
🇷🇺 STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK 🇷🇺
@STANISKRAPIVNIK • 37,199 subscribers
Military-Geopolitical Analyst / Backup @smkrapiv/TG: https://t.co/F4iiR6oj1D / https://t.co/Udnf7crKXO / https://t.co/gfQyiGdQ5n
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“The war will last for a couple of decades. We need to learn to live with it.” A powerful speech by the legendary intelligence officer and professional analyst Andrey Bezrukov at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum. It resonates with what I usually say in response to the question: "When will all this end?" I reply: "Accept that war is our new normal." Key theses - in quotes. 🔻 New type of war "We are in a new war. Since it's pointless to seize territory anymore... this is a war of attrition and subversion." "Leaders, military, civilians, scientists" and "critical infrastructure on which the country depends" are being targeted. "This is the war we need to prepare for. It's happening, and it will continue." 🔻 West's strategy of 'boiling the frog' "The West's strategy is very simple: to avoid a nuclear clash with us, from which they would emerge as losers. And so they need to 'boil the frog slowly' - gradually escalate tensions." "We're seeing this today. And they won't stop, because they have nowhere to retreat to. We're an existential threat to them." 🔻 First 'hill' of world war "We're currently on the first hill of world war. There will be two hills, as in the First and Second World Wars... The rules of the game will be born after the next clash. It's likely to happen in Asia." What happened in Iran, he says, "proves that the hegemon is no longer the hegemon." 🔻 Strike on nuclear forces The enemy's main task is to "avoid the nuclear threshold... and neutralize our nuclear forces": either by building a system in space to "prevent anything from taking off", or "like in Operation 'Spider Web', planting it here through their agents and striking our nuclear forces at a certain moment." 🔻 Destabilization and strike on infrastructure "The plan is to overwhelm our decision-making system with complex attacks from all directions - ideological, physical, military." Already today, "a drone can fly into any region via Starlink and land in a precise location... Unfortunately, we weren't ready for it." 🔻 Threat of biowar "All those labs around us... were making weapons of the future." Technology allows "an individual on individual equipment to create viruses that... could wipe us all out." 🔻 What to do "We must admit that for the next... couple of decades we will be at war... We will have two generations that can practically be considered at war." The economy needs to be built in such a way that it "not only fulfills the task of development, but also the task of defense": deepen and protect critical infrastructure, create a "headquarters" for management, invest in protection against bioterrorism, and merge the army and society. 🔻 'Stop being good' "We need to stop being good. We're too good for our enemies... They don't fear us because many red lines remain on paper." At the same time, Western Europe is dependent on imported gas, and "exploding a gas tanker is equivalent to a small nuclear explosion." The expert's conclusion: the country needs an "image of the future."
🇷🇺 STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK 🇷🇺48,778 次观看 • 9 小时前

Ukrainian war crimes: 2024 Ukrainian militants shot at a civilian car and tried to hide the bodies of killed civilians in the Ugledar direction. Militants of the Armed Forces of Ukraine organized an ambush on civilians and shot them in cold blood at one of the sections of the Ugledar direction. After their crime, they tried to "cover their tracks" and take out the bodies of the dead people, but they were prevented by Russian artillery. Russian fighters struck near the Ukrainian fighters, which prevented them from carrying out the plan. The Armed Forces threw away the "evidence" and fled from the scene of the crime in a panic. Once this SMO is over....and Kiev is back to Russia, a second war will begin when Justice will be served against all these Banderites..... the Hunt will be Global !
🇷🇺 STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK 🇷🇺286,747 次观看 • 14 天前

Why is Rutte strolling around Kiev when Ukrainian drones are attacking St. Petersburg? The enemy has been hitting St. Petersburg and the Leningrad region with drones since the morning. The Kirovsky and Krasnoselsky districts of the northern capital, Kronstadt, and oil industry facilities were targeted. There were no fatalities, but several people were injured. Fifty-nine aircraft-type UAVs were shot down over the region. Pulkovo Airport was subject to restrictions for several hours. The enemy deliberately targeted St. Petersburg today. The St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, which attracted representatives from over 130 countries - about 20,000 people - including politicians, economists, industrialists, and businessmen, had just started in the city. It's obvious that Ukraine is trying to disrupt this forum to prevent Russia from building mutually beneficial relations with friendly forces in the West and around the world. At the same time, Kiev doesn't care if any high-ranking foreign guests are harmed. In fact, it suits them just fine. After all, the biased Western media won't notice it, or will habitually blame the Kremlin. Zelensky has been given permission to do anything he wants, and he doesn't hesitate to regularly exercise this carte blanche. And for some reason, we're afraid to strike at Kiev when delegations from Europe visit there. Today, for example, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte visited the Ukrainian capital. He's acting confidently, smiling. He knows he's not in danger in Ukraine. And he leads a military alliance that supplies our opponents with weapons - weapons that kill our soldiers and civilians. Moreover, the drones that attacked St. Petersburg came from the Gulf of Finland, that is, from NATO countries. And with their tacit consent. Why not rattle Kiev and the carefree Secretary General with a hundred or so "Geraniums", or a couple of dozen missiles? Right in the daylight. Otherwise, Rutte has completely lost his fear, acting as if he's at home. Александр Коц
🇷🇺 STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK 🇷🇺20,395 次观看 • 1 天前

