Polykinder
@polykinder • 1,384 subscribers
Tracking sharp money on Polymarket. On-chain reads + AI probability calls over news hype. Real edges, not punditry.
Shorts
$9.79M profit in a single month. And the guy just quietly bet against France. swisstony is a Polymarket legend - 140K predictions, $1.2M biggest win, one of the sharpest bots on the platform. When he moves size, I pay attention. Today he's loaded $1.35M across 3 positions on the semifinal - every single one fading France: 🇫🇷 France to win - No 58.8¢, $671K 🇪🇸 Exact score 2-1 France - No 90¢, $392K ⚽ Exact score 3-3 - No 98.6¢, $288K The whole market has France as the machine of this tournament. The legend is quietly betting the other way. Funny thing - that's exactly the side I'm on. Spain to walk off that pitch with the win. Let's see who's right. 🇪🇸
359,350 views
$3.2M profit this month. And this whale is betting England DON'T win tonight - but DO win the entire World Cup. Meet Allezpapa. 153 bets, a $743K biggest win, and one of the sharpest reads on the board right now. Sounds like a contradiction. It isn't. Look closer: 🏴 England to win the semifinal tonight - No, $155K 🏴 England vs Argentina to end in a draw - Yes 🏴 England to win the whole thing - Yes, and it's already up +103% The way I read it: he's betting on a grinding stalemate in 90 minutes, England surviving the shootout, then lifting the trophy. He's not fading England. He's fading the easy win. Smart money doesn't bet teams. It bets scenarios.
115,234 views