Knight

New Polymarket: "How long will the Government Shutdown last?" Let's break it down: - Key Sticking Points: funding for Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and healthcare subsidies remain the primary hurdles in negotiations - There is a 75% probability of a 1+ day shutdown. Traders are already front-running a "technical" weekend shutdown - Most likely, we will see a short shutdown (1 to 3 days) - 14+ or 30+ days look like a gamble right now - both parties have a massive incentive to settle quickly to avoid tanking their approval ratings before the new political cycle kicks off The deadline is Friday! Congress very often misses the midnight cutoff, leading to a formal shutdown over Saturday and Sunday, with a compromise reached by Monday morning! Always DYOR and read the market rules!