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Gene Munster

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Managing Partner @deepwatermgmt. Investing in tech-driven growth. All views/opinions are personal and not investment advice. 🚀

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$TSLA is down because they slightly missed March delivery expectations.That doesn't change the takeaway. March deliveries were the first solid read on underlying demand; they grew without the help of tax credits, and growth going forward should quicken. Over the past two years, the top five carmakers have reduced EV investments by an average of 35%. I expect those reductions to be costly long-term. Below is a deep dive.

$TSLA is down because they slightly missed March delivery expectations.That doesn't change the takeaway. March deliveries were the first solid read on underlying demand; they grew without the help of tax credits, and growth going forward should quicken. Over the past two years, the top five carmakers have reduced EV investments by an average of 35%. I expect those reductions to be costly long-term. Below is a deep dive.

128,819 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

$TSLA sold off on the increased capex comments. It should have traded up because it supports the company’s long-term vision:

$TSLA sold off on the increased capex comments. It should have traded up because it supports the company’s long-term vision:

80,126 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Tim crushed it as CEO of Apple. Ternus has an opportunity to supercharge $AAPL's multiple by changing the narrative, which is the biggest opportunity in big tech.

Tim crushed it as CEO of Apple. Ternus has an opportunity to supercharge $AAPL's multiple by changing the narrative, which is the biggest opportunity in big tech.

71,763 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Beyond the headline of next week’s $TSLA deliveries is the reality that the EV business is in a better place today than two years ago. Big Auto made big cuts to EV investment over that time, and that gives Tesla a bigger opportunity, especially in the US where we don’t have BYD.

Beyond the headline of next week’s $TSLA deliveries is the reality that the EV business is in a better place today than two years ago. Big Auto made big cuts to EV investment over that time, and that gives Tesla a bigger opportunity, especially in the US where we don’t have BYD.

63,033 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Bravo to $GOOG for accelerating Search in the face of chatbots. Sounds like the momentum will continue. P.S. My prediction: Waymo IPO in 2027.

Bravo to $GOOG for accelerating Search in the face of chatbots. Sounds like the momentum will continue. P.S. My prediction: Waymo IPO in 2027.

144,590 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

The fact that $TSLA is disclosing FSD subscriptions is all you need to know about its progress. That progress makes Robotaxi expansion a reality.

The fact that $TSLA is disclosing FSD subscriptions is all you need to know about its progress. That progress makes Robotaxi expansion a reality.

81,169 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

$NVDA Three takeaways on Pressure Points: 1. The stock being down 1% underscores that investors’ long term growth concerns remain. 2. The fundamentals and outlook came in better than elevated whisper numbers. 3. Most importantly, the guidance reinforces just how early we are in AI.

$NVDA Three takeaways on Pressure Points: 1. The stock being down 1% underscores that investors’ long term growth concerns remain. 2. The fundamentals and outlook came in better than elevated whisper numbers. 3. Most importantly, the guidance reinforces just how early we are in AI.

61,951 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

The bottom line on the capex outlook, we’re early in the AI buildout. Three of the four hyperscalers hiked their AI spending outlook. I expect in CY26 will come in up closer to 80% vs. up Street expectations of up 64% going into tonight. $AMZN $GOOG $META $MSFT

The bottom line on the capex outlook, we’re early in the AI buildout. Three of the four hyperscalers hiked their AI spending outlook. I expect in CY26 will come in up closer to 80% vs. up Street expectations of up 64% going into tonight. $AMZN $GOOG $META $MSFT

28,320 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

$TSLA basically dropped the 2025 bar to the floor and raised the 2026, 2027, and 2028 bars to the stars.

$TSLA basically dropped the 2025 bar to the floor and raised the 2026, 2027, and 2028 bars to the stars.

204,187 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

The reason why shares of $AAPL are not up more is investors wonder if the new Siri can power an encore to iPhone super cycle that wraps up this quarter. I believe the answer is yes.

The reason why shares of $AAPL are not up more is investors wonder if the new Siri can power an encore to iPhone super cycle that wraps up this quarter. I believe the answer is yes.

24,791 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Deja vu: China sales should increase $NVDA FY25 growth to 65% vs. 51% expected today. Stock up 5% on the news today. Nasdaq was down 0.1%. More in Pressure Points.

Deja vu: China sales should increase $NVDA FY25 growth to 65% vs. 51% expected today. Stock up 5% on the news today. Nasdaq was down 0.1%. More in Pressure Points.

79,946 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

This combo makes sense. More on Pressure Points below.

This combo makes sense. More on Pressure Points below.

57,869 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

Bottom line from Jensen’s keynote: Demand is measurably stronger than even the highest expectations, and investors are still having a hard time getting comfortable with that. $NVDA

Bottom line from Jensen’s keynote: Demand is measurably stronger than even the highest expectations, and investors are still having a hard time getting comfortable with that. $NVDA

41,168 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

I believe Jensen is suggesting about 15% upside to revenue over the next 5 quarters. The stock’s up only 4% on that likely because there are enough moving parts to keep investors from taking his comments to the bank. $NVDA

I believe Jensen is suggesting about 15% upside to revenue over the next 5 quarters. The stock’s up only 4% on that likely because there are enough moving parts to keep investors from taking his comments to the bank. $NVDA

89,396 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

The new Mac’s announced today add color to Cook’s “range of options to deal with margins”. $AAPL

The new Mac’s announced today add color to Cook’s “range of options to deal with margins”. $AAPL

20,216 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Big picture: $NVDA's outlook was better than expected.

Big picture: $NVDA's outlook was better than expected.

41,676 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

$GOOG's business and growth outlook is rock solid. Shares sold off on the massive CapEx guide, comments on rising depreciation impacting earnings, and unknowns around quarter-to-quarter Cloud growth.

$GOOG's business and growth outlook is rock solid. Shares sold off on the massive CapEx guide, comments on rising depreciation impacting earnings, and unknowns around quarter-to-quarter Cloud growth.

21,057 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

Pressure Points: AI Trade Update - Jan 2026 We’re 4% of the way into 2026, and the fundamentals of AI infrastructure are tracking above expectations. Next stop: hyperscalers’ capex guidance in two weeks.

Pressure Points: AI Trade Update - Jan 2026 We’re 4% of the way into 2026, and the fundamentals of AI infrastructure are tracking above expectations. Next stop: hyperscalers’ capex guidance in two weeks.

23,291 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

Yes, there are lots of unknowns in the back half of the year, and $AAPL will navigate it well:

Yes, there are lots of unknowns in the back half of the year, and $AAPL will navigate it well:

37,891 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr