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Navid Mohebbi نوید محبی

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Iran analyst. Iranian-American. Tweets in Persian/Eng. Former political prisoner. Nonpartisan. @GWtweets @Umass alumni.🏳️‍🌈🇺🇸

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من هم جای سیاوش اردلان بودم، از بازگشت اینترنت به ایران احساس خوشایندی نداشتم. تایم‌لاین دوباره نام پهلوی را فریاد می‌زند و ویدئوهای تازه منتشرشده نشان می‌دهد که بزرگ‌ترین خیزش تاریخ ایران، حتی شکوه‌مندتر و گسترده‌تر از چیزی بوده که در ابتدا تصور‌ می‌شد.

من هم جای سیاوش اردلان بودم، از بازگشت اینترنت به ایران احساس خوشایندی نداشتم. تایم‌لاین دوباره نام پهلوی را فریاد می‌زند و ویدئوهای تازه منتشرشده نشان می‌دهد که بزرگ‌ترین خیزش تاریخ ایران، حتی شکوه‌مندتر و گسترده‌تر از چیزی بوده که در ابتدا تصور‌ می‌شد.

43,597 görüntüleme

🚨It’s 8:45 p.m. in Iran. Across Iran, people have risen up, and the country is now in the midst of a national uprising against 47 years of tyranny. Chants: “Long live the King.” “Death to Khamenei.” This is the final battle. Pahlavi will return. Massive turnout in Tehran.

🚨It’s 8:45 p.m. in Iran. Across Iran, people have risen up, and the country is now in the midst of a national uprising against 47 years of tyranny. Chants: “Long live the King.” “Death to Khamenei.” This is the final battle. Pahlavi will return. Massive turnout in Tehran.

389,351 görüntüleme

🚨 It’s 1:00 a.m. in Iran. Here are my 15 key observations from Day 12 of nationwide protests [January 8]: 1️⃣ The largest anti-regime protests of the Islamic Republic’s 47-year history unfolded on Day 12. When aggregated nationwide, turnout reached multi-million levels. 2️⃣ Since the unrest began, protests have been reported in at least 111 cities across all 31 provinces, underscoring the truly national scope of the uprising. 3️⃣ Today’s protests followed the first-ever direct call by Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, scheduled for 8:00 p.m. The response was widespread and visible across major cities. 4️⃣ Another nationwide call has already been issued for tomorrow at 8:00 p.m. Observers say the movement still has room to grow. 5️⃣ Analysts argue that the success of today’s call and dominant street slogans have effectively solidified Reza Pahlavi’s position as the central figure of the protests. 6️⃣ One of tonight’s largest demonstrations took place in Mashhad, Khamenei’s hometown and a city tightly controlled by his inner circle—a major symbolic blow. 7️⃣ In Tehran, protests expanded into more affluent neighborhoods like Vanak for the first time. Drivers joined in with continuous honking, while bazaar merchants went on strike in around 50 cities nationwide. 8️⃣ Student protests have erupted at 36 universities so far, with openly anti-regime slogans—an important escalation across generations. 9️⃣ Iranian human rights groups report at least 45 protesters killed, including 8 children, and hundreds injured. Yesterday alone saw 13 deaths, making it one of the bloodiest days so far. 🔟 Calls are growing—by both Iranian and non-Iranian activists—for world leaders to engage directly with Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, including renewed attention to a potential meeting with Donald Trump and the provision of resources to help him better lead the uprising. 11. Trump, in a recent interview, reiterated warnings to the regime and said of Pahlavi: “I’ve watched him, he seems like a nice person—but I’m not sure this is the right moment, as president, to do something like that.” 12. State media, while forced to acknowledge unrest, are pushing a narrative of “small crowds” and emphasizing alleged attacks on security forces—a pattern analysts warn may signal preparation for harsher repression. 13. Meanwhile, rare pro-regime gatherings were staged, alongside headlines declaring “the defeat of counter-revolutionaries”—widely seen as damage control. 14. Social media (Instagram) ahead of protests showed unprecedented public coordination and solidarity: shop closures announced in advance, emotional farewell messages, and strong virtual participation even from those unable to attend. 15. Outlook: Protests are expected to continue in the coming days—especially tomorrow. The movement’s success will hinge on the public’s ability to neutralize the Islamic Republic’s repressive apparatus. So far, the regime appears not to have deployed its full coercive capacity, relying instead on mass arrests and widespread injuries. If protests advance to the point of overrunning security and state institutions, the regime may resort to large-scale lethal violence. The role of Israel and the United States is crucial to the success of the protests. So far, there are no clear signs that the regime’s repressive apparatus is cracking.

🚨 It’s 1:00 a.m. in Iran. Here are my 15 key observations from Day 12 of nationwide protests [January 8]: 1️⃣ The largest anti-regime protests of the Islamic Republic’s 47-year history unfolded on Day 12. When aggregated nationwide, turnout reached multi-million levels. 2️⃣ Since the unrest began, protests have been reported in at least 111 cities across all 31 provinces, underscoring the truly national scope of the uprising. 3️⃣ Today’s protests followed the first-ever direct call by Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, scheduled for 8:00 p.m. The response was widespread and visible across major cities. 4️⃣ Another nationwide call has already been issued for tomorrow at 8:00 p.m. Observers say the movement still has room to grow. 5️⃣ Analysts argue that the success of today’s call and dominant street slogans have effectively solidified Reza Pahlavi’s position as the central figure of the protests. 6️⃣ One of tonight’s largest demonstrations took place in Mashhad, Khamenei’s hometown and a city tightly controlled by his inner circle—a major symbolic blow. 7️⃣ In Tehran, protests expanded into more affluent neighborhoods like Vanak for the first time. Drivers joined in with continuous honking, while bazaar merchants went on strike in around 50 cities nationwide. 8️⃣ Student protests have erupted at 36 universities so far, with openly anti-regime slogans—an important escalation across generations. 9️⃣ Iranian human rights groups report at least 45 protesters killed, including 8 children, and hundreds injured. Yesterday alone saw 13 deaths, making it one of the bloodiest days so far. 🔟 Calls are growing—by both Iranian and non-Iranian activists—for world leaders to engage directly with Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, including renewed attention to a potential meeting with Donald Trump and the provision of resources to help him better lead the uprising. 11. Trump, in a recent interview, reiterated warnings to the regime and said of Pahlavi: “I’ve watched him, he seems like a nice person—but I’m not sure this is the right moment, as president, to do something like that.” 12. State media, while forced to acknowledge unrest, are pushing a narrative of “small crowds” and emphasizing alleged attacks on security forces—a pattern analysts warn may signal preparation for harsher repression. 13. Meanwhile, rare pro-regime gatherings were staged, alongside headlines declaring “the defeat of counter-revolutionaries”—widely seen as damage control. 14. Social media (Instagram) ahead of protests showed unprecedented public coordination and solidarity: shop closures announced in advance, emotional farewell messages, and strong virtual participation even from those unable to attend. 15. Outlook: Protests are expected to continue in the coming days—especially tomorrow. The movement’s success will hinge on the public’s ability to neutralize the Islamic Republic’s repressive apparatus. So far, the regime appears not to have deployed its full coercive capacity, relying instead on mass arrests and widespread injuries. If protests advance to the point of overrunning security and state institutions, the regime may resort to large-scale lethal violence. The role of Israel and the United States is crucial to the success of the protests. So far, there are no clear signs that the regime’s repressive apparatus is cracking.

266,788 görüntüleme

💔 It feels like a scene from a movie. Before losing his life, Ilya Dehghani told his father: “Dad…” His father replied, “Yes, my dear?” In his final moments, Ilya smiled and said: “Don’t worry about me. I love you…” The regime killed him on January 9.

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💔 It feels like a scene from a movie. Before losing his life, Ilya Dehghani told his father: “Dad…” His father replied, “Yes, my dear?” In his final moments, Ilya smiled and said: “Don’t worry about me. I love you…” The regime killed him on January 9.

