Kalshi Politics

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Live Cam

Kalshi Politics

Shorts

Election night, live in Times Square. Kalshi is taking over the screens at 42nd &amp; 7th with live odds for the biggest races. Nonstop from now until midnight.

BREAKING: House races shift leftward from 6-6:30 PM

CNN: “Up like a rocket” Harry Enten covers how Democrats’ odds to take the Senate have more than doubled from 28% last year to 67% today

CNN: It looks like Rob Sand is going to be the first Democratic Governor in Iowa in 20 years Iowa Governor odds (March 29) 🟦 Rob Sand: 48% Odds today: 🟦 Rob Sand 83% (+35%)

CNN: James Talarico’s odds are “up like a rocket” Texas Senate odds: (+/- change from July 24) 🟦 James Talarico: 56% (+13%) 🟥 Ken Paxton: 44% (-13%)

CBS: "Prediction markets were right"

CNN: Democrat's odds to win the Senate are "up significantly from where we were just a few months ago" Odds: 🟦 Aug 28: 48% 🟦 Today: 64% (+16%)

CNN: “This is a real race on our hands in Texas” Texas Senate odds: 🟦 James Talarico: 50% 🟥 Ken Paxton: 50%

JD Vance’s odds to win the 2028 Presidential election: Odds: 🟥 1 year ago: 33% 🟥 Today: 22% (-11%)

FOX NEWS: 23% chance that SpaceX lands on Mars by 2030

“Kalshi, again, that’s not a poll.” Spencer Pratt explains why he doesn’t believe the polls that have him at 22%. Traders are forecasting him getting 29.5%

NEW: Nancy Mace brags about being the “27th most bipartisan member of Congress”

“We don’t need a billionaire who made his money in private prisons and oil and gas” Matt Mahan RIPS Tom Steyer

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CBS: “Another thing I think is really interesting is when you look at the volume, when you look at where traders are looking at” Anthony Salvanto and Nicole Kagan break down where people are trading the most in the Senate and the House

BREAKING: House races shift leftward from 7:00 PM from 8:00 PM Democrats now favored in 259 House seats (as of 8:10 PM ET)

BREAKING: Democrats now favored in 250 House races (as of 7:24 PM ET)

BREAKING: Democrats are now favored in 240 House races as some House races shift leftward on election day

CBS: Kalshi favors Democrats to take control of the Senate

CNN: Harry Enten’s forecast of House control: Estimated seats: 🟦 Democrats: 236 🟥 Republicans: 199 Control odds: 🟦 Democrats: 91% 🟥 Republicans: 9%

KALSHI MIDTERM ODDS: House control: 🟦 Democrats: 85% 🟥 Republicans: 15% Senate control: 🟥 Republicans: 54% 🟦 Democrats: 46%

JUST IN: David Pakman covers the shift in the Texas Governor race towards Democrats

JUST IN: Spencer Pratt recounts Nithya Raman’s odds declining after the debate Pratt is now 2x more likely to win the LA Mayor race than Raman

CNN: The fact that Mike Lawler has a chance in a district that Kamala Harris won is an indication that Jewish voters could save him his seat NY-17 House winner odds: 🟦 Cait Conley: 61% 🟥 Mike Lawler: 39%

CNN: I think Democrats are going to be well north of 218, 230+, maybe even upwards of 240 Odds: 🟦 House Democratic Majority: 91% 🟦 House Democrats win at least 230 seats: 72%

CNN: "Those chances have come rocketing up, we’re now talking a 94% chance that Democrats take back the House of Representatives." Odds Democrats win The House: 🟦October 31, 2025: 58% 🟦Today: 94% (+36%)

CNN: "Democrats legitimately have their first chance to win a United States Senate race in the great state of Kansas in either of our lifetimes." Odds Adam Hamilton (D) wins Kansas Senate race: 🟦Oct 28: 41% 🟦This morning: 47% (+6%)

SENATE FIELD VIEW: (8:00-9:00 PM ET) Democrats now favored in 55 Senate seats

CNN: "Look where we were a month ago, we were at 60% chance, now we are talking about a very nice 69% chance if you are a Democrat." Odds James Talarico wins the Texas Senate race: 🟦September 29: 60% 🟦Today: 69% (+9%)

Odds the majority of Governors are Democrats: 🟦 March 19: 27% 🟦 Today: 70% (+53%)

CNN: "You can't get any tighter than what you're looking at right now" Chance Dems win the Senate: 🟦 Poll-based models: 53% 🟦 Kalshi odds: 47% 🟦 Average: 50%

CNN’s Harry Enten covers Abdul El-Sayed’s odds to win the Michigan Democratic Senate primary over time: April 3: 28% Today: 98% (+70%)

CNN: Harry Enten covers how a Democratic sweep leads the Midterms: Congress Balance of Power odds. Current odds: 🟦🟦 D-House / D-Senate: 46% 🟦🟥 D-House / R-Senate: 38% 🟥🟥 R-House / R-Senate: 15% 🟥🟦 R-House / D-Senate: 1%

Election night, live in Times Square. Kalshi is taking over the screens at 42nd & 7th with live odds for the biggest races. Nonstop from now until midnight.