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Michael Sikand

@michaelsikand130,352 subscribers

Investor & Entrepreneur || $50M+ AUM @joinautopilot || Forbes 30u30 My Picks. Your Portfolio👇

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$ADBE CEO today

$ADBE CEO today

155,017 次观看

OpenAI executives before the IPO.

OpenAI executives before the IPO.

522,859 次观看

China after we pass Bernie's ban on AI.

China after we pass Bernie's ban on AI.

257,983 次观看

Watching Squid Games after a 30% memory drawdown makes it feel so realistic.

Watching Squid Games after a 30% memory drawdown makes it feel so realistic.

628,749 次观看

I think the market is overpricing a Fed hike. Going in with 50% of a new $5K predictions portfolio, and may increase sizing if the odds for a hike spike more on Friday's CPI print. I won't claim claim to have much differentiated alpha here or to have a high degree of certainty, but when I see genuinley attractive odds, I like to go for them. We're in a trap here. If Warsh hikes and the US government can't afford the interest on debt that's 120% of GDP, the long end goes higher. If Warsh is dovish and inflation stays hot, the long end goes higher. The only logical course of action is to step up long end buybacks more and more aggressively because both scenarios end the same way? The cheapest fix is getting the short rate down so Bessent can fund more buybacks with cheap bills and If that still doesn't hold the long end, the Fed steps in and buys it directly. Now may not be the time to cut, but it's certainly not the time to hike. Don't forget Bessent and Warsh both worked for Druck with the same macro worldview, and Bessent pushed him for the job. Why would they not be working towards the same strategy?

I think the market is overpricing a Fed hike. Going in with 50% of a new $5K predictions portfolio, and may increase sizing if the odds for a hike spike more on Friday's CPI print. I won't claim claim to have much differentiated alpha here or to have a high degree of certainty, but when I see genuinley attractive odds, I like to go for them. We're in a trap here. If Warsh hikes and the US government can't afford the interest on debt that's 120% of GDP, the long end goes higher. If Warsh is dovish and inflation stays hot, the long end goes higher. The only logical course of action is to step up long end buybacks more and more aggressively because both scenarios end the same way? The cheapest fix is getting the short rate down so Bessent can fund more buybacks with cheap bills and If that still doesn't hold the long end, the Fed steps in and buys it directly. Now may not be the time to cut, but it's certainly not the time to hike. Don't forget Bessent and Warsh both worked for Druck with the same macro worldview, and Bessent pushed him for the job. Why would they not be working towards the same strategy?

81,685 次观看

"Mr. Griffin, can you recap your thinking around the Situational Awareness liquidation?"

"Mr. Griffin, can you recap your thinking around the Situational Awareness liquidation?"

380,028 次观看

Dropped $100K into the market here into a fresh "I bought the dip" account. Risk reward looks fantastic to just go long a big list of my favorite stocks, some down 30-50%. I see no reason to concentrate this capital when there's this many deals across themes. Indexes are holding up well, the AI buildout is accelerating, earnings are coming up, and economic data is relatively strong. This looks like a generational retail shakeout, where leverage is just getting unwound, and sentiment is driving not facts and data. I feel like we might be towards the back end of this high beta rinse. But of course my timing could be wrong. Things could fall further on Iran escalation which of course has a knock on effect with interest rates, which could certainly mean major pain ahead. Adding to each of my 6 Autopilot portfolios equally and then to my favorite international stocks, other picks, and microcaps not reflected there. Memory Supercycle ($14,286): $MU 5.78% $SNDK 5.13% $EWY 2.25% blockstack:native 0.59% $WDC 0.53% Photonics Is Next ($14,286): $LITE 2.32% $COHR 1.99% $AAOI 1.95% $TSEM 1.78% $CIEN 1.46% $VIAV 1.39% $GLW 1.29% $AEHR 0.92% $MRVL 0.60% $AXTI 0.57% Asymmetrical Bets ($14,286): $AAOI 3.38% $NBIS 3.36% $MAGS 2.74% $SONY 2.64% $APP 2.17% AI Factories ($14,286): $NBIS 4.14% $CRWV 2.18% $CLSK 1.47% $HUT 1.30% $BRUN 1.16% $SHAZ 1.15% $CORZ 0.74% $WULF 0.72% $GLXY 0.72% $APLD 0.71% Space Economy ($14,286): $RKLB 2.86% $ASTS 2.52% $SPCX 2.34% $MDA 1.93% $FLY 1.67% $BKSY 1.52% $LUNR 1.46% Modern Warfare ($14,286): $AVAV 5.33% $AVEX 3.92% $KTOS 2.61% $LASR 1.56% $ONDS 0.87% Other Bets ($14,286): KRKNF 1.02% LPTH 1.02% QCOM 1.02% ORCL 1.02% BE 1.02% NOK 1.02% OPTX 1.02% RDDT 1.02% LTRX 1.02% OUST 1.02% CCXI 1.02% SECZ 1.02% CRCL 1.02% ERII 1.02% This is NOT financial advice. I am not a licensed investment advisor. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional before investing. All investing involves risk, including loss of principal.

