
Jason D Farhang
@jason61987 • 12,498 subscribers
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Thursday, May 28, 2026, 7:17 AM: It's not every day you wake up late in May and see a robust system that originated from off the coast of the Siberian peninsula three weeks ago now affecting California with a deep, unusually cold Siberian 552 DM low axis. Currently, this system is causing stormy weather in the Bay Area and unstable weather trending for a large part of our region with multiple embedded disturbances rotating around the parent low that is slowly moving throughout the state. There's a possible chance of isolated thunderstorms this afternoon in San Joaquin, Bakersfield, and maybe as far south as Santa Barbara County. One of these embedded disturbances may even reach as far south as western Los Angeles County by at least 7PM. However, the third low axis creates deep cyclonic flow there may be more showers due to a deep marine layer deck hovering 4,300 feet from Santa Barbara to San Diego counties. The temperatures will remain very March-like in the 67°F - 72°F range, and even colder in the mountains above 6,000 feet at 51°F - 54°F during the day, and at night 32°F - 35°F at higher elevations above 7,000 feet. The system will move into Texas by Friday at 4 PM and cause a new round of severe weather opportunities and flooding concerns. #CAwx #rain #May
Jason D Farhang104,431 views • 1 month ago

Saturday, July 4, 2026, 8:32 AM: The latest satellite shows remnants of Douglas moving into Southern California beautifully! This will bring unstable weather today and Sunday. The chance of showers and thunder is increasing. #CAwx #Douglas #hurricaneseason #july
Jason D Farhang36,532 views • 21 days ago

On Monday, June 1, 2026, at 8:29 AM, it is noted that today marks the commencement of meteorological summer and the official commencement of hurricane season. However, a new Siberian low is currently forming off the coast of the Siberian Peninsula and is now moving towards the Gulf of Alaska region. This may potentially impact the weather later this week in the Pacific Northwest, Oregon, and potentially parts of California. Therefore, I am closely monitoring the situation as forecast solutions are indicating the possibility of increased precipitation in the Pacific Northwest and Northern California, and maybe as far south as Western Los Angeles counties. This low axis could cause strengthening of onshore flow gradients which in turn amplifies the intensification of the June gloom marine layer deck along the coastal areas from Pismo Beach to San Diego possibly causing drizzle or light rain once again. #CAwx
Jason D Farhang50,752 views • 1 month ago

Tuesday, June 16, 2026, 5:43 PM: Latest 18Z and EU1 shows possibly the next named storm in the eastern Pacific has teleconnecting moisture into Southern California, Arizona, and southern Nevada around July 1 - 4, 2026. This is the first official run of this potential system. More details will come to play in the next week or so to see if this continues to trend with the favorability of an increase in eastern Pacific hurricane activity due to El Niño, intensifying something to keep an eye on as atmospheric trends kick into gear. #Hurricaneseason #CAwx #ElNiño
Jason D Farhang31,860 views • 1 month ago

Friday, July 3, 2026, 8:12 AM: The latest satellite shows the continued northward trajectory of the remnants of Douglas, which will start bringing high mid-level clouds now on the Fourth of July and July 5, 2026. There is continued possibility of multiple embedded disturbances affecting Santa Barbara, Ventura, Los Angeles, Orange, and San Diego counties. There chance of elevated instability, which is not a non-zero chance of showers or thunderstorms for our region within the next 24 - 36 hours. #CAwx #hurricaneseason #Douglas #ElNino
Jason D Farhang17,878 views • 22 days ago

