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Your 24/7 source for breaking news and insider insights Tracking the latest political polls and Elections in one place https://t.co/BXYKG3aNV3

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OSZ

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CNN: Republicans are polling at the same level among white voters without a college degree as they did in 2024. Oct 2024: 🔴 Republicans +26 2026: 🔴 Republicans +26

Fox: Crude oil has been the cheapest under Donald Trump Days with crude oil above $100 a barrel Obama: 🔴 308 days Biden: 🟡 83 days Trump 2nd: 🟢 24 days Trump 1st: 🟢 0 days

CNN Redistricting Update: Passed: 🔴 Texas: +5 🔴 Florida: +4 🔴 Ohio: +2 🔴 North Carolina: +1 🔴 Missouri: +1 🔴 Tennessee: +1 🔵 California: +5 🔵 Utah: +1 Total Passed: 🔴 Republicans: +14 🔵 Democrats: +6 Pending: 🔴 Louisiana: +1 🔴 Alabama: +1 🔴 South Carolina: +1

NEW: The OSZ 2026 Senate Forecast is now live. Odds of senate control: 🔴 Republicans: 66% 🔵 Democrats: 34% Projected Seats: 🔴 Republicans: 51 🔵 Democrats: 49

NBC: Republicans are more popular than Democrats Net Popularity: Democrats: 🔴 -21 Republicans: 🟡 -13

New 2026 Fox News House Forecast 🔵 Democrats: 211 🔴 Republicans: 208 🟡 Tossup: 16

CNN: Republicans are polling the same with white non-college educated compared to 2024 White non-college generic ballot: Oct 2024: 🔴 Republicans +26 Now: 🔴 Republicans +26

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer tells Parliament he is a “gooner” “Mr speaker I am a gooner”

NBC: “Among Democrats a majority have a favorable view of socialism, step outside the Democratic party, it's a totally different world” Favorability of socialism: Among Dems: 🟢 Favorable: 52% 🔴 Unfavorable: 43% Among Independents: 🟢 Favorable: 17% 🔴 Unfavorable: 77%

CNN: The odds are moving in the Democrats direction, but Republicans are still a slight favorite to keep the Senate Senate odds per Kalshi 🔴 Republicans: 51% 🔵 Democrats: 49%

Fox: Republicans lead in the Texas governor race while Democrats lead in the Senate Senate: 🔵 James Talarico: 51% (+3) 🔴 Ken Paxton: 48% Governor: 🔴 Greg Abbott: 50% (+1) 🔵 Gina Hinojosa: 49%

Republican NYC Nominee Curtis Sliwa reaffirms he is staying in the race: “Time to fight…we can win New York City” “It’s a statistical tie and I have a pathway to victory”

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NBC: Republicans need the midterms to be high turnout to do well Will You Vote: Definitely: 🔵 D+12 Probably: 🔴 R+16 No: 🔴 R+22

CNN: Jewish support for Democrats in New York has collapsed NY Generic Ballot Among Jews 2018: 🔵 Dem +40 2022: 🔵 Dem +49 2026: 🔵 Dem +13

CNN: If the polls underestimate the Republicans by only 3 points they will win both the house and the senate Senate: 🔴 Republicans: 53 🔵 Democrats: 47 House: 🔴 Republicans: 218 🔵 Democrats: 217

CNN: Both Trump and JD Vance are very popular with MAGA Donald Trump: 🟢 Approve: 98% 🔴 Disapprove: 1% JD Vance: 🟢 Approve: 95% 🔴 Disapprove: 5%

CNN: Democrats winning the house is not a guarantee Current NBC Poll: 🔵 Dem +4 Lead Needed to win house: 🔵 Dem +4

CNN: There Has Been No Decline in MAGA support for Trump Trump Approval Rating Among MAGA 🟢 Approve: 98% 🔴 Disapprove: 1%

CNN: Early October Generic Ballot Polls Have Underestimated Republicans By An Average Of 4 Points Early Oct Generic Ballot Polls Since 1994 Underestimated GOP: 🔴 14 Didn’t Underestimated GOP: 🔵 2

CNN: Republicans are in their best position on party registration going into a midterm in 20+ years. GOP Gains In Party Registration Margins: Pennsylvania: 🔴 Republicans +7 North Carolina: 🔴 Republicans +8 Nevada: 🔴 Republicans +5 Arizona: 🔴 Republicans +4 (+/- vs 2018)

CNN: Senate averages have an error rate of nearly 4 points, if the pattern holds and Republicans out perform they keep the Senate 🔴 Republicans: 52 🔵 Democrats: 48 Harry Enten: “We have seen this story a little before”

CNN: Republicans have the Party ID advantage in the key Senate races and majority of voters think democrats are too left wing Party ID: 🔴 GOP +3 Dem Party To left wing: 🔵 52%

CNN: Republicans Always Out Perform Early October Ohio Senate Polls GOP Oct Ohio Senate polls Outperformance 2016: 🔴 7 Points 2018: 🔴 8 Points 2022: 🔴 7 Points 2024: 🔴 6 Points

CNN: Mamdani is really unpopular among Jewish New Yorkers Mamdani Net favorability: 🔴-23

CNN: MAGA is just as motivated as Democrats to vote in the midterm elections Certain to vote in 2026: 🔵 Democrats: 71% 🔴 MAGA Republicans: 71%

CNN: Susan Collins has outperformed the polls by huge margins for 3 straight elections Polls Underestimated Susan Collins By: 2008: 🔴 8 Points 2014: 🔴 8 Points 2020: 🔴 12 Points

CNN: Republicans usually outperform their September Rust belt/midwest polling 2024 GOP September Poll Over Performance: Iowa: 🔴 GOP Outperformed by 9 Ohio: 🔴 GOP Outperformed by 6 Michigan: 🔴 GOP Outperformed by 5

CNN: The House and Senate map is very favorable for Republicans for the midterms Median Seat Needed To Win Control: House: 🔴 Trump +5 Senate: 🔴 Trump +13

CNN: Republicans usually out perform their September polling Iowa: 🔴 GOP Outperformed by 9 Texas: 🔴 GOP Outperformed by 7 Ohio: 🔴 GOP Outperformed by 6 Michigan: 🔴 GOP Outperformed by 5

CNN: MAGA Support for Republicans is holding strong 2024: 🔴 Trump: 99% 🔵 Harris: &lt;1% 2026: 🔴 Republicans: 98% 🔵 Democrats: 0%

CNN: Voters now trust the Republicans and Trump more than the Democrats on the Iran war Trust On The Iran War: April: 🔵 Democrats +2 Now: 🔴 Republicans +2

CNN: If Polling patterns from 2018 to 2024 continue, Republicans will hold the Senate Michigan: 🔴 GOP Flip Ohio: 🔴 GOP Hold Iowa: 🔴 GOP Hold

CNN: MAGA Support for Republicans is holding strong 2024: 🔴 Trump: 99% 🔵 Harris: <1% 2026: 🔴 Republicans: 98% 🔵 Democrats: 0%