197,303 görüntüleme

🚨It’s 2:30 a.m. in Tehran, and here are my 12 key observations from Day 15 of Iran’s protests (January 11): 1️⃣ On the fifteenth day of protests in Iran, following the fourth nationwide call by Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, demonstrations and strikes continued across multiple parts of the country. A strike by truck drivers and shopkeepers in Shiraz began on Sunday morning. At the same time, people took to the streets in several cities, including Tehran, Bandar Abbas, Abdanan, and Shahsavar. Crowd sizes in Tehran remain notable and significant, but smaller than yesterday. 2⃣ Late last night, Iran International confirmed that at least 2,000 people have been killed in Iran—a figure described as conservative. At the same time, horrifying new videos and images emerged showing families of the victims gathered at forensic medicine centers, with hundreds of bodies laid on the ground. The scale of the killings has plunged Iranian society into deep shock and collective mourning. 3⃣ Following the release of these images, regime state media and officials implicitly acknowledged the occurrence of mass killings—without providing figures—while attempting to deflect responsibility. They claimed the bodies were “left behind by rioters” and denied the government’s role. Simultaneously, President Masoud Pezeshkian, the regime’s so-called reformist president, alleged that protesters had beheaded people and burned them alive. 4⃣ Field reports indicate large gatherings in Tehran neighborhoods including Punok, Shahrak-e Beheshti, Saadat Abad, Ashrafi Esfahani, and Pirouzi. In Shahsavar, protesters lit fires and chanted “Javid Shah,” while heavy gunfire can be heard in multiple videos. In Abdanan, large crowds attended the funeral of one of the victims, chanting “Death to Khamenei.” 5⃣ Protests continued across Iran until around 2:00 a.m. This morning, new videos emerged from Behesht-e Zahra cemetery, where families chanted “Death to Khamenei” during burial ceremonies. Regime forces responded by attacking mourners with tear gas and paintball guns. Meanwhile, strikes by truck drivers and shopkeepers continued in Shiraz. In Tehran, protesters reportedly renamed a square from the name of Khomeini’s grandson to Pahlavi. 6⃣ Iran’s internet shutdown remains in place. According to NetBlocks, more than 72 hours after the blackout began, national connectivity is still at around 1% of normal levels. Due to the outage, information is emerging slowly and with delay, and very few reports are reaching the outside world from smaller cities. 7⃣ Coinciding with the fifteenth day of Iran’s national uprising, solidarity rallies by Iranians abroad continued in hundreds of cities across Europe, the United States, Canada, and elsewhere worldwide, in support of the Iranian people and Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi. These demonstrations, however, received limited coverage in major Western media outlets. 8⃣ Judiciary Chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejei once again instructed prosecutors to show “no leniency” toward protesters. He further stated that authorities should even pursue individuals who have taken ambiguous or non-committal positions on the protests. At the same time, the head of Iran’s police announced that the crackdown has entered a new phase, while regime media reported widespread arrests in multiple cities. 9⃣ Despite widespread public outrage over the killing of protesters, the regime declared three days of public mourning for several of its own slain security personnel. In parallel, the Islamic Propaganda Coordination Council, the regime’s main propaganda body, called on regime supporters to gather tomorrow at 2:00 p.m., carrying Qurans and condemning the protesters. 🔟Internationally, as supportive statements from Donald Trump and Senator Lindsey Graham continue, some observers believe U.S. military action is becoming increasingly likely. Iranian activists, however, are calling for heavy strikes against the regime’s repressive institutions, urging Washington not to limit its response to symbolic actions. 11. Following yesterday’s revelations, a wave of condemnations from global politicians has emerged. Iranian diaspora activists argue that statements of concern are no longer sufficient, calling instead for concrete measures such as expelling regime diplomats, providing Starlink internet access to Iranians, and holding the regime accountable for crimes against humanity. 12. Outlook: The number of cities actively involved in protests has declined noticeably following the recent mass killings, and regime media are openly celebrating what they describe as a victory over the protesters. Nevertheless, significant gatherings continue in Tehran. As of this hour, no new call has been issued by Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi. It is likely that protests will persist in the coming days in certain areas, though in a more fragmented and localized form. The key question remains whether meaningful international intervention will shift the balance in favor of the Iranian people.

🚨It’s 2:30 a.m. in Tehran, and here are my 12 key observations from Day 15 of Iran’s protests (January 11): 1️⃣ On the fifteenth day of protests in Iran, following the fourth nationwide call by Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, demonstrations and strikes continued across multiple parts of the country. A strike by truck drivers and shopkeepers in Shiraz began on Sunday morning. At the same time, people took to the streets in several cities, including Tehran, Bandar Abbas, Abdanan, and Shahsavar. Crowd sizes in Tehran remain notable and significant, but smaller than yesterday. 2⃣ Late last night, Iran International confirmed that at least 2,000 people have been killed in Iran—a figure described as conservative. At the same time, horrifying new videos and images emerged showing families of the victims gathered at forensic medicine centers, with hundreds of bodies laid on the ground. The scale of the killings has plunged Iranian society into deep shock and collective mourning. 3⃣ Following the release of these images, regime state media and officials implicitly acknowledged the occurrence of mass killings—without providing figures—while attempting to deflect responsibility. They claimed the bodies were “left behind by rioters” and denied the government’s role. Simultaneously, President Masoud Pezeshkian, the regime’s so-called reformist president, alleged that protesters had beheaded people and burned them alive. 4⃣ Field reports indicate large gatherings in Tehran neighborhoods including Punok, Shahrak-e Beheshti, Saadat Abad, Ashrafi Esfahani, and Pirouzi. In Shahsavar, protesters lit fires and chanted “Javid Shah,” while heavy gunfire can be heard in multiple videos. In Abdanan, large crowds attended the funeral of one of the victims, chanting “Death to Khamenei.” 5⃣ Protests continued across Iran until around 2:00 a.m. This morning, new videos emerged from Behesht-e Zahra cemetery, where families chanted “Death to Khamenei” during burial ceremonies. Regime forces responded by attacking mourners with tear gas and paintball guns. Meanwhile, strikes by truck drivers and shopkeepers continued in Shiraz. In Tehran, protesters reportedly renamed a square from the name of Khomeini’s grandson to Pahlavi. 6⃣ Iran’s internet shutdown remains in place. According to NetBlocks, more than 72 hours after the blackout began, national connectivity is still at around 1% of normal levels. Due to the outage, information is emerging slowly and with delay, and very few reports are reaching the outside world from smaller cities. 7⃣ Coinciding with the fifteenth day of Iran’s national uprising, solidarity rallies by Iranians abroad continued in hundreds of cities across Europe, the United States, Canada, and elsewhere worldwide, in support of the Iranian people and Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi. These demonstrations, however, received limited coverage in major Western media outlets. 8⃣ Judiciary Chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejei once again instructed prosecutors to show “no leniency” toward protesters. He further stated that authorities should even pursue individuals who have taken ambiguous or non-committal positions on the protests. At the same time, the head of Iran’s police announced that the crackdown has entered a new phase, while regime media reported widespread arrests in multiple cities. 9⃣ Despite widespread public outrage over the killing of protesters, the regime declared three days of public mourning for several of its own slain security personnel. In parallel, the Islamic Propaganda Coordination Council, the regime’s main propaganda body, called on regime supporters to gather tomorrow at 2:00 p.m., carrying Qurans and condemning the protesters. 🔟Internationally, as supportive statements from Donald Trump and Senator Lindsey Graham continue, some observers believe U.S. military action is becoming increasingly likely. Iranian activists, however, are calling for heavy strikes against the regime’s repressive institutions, urging Washington not to limit its response to symbolic actions. 11. Following yesterday’s revelations, a wave of condemnations from global politicians has emerged. Iranian diaspora activists argue that statements of concern are no longer sufficient, calling instead for concrete measures such as expelling regime diplomats, providing Starlink internet access to Iranians, and holding the regime accountable for crimes against humanity. 12. Outlook: The number of cities actively involved in protests has declined noticeably following the recent mass killings, and regime media are openly celebrating what they describe as a victory over the protesters. Nevertheless, significant gatherings continue in Tehran. As of this hour, no new call has been issued by Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi. It is likely that protests will persist in the coming days in certain areas, though in a more fragmented and localized form. The key question remains whether meaningful international intervention will shift the balance in favor of the Iranian people.

