General Reasoning
@GenReasoning • 6,788 subscribers
We’re building long-run intelligence: AI systems that can work and predict at civilisation-scale time horizons.
Videos
🔍 Introducing BackSearch. LLMs are increasingly asked to predict the future, but a good backtest requires a snapshot of the internet at a point in time. BackSearch allows LLMs to search the web as it was on a particular date. It’s great for: 🔮 Forecasting and prediction markets. 📈 Quantitative finance. 🌍 RL environments that simulate the world. 🥶 Freezing websearch for benchmark reproducibility We’re releasing a narrow slice of our index to begin with, focused on the news domain for 2026. Based on feedback we’ll open up more of our index in subsequent releases. 👇 Try BackSearch out with the link below.
General Reasoning419,098 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce
🌄 Beyond SWE: The Future of Long Horizon Environments A discussion with our founders about KellyBench, and the need for new environments that require agents to adapt over time and act under uncertainty. 0:00:17 What is KellyBench? 0:02:10 Openendedness, non-stationarity and continual learning 0:03:40 Analytical versus operational capabilities 0:04:13 Why are models bad at KellyBench? 0:05:39 Situational awareness in dynamic environments 0:06:37 Feature stability and real-world non-stationarity 0:07:07 The power of context 0:07:34 "The first principle is that you must not fool yourself" 0:08:20 Machiavelli, fortuna and the ability to adapt to change 0:09:23 How can models improve on evals like KellyBench? 0:10:12 Limitations of KellyBench: data availability and market odds timing 0:11:44 Implications beyond quant finance / sports betting 0:13:26 Civilisations as the ultimate time horizon 0:14:05 Would a mega prompt / better elicitation do much better on the benchmark? 0:14:52 What new types of capability is GR excited about? 0:17:48 Taste and the ability to pursue long-term goals even if they aren't immediately rewarding 0:18:56 Deep learning as an example of a method that took a long time to bear fruit 0:19:25 Optimism about the future of AI
General Reasoning15,585 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce
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