Phil Rosen
@philrosenn • 20,589 subscribers
Chief Market Strategist, ProCap Financial • Co-founder & CEO, Opening Bell Media (207K+ subs) • Host of Full Signal • Get my newsletter every AM👇
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The Fed should not hike rates this year at all. That's according to Eric Wallerstein, who used to advise Fed officials and trade in the Fed's repo operations. We sat down to unpack the central bank's decision-making process, what higher interest rates mean for asset prices, and specific macro trades he likes right now. This is a must-listen and timely conversation. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - The Fed shouldn't hike 1:47 - Why markets expect hikes 5:59 - AI capex 8:14 - Warsh's credibility 10:02 - Reforming the Fed 14:02 - Bond selloff 18:24 - Tariffs as fiscal impulse 20:46 - Global debt divergence 23:21 - AI capex is bullish US 27:19 - Japanese banks 30:07 - Mexico 33:39 - Defense stocks 35:41 - Follow Eric
Phil Rosen16,732 Aufrufe • vor 3 Tagen
Passive investing and the AI bull run are fueling another 1987-style market crash, according to Mike Green (Michael Green). We sat down to unpack why AI economics do not work, the risks investors are ignoring right now, how passive flows and leverage distort markets, and where Mike would put capital to work today in a brand new portfolio. Mike has navigated markets for decades and his work on passive is second to none. This is a must-listen conversation with one of the best in the business. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Caution on AI bull market 2:57 - AI's real value 5:38 - Nvidia's vendor financing 7:47 - The China threat 9:39 - Should investors sit out? 11:29 - Passive investing risks 13:17 - Are stocks actually cheap? 15:57 - 1987 crash parallels 19:17 - Are markets broken? 24:08 - Passive flows and leverage 26:10 - Can regulators step in? 28:21 - Building a new portfolio today 32:09 - Inflation vs. deflation 36:35 - US economic opportunity 42:32 - Mike's new book
Phil Rosen98,115 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten
Eric Jackson only buys stocks he expects to 100x. He joined me to explain why he's bullish on $OPEN $IREN $BETR and other names, his $50 million bitcoin forecast, the AI trade, asymmetrical investing and the rise of the retail investor. The world pays attention when Eric Jackson makes a new stock pick. This is a must-watch conversation. 0:00 - AI and crypto 3:00 - AI impact on jobs 5:33 - Bitcoin & 100-bagger ideas 15:00 - Public & Generated Assets 16:07 - Bitcoin & Opendoor, $OPEN 23:13 - Finding 100x stocks 34:51 - Better, $BETR 41:10 - Cipher Mining, $CIFR
Phil Rosen284,018 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten
The bull market is set to run higher with earnings, economic data and history increasingly on its side. I sat down with Ryan Detrick, CMT to unpack his updated S&P 500 outlook and the AI trade, the sectors he likes best through 2027, what would convince him to turn bearish, and the contrarian calls he's making next. Ryan's been consistently right on the market the last several years alongside Sonu Varghese at Carson. A must-listen discussion with one of the best in the business. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - S&P 500 outlook 3:42 - Seasonality 7:32 - Advance-decline line 9:20 - Financials and banks 11:54 - Cyclicals 14:44 - Gold, bonds and managed futures 16:25 - Industrials 17:36 - Financials 19:33 - Tech stocks 21:48 - $1 trillion capex debate 23:56 - Secular bull market case 24:47 - Europe and Japan 27:03 - The bear case with the US dollar 28:32 - Staples falling 31:43 - The Fed's next move 33:27 - 3 contrarian calls 34:55 - Follow Ryan
Phil Rosen28,771 Aufrufe • vor 26 Tagen
Eric Jackson is as bullish on OpenDoor today as he was when he first bought the stock at $0.73. $OPEN is executing well and it's become a unique way for retail investors to access a fast-growing company that CEO Kaz Nejatian almost took private. Eric Jackson explains.