189,842 görüntüleme

🚨 It’s 12:50 a.m. in Iran. Below are my 12 key observations from Day 13 of Iran’s nationwide protests (January 9). 1️⃣ Scale of Protests: On the 13th day of the Iranian uprising, and following the call by CP Reza Pahlavi, massive crowds—numbering in the millions—took to the streets. At least in Tehran, Mashhad, and Qazvin, crowd sizes were larger than the previous night, indicating clear momentum. 2️⃣ Total Internet Blackout: Internet access inside Iran is currently estimated at just 1%. The country is under a near-total communications blackout. Videos and news are reaching the outside world only with extreme difficulty. One of the few remaining channels of communication is a very limited number of Starlink connections operating inside Iran. Meanwhile, the regime and its affiliates retain access to “white SIM cards” and unfiltered internet—making verification from smaller cities extremely difficult. 3️⃣ Cities with Confirmed Protests: Despite the blackout, I have been able to confirm protests in major cities including: Tabriz, Shiraz, Karaj, Isfahan, Qom, Yazd, Rasht, Gorgan, Astara, Mahshahr, Kashan, and Abhar. More videos are likely to emerge once material manages to leave the country. At this stage, it is fair to say that crowd size in Tehran and Mashhad was larger than yesterday, but the total number of cities involved may be lower—unless further reports surface. 4️⃣ Unprecedented Participation in Tehran: In Tehran, participation was truly large and widespread. Protesters did not gather in a single central location; instead, many neighborhoods formed independent crowds simultaneously. Tehran’s level of participation in uprisings over the past eight years has been limited. The last comparable mass turnout dates back to 2009. In this round, the capital—Iran’s political center and largest city—has shown unprecedented engagement, a development that is deeply alarming for the regime. 5️⃣ Killings & Unconfirmed Death Toll: Iranian human rights groups have so far confirmed 51 deaths. However, videos from last night depict horrific scenes of mass killing. In two separate videos from hospitals in Tehran and Karaj, numerous bodies can be seen laid out on the ground. Eyewitnesses report that late last night in Tehran alone, at least 35 people—and according to some unverified accounts, even more—were seen shot and lying on the streets. These incidents have not yet appeared in official tallies. By scanning regime-linked media, I found that one outlet has admitted to six deaths in Hamedan last night—two regime personnel and the rest likely protesters. Importantly, much of this killing occurred after the internet was cut. 6️⃣ Open Threats from the Regime: For the first time, state television this morning aired a direct on-air threat against the public. Officials openly warned people of violent confrontation and death, urging families to “control their children.” The Tehran Prosecutor declared that protesters are guilty of “moharebeh” (waging war against God)—a charge that carries the death penalty. The head of the judiciary stated that punishment will be decisive, maximal, and without any legal leniency. Also, In a speech, Khamenei dismissed protesters as “rioters,” declaring that “Trump will be overthrown, just like many other global tyrants.” 7️⃣ School Closures: The regime has shut down schools in at least Tehran Province and East Azerbaijan Province. This move reflects deep fear of student participation and of youth joining protests immediately after classes end. 8️⃣ International Assessments: A U.S. media outlet reported: “Many officials are privately calling one another and exchanging messages, confused and overwhelmed by the scale of the protests.” Israeli and U.S. intelligence officials have assessed that the protests are serious, and that their evaluations of the regime’s resilience are constantly shifting. 9️⃣ Messages from Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi: In a public message, Reza Pahlavi called on the Iranian diaspora to demonstrate worldwide. In an interview addressed to Khamenei, he said: “This is your last chance. Leave this country before it’s too late. You can go join Bashar al-Assad in Moscow.” In a separate message to Donald Trump, he warned of an impending new wave of mass killings and urged concrete action to help protesters inside Iran. He also addressed security forces and police, urging them: “Do not kill your brothers and sisters.” 🔟 VOA Persian Censorship: Voice of America Persian continues to censor protesters’ slogans and refuses to air Reza Pahlavi’s calls, despite full coverage by diaspora and international media. VOA staff have privately stated that senior U.S. officials are unaware of what the new director has been doing over the past two weeks. As a result, Ali Javanmardi is pushing his own personal agenda, according to internal sources. Staff members say senior U.S. officials must be informed about this censorship and about how it undermines Iranian protesters. 11. The new flag: In a powerful symbolic move, X’s Head of Product, Nikita Bier, announced that the platform has removed the regime’s flag and replaced it with the Lion and Sun flag—the pre-revolution national emblem widely recognized by Iran’s opposition. 🇮🇷🇮🇷 12: Outlook It is 4:00 p.m. EST. As of now, no new call for protests has been issued by Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi for tomorrow or the coming days. Still, sporadic protests are expected to continue in some cities. Given the scale of last night’s killings and this morning’s explicit threats, the regime appears determined to crush the uprising through mass violence. Analysts argue the regime sees no other way to prevent collapse. The key question remains: Will the international community confront the regime—or not? For now, further analysis depends on additional information and evolving variables. For the next daily update, you can follow me Navid Mohebbi نوید محبی.

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🚨 It’s 12:50 a.m. in Iran. Below are my 12 key observations from Day 13 of Iran’s nationwide protests (January 9). 1️⃣ Scale of Protests: On the 13th day of the Iranian uprising, and following the call by CP Reza Pahlavi, massive crowds—numbering in the millions—took to the streets. At least in Tehran, Mashhad, and Qazvin, crowd sizes were larger than the previous night, indicating clear momentum. 2️⃣ Total Internet Blackout: Internet access inside Iran is currently estimated at just 1%. The country is under a near-total communications blackout. Videos and news are reaching the outside world only with extreme difficulty. One of the few remaining channels of communication is a very limited number of Starlink connections operating inside Iran. Meanwhile, the regime and its affiliates retain access to “white SIM cards” and unfiltered internet—making verification from smaller cities extremely difficult. 3️⃣ Cities with Confirmed Protests: Despite the blackout, I have been able to confirm protests in major cities including: Tabriz, Shiraz, Karaj, Isfahan, Qom, Yazd, Rasht, Gorgan, Astara, Mahshahr, Kashan, and Abhar. More videos are likely to emerge once material manages to leave the country. At this stage, it is fair to say that crowd size in Tehran and Mashhad was larger than yesterday, but the total number of cities involved may be lower—unless further reports surface. 4️⃣ Unprecedented Participation in Tehran: In Tehran, participation was truly large and widespread. Protesters did not gather in a single central location; instead, many neighborhoods formed independent crowds simultaneously. Tehran’s level of participation in uprisings over the past eight years has been limited. The last comparable mass turnout dates back to 2009. In this round, the capital—Iran’s political center and largest city—has shown unprecedented engagement, a development that is deeply alarming for the regime. 5️⃣ Killings & Unconfirmed Death Toll: Iranian human rights groups have so far confirmed 51 deaths. However, videos from last night depict horrific scenes of mass killing. In two separate videos from hospitals in Tehran and Karaj, numerous bodies can be seen laid out on the ground. Eyewitnesses report that late last night in Tehran alone, at least 35 people—and according to some unverified accounts, even more—were seen shot and lying on the streets. These incidents have not yet appeared in official tallies. By scanning regime-linked media, I found that one outlet has admitted to six deaths in Hamedan last night—two regime personnel and the rest likely protesters. Importantly, much of this killing occurred after the internet was cut. 6️⃣ Open Threats from the Regime: For the first time, state television this morning aired a direct on-air threat against the public. Officials openly warned people of violent confrontation and death, urging families to “control their children.” The Tehran Prosecutor declared that protesters are guilty of “moharebeh” (waging war against God)—a charge that carries the death penalty. The head of the judiciary stated that punishment will be decisive, maximal, and without any legal leniency. Also, In a speech, Khamenei dismissed protesters as “rioters,” declaring that “Trump will be overthrown, just like many other global tyrants.” 7️⃣ School Closures: The regime has shut down schools in at least Tehran Province and East Azerbaijan Province. This move reflects deep fear of student participation and of youth joining protests immediately after classes end. 8️⃣ International Assessments: A U.S. media outlet reported: “Many officials are privately calling one another and exchanging messages, confused and overwhelmed by the scale of the protests.” Israeli and U.S. intelligence officials have assessed that the protests are serious, and that their evaluations of the regime’s resilience are constantly shifting. 9️⃣ Messages from Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi: In a public message, Reza Pahlavi called on the Iranian diaspora to demonstrate worldwide. In an interview addressed to Khamenei, he said: “This is your last chance. Leave this country before it’s too late. You can go join Bashar al-Assad in Moscow.” In a separate message to Donald Trump, he warned of an impending new wave of mass killings and urged concrete action to help protesters inside Iran. He also addressed security forces and police, urging them: “Do not kill your brothers and sisters.” 🔟 VOA Persian Censorship: Voice of America Persian continues to censor protesters’ slogans and refuses to air Reza Pahlavi’s calls, despite full coverage by diaspora and international media. VOA staff have privately stated that senior U.S. officials are unaware of what the new director has been doing over the past two weeks. As a result, Ali Javanmardi is pushing his own personal agenda, according to internal sources. Staff members say senior U.S. officials must be informed about this censorship and about how it undermines Iranian protesters. 11. The new flag: In a powerful symbolic move, X’s Head of Product, Nikita Bier, announced that the platform has removed the regime’s flag and replaced it with the Lion and Sun flag—the pre-revolution national emblem widely recognized by Iran’s opposition. 🇮🇷🇮🇷 12: Outlook It is 4:00 p.m. EST. As of now, no new call for protests has been issued by Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi for tomorrow or the coming days. Still, sporadic protests are expected to continue in some cities. Given the scale of last night’s killings and this morning’s explicit threats, the regime appears determined to crush the uprising through mass violence. Analysts argue the regime sees no other way to prevent collapse. The key question remains: Will the international community confront the regime—or not? For now, further analysis depends on additional information and evolving variables. For the next daily update, you can follow me Navid Mohebbi نوید محبی.

125,444 görüntüleme

💔 When you watch the videos of Iran’s fallen heroes, you see that they were all in love with life—music, sports, dance, nature, and joy. Of course, a generation like this rises up against a regime of terror and religious fundamentalism. 1⃣ Erfan Kari — 20, Tehran A wrestler with many medals. His family paid to recover his body. 2⃣ Mehdi Jafari — 23, Tehran He survived the initial gunshot but died due to a lack of medical treatment. He loved nature and hiking. 3⃣ Mehdi Ghadimi — 36, Babol A soccer player and a cat owner. On the night of the protests, he told his family: “If I die, don’t cry. I will join my mom, she will take care of me.” 4⃣ Mehran Salimi— Karaj He loved singing and owned a clothing boutique. His family says he was a “soldier of light.” Sharing their names because their families wanted them not to be forgotten.

