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PredictionMarketTrader

@PredMTrader • 27,634 subscribers

Prediction Market Trader | $200k+ Profit | Daily streams + clips | Kalshi Partner | Trade on Kalshi and earn $10 → https://t.co/hquBkUuDA0

Shorts

Today's White House Press Briefing had a 98% chance of running over 65 minutes - until Karoline Leavitt abruptly ended it with seconds to spare. Traders on the NO side made 50x in seconds.

Today's White House Press Briefing had a 98% chance of running over 65 minutes - until Karoline Leavitt abruptly ended it with seconds to spare. Traders on the NO side made 50x in seconds.

22,472,267 просмотров

YES 'Mexico' fills come in 4 seconds before Trump actually says Mexico. That’s what I call beneficial selection.

YES 'Mexico' fills come in 4 seconds before Trump actually says Mexico. That’s what I call beneficial selection.

232,966 просмотров

INSANE Kalshi Mention Market Edge Before Trump’s Rose Garden speech, the WH stream caught him flipping his transcript - revealing the words “Chuck Schumer.” "Chuck Schumer" was trading around 60% odds to be mentioned. The first traders who noticed made thousands within minutes.

INSANE Kalshi Mention Market Edge Before Trump’s Rose Garden speech, the WH stream caught him flipping his transcript - revealing the words “Chuck Schumer.” "Chuck Schumer" was trading around 60% odds to be mentioned. The first traders who noticed made thousands within minutes.

250,878 просмотров

During Trump’s speech today, “Affordable” ripped to 99% after he said “Unaffordable” three times. But “Unaffordable” ≠ “Affordable.” Azuul quickly bought thousands of NO shares at 1¢ and walked away with $6,000 (73x)

During Trump’s speech today, “Affordable” ripped to 99% after he said “Unaffordable” three times. But “Unaffordable” ≠ “Affordable.” Azuul quickly bought thousands of NO shares at 1¢ and walked away with $6,000 (73x)

127,362 просмотров

NEW WORLD RECORD TIME ACHIEVED Making $100 on Kalshi in 6.3 seconds

NEW WORLD RECORD TIME ACHIEVED Making $100 on Kalshi in 6.3 seconds

185,532 просмотров

On Powell’s final question, he mispronounced “revolution” as “renovation.” “Renovation” was trading at just 1%. BipBop sniped 31,062 shares at 1.3¢ and made ~$30K

On Powell’s final question, he mispronounced “revolution” as “renovation.” “Renovation” was trading at just 1%. BipBop sniped 31,062 shares at 1.3¢ and made ~$30K

50,790 просмотров

Be careful bonding mention markets Pete Hegseth said “Obliterate” and someone lost $25K bonding YES on “obliterated/obliteration” Doesn’t count Textbook mis-mog

Be careful bonding mention markets Pete Hegseth said “Obliterate” and someone lost $25K bonding YES on “obliterated/obliteration” Doesn’t count Textbook mis-mog

28,216 просмотров

Watch the Kalshi odds adjust in real time to Trump's first word at the Champion of Coal event

Watch the Kalshi odds adjust in real time to Trump's first word at the Champion of Coal event

21,025 просмотров

When trading mention markets, you have to understand EVERY context a word can appear in. Watch us get rinsed on "ICE/National Guard" NO when Mamdani decides to bring up ice cream

When trading mention markets, you have to understand EVERY context a word can appear in. Watch us get rinsed on "ICE/National Guard" NO when Mamdani decides to bring up ice cream

17,456 просмотров

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When you have $400 on Trump not saying "Bones" and they give an hour long presentation on the health benefits of milk

When you have $400 on Trump not saying "Bones" and they give an hour long presentation on the health benefits of milk

PredictionMarketTrader

502,093 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

On Kalshi mention markets, automated trading bots instantly buy the word after it’s said. If you want to beat the bots, you have to buy based on context of where the conversation is headed. Watch us make $275 buying "Oil" YES right as Trump says "Venezuela" and "Barrels"

On Kalshi mention markets, automated trading bots instantly buy the word after it’s said. If you want to beat the bots, you have to buy based on context of where the conversation is headed. Watch us make $275 buying "Oil" YES right as Trump says "Venezuela" and "Barrels"

PredictionMarketTrader

112,872 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

After a mention market speech ends, the fastest traders scoop up NO shares on words that weren’t said, locking in risk-free profits. Watch us grab nearly $100 instantly on Kalshi after the White House Press Secretary speech ends.

After a mention market speech ends, the fastest traders scoop up NO shares on words that weren’t said, locking in risk-free profits. Watch us grab nearly $100 instantly on Kalshi after the White House Press Secretary speech ends.

PredictionMarketTrader

183,530 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

Road to $100K on Kalshi - Final Recap Total P/L: +$101,394 This Week (2 days): +$7,887 Week 16: +$7,368 Week 15: +$3,858 Week 14: +$2,234 Week 13: +$5,995 Week 12: +$1,452 Week 11: +$2,698 Week 10: +$2,495 Week 9: +$6,680 Week 8: +$1,591 Week 7: +$2,759 Week 6: +$2,687 Week 5: +$2,841 Week 4: +$2,235 Week 3: +$2,937 Week 2: +$250 Week 1: +$70 Starting Profit: +$45,357

Road to $100K on Kalshi - Final Recap Total P/L: +$101,394 This Week (2 days): +$7,887 Week 16: +$7,368 Week 15: +$3,858 Week 14: +$2,234 Week 13: +$5,995 Week 12: +$1,452 Week 11: +$2,698 Week 10: +$2,495 Week 9: +$6,680 Week 8: +$1,591 Week 7: +$2,759 Week 6: +$2,687 Week 5: +$2,841 Week 4: +$2,235 Week 3: +$2,937 Week 2: +$250 Week 1: +$70 Starting Profit: +$45,357

PredictionMarketTrader

95,527 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Trump’s Wednesday address was our biggest mention market ever - over $60K on the line It also turned into our biggest win ever Full stream highlights

Trump’s Wednesday address was our biggest mention market ever - over $60K on the line It also turned into our biggest win ever Full stream highlights

PredictionMarketTrader

31,130 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

🚨🚨🚨THE Esoteric Catboy INTERVIEW🚨🚨🚨 TONIGHT - 5PM ET THE MOST REQUESTED INTERVIEW OF ALL TIME THE #1 MENTION MARKET TRADER IN THE WORLD OVER $1.2M IN PROFITS POTENTIAL FACE REVEAL???

🚨🚨🚨THE Esoteric Catboy INTERVIEW🚨🚨🚨 TONIGHT - 5PM ET THE MOST REQUESTED INTERVIEW OF ALL TIME THE #1 MENTION MARKET TRADER IN THE WORLD OVER $1.2M IN PROFITS POTENTIAL FACE REVEAL???

PredictionMarketTrader

20,524 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Brian Armstrong addresses the Coinbase earnings call mention market incident

Brian Armstrong addresses the Coinbase earnings call mention market incident

PredictionMarketTrader

69,032 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

User tooeasy27 just turned $1,200 into $72,039 on a NATO Secretary General Kalshi mention market. >Everyone thought the interview was over >NO shares were getting bonded at 99¢ >Fox News aired one final clip >“Security” was said One word. 60x.

User tooeasy27 just turned $1,200 into $72,039 on a NATO Secretary General Kalshi mention market. >Everyone thought the interview was over >NO shares were getting bonded at 99¢ >Fox News aired one final clip >“Security” was said One word. 60x.

PredictionMarketTrader

37,792 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

BREAKING: Trump mentions "Bitcoin/Crypto" at the World Economic Forum Odds got as low as 6% during the speech The NO Crypto/Bitcoin bond has officially defaulted

BREAKING: Trump mentions "Bitcoin/Crypto" at the World Economic Forum Odds got as low as 6% during the speech The NO Crypto/Bitcoin bond has officially defaulted

PredictionMarketTrader

36,855 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Everyone assumes scale makes it easier. In reality: $100 → $1,000 is easy $10,000 → $100,000 is hard $100,000 → $1,000,000 is brutal The bigger your bankroll, the harder it gets

Everyone assumes scale makes it easier. In reality: $100 → $1,000 is easy $10,000 → $100,000 is hard $100,000 → $1,000,000 is brutal The bigger your bankroll, the harder it gets

PredictionMarketTrader

47,880 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

Some people choose alcohol, drugs, or partying I choose the greatest rush known to man - mention markets

Some people choose alcohol, drugs, or partying I choose the greatest rush known to man - mention markets

PredictionMarketTrader

28,223 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

If you are a new user getting into prediction markets, "sizing" is one of the last things you should be worried about. Instead, just start extremely small and first see if you are even able to be profitable over a couple weeks. Things like "Kelly Criterion" operate under the assumption that you can accurately give a fair value of something - which you likely can't in the beginning (and maybe never will). I still make mistakes/misclicks where I delete $1k or $2k in an instant - you will likely make even more mistakes as a new user so its much better for this to be $1 or $5. Once you have proven to yourself that you can consistently be profitable and built a small bankroll, then you can start to worry or think more strategically about sizing etc.

If you are a new user getting into prediction markets, "sizing" is one of the last things you should be worried about. Instead, just start extremely small and first see if you are even able to be profitable over a couple weeks. Things like "Kelly Criterion" operate under the assumption that you can accurately give a fair value of something - which you likely can't in the beginning (and maybe never will). I still make mistakes/misclicks where I delete $1k or $2k in an instant - you will likely make even more mistakes as a new user so its much better for this to be $1 or $5. Once you have proven to yourself that you can consistently be profitable and built a small bankroll, then you can start to worry or think more strategically about sizing etc.

PredictionMarketTrader

14,913 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

MENTION MARKETS GO MAINSTREAM

MENTION MARKETS GO MAINSTREAM

PredictionMarketTrader

18,409 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

Live example of a mention market edge from Palantir earnings: >‘Revenue guidance’ was priced at ~30% YES >It was a Q4 call >They haven’t said the term on any Q4 call in 5 years >Market anchored to Q1–Q3 behavior

Live example of a mention market edge from Palantir earnings: >‘Revenue guidance’ was priced at ~30% YES >It was a Q4 call >They haven’t said the term on any Q4 call in 5 years >Market anchored to Q1–Q3 behavior

PredictionMarketTrader

11,256 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Sports Futures are a Far Better Product on Prediction Markets >Ability to cash out any time during the season and live games >No house, so much tighter lines and you can even find edges live trading >Even if you hold all season long, you'll earn interest on your position

Sports Futures are a Far Better Product on Prediction Markets >Ability to cash out any time during the season and live games >No house, so much tighter lines and you can even find edges live trading >Even if you hold all season long, you'll earn interest on your position

PredictionMarketTrader

11,838 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

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