Phil Rosen
@philrosenn • 21,743 subscribers
Chief Market Strategist, Silvia Inc. • Co-founder & CEO, Opening Bell Media • Host of Full Signal • Get my newsletter every AM👇
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Micron could hit $1,700 in the next 18 months and the bears will be proven wrong once again. Wall Street expected $MU to see $6 billion in free cash flow 2 years ago and now it's at $320 billion and bears keep calling it cyclical. Adam Parker - www.trivectorresearch.com explains.
Phil Rosen19,111 Aufrufe • vor 1 Tag
The AI trade is accelerating on record earnings, massive compute demand, and high rental rates for chips. I sat down with Warren Pies to discuss the under-the-radar indicators he's tracking in the market right now, his favorite sectors and opportunities for the year ahead, and his latest views on the macro setup. This conversation will make you think critically about the AI trade. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Overweight equities 3:30 - Tech-heavy market and AI leadership 5:29 - Macro shocks 11:05 - Low correlations and pair trades 13:37 - Semis and broadening trade 17:35 - GPU availability and rental rates 21:22 - Compute indicators flashing bullish 25:08 - Frontier lab ARR 30:08 - Hyperscalers leadership 32:34 - AI CapEx and the Fed 36:38 - What ends the bull run? 40:32 - Favorite sectors 41:46 - 3Fourteen Research
Phil Rosen120,522 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat
Eric Jackson only buys stocks he expects to 100x. He joined me to explain why he's bullish on $OPEN $IREN $BETR and other names, his $50 million bitcoin forecast, the AI trade, asymmetrical investing and the rise of the retail investor. The world pays attention when Eric Jackson makes a new stock pick. This is a must-watch conversation. 0:00 - AI and crypto 3:00 - AI impact on jobs 5:33 - Bitcoin & 100-bagger ideas 15:00 - Public & Generated Assets 16:07 - Bitcoin & Opendoor, $OPEN 23:13 - Finding 100x stocks 34:51 - Better, $BETR 41:10 - Cipher Mining, $CIFR
Phil Rosen287,774 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten
Passive investing and the AI bull run are fueling another 1987-style market crash, according to Mike Green (Michael Green). We sat down to unpack why AI economics do not work, the risks investors are ignoring right now, how passive flows and leverage distort markets, and where Mike would put capital to work today in a brand new portfolio. Mike has navigated markets for decades and his work on passive is second to none. This is a must-listen conversation with one of the best in the business. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Caution on AI bull market 2:57 - AI's real value 5:38 - Nvidia's vendor financing 7:47 - The China threat 9:39 - Should investors sit out? 11:29 - Passive investing risks 13:17 - Are stocks actually cheap? 15:57 - 1987 crash parallels 19:17 - Are markets broken? 24:08 - Passive flows and leverage 26:10 - Can regulators step in? 28:21 - Building a new portfolio today 32:09 - Inflation vs. deflation 36:35 - US economic opportunity 42:32 - Mike's new book
Phil Rosen99,492 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten
Investors are worried about bond yields and oil prices but AI is accelerating so rapidly that traditional macro indicators do not matter. I sat down with Anthony Pompliano 🌪 to unpack the current market outlook, the case for bitcoin, gold and land during an AI boom, and how the rise of AI agents impacts the bull case for bitcoin. We also discussed Pomp's new book, How to live an Extraordinary Life Vol. 2. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Macro bears are wrong 5:53 - AI adoption reality check 8:23 - Bitcoin, gold, land 10:08 - $MSFT and $NFLX 14:31 - Barbell portfolio strategy 16:01 - How AI impacts $BTC 19:41 - Gold 20:43 - How to Live an Extraordinary Life Vol. 2 23:05 - The ego tax 24:02 - Procrastination is arrogance 25:19 - Amateurs built Noah's Ark
Phil Rosen23,522 Aufrufe • vor 22 Tagen
The passive investing "everything bubble" could end up fueling a bigger crash than the AI boom. Veteran strategist Mike Green (Michael Green) joined me for the debut episode of FULL SIGNAL to discuss how inflated asset prices are masking risks in the economy, AI versus dot-com, criticisms of bitcoin and more. 0:00 - Intro 0:27 - Biggest risks in markets 1:17 - Passive investing inflating asset prices 3:34 - Tipping point to passive bubble? 8:50 - Rising earnings mask weakness 13:30 - AI vs. dot-com 15:03 - Role of 401(k)s in the "everything bubble" 25:46 - Bitcoin 30:35 - Conclusion
Phil Rosen231,586 Aufrufe • vor 11 Monaten
Eric Jackson is as bullish on OpenDoor today as he was when he first bought the stock at $0.73. $OPEN is executing well and it's become a unique way for retail investors to access a fast-growing company that CEO Kaz Nejatian almost took private. Eric Jackson explains.