💔 When you watch the videos of Iran’s fallen heroes, you see that they were all in love with life—music, sports, dance, nature, and joy. Of course, a generation like this rises up against a regime of terror and religious fundamentalism. 1⃣ Erfan Kari — 20, Tehran A wrestler with many medals. His family paid to recover his body. 2⃣ Mehdi Jafari — 23, Tehran He survived the initial gunshot but died due to a lack of medical treatment. He loved nature and hiking. 3⃣ Mehdi Ghadimi — 36, Babol A soccer player and a cat owner. On the night of the protests, he told his family: “If I die, don’t cry. I will join my mom, she will take care of me.” 4⃣ Mehran Salimi— Karaj He loved singing and owned a clothing boutique. His family says he was a “soldier of light.” Sharing their names because their families wanted them not to be forgotten.

103,276 görüntüleme

🚨 It’s around noon in Iran. Protests began about two hours ago. Day 12 has started with a big nationwide shopkeepers’ strike. Daytime protests reported in Hamedan, Ilam, Fars, and beyond. A long day ahead. Expect escalation after 8 p.m.

🚨 It’s around noon in Iran. Protests began about two hours ago. Day 12 has started with a big nationwide shopkeepers’ strike. Daytime protests reported in Hamedan, Ilam, Fars, and beyond. A long day ahead. Expect escalation after 8 p.m.

87,380 görüntüleme

💔 A young protester left a message for his mom: “Mom, I’m leaving, but I’m always with you… If you see a purple butterfly, it’s me. If you see clouds in the sky, it’s me.” Many of these brave kids knew they would not return home. But they still chose to fight for freedom.

💔 A young protester left a message for his mom: “Mom, I’m leaving, but I’m always with you… If you see a purple butterfly, it’s me. If you see clouds in the sky, it’s me.” Many of these brave kids knew they would not return home. But they still chose to fight for freedom.

66,332 görüntüleme

🚨 It’s only 12:30 p.m. in Iran, and things are already not looking good for the Islamic Republic. The 11th day of the nationwide uprising began with a strong daytime turnout, alongside renewed shopkeeper strikes in many cities across the country.

🚨 It’s only 12:30 p.m. in Iran, and things are already not looking good for the Islamic Republic. The 11th day of the nationwide uprising began with a strong daytime turnout, alongside renewed shopkeeper strikes in many cities across the country.

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🚨Despite the massacre, the people of Iran have not been silenced. Iranians in Mamasani, Fars province chanting: "The Shah is coming back to his country, Mamasani stands behind him." "Sickle, hammer, turban, ’1979 is over." "Down with Khamenei." "Long live the Shah."

🚨Despite the massacre, the people of Iran have not been silenced. Iranians in Mamasani, Fars province chanting: "The Shah is coming back to his country, Mamasani stands behind him." "Sickle, hammer, turban, ’1979 is over." "Down with Khamenei." "Long live the Shah."

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🚨A massive crowd of Iranian Canadians took to the streets of Toronto in freezing cold weather in solidarity with protesters inside Iran. According to some reports, the crowd exceeded 50,000 people. The Canadian government can—and should—play a more active role in supporting Iran’s opposition. No politician can afford to ignore a crowd of this size for the upcoming election.

🚨A massive crowd of Iranian Canadians took to the streets of Toronto in freezing cold weather in solidarity with protesters inside Iran. According to some reports, the crowd exceeded 50,000 people. The Canadian government can—and should—play a more active role in supporting Iran’s opposition. No politician can afford to ignore a crowd of this size for the upcoming election.

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💔There is no discrimination in Iran when it comes to the regime’s killing of dissidents. Children and adults, young and old, men and women. No one is spared. The regime is one of the world’s largest killers of children. Khamenei has turned Iran’s cities into vast graveyards.

💔There is no discrimination in Iran when it comes to the regime’s killing of dissidents. Children and adults, young and old, men and women. No one is spared. The regime is one of the world’s largest killers of children. Khamenei has turned Iran’s cities into vast graveyards.

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Get your facts straight, Yashar Ali 🐘. In Kermanshah, the largest Kurdish-majority city in Iran, as well as in multiple cities across Kurdistan and Ilam provinces, Iranian Kurds have chanted, “Long live the Shah,” and “This is the final battle, Pahlavi will return.” These fringe terrorist groups do not represent the majority of Iranian Kurds. .Len Khodorkovsky knows Iranian politics far better than Yashar Ali 🐘.

Get your facts straight, Yashar Ali 🐘. In Kermanshah, the largest Kurdish-majority city in Iran, as well as in multiple cities across Kurdistan and Ilam provinces, Iranian Kurds have chanted, “Long live the Shah,” and “This is the final battle, Pahlavi will return.” These fringe terrorist groups do not represent the majority of Iranian Kurds. .Len Khodorkovsky knows Iranian politics far better than Yashar Ali 🐘.

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The European Union was built on the promise of “never again.” Today, that promise is being tested in Iran. In recent days, the ruling regime has carried out massacres against its own people—not in war, not in armed conflict, but in the streets, against unarmed civilians shot at close range. These are not just videos circulating online; they are moments in which mothers and fathers search among lifeless bodies for the name of their child. The world knows what is happening. The question is no longer one of awareness, but of will. Europe knows the cost of silence. It has walked this road before—in the darkest chapters of the 20th century, and again in the Balkans—when hesitation, neutrality, and delayed action allowed atrocities to unfold. Each time, history returned with the same unforgiving question: why wasn’t action taken sooner? Hollow statements and routine “expressions of concern” are neither diplomacy nor restraint. They are a postponement of responsibility. Recalling European ambassadors from Tehran would not be symbolic; it would be the minimum moral red line. It would send a clear message that the killing of civilians is not an “internal matter.” Leaders who remain silent today, or hide behind weak statements, should understand this: these images will endure. The faces, the tears, the voices are recorded—and history will judge not only the perpetrators, but also the bystanders.

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The European Union was built on the promise of “never again.” Today, that promise is being tested in Iran. In recent days, the ruling regime has carried out massacres against its own people—not in war, not in armed conflict, but in the streets, against unarmed civilians shot at close range. These are not just videos circulating online; they are moments in which mothers and fathers search among lifeless bodies for the name of their child. The world knows what is happening. The question is no longer one of awareness, but of will. Europe knows the cost of silence. It has walked this road before—in the darkest chapters of the 20th century, and again in the Balkans—when hesitation, neutrality, and delayed action allowed atrocities to unfold. Each time, history returned with the same unforgiving question: why wasn’t action taken sooner? Hollow statements and routine “expressions of concern” are neither diplomacy nor restraint. They are a postponement of responsibility. Recalling European ambassadors from Tehran would not be symbolic; it would be the minimum moral red line. It would send a clear message that the killing of civilians is not an “internal matter.” Leaders who remain silent today, or hide behind weak statements, should understand this: these images will endure. The faces, the tears, the voices are recorded—and history will judge not only the perpetrators, but also the bystanders.

