generally nascent. 5) Pharmaceuticals. Africa spends over $20B on annual pharmaceutical imports. Half the continent's countries have zero local pharmaceutical manufacturing. A Dangote-scale bet here would mean an internationally certified pan-African supply platform. Of course, the easy part is what Iโ€™m doing right now โ€” ideating. The hard part is pouring capital into opportunities that take decades to incubate, in environments where the currency can lose 90% of its value while you're still laying groundwork. That's why most people talk about import substitution or backward integration, while others build refineries. โ€” Afridigest Intelligence โ€” intelligence & advisory to win in Africa's growth markets: | Follow Afridigest on LinkedIn & Instagram

Emeka Ajene โœ๐Ÿฝ

32,113 views โ€ข 1 month ago

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Here's Kenya's pitch deck to investors in video form. I shared earlier that just six countries drive private capital investment in Africa: Kenya's one of them. And Kenya Investment Authority (InvestKenya) and Ministry of Investments, Trade & Industry, Kenya are now making their most sophisticated pitch yet to global capital. Here's how Kenya sells itself: โ€ข The largest economy in East & Central Africa and the 6th largest on the continent โ€ข Consistent ~5% annual GDP growth โ€ข The gateway to Africa's fastest growing markets โ€ข A global leader in renewable energy, with ~93% of electricity generated from green sources โ€ข One of the continent's dominant fintech & mobile money hubs โ€ข The #1 market for startup funding in Africa โ€ข Home to over 300 multinationals and 85% of East Africa's tech startups Some of these claims need context โ€” but Kenya's business environment is real. And it's the result of years spent quietly assembling the infrastructure stack that many African markets are still debating: Green power at scale, functional capital markets, a mature digital ecosystem, special economic zones with real frameworks & benefits, and legal protections investors can rely on. Across Africa, the investment pitch and the infrastructure underpinning it rarely arrive together. When they do, it's more than marketing. It's a market. The question is whether capital is paying attention. โ€” Afridigest Intelligence โ€” real intelligence to win in Africa's growth markets: | Follow Afridigest on LinkedIn & Instagram

Emeka Ajene โœ๐Ÿฝ

15,005 views โ€ข 1 month ago

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How did a company from Shenzhen come to dominate Africa's cell phone industry? It accepts African markets as they are, not as it wishes they were. While some companies enter African markets with capital intensive Silicon Valley-style 'blitzscaling' approaches, China's Transsion entered the continent with a 'deep-plowing' strategy What's 'deep plowing'? An intensive, long-term approach of cultivating land to grow crops. For Transsion, 'deep plowing' means starting from the bottom up with the most underserved customers, building extensive distribution networks, localizing products significantly, and investing in consumer trust to cultivate long-term market dominance: โ€ข Customer 'deep plowing' โ€” While competitors focused on premium urban consumers, Transsion targeted lower-income and underserved users, especially those in rural & peri-urban areas. โ€ข Distribution 'deep plowing' โ€” Transsion embeds itself in the informal retail networks that dominate electronic sales on the continent, employing thousands of agents to reach places competitors don't and establishing physical retail depth from factory to final sale. โ€ข Product 'deep plowing' โ€” Transsion went beyond superficial adaptation, spent years studying local needs & behaviors, and modified hardware and software accordingly, including pioneering multi-SIM phones in African markets. โ€ข Service 'deep plowing' โ€” One of Transsion's deepest 'plows' is its investment in after-sales service. While many electronics have no official repair centers locally, Transsion established the Carlcare network, Africa's largest mobile after-sales service network. โ€ข Brand 'deep plowing' โ€” Transsion created a brand ladder to cover the entire income spectrum: ultra-budget itel devices, performance-focused Infinixes, and aspirational Techno phones. This allows the company to capture customers as their incomes grow, instead of losing them to competitors. Transsion didn't win Africa's cell phone market by building for the Africa of tomorrow. They won by 'deep plowing' for the Africa that exists today. h/t Miao Lu whose research on Transsion informs this post โ€” check out the links below ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿฝ

Emeka Ajene โœ๐Ÿฝ

21,541 views โ€ข 3 months ago

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