Wednesday, July 8, 2026, 3:26 PM: The latest EU1 0Z shows a prolonged monsoonal high axis, taking shape over central Utah and Colorado starting this upcoming Saturday 9PM through the following next Monday 6PM; however, there will be several embedded moderate to strong monsoonal easterly waves that will increase the humidity to 55 to 60% across all of Southern California, Northern California, and Central California, including all of Arizona, all of Nevada, Utah, and Colorado. New Mexico. The level of confidence for July 14 - 21, 2026 remains moderate to high at this point in time. This also give exponential increase of thunderstorm potential just about anywhere on the coastal zones, the valleys and deserts due to high precipitable values 1.5 in to 2.3 in which is going create more widespread risk of tropical dynamics and heat index 100F - 114F is trending. In addition, I’m watching the tropics again for more teleconnecting moisture from the escalating Eastern Pacific hurricane season, in tandem with the monsoon season ramping up July 17 - 25, 2026. This is our first real monsoonal surge, which will be exhibited across the southwestern U.S. #CAwx #Monsoon #HurricaneSeason #ElNino
Jason D Farhang13,652 views • 17 days ago

Friday, June 19, 2026, 6:15 PM: The latest EU1 has not even budged with the fact of a tropical system teleconnection coming into Southern California, even more so now. In fact, it has intensified for July 1- 5, 2026 Not only that, but increased humidity is now trending with heat starting on June 24 through the 27th of 100° in the interior sections of Southern California, Arizona, Nevada, Utah, and Colorado have 105F - 111F. Some of these smaller portions heat axis from peripheral 594 DM 89F - 95F heat will spill into the interior valleys, such as San Fernando and Santa Clarita, including San Gabriel. Morongo valleys to Coachella and Imperial valleys, reaching 106 to 112° #CAwx
Jason D Farhang23,142 views • 1 month ago

Sunday, April 19, 2026, 7:57 AM: The latest satellite imagery shows the 545 DM low axis has rapidly intensified over the very warm Pacific waters in the last 12 hours. The main storm energy has shifted southward by 200 miles in its trajectory. This gives a higher opportunity allowing for more impacts not just to Northern California but also Southern California by Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday night to get even more rainfall and yes elevated thunderstorm development is not out of the question for San Luis Obispo to Los Angeles counties. I'm watching this evolving weather situation closely in the next 24 - 36 hours. Also, due to the placement of the low pressure, this could give a real significant severe weather threat for the Sacramento Valley and the Bay Area Monday night through Tuesday afternoon so this also may become even more convective than it was just 24 hours ago. This also gives a higher than 50% probability of low-grade tornadoes in the San Joaquin Valley by Tuesday afternoon or at least storm cells that could produce significant hail as well. Due to the warming of the Pacific, this will become more common as more storms will continue to develop at a rapid pace and become more severe across North America. Which you already saw in the upper Midwest last week. #CAwx
Jason D Farhang44,482 views • 3 months ago

Monday, March 10, 2025, 8:56 AM PDT: A storm is approaching Southern California. The weather will start changing later this afternoon at 3 PM as this cut-off low has now fixated its trajectory towards Los Angeles, California later on tonight mostly after 7 PM into Tuesday thunderstorms are starting to develop in the system. I’m closely watching this as this evolves for our region. As of right now, Santa Barbara to San Diego counties need to pay attention to the system very closely in the next 10 - 24 hours for heavier rainfall is trending. #CAwx #CaliforniaStorms #CutoffLow
Jason D Farhang158,184 views • 1 year ago

Saturday March 14, 2026, 8:02 AM: There it is March 28 - 30, 2026 Latest 6Z GFS🍍. Showing rain back into California. This is the same storm currently in Hawaii. Once the Heat wave collapses after March 20, 2026, the pattern will start transitioning by March 25 and now for the 6th time showing in the last 2 weeks signal changes after March 25, 2026. This is beginning to look like a rinse and repeat situation of what we had from January was hot to February storms. Now March is hot, and the end of March to April brings storms. • Major Heat wave builds Monday 1PM - Thursday 7PM. Temps 96F - 101F this is happening. Drink plenty of water and electrolytes. It will feel like Summer time in March for: San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara, Ventura, Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, and San Diego counties. Honestly just head to the beach and enjoy this. #CAwx #Heat
Jason D Farhang47,827 views • 4 months ago