28,760 görüntüleme

🚨 It’s 3:00 a.m. in Iran, and here are my 10 key observations on the current state of protests in Iran as of January 18. 1️⃣More than 20 days after the start of Iran’s nationwide uprising, and despite the regime halting street protests through killings, a new wave of resistance has emerged. Over the past two days, following a call by Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, numerous videos from cities across Iran show people chanting slogans such as “Death to Khamenei” from rooftops and windows. (First video) 2️⃣ Ground and security situation: Field reports and incoming information indicate that the government has effectively imposed an undeclared state of martial law in many cities across the country. From Tehran, Qom, Rafsanjan, and Dezful to Karaj, Borujerd, Izeh, Ahvaz, Rasht, and Babol, citizens report forced shop closures, street blockades, widespread checkpoints, searches of vehicles and mobile phones, and the presence of armed forces carrying military weapons. According to these reports, after certain nighttime hours, even leaving one’s home, parking area, or moving through residential alleys is met with direct threats by security forces. 3️⃣ Arrests, torture, and killings Numerous reports regarding the treatment of detainees show that the regime has moved beyond “arrest and control” and is now systematically using torture as a tool of political messaging. Reports received indicate that detainees have been stripped naked in freezing winter conditions, held outdoors for prolonged periods, sprayed with cold water, and injected with substances of unknown composition. At the same time, reports of very high numbers of fatalities—including heavy estimates from Rasht and reports of execution-style shootings of wounded protesters in Mazandaran—from last week has just been released. 4️⃣ Control of medical treatment & removal of the wounded: One of the most decisive indicators of the severity of the crisis is the numerous reports of direct intervention by security forces in medical facilities. These include removing or abducting wounded individuals from hospitals, restricting or banning the admission of injured protesters, and reports of arrests inside medical centers and blood banks. A specific example from Rasht and Poursina Hospital clearly shows that the regime has transformed hospitals from spaces of treatment into sites for completing security operations. 5️⃣ Judicial cases against Pahlavi and Trump: Following official reactions to the protests, judicial and security officials have focused on filing charges and opening cases against the Pahlavi family and Donald Trump. The head of the Judiciary Lawyers’ Center announced that lawsuits against the Pahlavi family have been registered, while it has also been stated that complaints against Trump and Pahlavi are being pursued in international courts. Judicial officials have described Trump as the “main actor behind the recent unrest” and the Pahlavi family as a “terrorist organization.” Additionally, a case has been opened concerning deaths during the 1979 Islamic Revolution against the Pahlavi family. 6️⃣ Treatment of victims’ families: Reports from Tehran and Karaj, particularly Behesht-e Sakineh cemetery, indicate insults and verbal abuse by plainclothes agents toward families of those killed. Families have been pressured to bury bodies immediately; according to citizens, some were told, “Bury the bodies quickly so we can be rid of them..” At the same time, security forces have tightly controlled and restricted mourning ceremonies. In Karaj, agents reportedly stopped vehicles and forced passengers to remove their clothing to check for pellet wounds. 7️⃣ Official regime narrative: State media and security institutions continue to report ongoing mass arrests across various cities. The Intelligence Ministry has announced that more than 300 people have been arrested, while the IRGC has spoken of identifying and detaining “leaders and cells of the unrest.” At the same time, forced confessions by detainees are being broadcast repeatedly on official media. The regime’s judiciary spokesperson has stated that “criminals and their supporters will face punishment,” and judicial authorities have announced extraordinary and expedited processing of cases. [Second video: confessions} 8️⃣ Cyber operations and state media: Reports indicate that some Iranian state television channels were hacked, briefly broadcasting footage of recent protests and messages from Prince Reza Pahlavi via satellite transmission. (Third video) This occurred while the regime simultaneously imposed severe internet restrictions and expanded the airing of forced confessions. It appears that CP Prince Reza Pahlavi’s messages and calls have now also reached the domain of cyber warfare and the breaking of the regime’s media monopoly. 9️⃣ International developments: Internationally, Iranians organized large demonstrations in hundreds of cities worldwide over the past day, with the largest gathering exceeding 110,000 participants in Toronto. At the same time, U.S. warships have been moving toward the region, suggesting that a U.S. attack in the coming weeks remains a strong possibility, with a high likelihood of Israeli involvement as well. Donald Trump has also issued sharp statements following Khamenei’s remarks, indicating that a new leader must replace the current one. 🔟 Outlook: With street protests suppressed, Iranian society is now bearing the weight of mass arrests, while families continue struggling to recover the bodies of their loved ones and prisoners are being tortured into forced confessions. This has plunged the country into deep mourning and severe suffocation.For now, attention remains focused on the influx of international support, as people wait and hope for help.

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🚨 It’s 3:00 a.m. in Iran, and here are my 10 key observations on the current state of protests in Iran as of January 18. 1️⃣More than 20 days after the start of Iran’s nationwide uprising, and despite the regime halting street protests through killings, a new wave of resistance has emerged. Over the past two days, following a call by Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, numerous videos from cities across Iran show people chanting slogans such as “Death to Khamenei” from rooftops and windows. (First video) 2️⃣ Ground and security situation: Field reports and incoming information indicate that the government has effectively imposed an undeclared state of martial law in many cities across the country. From Tehran, Qom, Rafsanjan, and Dezful to Karaj, Borujerd, Izeh, Ahvaz, Rasht, and Babol, citizens report forced shop closures, street blockades, widespread checkpoints, searches of vehicles and mobile phones, and the presence of armed forces carrying military weapons. According to these reports, after certain nighttime hours, even leaving one’s home, parking area, or moving through residential alleys is met with direct threats by security forces. 3️⃣ Arrests, torture, and killings Numerous reports regarding the treatment of detainees show that the regime has moved beyond “arrest and control” and is now systematically using torture as a tool of political messaging. Reports received indicate that detainees have been stripped naked in freezing winter conditions, held outdoors for prolonged periods, sprayed with cold water, and injected with substances of unknown composition. At the same time, reports of very high numbers of fatalities—including heavy estimates from Rasht and reports of execution-style shootings of wounded protesters in Mazandaran—from last week has just been released. 4️⃣ Control of medical treatment & removal of the wounded: One of the most decisive indicators of the severity of the crisis is the numerous reports of direct intervention by security forces in medical facilities. These include removing or abducting wounded individuals from hospitals, restricting or banning the admission of injured protesters, and reports of arrests inside medical centers and blood banks. A specific example from Rasht and Poursina Hospital clearly shows that the regime has transformed hospitals from spaces of treatment into sites for completing security operations. 5️⃣ Judicial cases against Pahlavi and Trump: Following official reactions to the protests, judicial and security officials have focused on filing charges and opening cases against the Pahlavi family and Donald Trump. The head of the Judiciary Lawyers’ Center announced that lawsuits against the Pahlavi family have been registered, while it has also been stated that complaints against Trump and Pahlavi are being pursued in international courts. Judicial officials have described Trump as the “main actor behind the recent unrest” and the Pahlavi family as a “terrorist organization.” Additionally, a case has been opened concerning deaths during the 1979 Islamic Revolution against the Pahlavi family. 6️⃣ Treatment of victims’ families: Reports from Tehran and Karaj, particularly Behesht-e Sakineh cemetery, indicate insults and verbal abuse by plainclothes agents toward families of those killed. Families have been pressured to bury bodies immediately; according to citizens, some were told, “Bury the bodies quickly so we can be rid of them..” At the same time, security forces have tightly controlled and restricted mourning ceremonies. In Karaj, agents reportedly stopped vehicles and forced passengers to remove their clothing to check for pellet wounds. 7️⃣ Official regime narrative: State media and security institutions continue to report ongoing mass arrests across various cities. The Intelligence Ministry has announced that more than 300 people have been arrested, while the IRGC has spoken of identifying and detaining “leaders and cells of the unrest.” At the same time, forced confessions by detainees are being broadcast repeatedly on official media. The regime’s judiciary spokesperson has stated that “criminals and their supporters will face punishment,” and judicial authorities have announced extraordinary and expedited processing of cases. [Second video: confessions} 8️⃣ Cyber operations and state media: Reports indicate that some Iranian state television channels were hacked, briefly broadcasting footage of recent protests and messages from Prince Reza Pahlavi via satellite transmission. (Third video) This occurred while the regime simultaneously imposed severe internet restrictions and expanded the airing of forced confessions. It appears that CP Prince Reza Pahlavi’s messages and calls have now also reached the domain of cyber warfare and the breaking of the regime’s media monopoly. 9️⃣ International developments: Internationally, Iranians organized large demonstrations in hundreds of cities worldwide over the past day, with the largest gathering exceeding 110,000 participants in Toronto. At the same time, U.S. warships have been moving toward the region, suggesting that a U.S. attack in the coming weeks remains a strong possibility, with a high likelihood of Israeli involvement as well. Donald Trump has also issued sharp statements following Khamenei’s remarks, indicating that a new leader must replace the current one. 🔟 Outlook: With street protests suppressed, Iranian society is now bearing the weight of mass arrests, while families continue struggling to recover the bodies of their loved ones and prisoners are being tortured into forced confessions. This has plunged the country into deep mourning and severe suffocation.For now, attention remains focused on the influx of international support, as people wait and hope for help.

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🔹Remember when Qasem Soleimani was killed in U.S. strikes and some Western media pushed a “rally-around-the-flag” narrative? That never reflected reality. Soleimani was deeply despised by many Iranians. Today, his statues across Iran are among the first targets of protesters.

🔹Remember when Qasem Soleimani was killed in U.S. strikes and some Western media pushed a “rally-around-the-flag” narrative? That never reflected reality. Soleimani was deeply despised by many Iranians. Today, his statues across Iran are among the first targets of protesters.

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Not gonna lie—I laughed at this. 🤣 Protesters in Ilam Province chant in the local Lori dialect: “Shit on Khomeini—hey!” Khomeini was the founder of the Islamic Republic, who ruled Iran for 11 years until his death and was later succeeded by Khamenei.

Not gonna lie—I laughed at this. 🤣 Protesters in Ilam Province chant in the local Lori dialect: “Shit on Khomeini—hey!” Khomeini was the founder of the Islamic Republic, who ruled Iran for 11 years until his death and was later succeeded by Khamenei.

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10:30 p.m. [Day 13] 🚨Day two of Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi’s call. People are once again in the streets. Videos from Tehran are being sent via Starlink. Internet connectivity across Iran is down to ~1% — a near-total communications blackout. News is barely getting out of Iran.

10:30 p.m. [Day 13] 🚨Day two of Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi’s call. People are once again in the streets. Videos from Tehran are being sent via Starlink. Internet connectivity across Iran is down to ~1% — a near-total communications blackout. News is barely getting out of Iran.

