Hodhodata@statistics

🚨🌋 #Urgent A Massive eruption at Ambae Volcano, Vanuatu, reported today, 25 August, at around 09:40 local time. This volcanic eruption is significant climatically from various many aspect and should be marked down. Initial reports indicate an exceptionally large eruption, with the volcanic plume reportedly exceeding 15.5 km in altitude. The Wellington VAAC has been monitoring renewed ash emissions from Ambae, although the precise height of today’s event is still subject to verification. This event lines up remarkably well with the solar–geomagnetic uptick between 24-30 August, that I have forecast several weeks ago. A plume reaching the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere could potentially have implications for the atmospheric circulation during the forthcoming autumn and winter, depending on the amount and composition of material injected and how long the eruption persists. Importante : 🚨My preliminary statistical analogue models are already pointing toward a potentially strongly volcanic-forced winter signal for the December–March 2027 period. I’ll be posting a detailed analysis of the potential atmospheric and climatic impacts soon. Volcanic forced winters are associated with warmer conditions over central and north-central Europe in general with much monthly variability. According to local reports, monitoring is also underway for a possible tsunami in tje region of the ruptured volcano . More details to follow on volcanic imprints clr next winter via separate posts as observations and official assessments become available.

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