Phil Rosen127,185 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten
Liz Ann Sonders does not see an AI bubble but she knows exactly what will cause another dot-com crash. We sat down for a deep-dive on the data driving the bull market, how tech stocks keep getting cheaper, AI causing both inflation and deflation, compute demand and more. Liz Ann Sonders is a true Wall Street legend. Her work at Charles Schwab influences millions of investor portfolios. Very little she has not seen in this industry. 0:00 - AI circular financing 2:36 - Tech stocks look cheaper 4:21 - Inflation changing valuations 5:02 - Iran and rising inflation 7:12 - AI both inflationary & deflationary 7:44 - Expectations bubble 11:57 - Market leadership 14:43 - Compute and energy 19:05 - AI and labor market 23:13 - What makes a bubble? 25:46 - Complacency and gambling 31:36 - Sentiment vs. hard data 38:44 - How we'll be wrong on AI
Phil Rosen72,671 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten
Eric Jackson is finding more stocks to 100x while shorting 5 names in software. We sat down for his latest bull thesis for $OPEN $IREN $BETR and other high-conviction names while unpacking the biggest losers of the SaaSpocalypse, using AI for trade ideas, and turning bearish on private credit. We also discuss the New York Times' botched Satoshi investigation. Eric shares unique ideas in this conversation that I have not heard anywhere else. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 – OpenDoor $OPEN 4:49 – Better Home & Financing $BETR 7:36 – $CIFR, $IREN, $HUT 9:14 – Public & Generated Assets 10:20 – Why Eric is short SaaS 15:56 – Salesforce, Asana, DocuSign 20:59 – "Overcompensation" for SaaS CEO 23:10 – Language vs. fundamentals 25:14 – Private credit red flags 28:45 – PIKs as 2008-style warning 32:08 – Blue Owl, $OWL 36:03 – 25% odds of contagion event 38:48 – The real Satoshi 48:41 – Follow Eric Jackson
Phil Rosen77,001 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten
The Magnificent 7 aren't a concentration risk because they have acquired nearly 900 companies. Google alone has acquired 250. Eric Balchunas explains how most investors don't realize Big Tech is in itself diversified (and gives a nod to our friend Sam Ro 📈).
Phil Rosen114,115 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten
Jordi Visser (Jordi Visser) is buying AI stocks that win the next decade and most investors aren't ready. We sat down to unpack why he's moving off the Mag 7, how to invest in AI bottlenecks, benchmark arbitrage, and how to lean into new technology to make more money. Jordi combines decades of Wall Street experience with cutting edge AI research. This is a must-listen conversation with one of the best in the industry. Spotify: TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Your capex is my opportunity 3:06 - Entering the Physical AI Stage 5:12 - 5-Layer AI Economy 7:06 - Fading the Mag 7 8:52 - Benchmark Arbitrage 11:37 - Signal, Alpha, Agency 16:22 - The bubble argument that holds 17:43 - Selling Micron $MU 22:49 - Are bottleneck trades obvious? 24:19 - Parabolic asset prices 25:46 - Earnings risk 26:10 - Price vs. fundamentals rotation 28:32 - Risks to memory trade 30:44 - Silver bull thesis 31:43 - Marvell $MRVL 34:20 - Eli Lilly $LLY 37:39 - Government stake in AI 42:52 - Leaving Wall Street 47:39 - Career advice for the AI era 50:45 - Follow Jordi
Phil Rosen55,082 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten
Bitcoin is a long-term winner with the AI supercycle set to accelerate over the next decade. I sat down with Anthony Pompliano 🌪 to discuss what's happening inside frontier AI labs, the US-China AI race, how bitcoin fits into the AI investment outlook, building CFOSilvia, and the latest on $BRR. This conversation covers unique ideas across AI, finance and wealth generation. Rapid fire insights-per-minute. 0:00 - AI fat model thesis 2:34 - US vs. Chinese AI models 5:24 - AI economics and costs 7:17 - DeepSeek and the price war 9:24 - Bitcoin as an AI play 11:38 - Why AI is deflationary 13:11 - Federal Reserve outlook 14:36 - The impossible comeback 20:02 - Specialized vs. general-purpose models 22:27 - Building Silvia
Phil Rosen40,611 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten
Legendary "Big Short" investor Vincent Daniel isn't playing the AI trade like the rest of the market. We sat down to unpack his highest-conviction trades through the Big Tech sell off, the biggest macro risks for investors, why he is bullish on Brazil and gold, and lessons from the 2008 financial crisis. This is a masterclass from someone who bet correctly on a generational trade. Vinny has built his career as a contrarian. He makes his case in this conversation. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - AI and Citrini sell-off 2:50 - Bear case for AI 5:24 - Software stocks 8:33 - Amberdata 9:32 - Magnificent 7 and AI fears 13:07 - Bullish gold 16:15 - Energy exposure 17:55 - Bullish Brazil, EM 20:03 - Private markets risk, $OWL 24:20 - Inevitable money printing 26:39 - Big Short 2008 lessons 29:02 - 2008 and lack of faith 32:38 - Follow Vincent Daniel
Phil Rosen82,052 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten