Ulun
@gmulun • 14,131 subscribers
Flipping crypto since 2017
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🚨 S&P 500 IS SETTING UP FOR A 20% CRASH The index has been weakening for weeks, but most people still see it as a normal pullback. I think the bigger move is still ahead. Wave 6 may have already marked the top. Now the macro backdrop is getting worse: → June CPI hit 3.5% → Energy prices are rising again → The Fed held rates at 3.50%-3.75% → 3 FOMC members wanted a hike → Markets now price a real chance of another hike this year That's a problem for an index this concentrated. Five stocks are carrying the entire market: → Apple → Nvidia → Amazon → Microsoft → Meta $SPX has 503 companies, but a handful of mega-caps are doing most of the work. Now the leaders are starting to crack. Meta dropped 8% in one day after earnings, while AI spending keeps climbing. We've seen this setup before. 2018: Fed hikes → nearly 20% SPX drawdown 2022: Fed tightening → 25% peak-to-trough decline If the Fed hikes again, the AI trade could reprice fast. My target: ~$7,800 → ~$6,200 That's a 20%+ correction. I've called all of the S&P selloffs this year, I know what im talking about. The next market call matters more. Follow + turn notifications on. I'll post the next major move before it becomes obvious.
Ulun127,760 просмотров • 1 месяц назад
🚨 THIS S&P 500 PATTERN HAS REPEATED 17 TIMES Every time the index pushes into a major new high, the same level eventually gets tested. The 200-day EMA. The pattern becomes even clearer during midterm election years. Just look at the last two cycles: → 2022: ATH → correction → 200D EMA → 2025: ATH → correction → 200D EMA Now $SPX has printed another ATH. But underneath the surface, distribution is already starting to show. If the same structure repeats, I expect a move toward the 200-day EMA, putting $SPX around $5,750-$5,950. The market looks strong at the highs. That's usually when you need to start watching what's happening underneath. Follow + turn notifications on.
Ulun109,525 просмотров • 1 месяц назад
🚨 MASSIVE $BTC CRASH STARTS TODAY Most major Bitcoin dumps have started on Mondays. Now the fake rally is running out of steam. My roadmap hasn't changed: $77K → $55K → $48K → $100K → $130K → $160K I'm not chasing the pump. I'm waiting for the flush below $50K. That's where I plan to start accumulating for the next major bull phase. The endgame: $48K bottom → reversal → $100K → $130K→ $160K I called $126K → $102K, $116K → $80K, and $98K → $60K before those moves happened. Missed them? Don't miss the next one. Follow + Turn notifs on.
Ulun38,481 просмотров • 18 дней назад
🚨 THE NEXT S&P 500 ATH IS THE BIGGEST TRAP The crowd is still waiting for the market to become even more bullish. I think that's exactly when the risk gets highest. $SPX continues to follow the Elliott Wave structure I've been watching. If the count is correct, Wave 5 is still ahead. One last push. Fresh ATHs. Maximum euphoria. Then the trap. My roadmap: 7,500 → 7,800 → 6,900 → 6,300 The problem is what's happening underneath. → Market breadth keeps narrowing → Momentum is fading → AI mega-caps are carrying the index → Valuations remain near historic extremes The 7,800 area is where I'm watching most closely. Not because I know it's the exact top. But because that's where I think the final euphoria could peak. Retail buys the last green candle. Smart money sells into the celebration. Turn on notifications. I'll update the roadmap as it plays out.
Ulun96,677 просмотров • 1 месяц назад
🚨 $SPX IS ENTERING THE FINAL STAGE OF DISTRIBUTION Everyone is watching the new ATHs. I'm watching the Wyckoff structure underneath them. BC → SOW → UT at 7,630 The setup is already there. My roadmap: → Final push into 7,800-7,864 → UTAD traps the late buyers → Creek breaks and distribution accelerates → Below 6,318 → Spring near 6,000-6,100 That's where I expect maximum fear. Retail capitulates. Smart money starts accumulating. Then the cycle flips: → Test at 6,500 → Reclaim → Breakout → Final target: 8,400 This isn't a crash prediction. It's a cycle map. Distribution → Spring → Markup The top won't come with a warning. You'll recognize it after it happens. Turn on notifications. I'll update every phase.
