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Institute for the Study of War

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ISW is a policy research organization focused on U.S. national security. Email: [email protected]. https://t.co/FO1PVyOnYB

Shorts

.George Barros: "The Kremlin has exaggerated perceptions of Russian military performance by claiming faster advances and greater territorial control than the facts support. Moscow frequently asserts that Russian forces have seized settlements that in reality remain under Ukrainian control. The aim is to create the impression of steady Russian momentum and a Ukraine perpetually on the back foot—bolstering demands that Kyiv cede substantial territories as a condition for peace. This narrative persists despite Russia’s failure to fully conquer these areas after four years of war." GIF: Foreign Policy using data from ISW

.George Barros: "The Kremlin has exaggerated perceptions of Russian military performance by claiming faster advances and greater territorial control than the facts support. Moscow frequently asserts that Russian forces have seized settlements that in reality remain under Ukrainian control. The aim is to create the impression of steady Russian momentum and a Ukraine perpetually on the back foot—bolstering demands that Kyiv cede substantial territories as a condition for peace. This narrative persists despite Russia’s failure to fully conquer these areas after four years of war." GIF: Foreign Policy using data from ISW

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Iranian Nuclear Program Reconstitution: The Institute for Science and International Security (Inst for Science) reported on October 20 that Iran is building unidentified structures at the former Taleghan 2 nuclear research site at Parchin Military Complex in southeastern Tehran Province. ISIS assessed that Iran has ”bunkered [two of the structures] over with earth,” likely to “improve their survivability” in the event of future Israeli strikes. Iranian Failures During the Israel-Iran War: Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) Coordination Deputy Brigadier General Mohammad Reza Naghdi acknowledged that Iran failed to respond quickly during the Israel-Iran War. Naghdi stated that IRGC units requested authorization to strike Israel early on June 13, but the supreme leader delayed the order until the regime could appoint new commanders to replace those who Israel had just killed. Syria-Russia Relations: Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al Shaibani outlined several requirements that Russia must meet to secure basing rights and other benefits. Russia is unlikely to meet these requirements.

Iranian Nuclear Program Reconstitution: The Institute for Science and International Security (Inst for Science) reported on October 20 that Iran is building unidentified structures at the former Taleghan 2 nuclear research site at Parchin Military Complex in southeastern Tehran Province. ISIS assessed that Iran has ”bunkered [two of the structures] over with earth,” likely to “improve their survivability” in the event of future Israeli strikes. Iranian Failures During the Israel-Iran War: Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) Coordination Deputy Brigadier General Mohammad Reza Naghdi acknowledged that Iran failed to respond quickly during the Israel-Iran War. Naghdi stated that IRGC units requested authorization to strike Israel early on June 13, but the supreme leader delayed the order until the regime could appoint new commanders to replace those who Israel had just killed. Syria-Russia Relations: Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al Shaibani outlined several requirements that Russia must meet to secure basing rights and other benefits. Russia is unlikely to meet these requirements.

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The Russian military is using infiltration tactics to feign a rapid advance across the frontline in Ukraine while barely advancing at all. In this video, ISW’s George Barros explains how and why ISW adapted its methodology and implemented an infiltrations layer on its maps, and what distinguishes infiltrations apart from verified advances on the battlefield or control of territory according to US military doctrine. The opaque nature of the current frontline in Ukraine poses large analytical and cartographic challenges when attempting to depict the battlefield. ISW believes that data and sound military analysis can enable clear and disambiguated assessments.

The Russian military is using infiltration tactics to feign a rapid advance across the frontline in Ukraine while barely advancing at all. In this video, ISW’s George Barros explains how and why ISW adapted its methodology and implemented an infiltrations layer on its maps, and what distinguishes infiltrations apart from verified advances on the battlefield or control of territory according to US military doctrine. The opaque nature of the current frontline in Ukraine poses large analytical and cartographic challenges when attempting to depict the battlefield. ISW believes that data and sound military analysis can enable clear and disambiguated assessments.

Institute for the Study of War

91,963 Aufrufe • vor 21 Tagen

VIDEO: After four years of war, Ukraine’s lines are holding. Russia’s battlefield gains have stalled as Ukraine amps up its strike campaigns. The cornerstone of Ukraine’s defense is the Fortress Belt, a concentration of four large cities that Russia hasn’t been able to seize since 2014. ISW Director of Innovation and Open Source Tradecraft George Barros explains why the Fortress Belt is optimized for defense across nearly every possible topographical and geographical characteristic relevant for military terrain analysis.

VIDEO: After four years of war, Ukraine’s lines are holding. Russia’s battlefield gains have stalled as Ukraine amps up its strike campaigns. The cornerstone of Ukraine’s defense is the Fortress Belt, a concentration of four large cities that Russia hasn’t been able to seize since 2014. ISW Director of Innovation and Open Source Tradecraft George Barros explains why the Fortress Belt is optimized for defense across nearly every possible topographical and geographical characteristic relevant for military terrain analysis.

Institute for the Study of War

333,642 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

VIDEO: Russia has occupied about 20 percent of Ukraine for over four years. In this video, ISW National Security Fellow Karolina Hird explains Russia’s campaign to repopulate occupied areas of Ukraine with Russian citizens, of which occupied Mariupol has become the epicenter. The resettlement campaign is part of Moscow’s efforts to “Russify” Ukraine — forcibly remaking occupied areas in Russia’s own image.

VIDEO: Russia has occupied about 20 percent of Ukraine for over four years. In this video, ISW National Security Fellow Karolina Hird explains Russia’s campaign to repopulate occupied areas of Ukraine with Russian citizens, of which occupied Mariupol has become the epicenter. The resettlement campaign is part of Moscow’s efforts to “Russify” Ukraine — forcibly remaking occupied areas in Russia’s own image.

Institute for the Study of War

98,950 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

VIDEO: Ukraine’s intermediate-range strike campaign has undermined logistics in Russia’s operational rear. As of May 2026, Ukraine has secured a drone advantage on the battlefield, reintroduced limited elements of mechanized maneuver, and upheld a successful strike campaign against Russia. In this video, ISW’s Kateryna Stepanenko and George Barros explain how the war is entering a new phase as Ukraine's recent successes on the battlefield and beyond are challenging the positional character of the conflict that has dictated the battlefield since 2023.

VIDEO: Ukraine’s intermediate-range strike campaign has undermined logistics in Russia’s operational rear. As of May 2026, Ukraine has secured a drone advantage on the battlefield, reintroduced limited elements of mechanized maneuver, and upheld a successful strike campaign against Russia. In this video, ISW’s Kateryna Stepanenko and George Barros explain how the war is entering a new phase as Ukraine's recent successes on the battlefield and beyond are challenging the positional character of the conflict that has dictated the battlefield since 2023.

Institute for the Study of War

108,678 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

In 2025, ISW’s independent, data-driven analysis shaped how policymakers and the public understood some of the most consequential conflicts of our time— from Ukraine’s defense and Russia’s campaign to the Twelve-Day War between Israel and Iran, to China’s expanding coercive operations across the Indo-Pacific. ISW’s timely, factual intelligence ensured that decisions in Washington and allied capitals were informed by ground truth rather than adversary narratives. As the world grows more unstable and the pace of global crises accelerates, ISW’s work has never been more essential. Your support this Giving Tuesday sustains the independence, analytical depth, and precision that make ISW a trusted resource for those shaping strategy and policy.

In 2025, ISW’s independent, data-driven analysis shaped how policymakers and the public understood some of the most consequential conflicts of our time— from Ukraine’s defense and Russia’s campaign to the Twelve-Day War between Israel and Iran, to China’s expanding coercive operations across the Indo-Pacific. ISW’s timely, factual intelligence ensured that decisions in Washington and allied capitals were informed by ground truth rather than adversary narratives. As the world grows more unstable and the pace of global crises accelerates, ISW’s work has never been more essential. Your support this Giving Tuesday sustains the independence, analytical depth, and precision that make ISW a trusted resource for those shaping strategy and policy.

Institute for the Study of War

21,109 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

ISW Senior Fellow Matthew McInnis spoke to Connell McShane on NewsNation about the possibility of the #Israel-#Hamas conflict escalating into a broader conflict. Watch his interview here:

ISW Senior Fellow Matthew McInnis spoke to Connell McShane on NewsNation about the possibility of the #Israel-#Hamas conflict escalating into a broader conflict. Watch his interview here:

Institute for the Study of War

45,652 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

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