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Jamie Jenkins

@statsjamie • 107,415 subscribers

Political & Economic Media Commentator | Previously Head of Health & Economic stats @ONS | Award-winning statistician

Shorts

🌞 | BBC News tonight — the fear factory in full swing: “46.6°C is now possible in the UK.” What they didn’t say? That number came from a simulation model It’s a 1-in-2,500 year event — maybe by the year 4525 🤡 ❌️ Not a forecast. Just climate panic with zero context.

🌞 | BBC News tonight — the fear factory in full swing: “46.6°C is now possible in the UK.” What they didn’t say? That number came from a simulation model It’s a 1-in-2,500 year event — maybe by the year 4525 🤡 ❌️ Not a forecast. Just climate panic with zero context.

320,904 Aufrufe

🚨 BBC misinformation — viewers were told the flu jab “crucially helps prevent children passing the virus to vulnerable people”. ⚠️ This is misleading. The flu vaccine does not guarantee prevention of transmission. Vaccinated children can, and do, catch the flu & pass it on.

🚨 BBC misinformation — viewers were told the flu jab “crucially helps prevent children passing the virus to vulnerable people”. ⚠️ This is misleading. The flu vaccine does not guarantee prevention of transmission. Vaccinated children can, and do, catch the flu & pass it on.

147,151 Aufrufe

🚨 | Keir Starmer tonight: “What I will say is she's done an excellent job as Chancellor.” 📉 Rachel Reeves’ so-called “excellent job”, has seen payroll employment down by 277,000 May saw the steepest collapse since lockdown 💸 Her Jobs Tax is costing jobs Starmer is deluded

🚨 | Keir Starmer tonight: “What I will say is she's done an excellent job as Chancellor.” 📉 Rachel Reeves’ so-called “excellent job”, has seen payroll employment down by 277,000 May saw the steepest collapse since lockdown 💸 Her Jobs Tax is costing jobs Starmer is deluded

253,614 Aufrufe

📺| Starmer - "When it comes to the asylum hotels, I want them emptied" Yet last week, his govt fought in court to stop the Bell Hotel closing. You can’t promise control while keeping the hotels running. That’s not leadership — it’s hypocrisy. Public want actions not words.

📺| Starmer - "When it comes to the asylum hotels, I want them emptied" Yet last week, his govt fought in court to stop the Bell Hotel closing. You can’t promise control while keeping the hotels running. That’s not leadership — it’s hypocrisy. Public want actions not words.

77,509 Aufrufe

💧 | ‘Rainfall totals continue to tot up, there are quite a few places that are now seeing 1.5 times the March average rainfall’ 💥 UK has not built a new reservoir for 30 years, while population risen by 10 million people. 💦 Remember this when a water shortage this summer.

💧 | ‘Rainfall totals continue to tot up, there are quite a few places that are now seeing 1.5 times the March average rainfall’ 💥 UK has not built a new reservoir for 30 years, while population risen by 10 million people. 💦 Remember this when a water shortage this summer.

129,337 Aufrufe

📺 | Sunak - 'The Bank of England are controlling inflation by raising interest rates' 🔶 Bank of England started inflation printing money 🔶 World lockdowns closed down supply chains 🔶 Decades of no energy security policy led to high prices ❌ He won't give the real facts

📺 | Sunak - 'The Bank of England are controlling inflation by raising interest rates' 🔶 Bank of England started inflation printing money 🔶 World lockdowns closed down supply chains 🔶 Decades of no energy security policy led to high prices ❌ He won't give the real facts

71,514 Aufrufe

🚨 | UK Government Business Minister - 'Interest rates increased across the world, mostly to do with Covid' ❌ Talking nonsense. 1️⃣ Bank of England printing money during lockdown started inflation. 2️⃣ They reacted to their mistake increasing interest rates. 3️⃣ She is stupid by genuinely believing Covid increased interest rates, or wants to continue to peddle the lie that poor mismanagement of the economy is the driver. To think this is the competence was have as an actual Government minister in charge of business. What a shambles.

🚨 | UK Government Business Minister - 'Interest rates increased across the world, mostly to do with Covid' ❌ Talking nonsense. 1️⃣ Bank of England printing money during lockdown started inflation. 2️⃣ They reacted to their mistake increasing interest rates. 3️⃣ She is stupid by genuinely believing Covid increased interest rates, or wants to continue to peddle the lie that poor mismanagement of the economy is the driver. To think this is the competence was have as an actual Government minister in charge of business. What a shambles.

61,691 Aufrufe

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🚨 Starmer says Brexit made Britain poorer. But the GDP data tells a more awkward story. Since the Brexit vote: UK real GDP: +12.1% Germany real GDP: +6.0% Britain is not booming. Nobody serious should pretend it is. But Europe’s supposed economic engine has grown at barely half the UK’s rate. So why is Starmer’s big answer still more Europe? This wasn’t a reset. It was a relapse: more Brexit blame, more Brussels, more excuses. No wonder voters are walking away from Labour.

🚨 Starmer says Brexit made Britain poorer. But the GDP data tells a more awkward story. Since the Brexit vote: UK real GDP: +12.1% Germany real GDP: +6.0% Britain is not booming. Nobody serious should pretend it is. But Europe’s supposed economic engine has grown at barely half the UK’s rate. So why is Starmer’s big answer still more Europe? This wasn’t a reset. It was a relapse: more Brexit blame, more Brussels, more excuses. No wonder voters are walking away from Labour.

134,745 Aufrufe • vor 21 Tagen

Welsh Liberal Democrats Leader speaking here has no idea on anything - and no idea what the Welsh Budget is. She is the individual that got Greyhound Racing banned in Wales. Also failed to turn up for key votes. The definition of stealing a living.

Welsh Liberal Democrats Leader speaking here has no idea on anything - and no idea what the Welsh Budget is. She is the individual that got Greyhound Racing banned in Wales. Also failed to turn up for key votes. The definition of stealing a living.

162,416 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🚨 | Margaret Thatcher - ‘The state has no source of money other than the money that people earn themselves. There is no such thing as public money there is only taxpayers money’ 💥 Rachel Reeves didn't get this memo in her studies. Robbing the public blind through taxation.

🚨 | Margaret Thatcher - ‘The state has no source of money other than the money that people earn themselves. There is no such thing as public money there is only taxpayers money’ 💥 Rachel Reeves didn't get this memo in her studies. Robbing the public blind through taxation.

511,639 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

🚨 | Margaret Thatcher - ‘The state has no source of money other than the money that people earn themselves. There is no such thing as public money there is only taxpayers money’ 💥 1st female Prime Minister understood public finances, the 1st female Chancellor does not. 💷 Rachel Reeves is robbing the public blind through taxation. 💡 Remember there is no public sector without the tax from the private sector. 🧨 The Labour Party are doing their best to ruin the private sector.

🚨 | Margaret Thatcher - ‘The state has no source of money other than the money that people earn themselves. There is no such thing as public money there is only taxpayers money’ 💥 1st female Prime Minister understood public finances, the 1st female Chancellor does not. 💷 Rachel Reeves is robbing the public blind through taxation. 💡 Remember there is no public sector without the tax from the private sector. 🧨 The Labour Party are doing their best to ruin the private sector.

974,274 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

🚨 The Government has wheeled out Darren Jones to promote Digital ID. But this guy LIED on Question Time — claiming most small boat arrivals were women & children. ❌ Latest data for 2025: 79% are adult men 82% are under 18-39 If he’ll lie on TV, why trust him on Digital ID?

🚨 The Government has wheeled out Darren Jones to promote Digital ID. But this guy LIED on Question Time — claiming most small boat arrivals were women & children. ❌ Latest data for 2025: 79% are adult men 82% are under 18-39 If he’ll lie on TV, why trust him on Digital ID?

347,401 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

Are the BBC “promoting the far right” by showing British flags at the Last Night of the Proms 🇬🇧? Or is it simply the far left who are embarrassed by Britain? Oh and singer has union jack dress. The majority and centre are proud of our country? #lastnightoftheproms

Are the BBC “promoting the far right” by showing British flags at the Last Night of the Proms 🇬🇧? Or is it simply the far left who are embarrassed by Britain? Oh and singer has union jack dress. The majority and centre are proud of our country? #lastnightoftheproms

343,379 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

🚨 | Lisa Nandy tries to justify Labour’s Digital ID scheme — she couldn’t. Starmer is trying to deflect from his failures as Prime Minister ahead of conference. ❌ Digital ID won’t stop illegal working or the boats He’s simply trying to resurrect a failed Tony Blair idea.

🚨 | Lisa Nandy tries to justify Labour’s Digital ID scheme — she couldn’t. Starmer is trying to deflect from his failures as Prime Minister ahead of conference. ❌ Digital ID won’t stop illegal working or the boats He’s simply trying to resurrect a failed Tony Blair idea.

232,218 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

Remember 2021 when the Tories literally blew up our energy security? 💥🧨 We used to have coal as a guaranteed emergency backup for when the wind didn't blow. Now, in 2026, we’re forced to beg for expensive gas imports or pray for wind. Utter lunacy.

Remember 2021 when the Tories literally blew up our energy security? 💥🧨 We used to have coal as a guaranteed emergency backup for when the wind didn't blow. Now, in 2026, we’re forced to beg for expensive gas imports or pray for wind. Utter lunacy.