Ulun80,825 просмотров • 1 месяц назад
🚨 S&P 500 MAY BE FORMING A MAJOR WYCKOFF DISTRIBUTION... Why does this matter? Index recently completed an upthrust move, pushing into fresh all-time highs Historically, setups like this often lead to major market reversals and heavy downside Most likely scenario ahead: - Breakdown below major support zones - Weakening momentum as distribution accelerates - Local bottom formation near ~$6,200 - Continued bearish pressure afterward Ultimate downside target sits around ~$4,900 before any meaningful rebound attempt This process probably won’t unfold within weeks - it could take a year or longer - but structure remains same Don’t become exit liquidity for smart money - turn on notifs, I’ll update
Ulun218,858 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад
🚨 EVERYONE IS IGNORING THIS S&P 500 PATTERN Every four years, August has delivered a major stock market shakeout. 1998 → -23.45% 2002 → -30.16% 2006 → -11.04% 2010 → -18.53% 2014 → -12.16% 2018 → -19.39% 2022 → -21.44% 2026 → -??.??% Too many repeats to call it a coincidence. For more than 30 years, the same pattern has kept showing up. Now we're back in another August. If history repeats one more time, I expect $SPX to revisit the $6,200-$6,300 area. The market still looks strong. That's usually when the biggest corrections begin. Turn on notifications so you don't miss my next global market call.
Ulun65,265 просмотров • 1 месяц назад
🚨 THIS IS THE SCARIEST S&P 500 CHART I'VE SEEN I overlaid today's S&P 500 with the Dot-Com Bubble. The resemblance is getting harder to ignore. → Sharp correction → Strong recovery → Fresh highs It's the same sequence. Now add record AI valuations and one of the most concentrated markets in decades. 1999 → Dot-Com Bubble 2007 → Housing Bubble 2026 → AI Bubble? If the pattern keeps tracking the Dot-Com cycle, the biggest move lower may still be ahead. Every bubble has its own story. Every bubble ends the same way.
Ulun63,100 просмотров • 1 месяц назад
🚨 S&P 500 MADE A FALSE BREAKOUT ABOVE RESISTANCE... Price is holding above the $7,220 level, which on the surface looks like a strong breakout to the upside For most market participants, this is seen as a bullish signal, but the underlying structure may be more complex Moves like this often turn into false breakouts, followed by sharp reversals to the downside Whales often use these moves to distribute, selling into retail FOMO as downside risk fades If this scenario plays out, a move above $7,220 could still lead to a reversal toward $6,300–$6,000, with potential for further downside continuation What’s your take on this move? Drop your thoughts in comments... Turn on notifs, I’ll update soon
Ulun183,844 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад
🚨 $SPX IS ONE MOVE AWAY FROM A MAJOR CRASH The S&P 500 just printed another high near $7,600. Most people still have no idea what's coming next. Look at the structure. Wave 6 may have already reached its local peak. The final melt-up could be over. But that's not even my biggest concern. The real risk is concentration. Five stocks are carrying the entire index: Apple. Nvidia. Amazon. Microsoft. Meta. Take them out and the picture looks completely different. Meta is already down more than 15% in the last month. If the rest of the mega caps start following, the selloff could accelerate fast. And when the AI bubble finally breaks, I don't see much left holding this market up. Turn on notifications. I'll keep you posted before the next move becomes obvious.
Ulun72,529 просмотров • 1 месяц назад
🚨 S&P 500 HAS NEVER AVOIDED A MIDTERM YEAR DRAWDOWN Look at the data: 1962: -28.0% 1966: -22.2% 1970: -36.1% 1974: -48.2% 1978: -14.1% 1982: -27.1% 1986: -9.4% 1990: -19.9% 1994: -8.9% 1998: -19.3% 2002: -33.8% 2006: -7.7% 2010: -16.0% 2014: -7.4% 2018: -10.2% 2022: -25.4% That's **16 straight midterm election years** with a meaningful drawdown. Not one exception. Now it's 2026. History doesn't repeat perfectly, but this is a statistic worth paying attention tco. I've been bearish on $SPX for months, and my view hasn't changed. I called the 2025 $BTC top and several major market moves before they happened. Missed those calls? No worries. The next one is already setting up. Follow and turn on notifications.
Ulun100,026 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад
🚨 EVERYONE IS ABOUT TO BUY THE TOP That's how most bull markets end. $SPX still looks like it's following a textbook Elliott Wave structure. If that's true, only Wave 5 remains. One final push into fresh all-time highs. That's when the crowd gets bullish. That's when smart money starts selling. My roadmap: 7,500 → 7,800 → 6,900 → 6,300 Beneath the surface, the market already looks weaker than the headlines. Breadth keeps narrowing, momentum is fading, and only a handful of AI mega caps are driving the rally. Meanwhile, valuations remain near historic extremes while investors continue pricing in the perfect outcome. That's why I'm watching the 7,800 area so closely. Not because it has to be the top. Because that's where euphoria is likely to peak. Retail buys the last green candle. Smart money sells into it. Turn on notifications. I'll be updating the roadmap as it unfolds.
Ulun84,506 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад
🚨 $SPX IS FLASHING A CLASSIC DISTRIBUTION SIGNAL... Rally still looks healthy at first glance Beneath surface, picture is starting to change Key things on my radar: • New ATHs keep appearing • Each push higher comes with weaker momentum • Price action is beginning to resemble previous topping structures If the pattern continues, roadmap could be: → Loss of key support → Sellers gradually taking control → Short-term balance around ~$6,000 → Acceleration toward lower levels My main downside target area remains near ~$4,800 before any serious recovery can begin Here's what most people miss: Major tops rarely end with an instant collapse They develop through: - Sideways chop - Fake breakouts - Bull traps - Complacency - Capitulation Final stage of a cycle often feels the most bullish right before it changes
Ulun89,628 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад
🚨 S&P 500 LOOKS CLOSE TO A MAJOR BREAKDOWN Expanding wedge at peak: Phase 6 = ~7,500 top Phase 7 = dump toward ~6,100 Not just a pattern - 50+ year repeating structure Already seeing stress: ~$1.5T wiped today Why? ~35% S&P in 8 mega caps, Meta -15% in 2 weeks... If this spreads to other large caps, it’s no longer a pullback “Strong market” narrative can flip into full risk-off fast Stay ready - turn on notifs, I’ll update
Ulun101,009 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад
🚨 S&P 500 IS FOLLOWING A 100-YEAR-OLD PATTERN Most of you have never seen this chart. Livermore called it the "speculative chart with a widening mouth", a pattern that becomes more chaotic as it approaches a major top. The structure has 14 stages. Right now, S&P 500 appears to be sitting around Step 6. That's important because this is where distribution tends to happen while most participants are still convinced the uptrend is healthy. If the pattern continues, the roadmap looks like this: → Sharp pullback → Relief bounce → One final push to new highs → Major breakdown phase This setup has appeared around multiple historic market tops. I'm not assuming this time will be different. If you've followed my market updates, you already know why I turned cautious on $SPX. The next updates will be even more important as this structure develops. Turn on notifications.
Ulun67,872 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад
🚨 S&P 500 IS FOLLOWING A CLASSIC WYCKOFF DISTRIBUTION This pattern has been around for decades. The idea is simple. Institutions don't sell all at once. They distribute into strength while retail keeps buying, convinced the bull market is still intact. That's exactly what I think is happening now. Buying Climax is already behind us. The Upthrust trapped late buyers above resistance. Now I think one final move remains. My roadmap: $7,200 → $7,800 (UTAD) → $6,150 → $8,300 That rally toward $7,800 is the part everyone will mistake for a breakout. I think it's the last liquidity grab before the real markdown begins. The panic around $6,150 is where the next opportunity starts. The crowd will chase the breakout and sell the flush. I'm planning to do the opposite. Turn on notifications. I'll update the roadmap as it unfolds.
Ulun45,778 просмотров • 1 месяц назад
🚨 S&P 500 IS ONE WAVE AWAY FROM THE DROP The chart is approaching the final stage of the structure. Wave 4 is nearly complete. This is the slow, choppy part that convinces traders nothing is happening. Next comes Wave 5. One final push into fresh highs. The breakout everyone has been waiting for. And, in my view, the last opportunity for smart money to distribute before a much larger correction. The 5-wave structure has played out almost exactly as expected. If it continues, my downside target remains near 6,300, roughly 20% below the highs. The biggest mistake at market tops is confusing the final rally with the start of a new one. That's exactly what I'm watching for now. I've been bearish on SPX for months, and my roadmap hasn't changed. Let's see how Wave 5 finishes. Turn on notifications.
Ulun45,001 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад
🚨 TAKE A LOOK AT THIS $BTC SETUP... BTC entered a key “Bull Trap Zone” near $83k after an ascending channel rally Kevin Warsh potentially becoming Fed Chair on May 22 could be a major shift - Fed leadership changes have historically aligned with major selloffs... First downside target: $60k, with more downside below it All eyes on BTC right now - turn on notifs, I’ll update
Ulun61,744 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад
🚨 S&P 500 TOP IS CLOSER THAN YOU THINK The index broke above 7,500, and everyone is celebrating. That's exactly what concerns me. At the same time, OpenAI and Anthropic are preparing what could become two of the largest IPOs ever. Most investors see that as bullish. I don't. IPOs don't create new money. They redirect existing money. Every dollar allocated to those deals is a dollar that isn't going into stocks, ETFs, or the same index currently sitting near all-time highs. We've seen this setup before. Late-cycle euphoria, massive IPOs, and investors willing to buy anything at any price. The biggest listings of 2021 arrived near the top. The market rolled over shortly after. Now we have record valuations, record optimism, and potentially record IPO supply all hitting at the same time. My long-term target remains unchanged: S&P 500 < 4,800 I called the 2025 BTC top and the move to $60K. Don't miss the next call! - Turn your notifications on!
Ulun38,701 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад
