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Ramah Nyang

@Ramah_Nyang223,614 subscribers

With bylines at @BloombergAfrica. | Business Journalist @cgtnafrica. | Moderator | Car Nut | Views here = mine.

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Whenever traffic’s at a standstill, there are pretty high odds that someone in a Prado (ditto their LandCruiser driving cousins) will think the traffic code does not apply to him/her.

Whenever traffic’s at a standstill, there are pretty high odds that someone in a Prado (ditto their LandCruiser driving cousins) will think the traffic code does not apply to him/her.

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Not always, but there’s usually someone in a Toyota Prado who thinks the traffic code is only useful as a meat wrapper.

Not always, but there’s usually someone in a Toyota Prado who thinks the traffic code is only useful as a meat wrapper.

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Now that we’ve all had a few days to process the hype surrounding the proposed 650,000 bbl/d refinery in East Africa 🇰🇪 🇺🇬 🇹🇿, let’s take a long, hard look in the mirror. [1] Funding Gap: Where will Kenya 🇰🇪, Uganda 🇺🇬, and Tanzania 🇹🇿 raise the ~ $20 billion needed to build this facility when they already spend more on debt servicing than on healthcare or education? Just as critical - can they raise that capital, cheaply? [2] Diplomacy Deficit: Relations between these three countries are prickly on most days. Can nations that block agricultural imports, incinerate day-old chicks and limit the reach of each other’s airlines really cooperate on a project of this magnitude? [3] Successor Risk: With potential changes in government in Kenya 🇰🇪 (2027) and Uganda 🇺🇬 (2031), will the successors of William Ruto and Yoweri Museveni prioritize regional interests over national ones? “When Aliko Dangote built his refinery in Nigeria, he was essentially dealing with one country,” says Wangari Kebuchi, Founder & MD at Expertise Global . Given the clashing interests involved here, she warns that “discussions are going to be much more intense than what was faced in Nigeria.” What trade-offs are East African policymakers willing to accept? Do they have the policy discipline to execute this without wasting billions in taxpayer dollars, as they have in other, smaller infrastructure projects?

Ramah Nyang

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