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Polykinder

@polykinder • 1,434 subscribers

Tracking sharp money on Polymarket. On-chain reads + AI probability calls over news hype. Real edges, not punditry.

Shorts

A wallet called yamal19 - created TODAY - just dropped $1.6M on Spain to win the World Cup. one bet. no hedge. 🇪🇸 Spain to win it all - $1.6M @ 59¢ fresh account. hours old. exactly ONE prediction in its history - 2.7M shares on Spain lifting the trophy tonight. a fan? almost certainly. but you spin up a wallet the day of the final, name it yamal19, and send $1.6M on Spain with zero hedge... the timeline's going to run with that 👀 whoever's behind it isn't here to hedge. they're here to watch Spain win 🇪🇸

A wallet called yamal19 - created TODAY - just dropped $1.6M on Spain to win the World Cup. one bet. no hedge. 🇪🇸 Spain to win it all - $1.6M @ 59¢ fresh account. hours old. exactly ONE prediction in its history - 2.7M shares on Spain lifting the trophy tonight. a fan? almost certainly. but you spin up a wallet the day of the final, name it yamal19, and send $1.6M on Spain with zero hedge... the timeline's going to run with that 👀 whoever's behind it isn't here to hedge. they're here to watch Spain win 🇪🇸

650,024 просмотров

$9.79M profit in a single month. And the guy just quietly bet against France. swisstony is a Polymarket legend - 140K predictions, $1.2M biggest win, one of the sharpest bots on the platform. When he moves size, I pay attention. Today he's loaded $1.35M across 3 positions on the semifinal - every single one fading France: 🇫🇷 France to win - No 58.8¢, $671K 🇪🇸 Exact score 2-1 France - No 90¢, $392K ⚽ Exact score 3-3 - No 98.6¢, $288K The whole market has France as the machine of this tournament. The legend is quietly betting the other way. Funny thing - that's exactly the side I'm on. Spain to walk off that pitch with the win. Let's see who's right. 🇪🇸

$9.79M profit in a single month. And the guy just quietly bet against France. swisstony is a Polymarket legend - 140K predictions, $1.2M biggest win, one of the sharpest bots on the platform. When he moves size, I pay attention. Today he's loaded $1.35M across 3 positions on the semifinal - every single one fading France: 🇫🇷 France to win - No 58.8¢, $671K 🇪🇸 Exact score 2-1 France - No 90¢, $392K ⚽ Exact score 3-3 - No 98.6¢, $288K The whole market has France as the machine of this tournament. The legend is quietly betting the other way. Funny thing - that's exactly the side I'm on. Spain to walk off that pitch with the win. Let's see who's right. 🇪🇸

360,080 просмотров

$3.2M profit this month. And this whale is betting England DON'T win tonight - but DO win the entire World Cup. Meet Allezpapa. 153 bets, a $743K biggest win, and one of the sharpest reads on the board right now. Sounds like a contradiction. It isn't. Look closer: 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England to win the semifinal tonight - No, $155K 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England vs Argentina to end in a draw - Yes 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England to win the whole thing - Yes, and it's already up +103% The way I read it: he's betting on a grinding stalemate in 90 minutes, England surviving the shootout, then lifting the trophy. He's not fading England. He's fading the easy win. Smart money doesn't bet teams. It bets scenarios.

$3.2M profit this month. And this whale is betting England DON'T win tonight - but DO win the entire World Cup. Meet Allezpapa. 153 bets, a $743K biggest win, and one of the sharpest reads on the board right now. Sounds like a contradiction. It isn't. Look closer: 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England to win the semifinal tonight - No, $155K 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England vs Argentina to end in a draw - Yes 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England to win the whole thing - Yes, and it's already up +103% The way I read it: he's betting on a grinding stalemate in 90 minutes, England surviving the shootout, then lifting the trophy. He's not fading England. He's fading the easy win. Smart money doesn't bet teams. It bets scenarios.

115,234 просмотров