69,863 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨 | Keir Starmer - ‘Welsh Labour is the living proof of what Labour looks like in power. A blueprint for what Labour can do across the United Kingdom 🔸 NHS waiting lists worse than England 🔸 Educational outcomes worse than England 🔸 20mph speed limits - slowing the economy 🚂 Welsh Government took over the running of the railways - it operates Transport for Wales which has the worst customer satisfaction for train operators in the UK. ✈️ Welsh Government took over the running of Cardiff Airport. Despite relatively few flights, it was named among one of the worst for flight delays and the airport is now valued at around £15m - a third of what the Welsh Government paid. 💷 Analysis shows that the Welsh NHS may overspend by £800m by next spring and all health boards have been placed under higher levels of financial scrutiny. 🔐 During the pandemic, the blueprint for Welsh Labour lockdowns included telling shops to close certain aisles so customers visiting would feel safe. 🗳️ The Welsh Government now wants to increase the number of politicians in the Senedd by 60% despite a lack of public support. This is estimated to cost each year more than the free school meals the Government said they could no longer afford to provide to vulnerable children.

🚨 | Keir Starmer - ‘Welsh Labour is the living proof of what Labour looks like in power. A blueprint for what Labour can do across the United Kingdom 🔸 NHS waiting lists worse than England 🔸 Educational outcomes worse than England 🔸 20mph speed limits - slowing the economy 🚂 Welsh Government took over the running of the railways - it operates Transport for Wales which has the worst customer satisfaction for train operators in the UK. ✈️ Welsh Government took over the running of Cardiff Airport. Despite relatively few flights, it was named among one of the worst for flight delays and the airport is now valued at around £15m - a third of what the Welsh Government paid. 💷 Analysis shows that the Welsh NHS may overspend by £800m by next spring and all health boards have been placed under higher levels of financial scrutiny. 🔐 During the pandemic, the blueprint for Welsh Labour lockdowns included telling shops to close certain aisles so customers visiting would feel safe. 🗳️ The Welsh Government now wants to increase the number of politicians in the Senedd by 60% despite a lack of public support. This is estimated to cost each year more than the free school meals the Government said they could no longer afford to provide to vulnerable children.

682,074 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

🚨 600,000 people had to get out of bed every morning just to pay the £4.7 BILLION hotel bill for asylum accommodation. Starmer promised to clear the hotels. Instead, his government went to COURT to block removals. Interview with Peter McCormack 🏴‍☠️🇬🇧🇮🇪 Full interview (Link in first reply)

🚨 600,000 people had to get out of bed every morning just to pay the £4.7 BILLION hotel bill for asylum accommodation. Starmer promised to clear the hotels. Instead, his government went to COURT to block removals. Interview with Peter McCormack 🏴‍☠️🇬🇧🇮🇪 Full interview (Link in first reply)

193,360 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

🗣️ Starmer at PMQs: Tories left a £22bn black hole 📈 But under his government, borrowing Aug–Mar £55bn higher than forecast 👷 That’s not filling the hole — it’s digging it twice as deep 📉 Starmer misleading: The OBR didn’t validate the £22bn & borrowing worse under him

🗣️ Starmer at PMQs: Tories left a £22bn black hole 📈 But under his government, borrowing Aug–Mar £55bn higher than forecast 👷 That’s not filling the hole — it’s digging it twice as deep 📉 Starmer misleading: The OBR didn’t validate the £22bn & borrowing worse under him

234,046 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

🚨 | Devastating floods across the county I live in Rhondda Cynon Taf 😒 🌲 Chopping down thousands of hectares of trees, often to make way for wind farms exacerbates the flooding issue. ➡️ Fewer trees - water runs off mountain faster - causing rivers to overflow. 🤡 You won’t hear any politician mentioning this though. 🌊 In addition trees hold soil in place, so without them more erosion, which clogs up waterways. ❤️ Thoughts to all the families affected yet again by the flooding.

🚨 | Devastating floods across the county I live in Rhondda Cynon Taf 😒 🌲 Chopping down thousands of hectares of trees, often to make way for wind farms exacerbates the flooding issue. ➡️ Fewer trees - water runs off mountain faster - causing rivers to overflow. 🤡 You won’t hear any politician mentioning this though. 🌊 In addition trees hold soil in place, so without them more erosion, which clogs up waterways. ❤️ Thoughts to all the families affected yet again by the flooding.

282,158 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

🚨 | Police out in force in Wales zapping cars going faster than 20mph. 💷 £31m of taxpayers money being spent on changing road signs ahead of the national change to 20mph on many roads next month. 🚒 Firefighters going to show educational videos to drivers apparently.

🚨 | Police out in force in Wales zapping cars going faster than 20mph. 💷 £31m of taxpayers money being spent on changing road signs ahead of the national change to 20mph on many roads next month. 🚒 Firefighters going to show educational videos to drivers apparently.

