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Athreya Shetty 🇮🇳

@shetty_athreya • 13,364 subscribers

Founder @AthreyaOrganics • Organic Farmer • Agric & Crop Scientist (MRes) • Independent forecasts for #MumbaiRains, MH,GJ,GA, NIO Cyclones • Proud Bharatiya🙏🏾

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And just like that, #Mumbai saw 52% of its Jun average in just 5 hrs (11 pm - 3 am) last night! 😵 Superb opening on onset day Classic very - extremely heavy #MumbaiRains lashed city and #NaviMumbai dumping 1st triple digit of season in style! 24hr Rainfall till 8.30am 24 Jun 🌧️ Malwani 342 mm Parel 334 Malad 313 Powai 294 Wadala, Dadar 290 Kandivali 284 Marol 265 Mankhurd 262 Versova, Kanjunmarg 260 Chembur 258 Borivali 257 Bandra 254 Aarey 249 Colaba, Andheri 248 Jogeshwari 244 Malabar Hill 243 Byculla, Govandi 240 Mumbai central, Worli, Vikhroli 239 Ghatkopar 233 Sion 231 Goregaon 232 Belapur 228 Santacruz, Sewri 225 Lalbaug 221 Panvel, Nalasopara 220 Virar 211 Memonwada 204 BKC, Juhu, Dahisar 200 Bhandup 189 Kalbadevi 186 Koparkhairane 174 CSMT 171 Vasai 172 Kurla 169 Mulund 163 Ulwe, Nerul 134 Vashi 114 Kharghar 100 Diva 106 Mumbra 103 Thane 78

And just like that, #Mumbai saw 52% of its Jun average in just 5 hrs (11 pm - 3 am) last night! 😵 Superb opening on onset day Classic very - extremely heavy #MumbaiRains lashed city and #NaviMumbai dumping 1st triple digit of season in style! 24hr Rainfall till 8.30am 24 Jun 🌧️ Malwani 342 mm Parel 334 Malad 313 Powai 294 Wadala, Dadar 290 Kandivali 284 Marol 265 Mankhurd 262 Versova, Kanjunmarg 260 Chembur 258 Borivali 257 Bandra 254 Aarey 249 Colaba, Andheri 248 Jogeshwari 244 Malabar Hill 243 Byculla, Govandi 240 Mumbai central, Worli, Vikhroli 239 Ghatkopar 233 Sion 231 Goregaon 232 Belapur 228 Santacruz, Sewri 225 Lalbaug 221 Panvel, Nalasopara 220 Virar 211 Memonwada 204 BKC, Juhu, Dahisar 200 Bhandup 189 Kalbadevi 186 Koparkhairane 174 CSMT 171 Vasai 172 Kurla 169 Mulund 163 Ulwe, Nerul 134 Vashi 114 Kharghar 100 Diva 106 Mumbra 103 Thane 78

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One shouldn't just look at the #IOD index when tracking the Indian Ocean Dipole. While it serves official purposes, unlike the ENSO index, it only maps 2 fringe regions and ignores changes occurring much closer to home, that are just as important. Below, one can clearly see how the warm pool of 29-30°C close to Lakshadweep developed over last month, inline with #positiveIOD event. Atmosphere is now responding as we have seen a marked uptick in rainfall along Kerala and Karnataka today. Furthermore, SSTs off entire west coast are in fact warmer than average for last few weeks, part of the same IOD response. This helps break the suppression barrier by adding an extra oomph to the monsoon winds, resulting in bouts of coastal rainfall even under harshest El Nino/suppression conditions. This is why I'm refering to it as developing weak positive IOD. #Monsoon is a complex system and gets influenced by the local players more often than you think! Restricting oneself to the "official" definitions will prevent you from noticing stuff in your direct line of sight. Monsoon winds don't just come from the officially tracked regions but rather sweep across the breadth of #IndianOcean, so always observe SSTs in the #ArabianSea off the west coast that are closest to us!

One shouldn't just look at the #IOD index when tracking the Indian Ocean Dipole. While it serves official purposes, unlike the ENSO index, it only maps 2 fringe regions and ignores changes occurring much closer to home, that are just as important. Below, one can clearly see how the warm pool of 29-30°C close to Lakshadweep developed over last month, inline with #positiveIOD event. Atmosphere is now responding as we have seen a marked uptick in rainfall along Kerala and Karnataka today. Furthermore, SSTs off entire west coast are in fact warmer than average for last few weeks, part of the same IOD response. This helps break the suppression barrier by adding an extra oomph to the monsoon winds, resulting in bouts of coastal rainfall even under harshest El Nino/suppression conditions. This is why I'm refering to it as developing weak positive IOD. #Monsoon is a complex system and gets influenced by the local players more often than you think! Restricting oneself to the "official" definitions will prevent you from noticing stuff in your direct line of sight. Monsoon winds don't just come from the officially tracked regions but rather sweep across the breadth of #IndianOcean, so always observe SSTs in the #ArabianSea off the west coast that are closest to us!

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