Phil Rosen127,185 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten
Young investors are ditching the stock market for sports betting and prediction markets in an effort to escape the permanent underclass. But maybe spending more and investing less could be an even better option. I sat down with Jack Raines to unpack the rise of the degenerate economy, the daunting financial outlook for Gen Z, and how Jack turned $6K into $400K trading SPACS. We also discussed Jack's new book YOUNG MONEY, which is a must-read for ambitious twenty-somethings who want a modern, funnier and more relevant version of The Defining Decade. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Invest less, spend more 2:44 - Retirement vs. cheap thrills 3:36 - Increase income, not savings 5:49 - Can young people afford anything? 8:33 - Sports betting 11:30 - Prediction markets 12:03 - Stage-specificity of life 18:15 - Boring investing for Gen Z 21:08 - Comparing yourself to outliers 23:04 - Status games 26:55 - Trading SPACs 34:23 - Young Money
Phil Rosen17,702 Aufrufe • vor 18 Tagen
Bitcoin is a long-term winner with the AI supercycle set to accelerate over the next decade. I sat down with Anthony Pompliano 🌪 to discuss what's happening inside frontier AI labs, the US-China AI race, how bitcoin fits into the AI investment outlook, building CFOSilvia, and the latest on $BRR. This conversation covers unique ideas across AI, finance and wealth generation. Rapid fire insights-per-minute. 0:00 - AI fat model thesis 2:34 - US vs. Chinese AI models 5:24 - AI economics and costs 7:17 - DeepSeek and the price war 9:24 - Bitcoin as an AI play 11:38 - Why AI is deflationary 13:11 - Federal Reserve outlook 14:36 - The impossible comeback 20:02 - Specialized vs. general-purpose models 22:27 - Building Silvia
Phil Rosen40,611 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
Liz Ann Sonders does not see an AI bubble but she knows exactly what will cause another dot-com crash. We sat down for a deep-dive on the data driving the bull market, how tech stocks keep getting cheaper, AI causing both inflation and deflation, compute demand and more. Liz Ann Sonders is a true Wall Street legend. Her work at Charles Schwab influences millions of investor portfolios. Very little she has not seen in this industry. 0:00 - AI circular financing 2:36 - Tech stocks look cheaper 4:21 - Inflation changing valuations 5:02 - Iran and rising inflation 7:12 - AI both inflationary & deflationary 7:44 - Expectations bubble 11:57 - Market leadership 14:43 - Compute and energy 19:05 - AI and labor market 23:13 - What makes a bubble? 25:46 - Complacency and gambling 31:36 - Sentiment vs. hard data 38:44 - How we'll be wrong on AI
Phil Rosen70,225 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten
Jordi Visser (Jordi Visser) is buying AI stocks that win the next decade and most investors aren't ready. We sat down to unpack why he's moving off the Mag 7, how to invest in AI bottlenecks, benchmark arbitrage, and how to lean into new technology to make more money. Jordi combines decades of Wall Street experience with cutting edge AI research. This is a must-listen conversation with one of the best in the industry. Spotify: TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Your capex is my opportunity 3:06 - Entering the Physical AI Stage 5:12 - 5-Layer AI Economy 7:06 - Fading the Mag 7 8:52 - Benchmark Arbitrage 11:37 - Signal, Alpha, Agency 16:22 - The bubble argument that holds 17:43 - Selling Micron $MU 22:49 - Are bottleneck trades obvious? 24:19 - Parabolic asset prices 25:46 - Earnings risk 26:10 - Price vs. fundamentals rotation 28:32 - Risks to memory trade 30:44 - Silver bull thesis 31:43 - Marvell $MRVL 34:20 - Eli Lilly $LLY 37:39 - Government stake in AI 42:52 - Leaving Wall Street 47:39 - Career advice for the AI era 50:45 - Follow Jordi
Phil Rosen55,082 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten
Leveraged ETFs are reshaping the AI trade even though they only make up 1% of the market. I sat down with Direxion ETFs global strategist Bilal S. Little to unpack what investors are mispricing right now, how risk appetite is changing, the role of income in a modern portfolio and the mechanics of leverage. Bilal has worked in the biggest financial institutions in the world from every angle of the investment business. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - What the market is mispricing 2:24 - Macro data 4:41 - Jobs data 6:05 - Shift to thematic investing 8:30 - Income ETFs 11:48 - Leverage 15:19 - Risk appetite 17:28 - Building portfolios 20:54 - Most compelling opportunities 23:03 - Direxion LETFs
Phil Rosen14,200 Aufrufe • vor 19 Tagen
Eric Jackson is finding more stocks to 100x while shorting 5 names in software. We sat down for his latest bull thesis for $OPEN $IREN $BETR and other high-conviction names while unpacking the biggest losers of the SaaSpocalypse, using AI for trade ideas, and turning bearish on private credit. We also discuss the New York Times' botched Satoshi investigation. Eric shares unique ideas in this conversation that I have not heard anywhere else. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 – OpenDoor $OPEN 4:49 – Better Home & Financing $BETR 7:36 – $CIFR, $IREN, $HUT 9:14 – Public & Generated Assets 10:20 – Why Eric is short SaaS 15:56 – Salesforce, Asana, DocuSign 20:59 – "Overcompensation" for SaaS CEO 23:10 – Language vs. fundamentals 25:14 – Private credit red flags 28:45 – PIKs as 2008-style warning 32:08 – Blue Owl, $OWL 36:03 – 25% odds of contagion event 38:48 – The real Satoshi 48:41 – Follow Eric Jackson
Phil Rosen77,001 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten
Legendary "Big Short" investor Vincent Daniel isn't playing the AI trade like the rest of the market. We sat down to unpack his highest-conviction trades through the Big Tech sell off, the biggest macro risks for investors, why he is bullish on Brazil and gold, and lessons from the 2008 financial crisis. This is a masterclass from someone who bet correctly on a generational trade. Vinny has built his career as a contrarian. He makes his case in this conversation. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - AI and Citrini sell-off 2:50 - Bear case for AI 5:24 - Software stocks 8:33 - Amberdata 9:32 - Magnificent 7 and AI fears 13:07 - Bullish gold 16:15 - Energy exposure 17:55 - Bullish Brazil, EM 20:03 - Private markets risk, $OWL 24:20 - Inevitable money printing 26:39 - Big Short 2008 lessons 29:02 - 2008 and lack of faith 32:38 - Follow Vincent Daniel
Phil Rosen82,052 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten
