G.G.
@ggeiss_mlb • 9,403 subscribers
📊: @redsox. ✍️: @pitcherlist // @ggeiss_PL. 💼: @mlb PD & data consultant. Pitching enthusiast. Draft nerd. Prospects analyst. Always optimistic.
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Indeed! You ask, I deliver. INF Vinny Capra is a guy that's really impressed with Triple-A Worcester to start the season. Through 29 games: ⚾️ .961 OPS ⚾️ .412 xwOBA ⚾️ 20% BB / 19% K ⚾️ 153 wRC+ Some of the underlying nuggets are just as intriguing as his production indicates — a monster 23% Pull Air rate ranks in the 89th percentile among qualified AAA bats. He's limiting whiff and chase at a high level. EVs are significantly up, too. YoY changes, per request: ⚾️ xwOBA: .316 → .412 ⚾️ EV (mph): 85.7 → 89.2 ⚾️ EV90: 99.2 → 104.3 ⚾️ HH%: 34% → 43% Can't forget he's a +4 DRS / +2 OAA / +3 FRV defender at shortstop throughout his career. Self explanatory, but I'd take him over IKF any day of the week.
G.G.15,499 次观看 • 26 天前
Caleb Durbin immediately jumps off the page as yet another breakout candidate acquired by Boston this offseason. On the surface, Durbin's production isn't necessarily eye-popping. As a rookie in '25: ⚾️ .721 OPS ⚾️ 6% BB / 10% K ⚾️ .312 xwOBA ⚾️ 105 wRC+ ⚾️ 2.6 fWAR So, what stands out regarding Durbin? I. Elite Swing Decisions & Whiff-Ability. Facing major league pitching for the first time in his career, Durbin registered the 5th-best K% (10%) in MLB last year. His 94% zCon rate (T-5th in MLB) is also elite. Durbin's whiff% and chase% also ranked inside the 95th percentile (or better). We're talking about a bat with some similar contact traits like we see in Jacob Wilson, for example, but with far less chase and a bit more pullside thump. He squares up the ball well (33% — 95th PCTL) and pairs that ability with taking a steady amount of walks. Point blank, the 25-year-old is a demon at limiting whiff. II. Power Surge? It's All in the Pull Air%. A gigantic reason it's so easy to pencil Durbin in as a breakout candidate is his fantastic park fit at Fenway. As a rookie, Durbin turned in an above-average 41% pull rate, plus an even-better 20% pull air rate. Utilizing that approach with a big target in left field will work wonders for his OPS. I don't expect Durbin to mash 20+ HR out of nowhere, but I'd certainly bank on seeing a number of flyouts simply turn into doubles or homers at home. III. Quality Defense. Breslow talked a lot about upgrading defense, and this move certainly does that. I've been very vocal since the start of the offseason that Mayer at 2B, not 3B, would be my preference for a multitude of reasons. Durbin (who can play all over the infield), enters the building as a plus defender at 3B. As a rookie, Durbin turned in 2 OAA, 5 DRS, 5 rPM, and 1 FRV at the hot corner. Sliding Mayer over to second base allows for easier platoon management with Romy Gonzalez — who saw an increase in his defensive production at 2B a year ago — and yes, is an upgrade over Alex Bregman's 1 DRS in 2025. IV. Handling Velo. Something that shouldn't get overlooked is Durbin's ability to handle velocity — a department the Red Sox obviously needed to upgrade in after last season. In '25 vs. FA-types 94+ mph: ⚾️ .258 BA → .275 xBA ⚾️ .350 SLG → .375 xSLG ⚾️ .319 wOBA → .337 xwOBA ⚾️ 8% whiff rate — — — Overall, I'm really ecstatic about the Durbin acquisition. This is FAR better than signing Suarez and calling it a day, imo. Can't forget Durbin is a guy the Red Sox have under team control for a while now (2032 UFA!). Utilizing Harrison — who's name has been yanked around between trade talks or a move to the bullpen — is a great piece of business. The comp pick is also massive, but we'll talk more about that soon. I think at his best, Durbin could lead off for the Red Sox by the end of '26. A legit breakout candidate and bag stealing threat with a high floor thanks to limited swing-and-miss and good defense. Really looking forward to see him more in camp.
G.G.49,110 次观看 • 4 个月前
RHP Marcus Phillips 6’4 | 250 lbs | R/R | 20.11yo • Tennessee 83 IP – 3.90 ERA/4.08 FIP, 1.31 WHIP, .237 BAA, 27% K/10% BB Dude is a linebacker! They joked on MLBN that he had a Julius Peppers-esque build… they’re not wrong. Phillips is a massive, physical human being with bigtime power. The high-spin fastball will be around the mid 90’s but can get up to 101 mph. There is good sinking action as well. There’s certainly more velo on the way here which makes it even more devastating. The slider, as widely mentioned, can be his best offering. It’s sitting mid/high 80’s and has been fantastic versus righties. Very high spin. There is a slider and sweeper shape here. On top of this, he does utilize a splinker which is awesome, turning in a 43% whiff rate in 2025. pDev will work on shoring up the mechanics. The inconsistent arm action has led to some poor command, hence the high BB%. Phillips is a potential workhorse starter that could also end up being a quality option out of the pen where the stuff would unquestionably tick up. I like this pick a lot – solid floor with plus upside.