Dropped $100K into the market here into a fresh "I bought the dip" account. Risk reward looks fantastic to just go long a big list of my favorite stocks, some down 30-50%. I see no reason to concentrate this capital when there's this many deals across themes. Indexes are holding up well, the AI buildout is accelerating, earnings are coming up, and economic data is relatively strong. This looks like a generational retail shakeout, where leverage is just getting unwound, and sentiment is driving not facts and data. I feel like we might be towards the back end of this high beta rinse. But of course my timing could be wrong. Things could fall further on Iran escalation which of course has a knock on effect with interest rates, which could certainly mean major pain ahead. Adding to each of my 6 Autopilot portfolios equally and then to my favorite international stocks, other picks, and microcaps not reflected there. Memory Supercycle ($14,286): $MU 5.78% $SNDK 5.13% $EWY 2.25% blockstack:native 0.59% $WDC 0.53% Photonics Is Next ($14,286): $LITE 2.32% $COHR 1.99% $AAOI 1.95% $TSEM 1.78% $CIEN 1.46% $VIAV 1.39% $GLW 1.29% $AEHR 0.92% $MRVL 0.60% $AXTI 0.57% Asymmetrical Bets ($14,286): $AAOI 3.38% $NBIS 3.36% $MAGS 2.74% $SONY 2.64% $APP 2.17% AI Factories ($14,286): $NBIS 4.14% $CRWV 2.18% $CLSK 1.47% $HUT 1.30% $BRUN 1.16% $SHAZ 1.15% $CORZ 0.74% $WULF 0.72% $GLXY 0.72% $APLD 0.71% Space Economy ($14,286): $RKLB 2.86% $ASTS 2.52% $SPCX 2.34% $MDA 1.93% $FLY 1.67% $BKSY 1.52% $LUNR 1.46% Modern Warfare ($14,286): $AVAV 5.33% $AVEX 3.92% $KTOS 2.61% $LASR 1.56% $ONDS 0.87% Other Bets ($14,286): KRKNF 1.02% LPTH 1.02% QCOM 1.02% ORCL 1.02% BE 1.02% NOK 1.02% OPTX 1.02% RDDT 1.02% LTRX 1.02% OUST 1.02% CCXI 1.02% SECZ 1.02% CRCL 1.02% ERII 1.02% This is NOT financial advice. I am not a licensed investment advisor. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional before investing. All investing involves risk, including loss of principal.

265,665 次观看

Going to hang out with your friends who've never heard of high-bandwidth memory or co-packaged optics. (They don't understand what's coming)

Going to hang out with your friends who've never heard of high-bandwidth memory or co-packaged optics. (They don't understand what's coming)

61,023 次观看

Watching people who don't follow Leopold Aschenbrenner, memory, or photonics this weekend.

Watching people who don't follow Leopold Aschenbrenner, memory, or photonics this weekend.

262,015 次观看

SemiAnalysis guys after crashing photonics and buying back 40% off.

SemiAnalysis guys after crashing photonics and buying back 40% off.

232,918 次观看

Trump and Jensen this weekend.

Trump and Jensen this weekend.

142,764 次观看

No Risk, No Rari

No Risk, No Rari

35,431 次观看

Videos

michaelsikand's profile picture

My 10x stock idea from GTC isn't photonics?! But it does involve lasers. Say hello to $INFQ. It's a newly IPO'd quantum stock generating tens of millions in revenue in space + defense applications with very unique technology. Infleqtion went public last month but it's trading 40% below its IPO price with a sub $2B market cap. $INFQ trades at roughly 70x trailing sales on $29M in revenue. Compare that to $RGTI at $6B market cap on just $7M in revenue, that's 860x sales. I chatted with $INFQ's Chief Administrative Officer, Julie McGee, to dig in further but here's the TLDR. Most quantum companies need to cool their chips to near absolute zero temps just to operate. Infleqtion uses "neutral atom" technology that traps individual atoms inside a glass cell using lasers and runs them at room temperature. It takes the power of a few hairdryers. No giant refrigerators. Way cheaper and way easier to scale. And unlike most quantum names they're actually shipping products NOW. Quantum clocks for GPS-denied navigation, RF sensors, inertial navigation systems. Selling to NASA, the DoD, and the UK government. Their quantum clock is being qualified by SpaceX for satellite systems. Quantum brings a whole new level of precision that works on the ground, in the sky, and underwater. Their technology can enable submarines to navigate without ever linking up to a satellite. GPS jamming is also becoming a huge problem on the battlefield, showing up in Ukraine and Iran. Quantum timing is inherently unjammable and unspoofable. They also had a dedicated spot inside the Nvidia booth at GTC. $INFQ partnered with Nvidia to demo the first commercial materials science application running on logical qubits and are working with Nvidia's NVQLink to scale quantum-classical hybrid computing. What's next: 30 logical qubits targeted this year, one of the most important milestones in the race to fault tolerant quantum computing by 2028. Plus a new NASA contract to measure Earth's gravity from space. Infleqtion combines an attractive valuation with extremely unique technology (they're the only neutral atom quantum company publicly listed). Could easily see this re-rating fast, I just think the IPO timing was poor with Iran. Could be adding this as a lottery ticket to my Asymmetrical Bets portfolio soon... This post was not sponsored or influenced in any way by $INFQ. All thoughts are my own, NFA / DYOR.

Michael Sikand

321,848 次观看 • 6 个月前

michaelsikand's profile picture

$ASTS holders today

Michael Sikand

186,359 次观看 • 5 个月前