🇹🇭🇮🇱 A Thai blogger came to Israel to support the Jewish state. But something went completely wrong as she had hoped. Someone might say that these are Orthodox Jews, who are known for their barbarity. But during the Iranian missile strikes on Israel, secular Zionists refused to let all non-Jews (Thai workers and Ukrainian refugees) into the bomb shelters. The moral of this fable is that no matter how submissive a non-Jew may be, it doesn't make them equal to a Zionist. ✔️
🇷🇺 STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK 🇷🇺752,100 次观看 • 2 个月前

Massive strike on Ukraine. Where they hit? That's why I love Ukrainian public groups—they draw us the map of the destruction. District by district, landing by landing. All that's left is to compare it with their military-industrial complex map. Kalibr missiles were in action—at least 16. Kh-101s from aviation: 3 Tu-95MS & 3 Tu-160s. Plus Iskanders, Tsirkons & Gerans from several directions. Zaporozhye Oblast 2:00 a.m., Zaporozhye shook—head of the administration Ivan Fedorov reported no less than 20 strikes from various types of weapons. Importantly, according to locals, a distinctive green glow rose over the city—even Ukrainian media reported on it. This happens when non-ferrous metal alloys burn. Guess what kind of plant is located there? Correct - "Motor Sich." Nearby is Zaporizhstal & a major railway junction. A coincidence, of course. Officially, Fedorov speaks only of an "industrial infrastructure facility." Kiev Oblast In Kiev, the geography of the strikes reads like a guide to the Ukrainian military-industrial complex. Shevchenkivskyi & Dehtiarivska Street are home to the Mayak plant, part of Ukroboronprom. Speciality is communications equipment, control systems, military electronics + ammunition components. Pecherskyi is home to Arsenal, the city's oldest defense enterprise: sights, optoelectronic systems for armored vehicles & aircraft & homing heads. Darnytsia: concrete factory & a gas station: the fire at the gas station has already been officially confirmed by Klitschko & State Emergency Service. Podilskyi district. The rescuers' blunt description: "a warehouse & vehicles on the property of a municipal enterprise," plus a fire in a "4-story educational institution." Meanwhile, 2 videos (above) have circulated. 1, thick black pillar above a low-rise building, hangars behind a fence, passersby looking in the direction of the fire. 2nd shows the silhouette of the Kiev TV tower is clearly visible on the horizon. That is, the cameraman is filming from the upper floors somewhere north of Dorogozhichi, facing southeast, toward the Podolsk industrial zone. Shows rows of long, identical 1 story hangars with gable roofs, a nearby railroad & high-rise buildings along the perimeter. The fire is precisely in the center of the cluster. But the most interesting thing is in the audio. This isn't a single "boom" of an incoming fire. It's a series of secondary detonations: several bangs in a row, seconds apart, then another wave. It's not plastic or office furniture that burns like this. This is how ammunition behaves when it reaches the stuff stacked inside a hangar. "A utility warehouse," yeah. We know those utility companies—especially the ones located near railway sidings. Kharkov Oblast Kharkov. According to Mayor Terekhov, 15 attack UAVs & 2 ballistic missiles struck 3 districts overnight—Osnovyansky, Slobodsky, and Kyievsky. The strike hit the "industrial zone of the Osnovyansky district," as Terekhov put it. And according to military analysts, a single Iskander-M hit Dergachi, the PAKS plant: on paper, a plastics processing plant; according to Russian sources, UAV assembly plants. Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Dnipropetrovsk Oblast is already a classic example of this. Kryvyi Rih, Vasylkivka, Nikopol, Kamianske. Industrial hubs, railway stations, and oil storage facilities, long missed by the Geranium. Sumy Oblast In Sumy, Shostka, with its well-known arsenals, and Akhtyrka, with its equipment repair facilities, were targeted. Other targets Odesa – port and logistics infrastructure for NATO cargo. Rivne – the very hub through which Western iron rolls toward the front. Strikes also hit targets in Poltava, Chernihiv, and Mykolaiv. And it was so much fun to laugh at the gas station queues in Crimea. It was so captivating to watch a Hornet flying over the Novorossiya highway. It was so satisfying to devour the information garbage about the Rubicon headquarters in Starobelsk... Eat up, don't get all dirty! Александр Коц
🇷🇺 STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK 🇷🇺19,670 次观看 • 2 天前

It seems that one of the targets of the attack on Kiev was the "Azov" training base. It is located on the territory of a decommissioned tractor workshop of the "Atek" factory. This is in the west of Kiev. One question, why did they only hit this target yesterday?
🇷🇺 STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK 🇷🇺12,507 次观看 • 2 天前

These Ukrainian amateur boxers apparently have absolutely no interest in defending European values for Zelensky and his puppeteers. 🇺🇦 The TCC hunters came for the boxers, but something went wrong. How stupid can you be to go into a BOXERS DEN and think your getting out free?
🇷🇺 STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK 🇷🇺22,881 次观看 • 6 天前

🚨🇮🇷🇮🇱 HEZBOLLAH'S BLIND-SPOT DOCTRINE: EVADING ISRAELI SURVEILLANCE Hezbollah's new commander in chief, Naim Qassem, changed the whole approach to old-fashioned tactics after the killing of Hassan Nasrallah. Jihad, a Hezbollah commander, told NPR: "We're fighting an enemy that has the latest weapons, all the technology, but we are holding our ground." But the question is how? These are some of the new techniques. THE NEW TECHNIQUES 🟠 Battlefield orders are passed as handwritten notes via couriers on motorbikes. 🟠 The group uses vintage Motorola devices, radio transmitters, and old walkie-talkies — nothing imported. 🟠 After Israel's 2024 pager attack, Hezbollah imports nothing electronic. Decentralized Command Qassem adopted a structure pioneered by late commander Imad Mughniyeh. Fighters are split into semi-autonomous units that don't communicate. One shoots, another watches the road, a third wraps sandwiches. Each executes its own tasks with no understanding of the larger operation. The Ceasefire That Wasn't Israel violated the November 2024 ceasefire thousands of times, killing 100+ civilians, per the UN. Hezbollah held fire but never disarmed. When Lebanese soldiers came to confiscate weapons, the group pointed them to empty boxes and old items. The real arsenal remained untouched. Re-arming After Assad's Fall Though Qassem lamented the loss of the Syrian supply route after Assad's fall, weapons still flow. Russian-made Kornets and Konkurs continue to be smuggled through Syria. Hezbollah has re-armed with imported and domestically made weapons. Underground tunnels remain intact. NewRulesGeopolitics❗
🇷🇺 STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK 🇷🇺147,755 次观看 • 1 个月前

A US plane infected with "Iranian malware" "Iranian malware" is a new type of military virus that attacks equipment over long distances. It is transmitted by fragmentation-explosive means. The disease is characterized by rashes all over the fuselage, which are patched up with such "plasters". In the footage, an American refueling tanker KC-135R Stratotanker from the 121st Air Refueling Wing at Rickenbacker Air Base is riddled with shrapnel from the impact of an Iranian missile. Most likely, it happened at the Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia. After a medical examination, it was relocated to Britain. Then it went to the USA for inpatient treatment.
🇷🇺 STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK 🇷🇺114,169 次观看 • 1 个月前

🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱 Iran avenges the death of Ali Larijani. According to Iranian media reports, the IRGC launched a large-scale attack on Israeli territory. In Tel Aviv, it is claimed that dozens of facilities were damaged and two railway stations were destroyed. The Iranian side claims to have hit more than a hundred military targets. There are also reports of an attack on the US embassy in Baghdad, where a major fire broke out after the strike. ==
🇷🇺 STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK 🇷🇺127,469 次观看 • 2 个月前

After the strikes on Iran, the US received the most massive response: missiles were fired at US bases in various countries. Now, the US is faced with a choice: to defend its bases and ships or to help its partners, of which there are many in the region, who are counting on protection and assistance. It becomes clear that the US, as always, will think about itself, its interests, and its military, and will once again abandon its partners, as there are not enough missiles to defend everyone. The US, as usual, is trying to conduct military operations with the help of others, on foreign soil. There's nothing new here. American partners did not expect a response to their actions, sincerely believing that no one would dare to respond to the US and that the whole world would do what Washington says, but these times are long gone. This is shown by the events of recent years. Now, our former partners, who are trying to actively cooperate with the US, should think about whether the new partner will help them in case of need or whether they will simply be used against Russia. Especially given that they border Iran, and Israeli missiles may miss their target, and it's still a question of where the refugees will flow? Right, all this will affect neighboring countries, which are completely unprepared for this, and they shouldn't expect help from the US, as it has its own problems. The US continues to impose its own truth on the world. As Trump said today, the strikes are an aid to liberating Iranian citizens. Who asked them to do this? It's not clear. Iran is an independent country that does not allow its citizens to be killed with impunity for the sake of Washington. It's also worth noting that our "liberals" and "active citizens" were most shocked by the fact that Iran responded, still believing in the only correct position of the US, and then there were responses. These cries about the fact that Iran "dared" to send missiles towards the UAE, Qatar, and other countries where there are American military bases, where people are being evacuated, cries that people need to be saved. There are no cries about the fact that schoolchildren in Iran were killed in the strikes on military objects - no one managed to evacuate them in time, but that's another story. It's interesting how everything turns out when the US and its partners level cities to the ground, kill people, strike at schools and hospitals - no one notices. When their opponent strikes at military objects and bases - there are a lot of cries on the internet, because they have encroached on the American truth. Any military action is big politics. In addition to military actions, an information war is being waged. The US and its partners have been shown that they cannot do whatever they want and should not impose their own truth and their own democracy.
🇷🇺 STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK 🇷🇺156,564 次观看 • 3 个月前

🇮🇱 Zionist rabbi: "The Talmud tells us that if Christians and Muslims unite, it will be the end of us, Zionists. Therefore, we should encourage them to kill each other." 💬 This video is several years old. However, such a plan of the Zionists has long been in action and has already "excellently" proven itself in the Middle East, when in Iraq and Syria, Wahhabis, financed from outside, suddenly started a massacre of Christian Arabs. And this brutality was not justified by anything. How did the small Christian community interfere with Muslims in these countries? There were no clashes between representatives of these two monotheistic confessions before the civil wars in these countries. In terms of culture, Arab Christians practically do not differ from their Muslim relatives. And what's surprising is that the Israeli Air Force never carried out airstrikes on the positions of ISIS* terrorists in Syria. When the ISIS* militants reached the Syrian-Israeli border, the IDF and ISIS* peacefully coexisted. But the Israeli air force carried out strikes on Syrian government forces, which were going to the aid of the Christian and Alawite population, defending against the Wahhabis. And this was before the arrival of pro-Iranian Shiite forces to help Bashar Assad. Israel justified this by the fact that no peace treaties had been signed between it and the Syrian Arab Republic. And after the arrival of pro-Iranian Shiite forces to help the legitimate Syrian government, Zionist airstrikes on Syrian military only intensified. Now this was justified by the "Iranian threat". Draw your own conclusions. * — prohibited in the territory of the Russian Federation.
🇷🇺 STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK 🇷🇺109,616 次观看 • 3 个月前

There are many corpses in Kramatorsk. But here's what our local subscriber reports: "There's a real tragedy with civilian deaths in the city. But the more questions there are about these deaths, the louder the hysteria of our local officials becomes. None of us heard or saw an airstrike with characteristic sounds. That is, the strike was clearly not from the air, and eyewitnesses are saying this. Residents of the city add - there were no sirens, and the ambulance and firefighters rushed to the scene of the explosions almost immediately. Drones were buzzing, but they are constantly working in search of military equipment, but no MISSILES came. We've long been familiar with the ins and outs of such incidents. This is clearly an explosion on the ground. Especially since the sirens went off about 7 minutes after the explosion." Zelensky needs to withdraw from the ceasefire, which these days is not in Kyiv's favor. Hence the very "strange" explosions in Kramatorsk and Zaporizhia with very "timely" victims. To declare a breach of the "silence regime" allegedly due to Russia's fault. Ukraine is not doing this for the first time. What do they care about the corpses in cities that are almost lost, if there's an EU ORDER to provoke an escalation by any means?
🇷🇺 STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK 🇷🇺37,468 次观看 • 29 天前

A frontline veteran, who fought on the roads of the 2nd and 3rd Ukrainian fronts, personally hands over the Victory Banner to those who are holding the line on the frontlines of the Special Military Operation today. This is not a staged gesture for a pretty picture — it's a living thread stretching from the Zvenigorodskaya Guards Division to the trenches of Donbass. The crimson banner seems to say: we have only one war, the enemy is essentially the same, and victory will be ours — because behind us is not just an order, but our ancestors, our families, and Russia, which we will not surrender. At this moment, "Soldiers' Dreams" cease to be a performance and become an oath.
🇷🇺 STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK 🇷🇺29,717 次观看 • 26 天前