G.G.74,879 次观看 • 11 个月前
C/INF Anthony Seigler is an ambidextrous (!!) depth addition who should instantly compete for a role on the major league roster with the Red Sox. The 26yo was a dynamic offensive producer at the Triple-A level last season: ⚾️ .285/.414/.478 ⚾️ .892 OPS ⚾️ 17% BB / 19% K ⚾️ .379 xwOBA ⚾️ 143 wRC+ Seigler absolutely feasted on RHPs in Triple-A last season, boasting a diabolical .983 OPS and more BBs (43) than Ks (42) in 246 PAs. He also turned in quality rates in terms of zCon (84%), SwStr (9%), chase (20%), and HH (46%) and was an above average baserunner. Another thing Seigler does exceptionally well is rake against fastballs. He turned in a .529 SLG and .408 xwOBA against FA-types in '25, plus was able to maintain that elite production against velo, slashing .326/.436/.587 against FA-types of 94+ mph in Triple-A. Seigler enters camp as a dark horse to make the 26-man roster. Despite mainly seeing time at 3B with the Brewers, he's had experience dabbling in some 2B/OF/C work in the minors. I should note, Baseball America rated Seigler as the Yankees' top defensive catching prospect back in 2019. He hasn't been able to show all that much behind the plate while moving around, but perhaps there's more to tap into here. He is reunited with old friend, Tyson Blaser. Seigler's versatility and platoon potential should give him a shot to crack the roster. If not, I'm very confident we see him making an impact at some point in '26. I'm very excited about this addition as well.
G.G.27,105 次观看 • 4 个月前
Lots of people are sleeping on Quinn Priester... I have a feeling this dude is going to make an impact with the major league club next year. Let’s talk about it. Adding velo to the sinker (SI) has been a constant emphasis since coming over via trade, and we already saw a minor increase last year. Avg SI velo (2024) 📈 • w/ PIT: 93.0 mph • w/ BOS: 93.8 mph NOTE: Remove his first two appearances where there wasn’t really any changes made, and his avg SI velo now sits at 94.2 mph. Games where SI sat 94+ mph 📈 • w/ PIT: 2 (of 23) • w/ BOS: 5 (of 10) He’s comfortably hit 96 and topped 97 mph for Worcester (seen in video attached), and has been grinding on a velo program this winter as well. Other top velos, just for fun… • FF: 96.3 mph* • SL: 92.3 mph • CU: 83.5 mph* • CH: 92 mph* • FC: 94.4 mph* *indicates top velo was w/ BOS — On top of this, we all know that Bres/Bailey & Co. love their whiff and secondary offerings. Priester took a huge step forward last year in both of these categories. Overall whiff 📈 • w/ PIT: 29.8% • w: BOS: 35.4% Arsenal whiff w/ BOS 📈 • SI: 22% • FF: 30% • FC: 42% • SL: 48% (‼️) • CU: 43%** **hot take: SI/SL combo are his carrying pitches, but his best pitch is his CH — Clearly, there’s something there. I wouldn’t be surprised if we see a major usage change. Here’s what I would propose: • FA (FF/SI/FC): 46.3% ➡️ 30% - SI: 20% (“get me over” or “need it” kind of pitch; needs to be for a strike, low in zone; CH plays off it) - FC: 9% (would love to use it more, but had a limited sample size in 2024; start off as a LHH-exclusive like Garett Whitlock showcased; needs to either be elevated (tunnel w/ FF) or down+out (tunnel w/ SL) - FF: 1% (similar to what we saw Bello implement… only deploy in key situations; must be elevated) • SL: 31.8% ➡️ 35% - emphasis on gloveside target against both LHH/RHH; vs LHH, catcher sets up more middle/out - maybe try some armside vs LHH to dupe batters? • CH: 14% ➡️ 25% - best pitch results in MLB (.167 BAA, .167 SLG, 29% whiff in limited sample size) but can’t be overused - need to tunnel w/ SI… make sure low in/out of zone; see: Whitlock • CU: 8% ➡️ 10% - LHH exclusive offering, tunnels w/ elevated FC/FF - needs to miss low Overall: SI “first” for strikes with a very heavy dosage of SL/CH mixed in vs both LHH/RHH. FC/CB to LHH only. Elevated FF only in certain sequences. I’ve attached some specific videos to further emphasize my points. • Clip #1: Bogaerts whiff on CH • Clip #2: disgusting SLs to RHHs • Clip #3: Priester sinkers (T97 mph) • Clip #4: just pure nastiness Oh, and a friendly reminder: he’s just 24 years old. There is so much potential to tap into here. The stuff, for one, is there and only getting better. My favorite Red Sox pitcher right now is by far Garrett Whitlock. I see a little bit of baby Whitty in Priester’s delivery, frame, and stuff. 👀 — Alrighty, that was a lot lol. I hope everyone enjoyed. If you have questions, comments, or even player requests, feel free to reach out! I am super excited to see what Priester can do in 2025 and beyond. What do you think? ⬇️
G.G.54,654 次观看 • 1 年前
