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@nobrainflip โข 539,893 subscribers
Crypto trader & angel investor โง Follow for free educational content on crypto investing & trading copy-trade me here: https://t.co/ZqCYW5Qk4M
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If $BTC fails to hold above $83k, weโre still in a bear trend If thatโs the case, Iโm expecting a dump toward $50k by November But if it does manage to reclaim and hold above $83k, then Iโll start buying around $69k I called the $BTC top at $126k to the exact day. I wonโt miss the bottom either.
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๐จ MOST PEOPLE AREN'T READY FOR WHAT HAPPENS BELOW $58K Iโve been trading crypto for 9 years and have never seen anything like this Everyone is screaming that bottom is in, or we're going to 30k, but it won't be either of these Reversals never happen without shaking out majority The chart wonโt follow the same pattern forever If this macro pattern continues, Bitcoin must eventually drop to around 30-32k in a few months, despite macro and global demand But at some point, every pattern has to break When? When the fundamentals and market sentiment no longer support it A pattern should confirm reality - not contradict it. If it does, forget the pattern. It has outlived its usefulness, just like every pattern before it If you look at previous cycles, every major bottom took time to form. You had months to buy near the lows And that's exactly why almost nobody did Everyone was waiting for lower prices Everyone wants to buy the capitulation wick But what if that wick never comes? Then nobody buys $16k was obviously a great BTC entry last cycle I think everyone in crypto knew that... Yet almost nobody bought. Not because it wasn't cheap, but because everyone was waiting for a nice round number: $10k/$15k Or they bought too early, just like many are doing now, deployed all their capital, lost conviction, or even sold because they were convinced BTC had much further to fall That's how bottoms are formed My base case is that we'll spend the summer ranging, then slowly bleed toward $50k After that, maybe one final flush to ~$42k, just enough to convince everyone another capitulation, "the final dump to 30k" is coming But it never comes, just like it never came last cycle or the one before it Many things about BTC price action change over time, but one thing never does When it's the top, almost nobody believes it's the top. When it's the bottom, almost nobody believes it's the bottom. Today 50% think that the bottom is in Other 40% wait for 30-40k That's why I think it's not a bottom, and we won't bottom at 30-40k But if you read the sentiment differently, or read this later, and you already think today's price is attractive but believe it'll go even lower, don't overthink it Most likely everybody thinks so So just buy and hold until $240k It's much better to buy at $50k than wait for $30k that may never come and end up not buying at all. That's why I've already bought 30% here Will DCA at 58K, 55K, 52K, and 50% at 42k Want to remind you that I called each major top and bottom of the last 7 years, including exact 126K BTC top: And soon i will make this account private If you read this, you probably get the biggest informational edge in your lifetime So make sure to follow me and turn notifs on
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This will be my biggest trade ever Swing long $BTC at $51K Target: $160K Limit orders are already set.
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This is how I see $BTC over the next months June -> flat July -> mini alt rally during bear August -> dump to $50K September -> fake bounce October -> $40K bottom November -> real bounce December -> start of bull market Bookmark this and come back at the end of the year.
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$BTC just closed 2nd 6-month red candle It has never had 3 red candles in a rowโฆ
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$BTC never dumped below its electrical cost Do you know what does it mean?
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Donโt confuse a correction with a reversal
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if $BTC manages to reclaim and hold above $83k, weโre officially back in a bull trend however, iโd still only add on pullbacks - DCA around $75k-$69k and iโm still keeping 30% aside for the wet dream of somehow getting below $55k but keep in mind, i already have a significant allocation to the market if youโre holding zero BTC right now, i think a reasonable strategy would be: Get 35% of your target BTC allocation now (above $83k) 10% limit order at $74k 10% limit order at $69k 15% at $58k 15% at $51k 15% at $43k
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I've been trading for 9 years and never seen so much stacked long liquidity on a single level Once we reach 58K, dump will be brutal There will be $2B liquidations with a final huge crash that will mark this cycle bottom Throughout this cycles' market has been purely driven by liquidity, chopping from one imbalance to another So far pattern continues repeating My view remains that we must eventually drop to 55K and 50K and even eventually might get 42K and that perfectly lines both mathematically and with historical patterns right now Plus macro bottom never feels like one, it usually comes after most aggressive liquidation event of the cycle when nobody expects it Once that happens, when liquidity is fully taken, there's nothing left to dump and that's how bottom will be formed Either way, I am already buying and will continue DCA at 58K 55K 52K Thatโs my 9th year in crypto, I bought BTC at 16k last cycle, I called the exact 126K BTC top. swing short at 70K, called recent 20x memes I genuinely believe I can help you make money on crypto I post a lot of educational content and my trades, you can find everything in โhighlightsโ tab on my profile So make sure to follow me and turn on notifications - Iโve got plenty more profitable calls coming ๐ค
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Buy 500 days before halving Sell 500 days after halving Thank me later
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$BTC endgame for this bear: 1. Panic dump to $40k on โStrategy is forced to sellโ fear 2. Saylor announces he already sold $8B of $MSTR/BTC via OTC, wipe debt completely, and sit on $50B balance sheet 3. BTC & MSTR bullrun, since there's no more liquidation risk around Saylor.
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Bitcoin has never had more than 9 red months-candles in bear markets
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You donโt need hundreds of fancy bottom indicators. You only need one.
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