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🧵Analysis of Day Six of the Protests in Iran: 1. Today should be considered a major day for the Iranian uprising, as U.S. President Donald Trump implicitly acknowledged the people’s protests and issued a warning to the regime. 2. Regime officials reacted immediately with a wave of statements, revealing the depth of their fear. 3. Protests today were closely tied to large and solemn funeral processions for those killed. During these ceremonies, crowds openly chanted slogans against the regime, saying the fight will continue. 4. Another important paradigm shift is that most protests are now taking place at night, even as we speak. The reason is straightforward: many protesters are daily wage workers who cannot afford to miss a day of work. 5. The protests have spread to new cities, including Zahedan and Tabriz. People have also taken to the streets in Marvdasht, Karaj, Kohgiluyeh and Boyer-Ahmad Province, Lorestan, Qazvin, Khuzestan, Qum and Mashhad. 6. For now, the uprising continues, and protesters remain deeply outraged by the killings that took place yesterday. 7. Today's chants: “Death to Khamenei” “This is the final battle — Pahlavi will return” “Jaavid Shah” (Long live the King) “Death to the Dictator” “We don’t want the Islamic Republic” “Cry all you want, Seyyed Ali — Pahlavi is coming” “This year is the year of blood — Seyyed Ali will be overthrown” “Reza Shah, bless your soul”

🧵Analysis of Day Six of the Protests in Iran: 1. Today should be considered a major day for the Iranian uprising, as U.S. President Donald Trump implicitly acknowledged the people’s protests and issued a warning to the regime. 2. Regime officials reacted immediately with a wave of statements, revealing the depth of their fear. 3. Protests today were closely tied to large and solemn funeral processions for those killed. During these ceremonies, crowds openly chanted slogans against the regime, saying the fight will continue. 4. Another important paradigm shift is that most protests are now taking place at night, even as we speak. The reason is straightforward: many protesters are daily wage workers who cannot afford to miss a day of work. 5. The protests have spread to new cities, including Zahedan and Tabriz. People have also taken to the streets in Marvdasht, Karaj, Kohgiluyeh and Boyer-Ahmad Province, Lorestan, Qazvin, Khuzestan, Qum and Mashhad. 6. For now, the uprising continues, and protesters remain deeply outraged by the killings that took place yesterday. 7. Today's chants: “Death to Khamenei” “This is the final battle — Pahlavi will return” “Jaavid Shah” (Long live the King) “Death to the Dictator” “We don’t want the Islamic Republic” “Cry all you want, Seyyed Ali — Pahlavi is coming” “This year is the year of blood — Seyyed Ali will be overthrown” “Reza Shah, bless your soul”

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🚨 It’s 1:00 a.m. in Iran. Here are my 15 key observations from Day 12 of nationwide protests [January 8]: 1️⃣ The largest anti-regime protests of the Islamic Republic’s 47-year history unfolded on Day 12. When aggregated nationwide, turnout reached multi-million levels. 2️⃣ Since the unrest began, protests have been reported in at least 111 cities across all 31 provinces, underscoring the truly national scope of the uprising. 3️⃣ Today’s protests followed the first-ever direct call by Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, scheduled for 8:00 p.m. The response was widespread and visible across major cities. 4️⃣ Another nationwide call has already been issued for tomorrow at 8:00 p.m. Observers say the movement still has room to grow. 5️⃣ Analysts argue that the success of today’s call and dominant street slogans have effectively solidified Reza Pahlavi’s position as the central figure of the protests. 6️⃣ One of tonight’s largest demonstrations took place in Mashhad, Khamenei’s hometown and a city tightly controlled by his inner circle—a major symbolic blow. 7️⃣ In Tehran, protests expanded into more affluent neighborhoods like Vanak for the first time. Drivers joined in with continuous honking, while bazaar merchants went on strike in around 50 cities nationwide. 8️⃣ Student protests have erupted at 36 universities so far, with openly anti-regime slogans—an important escalation across generations. 9️⃣ Iranian human rights groups report at least 45 protesters killed, including 8 children, and hundreds injured. Yesterday alone saw 13 deaths, making it one of the bloodiest days so far. 🔟 Calls are growing—by both Iranian and non-Iranian activists—for world leaders to engage directly with Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, including renewed attention to a potential meeting with Donald Trump and the provision of resources to help him better lead the uprising. 11. Trump, in a recent interview, reiterated warnings to the regime and said of Pahlavi: “I’ve watched him, he seems like a nice person—but I’m not sure this is the right moment, as president, to do something like that.” 12. State media, while forced to acknowledge unrest, are pushing a narrative of “small crowds” and emphasizing alleged attacks on security forces—a pattern analysts warn may signal preparation for harsher repression. 13. Meanwhile, rare pro-regime gatherings were staged, alongside headlines declaring “the defeat of counter-revolutionaries”—widely seen as damage control. 14. Social media (Instagram) ahead of protests showed unprecedented public coordination and solidarity: shop closures announced in advance, emotional farewell messages, and strong virtual participation even from those unable to attend. 15. Outlook: Protests are expected to continue in the coming days—especially tomorrow. The movement’s success will hinge on the public’s ability to neutralize the Islamic Republic’s repressive apparatus. So far, the regime appears not to have deployed its full coercive capacity, relying instead on mass arrests and widespread injuries. If protests advance to the point of overrunning security and state institutions, the regime may resort to large-scale lethal violence. The role of Israel and the United States is crucial to the success of the protests. So far, there are no clear signs that the regime’s repressive apparatus is cracking.

Navid Mohebbi نوید محبی

266,788 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

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🚨It’s 2:30 a.m. in Tehran, and here are my 12 key observations from Day 15 of Iran’s protests (January 11): 1️⃣ On the fifteenth day of protests in Iran, following the fourth nationwide call by Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, demonstrations and strikes continued across multiple parts of the country. A strike by truck drivers and shopkeepers in Shiraz began on Sunday morning. At the same time, people took to the streets in several cities, including Tehran, Bandar Abbas, Abdanan, and Shahsavar. Crowd sizes in Tehran remain notable and significant, but smaller than yesterday. 2⃣ Late last night, Iran International confirmed that at least 2,000 people have been killed in Iran—a figure described as conservative. At the same time, horrifying new videos and images emerged showing families of the victims gathered at forensic medicine centers, with hundreds of bodies laid on the ground. The scale of the killings has plunged Iranian society into deep shock and collective mourning. 3⃣ Following the release of these images, regime state media and officials implicitly acknowledged the occurrence of mass killings—without providing figures—while attempting to deflect responsibility. They claimed the bodies were “left behind by rioters” and denied the government’s role. Simultaneously, President Masoud Pezeshkian, the regime’s so-called reformist president, alleged that protesters had beheaded people and burned them alive. 4⃣ Field reports indicate large gatherings in Tehran neighborhoods including Punok, Shahrak-e Beheshti, Saadat Abad, Ashrafi Esfahani, and Pirouzi. In Shahsavar, protesters lit fires and chanted “Javid Shah,” while heavy gunfire can be heard in multiple videos. In Abdanan, large crowds attended the funeral of one of the victims, chanting “Death to Khamenei.” 5⃣ Protests continued across Iran until around 2:00 a.m. This morning, new videos emerged from Behesht-e Zahra cemetery, where families chanted “Death to Khamenei” during burial ceremonies. Regime forces responded by attacking mourners with tear gas and paintball guns. Meanwhile, strikes by truck drivers and shopkeepers continued in Shiraz. In Tehran, protesters reportedly renamed a square from the name of Khomeini’s grandson to Pahlavi. 6⃣ Iran’s internet shutdown remains in place. According to NetBlocks, more than 72 hours after the blackout began, national connectivity is still at around 1% of normal levels. Due to the outage, information is emerging slowly and with delay, and very few reports are reaching the outside world from smaller cities. 7⃣ Coinciding with the fifteenth day of Iran’s national uprising, solidarity rallies by Iranians abroad continued in hundreds of cities across Europe, the United States, Canada, and elsewhere worldwide, in support of the Iranian people and Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi. These demonstrations, however, received limited coverage in major Western media outlets. 8⃣ Judiciary Chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejei once again instructed prosecutors to show “no leniency” toward protesters. He further stated that authorities should even pursue individuals who have taken ambiguous or non-committal positions on the protests. At the same time, the head of Iran’s police announced that the crackdown has entered a new phase, while regime media reported widespread arrests in multiple cities. 9⃣ Despite widespread public outrage over the killing of protesters, the regime declared three days of public mourning for several of its own slain security personnel. In parallel, the Islamic Propaganda Coordination Council, the regime’s main propaganda body, called on regime supporters to gather tomorrow at 2:00 p.m., carrying Qurans and condemning the protesters. 🔟Internationally, as supportive statements from Donald Trump and Senator Lindsey Graham continue, some observers believe U.S. military action is becoming increasingly likely. Iranian activists, however, are calling for heavy strikes against the regime’s repressive institutions, urging Washington not to limit its response to symbolic actions. 11. Following yesterday’s revelations, a wave of condemnations from global politicians has emerged. Iranian diaspora activists argue that statements of concern are no longer sufficient, calling instead for concrete measures such as expelling regime diplomats, providing Starlink internet access to Iranians, and holding the regime accountable for crimes against humanity. 12. Outlook: The number of cities actively involved in protests has declined noticeably following the recent mass killings, and regime media are openly celebrating what they describe as a victory over the protesters. Nevertheless, significant gatherings continue in Tehran. As of this hour, no new call has been issued by Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi. It is likely that protests will persist in the coming days in certain areas, though in a more fragmented and localized form. The key question remains whether meaningful international intervention will shift the balance in favor of the Iranian people.