436,539 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

🚨 Labour’s Transport Secretary doesn’t even own an electric car… 💸 But she wants your taxes to fund chargers and subsidies for those who do. 🚗 Many working families can’t afford an EV — yet they’re expected to pay for others to have one? ❌ Out of touch. Typical Labour.

🚨 Labour’s Transport Secretary doesn’t even own an electric car… 💸 But she wants your taxes to fund chargers and subsidies for those who do. 🚗 Many working families can’t afford an EV — yet they’re expected to pay for others to have one? ❌ Out of touch. Typical Labour.

141,916 Aufrufe • vor 11 Monaten

🌍 BBC: “This summer takes us more closer to a dangerous world — because of climate change.” 🌡️ Temperatures above average - but the average is based on limited historical data. ☀️ For most, it was simply a sunny summer. Dangerous world? Or just sunshine being sold as crisis?

🌍 BBC: “This summer takes us more closer to a dangerous world — because of climate change.” 🌡️ Temperatures above average - but the average is based on limited historical data. ☀️ For most, it was simply a sunny summer. Dangerous world? Or just sunshine being sold as crisis?

114,098 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

🚨 BBC: Channel migrants say Labour’s “one in, one out” won’t work — they have no ID But why is the BBC pushing the ID card excuse? 🤔 You don’t need documents to cross illegally The boats will keep coming — the UK is more generous than the EU BBC promoting ID cards?

🚨 BBC: Channel migrants say Labour’s “one in, one out” won’t work — they have no ID But why is the BBC pushing the ID card excuse? 🤔 You don’t need documents to cross illegally The boats will keep coming — the UK is more generous than the EU BBC promoting ID cards?

105,497 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

🚨 Starmer at PMQs: “Energy bills are coming down £117.” At the Budget they promised £150. Meanwhile, a typical worker is paying ~£888 more in Income Tax + NI as thresholds stay frozen. £117 off - £888 taken. That’s almost 8× more back to the Treasury. Gaslighting? 🤔

🚨 Starmer at PMQs: “Energy bills are coming down £117.” At the Budget they promised £150. Meanwhile, a typical worker is paying ~£888 more in Income Tax + NI as thresholds stay frozen. £117 off - £888 taken. That’s almost 8× more back to the Treasury. Gaslighting? 🤔

43,982 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🪪 Macron confirms UK Labour is planning digital ID cards — starting with migrants — to fight illegal work. But if someone’s already: ✅ Entered illegally ✅ Works off the books Will a digital ID really make them follow the rules? 🤨 Or is this step one to ID for all?

🪪 Macron confirms UK Labour is planning digital ID cards — starting with migrants — to fight illegal work. But if someone’s already: ✅ Entered illegally ✅ Works off the books Will a digital ID really make them follow the rules? 🤨 Or is this step one to ID for all?

117,555 Aufrufe • vor 11 Monaten

🇵🇰 Are people coming on visas from Pakistan abusing the system by later claiming asylum? ✈️ UK issued 162,000 visas to Pakistanis last year 📊 Pakistan is now the No.1 source of asylum claims – 1 in 10 of a record 111,000 ⚠️ And a country not at war It costs the UK taxpayer

🇵🇰 Are people coming on visas from Pakistan abusing the system by later claiming asylum? ✈️ UK issued 162,000 visas to Pakistanis last year 📊 Pakistan is now the No.1 source of asylum claims – 1 in 10 of a record 111,000 ⚠️ And a country not at war It costs the UK taxpayer

94,275 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

🚨 Sky News misleading the public on Farage’s crime rate claim They told readers Afghans are 3× more likely than UK-born to be convicted of sexual offences — not 22× as Nigel Farage said. But they made a basic statistical blunder: The crime data is by nationality. Their population data was by country of birth. That’s an apples and pears comparison. It inflates the denominator and slashes the rate — making foreign nationals look far less likely to offend. Using the correct like-for-like measure (nationality vs nationality) puts the figure at 22× than Sky’s 3×. 📊 I break it down in my new Substack 🔗 💬 Plus my TalkTV chat with Mike Graham 🇬🇧 Nigel Farage MP

🚨 Sky News misleading the public on Farage’s crime rate claim They told readers Afghans are 3× more likely than UK-born to be convicted of sexual offences — not 22× as Nigel Farage said. But they made a basic statistical blunder: The crime data is by nationality. Their population data was by country of birth. That’s an apples and pears comparison. It inflates the denominator and slashes the rate — making foreign nationals look far less likely to offend. Using the correct like-for-like measure (nationality vs nationality) puts the figure at 22× than Sky’s 3×. 📊 I break it down in my new Substack 🔗 💬 Plus my TalkTV chat with Mike Graham 🇬🇧 Nigel Farage MP

96,970 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten