
Great Replacement Clock
@ReplacemntClock • 2,562 subscribers
🕐 Tracking demographic change. 📢 Remigration.
Shorts
🕐 Update: following the new demographic scenarios from the Observatoire de l'immigration et de la démographie, we've revised our projections for France: 🇫🇷 2050: 64% European ancestry 🇫🇷 2100: 36% On current trends, people of European descent would become a minority in France by the early 2070s. Our 2050 figure was already in line with the OID's. For 2100, ours is below the 42% in the OID's "high" scenario, the one where immigration continues at its current pace. Like France's national statistics office (INSEE), the OID tracks origins over only three generations: in its projections, the great-grandchildren of immigrants are classified as having "no migrant ancestry," even if all their great-grandparents were non-European immigrants. We account for ancestry across every generation, and adjust several other assumptions the OID itself describes as cautious. Full report:
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