Navid Mohebbi نوید محبی

189,842 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

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🚨It’s 10:30 p.m. in Tehran. Here are my 10 key observations from the 11th day of Iran’s protests + protest video compilation: 1️⃣ On the eleventh day, protests expanded compared to the previous day, with demonstrations increasingly taking place during daylight hours. Videos show greater organization and larger crowds. 2️⃣ Bazaar merchants went on strike in 28 cities across Iran. For the first time, Tabriz, Iran’s second-largest bazaar, joined the strikes. The trend suggests that bazaar strikes may expand further in the coming days. In addition, workers at the South Pars gas refinery—a vital source of regime revenue—walked off the job. It remains to be seen whether strikes will spread to Iran’s oil and gas sectors more broadly. 3️⃣ 35 deaths have been confirmed. After Lorestan with 7 killed, the highest tolls were recorded in Kermanshah (4), Ilam and Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari (3 each), Fars (2), and Isfahan and Qom (1 each). Analysts say video evidence suggests the real number of deaths is higher. 4️⃣ In a threatening video message [second video below], Ahmad-Reza Radan, the chief of police, alongside Judiciary Chief Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejei, declared: “I promise that we will deal with the rioters to the very last one.” Both individuals are sanctioned by the United States. Israeli sources told me that on the final day of the war, Israeli jets were on their way to kill Ahmad-Reza Radan, but the war abruptly ended under U.S. pressure, and the jets were ordered to return. 5️⃣ Some videos show limited hesitation and passivity among regular police forces when confronting protesters. However, IRGC, intelligence, and Basij units continue the crackdown. Analysts say defections and passivity within repression forces could play a significant role in the expansion of protests. Some also note that threats by Trump and U.S. senators may not be insignificant. 6️⃣ Regime media reported the execution of an alleged Mossad spy in Iran. Dozens of people face execution on accusations of spying for Israel without due process. Analysts say the regime is using executions to instill fear, terror, and deterrence. 7️⃣ In an unprecedented move, Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi has called for nationwide protests on Thursday and Friday. His message on Instagram—the most widely used platform in Iran—has been viewed almost 70 million times on Instagram alone. Given Iran’s population of roughly 90 million, this is an extraordinary figure. [picture attached below] 8️⃣ While Iranian diaspora networks widely covered the protest call, the new head of VOA Persian was the only major outlet that refused to broadcast it. Many Iranians on social media have tagged Kari Lake, contacted members of Congress, and appealed to American influencers to use their influence to end the boycott of the Crown Prince on VOA. 9️⃣ State-controlled media, in what analysts describe as a familiar regime tactic, are accusing protesters of burning Quran shops, assaulting ordinary citizens, and vandalizing public property. 🔟 Reports have also emerged that the regime is seeking assistance from Iraqi militias to help suppress protests inside Iran. Iranians on social media are calling on the U.S. government to pressure Iraq to prevent such intervention. P.S. Nighttime protests are expected to continue for another two hours, and protests usually intensify after dark. More videos are expected to emerge over the next four hours as protesters return home.

Navid Mohebbi نوید محبی

173,541 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

🚨 It’s 12:50 a.m. in Iran. Below are my 12 key observations from Day 13 of Iran’s nationwide protests (January 9). 1️⃣ Scale of Protests: On the 13th day of the Iranian uprising, and following the call by CP Reza Pahlavi, massive crowds—numbering in the millions—took to the streets. At least in Tehran, Mashhad, and Qazvin, crowd sizes were larger than the previous night, indicating clear momentum. 2️⃣ Total Internet Blackout: Internet access inside Iran is currently estimated at just 1%. The country is under a near-total communications blackout. Videos and news are reaching the outside world only with extreme difficulty. One of the few remaining channels of communication is a very limited number of Starlink connections operating inside Iran. Meanwhile, the regime and its affiliates retain access to “white SIM cards” and unfiltered internet—making verification from smaller cities extremely difficult. 3️⃣ Cities with Confirmed Protests: Despite the blackout, I have been able to confirm protests in major cities including: Tabriz, Shiraz, Karaj, Isfahan, Qom, Yazd, Rasht, Gorgan, Astara, Mahshahr, Kashan, and Abhar. More videos are likely to emerge once material manages to leave the country. At this stage, it is fair to say that crowd size in Tehran and Mashhad was larger than yesterday, but the total number of cities involved may be lower—unless further reports surface. 4️⃣ Unprecedented Participation in Tehran: In Tehran, participation was truly large and widespread. Protesters did not gather in a single central location; instead, many neighborhoods formed independent crowds simultaneously. Tehran’s level of participation in uprisings over the past eight years has been limited. The last comparable mass turnout dates back to 2009. In this round, the capital—Iran’s political center and largest city—has shown unprecedented engagement, a development that is deeply alarming for the regime. 5️⃣ Killings & Unconfirmed Death Toll: Iranian human rights groups have so far confirmed 51 deaths. However, videos from last night depict horrific scenes of mass killing. In two separate videos from hospitals in Tehran and Karaj, numerous bodies can be seen laid out on the ground. Eyewitnesses report that late last night in Tehran alone, at least 35 people—and according to some unverified accounts, even more—were seen shot and lying on the streets. These incidents have not yet appeared in official tallies. By scanning regime-linked media, I found that one outlet has admitted to six deaths in Hamedan last night—two regime personnel and the rest likely protesters. Importantly, much of this killing occurred after the internet was cut. 6️⃣ Open Threats from the Regime: For the first time, state television this morning aired a direct on-air threat against the public. Officials openly warned people of violent confrontation and death, urging families to “control their children.” The Tehran Prosecutor declared that protesters are guilty of “moharebeh” (waging war against God)—a charge that carries the death penalty. The head of the judiciary stated that punishment will be decisive, maximal, and without any legal leniency. Also, In a speech, Khamenei dismissed protesters as “rioters,” declaring that “Trump will be overthrown, just like many other global tyrants.” 7️⃣ School Closures: The regime has shut down schools in at least Tehran Province and East Azerbaijan Province. This move reflects deep fear of student participation and of youth joining protests immediately after classes end. 8️⃣ International Assessments: A U.S. media outlet reported: “Many officials are privately calling one another and exchanging messages, confused and overwhelmed by the scale of the protests.” Israeli and U.S. intelligence officials have assessed that the protests are serious, and that their evaluations of the regime’s resilience are constantly shifting. 9️⃣ Messages from Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi: In a public message, Reza Pahlavi called on the Iranian diaspora to demonstrate worldwide. In an interview addressed to Khamenei, he said: “This is your last chance. Leave this country before it’s too late. You can go join Bashar al-Assad in Moscow.” In a separate message to Donald Trump, he warned of an impending new wave of mass killings and urged concrete action to help protesters inside Iran. He also addressed security forces and police, urging them: “Do not kill your brothers and sisters.” 🔟 VOA Persian Censorship: Voice of America Persian continues to censor protesters’ slogans and refuses to air Reza Pahlavi’s calls, despite full coverage by diaspora and international media. VOA staff have privately stated that senior U.S. officials are unaware of what the new director has been doing over the past two weeks. As a result, Ali Javanmardi is pushing his own personal agenda, according to internal sources. Staff members say senior U.S. officials must be informed about this censorship and about how it undermines Iranian protesters. 11. The new flag: In a powerful symbolic move, X’s Head of Product, Nikita Bier, announced that the platform has removed the regime’s flag and replaced it with the Lion and Sun flag—the pre-revolution national emblem widely recognized by Iran’s opposition. 🇮🇷🇮🇷 12: Outlook It is 4:00 p.m. EST. As of now, no new call for protests has been issued by Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi for tomorrow or the coming days. Still, sporadic protests are expected to continue in some cities. Given the scale of last night’s killings and this morning’s explicit threats, the regime appears determined to crush the uprising through mass violence. Analysts argue the regime sees no other way to prevent collapse. The key question remains: Will the international community confront the regime—or not? For now, further analysis depends on additional information and evolving variables. For the next daily update, you can follow me Navid Mohebbi نوید محبی.
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🚨 It’s 12:50 a.m. in Iran. Below are my 12 key observations from Day 13 of Iran’s nationwide protests (January 9). 1️⃣ Scale of Protests: On the 13th day of the Iranian uprising, and following the call by CP Reza Pahlavi, massive crowds—numbering in the millions—took to the streets. At least in Tehran, Mashhad, and Qazvin, crowd sizes were larger than the previous night, indicating clear momentum. 2️⃣ Total Internet Blackout: Internet access inside Iran is currently estimated at just 1%. The country is under a near-total communications blackout. Videos and news are reaching the outside world only with extreme difficulty. One of the few remaining channels of communication is a very limited number of Starlink connections operating inside Iran. Meanwhile, the regime and its affiliates retain access to “white SIM cards” and unfiltered internet—making verification from smaller cities extremely difficult. 3️⃣ Cities with Confirmed Protests: Despite the blackout, I have been able to confirm protests in major cities including: Tabriz, Shiraz, Karaj, Isfahan, Qom, Yazd, Rasht, Gorgan, Astara, Mahshahr, Kashan, and Abhar. More videos are likely to emerge once material manages to leave the country. At this stage, it is fair to say that crowd size in Tehran and Mashhad was larger than yesterday, but the total number of cities involved may be lower—unless further reports surface. 4️⃣ Unprecedented Participation in Tehran: In Tehran, participation was truly large and widespread. Protesters did not gather in a single central location; instead, many neighborhoods formed independent crowds simultaneously. Tehran’s level of participation in uprisings over the past eight years has been limited. The last comparable mass turnout dates back to 2009. In this round, the capital—Iran’s political center and largest city—has shown unprecedented engagement, a development that is deeply alarming for the regime. 5️⃣ Killings & Unconfirmed Death Toll: Iranian human rights groups have so far confirmed 51 deaths. However, videos from last night depict horrific scenes of mass killing. In two separate videos from hospitals in Tehran and Karaj, numerous bodies can be seen laid out on the ground. Eyewitnesses report that late last night in Tehran alone, at least 35 people—and according to some unverified accounts, even more—were seen shot and lying on the streets. These incidents have not yet appeared in official tallies. By scanning regime-linked media, I found that one outlet has admitted to six deaths in Hamedan last night—two regime personnel and the rest likely protesters. Importantly, much of this killing occurred after the internet was cut. 6️⃣ Open Threats from the Regime: For the first time, state television this morning aired a direct on-air threat against the public. Officials openly warned people of violent confrontation and death, urging families to “control their children.” The Tehran Prosecutor declared that protesters are guilty of “moharebeh” (waging war against God)—a charge that carries the death penalty. The head of the judiciary stated that punishment will be decisive, maximal, and without any legal leniency. Also, In a speech, Khamenei dismissed protesters as “rioters,” declaring that “Trump will be overthrown, just like many other global tyrants.” 7️⃣ School Closures: The regime has shut down schools in at least Tehran Province and East Azerbaijan Province. This move reflects deep fear of student participation and of youth joining protests immediately after classes end. 8️⃣ International Assessments: A U.S. media outlet reported: “Many officials are privately calling one another and exchanging messages, confused and overwhelmed by the scale of the protests.” Israeli and U.S. intelligence officials have assessed that the protests are serious, and that their evaluations of the regime’s resilience are constantly shifting. 9️⃣ Messages from Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi: In a public message, Reza Pahlavi called on the Iranian diaspora to demonstrate worldwide. In an interview addressed to Khamenei, he said: “This is your last chance. Leave this country before it’s too late. You can go join Bashar al-Assad in Moscow.” In a separate message to Donald Trump, he warned of an impending new wave of mass killings and urged concrete action to help protesters inside Iran. He also addressed security forces and police, urging them: “Do not kill your brothers and sisters.” 🔟 VOA Persian Censorship: Voice of America Persian continues to censor protesters’ slogans and refuses to air Reza Pahlavi’s calls, despite full coverage by diaspora and international media. VOA staff have privately stated that senior U.S. officials are unaware of what the new director has been doing over the past two weeks. As a result, Ali Javanmardi is pushing his own personal agenda, according to internal sources. Staff members say senior U.S. officials must be informed about this censorship and about how it undermines Iranian protesters. 11. The new flag: In a powerful symbolic move, X’s Head of Product, Nikita Bier, announced that the platform has removed the regime’s flag and replaced it with the Lion and Sun flag—the pre-revolution national emblem widely recognized by Iran’s opposition. 🇮🇷🇮🇷 12: Outlook It is 4:00 p.m. EST. As of now, no new call for protests has been issued by Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi for tomorrow or the coming days. Still, sporadic protests are expected to continue in some cities. Given the scale of last night’s killings and this morning’s explicit threats, the regime appears determined to crush the uprising through mass violence. Analysts argue the regime sees no other way to prevent collapse. The key question remains: Will the international community confront the regime—or not? For now, further analysis depends on additional information and evolving variables. For the next daily update, you can follow me Navid Mohebbi نوید محبی.