On Tuesday, December 23, 2025, at 11:38 AM, a potent Pacific storm resulting from the warming of the Pacific Ocean is beginning to emerge. It is currently located approximately 145 miles off the coast of Santa Cruz, California. This storm system is expected to strengthen, leading to the formation of a robust frontal boundary by 4 PM today, bringing rain and potential thunderstorms to the area as early as 11 PM tonight. Moreover, a significant amount of moisture is being transported from the Hawaiian Islands, Fiji, and the Marshall Islands, which could result in an additional 4.5 to 9 inches of rainfall starting from 11 PM tonight through Christmas Eve, exacerbating the risk of flooding. Particularly hazardous conditions are anticipated for Santa Barbara, Ventura County, Los Angeles County, Orange County, Riverside County, San Bernardino County, and San Diego County, with a high potential for flooding in areas affected by recent wildfires. Precautions should be taken, as damaging winds of up to 55 to 80 miles per hour gusts are forecasted to impact San Francisco by late Tuesday night at 8 PM, and Los Angeles by 5 AM to 10 AM on Christmas Eve. This moisture-laden system is expected to bring perceptible water values of 1.3 to 1.6 inches of water, potentially making it the wettest storm since December 2004 or even December 2010. It is crucial to be prepared for this significant weather event, with further updates expected as conditions deteriorate over the next 24 to 48 hours. #CAwx
Jason D Farhang64,414 views • 7 months ago

Wednesday, June 17, 2026, 5:19 PM: The latest 0z, 12z, and 18z and consistency with EU1 this afternoon and yesterday continues to show a tropical system July 1 - 4, 2026, making an aggressive northward trajectory to Baja, California, and Southern California. More details continue to trend. #CAwx #Hurricaneseason #monsoon #elnino
Jason D Farhang14,472 views • 1 month ago

On Friday, November 28, 2025, at 2:50 PM, the latest satellite shows a significant and quite dynamic 545 DM low axis located approximately 430 miles to the north of the Hawaiian Islands. Influenced by the continuous warming of the Pacific Ocean. Additionally, there is a secondary 555 DM low axis situated off the coast of Oregon and Washington state, which is expected to retrogress by next Tuesday according to the latest guidance and atmospheric jet streak that undercuts a strong ridge in the Gulf of Alaska. The consistent forecast over the last five days of the CPC continues to forecast the Central and Southern California trajectory to be affected by these systems. However, I am closely monitoring the trajectory of the double low axis as it has the potential to develop into a robust cut-off low pattern 70 miles off the coast of Santa Barbara to Los Angeles counties, which could lead to a period of interesting and very unsettled weather conditions as we head into the next work week. More updated details to come in the next 24 - 72 hours. #CAwx
Jason D Farhang58,496 views • 7 months ago

Thursday June 11, 2026, 6:12 AM: The latest EU 1 shows remnants of Boris and a newly formed Baja low axis and a robust easterly wave coming up into Southern California, Arizona, and Southern Nevada in the next 24 hours increasing the likelihood of showers and perhaps thunderstorms across the eastern deserts of southern California and Central and Southern Arizona. It's not out of the question to get moisture into western San Diego to Santa Barbara counties by late June 12 - 13, 2025. I'm watching the situation closely due to the ongoing warming of the Pacific and the strengthening of El Nino. #CAwx #ElNiño #monsoon
Jason D Farhang14,915 views • 1 month ago

Tuesday, April 14, 2026 at 6:52 AM: What you have witnessed yesterday and this past weekend across California and parts of Southern California is the birth pains of an El Niño development and the ongoing escalation the warming of the Pacific torrential rains came through the San Fernando Valley with such strong, thunderstorms that it caused significant flooding in the Sherman Oaks, Universal City area around 1:05 PM - 1:35 PM yesterday on April 13, 2026. This powerful storm packed winds gusts of over 50 mph and it’s a true testament that we are no longer in a pattern that brings rain in just winter time but is now extending into April and May and beyond with that said we have another storm on the heels that will be arriving very quickly on April 21 - 27, 2026. The next storm will also bring more heavy rain, thunder, and lightning, and yes, more snowfall to the local mountains. As the Pacific continues to warm, the weather will become more drastic with extreme heat waves and more unusual severe rain events for California. This situation will get quite scary if it continues to verify by the end of October and November with the super El Niño development and the atmosphere connecting something that we’ve not seen since 1982, 1997/ 1998. The main Marshall Islands low axis is already gearing up for this major event this year which you’ve seen an example already. The flooding in the Hawaiian islands. Typhoon Sinlaku has now hit the Guam region with a category five status this early in April all due to the warming of the Pacific and the emergence of El Niño. #CAwx
Jason D Farhang28,670 views • 3 months ago

Sunday, June 21, 2026 9:31 AM PST / 12:31 PM EDT: A mini heatwave starts Tuesday into Thursday, with temperatures of 100F - 105F and humidity primarily for San Fernando, Simi, and Santa Clarita and Moreno Valleys. This also includes Palmdale, Lancaster, and Barstow. The main 594 DM heat axis will, unfortunately, affect Palm Springs, Coachella Valley, and Imperial. These areas will see temperatures of 115° to 120° during this time, especially on Wednesday and Thursday, which will be the hottest days of this year, and humidity will come in from the southeast, possibly bringing the first real taste of some monsoon moisture into our region. There are also new changes in the last 24 hours of the Baja low axis and embedded early Wednesday morning hints of unstable parameters for Los Angeles to San Diego counties. This includes the high desert communities, something to keep an eye on. Because it’s been so cool along the coastal zones and valleys for the past several months, please make sure to drink plenty of water and wear light clothing. Also, please check on the pets and elderly, as now we are on the first day of summer, and this means that more heat will be in our future. Temperatures in Phoenix will reach 115 to 119° heat by Wednesday and Thursday. This will be the hottest temperature so far this year. If you are traveling on the I-10 or the I-15, please make sure that you are not traveling during peak hours in the sun, as this could cause your automobile to overheat, especially if your radiator is not working properly with its cooling system. This is a real situation that can occur with older cars, and even some newer cars can have issues, as the extreme heat could be very dangerous in the desert communities. Tropics off the coast of Mexico continue to be monitored as more of an uptick in showers and thunderstorms organization falling into more favorable conditions, warmer sea surface temperatures 85.4F to 91.4F already due to ongoing strengthening of El Nino. Another factor is less shearing in the lower levels and mid levels of the atmosphere, giving opportunity for development in the next 2 weeks. The latest EU1 has not changed anything about tropical moisture coming into Southern California, Arizona, and Las Vegas teleconnecting July 1 - 4, 2026. #CAwx #AZwx #heatwave #monsoon #hurricaneseason #ElNino #Summer2026
Jason D Farhang11,095 views • 1 month ago

Thursday November 27, 2025, 4:00 PM: A series of storm systems is currently forming over the unusually warm Pacific Ocean on this Thanksgiving Day. I’m observing an exponential increase in robust storm activity as the Pacific jet extension stream strengthens over the next 72 - 96 hours. The atmospheric conditions are growing with higher confidence showing across EU1 and CPC now satellite view showing the full display of these storms for December 4 - 10, 2025. I will continue to closely monitor the situation over the next 24 - 42 hours as this system #CAwx
Jason D Farhang48,684 views • 8 months ago

Saturday, March 14, 2026 10:50 AM: The latest satellite imagery shows that the powerful Kona Low has tripled in size over the last 36 hours. You can clearly see that the teleconnection from the Marshall Islands is firmly in place. It is interesting to note that the 545 DM low axis is located about 200 miles northwest of Kauai, while a secondary stationary 535 DM low axis remains positioned near the Marshall Islands. A secondary disturbance continuing to train across the region next week, and in addition solutions hint that part of this secondary system may be waiting for the unseasonable 594 DM high pressure ridge over the Southwestern United States to slowly break down around March 21– 23, 2026. Shortly afterward, between March 25- 31, 2026, models are trending toward a possible disturbance from that secondary low axis potentially moving toward the Western United States perhaps Southern California, as indicated by the latest 6Z GFS run this morning. #CAwx
Jason D Farhang29,677 views • 4 months ago