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🚨It’s 3:20 a.m. in Tehran. Here are my 16 key observations on the current state of protests in Iran (January 13). 1⃣ Sixteen days of nationwide protests—from December 28 to January 12—mark the largest mass demonstrations in Iran’s modern history. As of this hour, there are no verified reports of street protests today. 2⃣ According to multiple reports, at least 12,000 people have been killed—a figure that can only be described as a massacre. Observers warn the real number may be significantly higher. 3⃣ Iranian diaspora media—including Iran International, Manoto, and BBC Persian—shifted coverage today. After days of cautious reporting to avoid spreading fear, they began documenting the scale of the regime’s crimes. Iranian society is in shock; emotions are raw and volatile. 4⃣Regime media struck a triumphalist tone, citing yesterday’s pro-government rally and claiming that “with the wisdom of the people and security forces,” Iran’s enemies were defeated—just as in the recent 12-day war. Tasnim, an IRGC-affiliated outlet, ran a full-page headline: “Iran won its second war with Israel in one year.” 5⃣Opposition voices counter this narrative, pointing to the 1979 Islamic revolution’s 398-day trajectory and arguing that revolutions are marathons, not two-week events. They describe the current path as irreversible and insist this is not the end of the game. 6⃣ Regime media reported that, over the past two days, security forces raided and destroyed dozens of alleged “armed riot cells.” Police officials claimed hundreds of arrests in Tehran, while provincial authorities cited widespread detentions nationwide, vowing to pursue protesters “to the last person.” 7⃣ Tehran’s prosecutor announced that cases accused of “moharebeh” (punishable by death) are being fast-tracked, with indictments already issued or imminent. 8⃣The regime’s foreign minister told Al Jazeera that Iran would not abandon “justice for people killed by foreign agents,” implicitly framing January 8—the first day of the Crown Prince’s call to protest—as “Day 13 of a U.S.–Israel war against Iran.” 9⃣ Senior officials escalated rhetoric: the president’s executive deputy branded the Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi “unpatriotic” for appealing to Trump; Khomeini’s grandson—without evidence—claimed protesters beheaded four people “ISIS-style.” Reformists and hardliners alike amplified coordinated, baseless accusations that protesters were beheading people and burning citizens alive. 🔟A regime figurehead claimed that two-thirds of the dead were “martyrs” killed by foreign actors—a familiar pattern over 47 years of blaming the U.S., Israel, and “enemies” for domestic unrest. At the same time, the regime refuses to hand over the bodies to their families in many cases. 11. Limited phone connectivity allowed Iranians abroad to receive harrowing messages from inside the country: accounts of relatives killed, questions about why the U.S. and Israel did not intervene, and pleas for international support amid mass arrests and fears of darker days ahead. 12. Trump, across social media and interviews, promised accountability for the regime’s crimes, warning that executions would trigger decisive action and emphasizing that the ultimate objective is “to win.” This messaging has sparked renewed hope. 13. At Trump’s request, Elon Musk made Starlink subscriptions free in Iran. An estimated 50,000 Starlink terminalsexist in the country, many previously offline due to cost. Meanwhile, state TV declared social media an “enemy battlefield” and said the internet will remain shut until “security conditions normalize.” 14. As limited connections return, families abroad are learning—often belatedly—of loved ones killed. One X user wrote: “I wish the phones hadn’t connected. They killed my cousin’s only 24-year-old son at his doorstep, in front of his father… I’m losing my mind.” [2nd pic] 15. New videos from January 8–9 are emerging with delay due to blackouts, revealing protests far larger than previously estimated. Many say January 8—the first day of the Crown Prince’s call—will be discussed for years. A journalist relayed from Tehran: “Everyone came out with their families. The regime saw the crowd—and chose mass killing.” 16. Outlook: The situation is extremely fragile. Street protests may be paused today, but public anger and shock are unresolved. Voices inside and outside Iran converge on one message: increase international pressure and demand global intervention. 2026 is a decisive year. The drivers of revolt remain—and in worse form. Resistance is likely to continue, possibly beyond traditional street protests. P.S. The first video dates back to January 8 in Mashhad and has just been released.

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