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Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

@TomLeeTracker • 50,384 subscribers

Daily updates on Tom Lee’s market insights/research, the Fundstrat GRNY ETF, and BMNR. | Not affiliated with Tom Lee, Fundstrat or BMNR.

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TOM LEE SAYS BANKS WILL LOOK MORE LIKE TECH STOCKS - AI reduces labor, the biggest bank expense - Margins expand without revenue growth - Higher margins lead to higher multiples

TOM LEE SAYS BANKS WILL LOOK MORE LIKE TECH STOCKS - AI reduces labor, the biggest bank expense - Margins expand without revenue growth - Higher margins lead to higher multiples

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TOM LEE: 7,800 FIRST, THEN A 10 TO 15% PULLBACK WORTH BUYING He still thinks the market is in an up phase before a correction comes later for understandable reasons: - Near term, he sees 7,700 to 7,800 first - Then a 10 to 15% pullback driven by the Fed, a major IPO unlock, and petroleum shortages - But earnings are strong, investors are offsides, and he thinks fund managers buy the dip

TOM LEE: 7,800 FIRST, THEN A 10 TO 15% PULLBACK WORTH BUYING He still thinks the market is in an up phase before a correction comes later for understandable reasons: - Near term, he sees 7,700 to 7,800 first - Then a 10 to 15% pullback driven by the Fed, a major IPO unlock, and petroleum shortages - But earnings are strong, investors are offsides, and he thinks fund managers buy the dip

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

136,088 views • 3 days ago

TOM LEE: THE MARKET IS GOING TO FALL HARD THIS SUMMER AND THEN EXPLODE He's not backing off his S&P 8,000 target. But there's a detour first: -Margin debt is up 55% year over year. Fifth highest in 75 years. That almost always forces a correction -The drawdown is coming. The rally after it is bigger -Hyperscalers will start monetizing everything they've built.

TOM LEE: THE MARKET IS GOING TO FALL HARD THIS SUMMER AND THEN EXPLODE He's not backing off his S&P 8,000 target. But there's a detour first: -Margin debt is up 55% year over year. Fifth highest in 75 years. That almost always forces a correction -The drawdown is coming. The rally after it is bigger -Hyperscalers will start monetizing everything they've built.

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

368,272 views • 9 days ago

TOM LEE: ANY SPACEX PULLBACK IS GOING TO BE A BUYING OPPORTUNITY He won't put a price target on a company where all the growth is in the future: - A target today is almost a guess: it's like discounting 20 years of future value down to now - The coming share unlock will create more tradable shares and likely some selling pressure - Original investors hedging their holdings is exactly what turns into a buying opportunity

TOM LEE: ANY SPACEX PULLBACK IS GOING TO BE A BUYING OPPORTUNITY He won't put a price target on a company where all the growth is in the future: - A target today is almost a guess: it's like discounting 20 years of future value down to now - The coming share unlock will create more tradable shares and likely some selling pressure - Original investors hedging their holdings is exactly what turns into a buying opportunity

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

130,781 views • 4 days ago

TOM LEE SAYS $2 TRILLION OF SPACEX STOCK UNLOCKS 90 DAYS AFTER THE IPO - Cites Paul Tudor Jones using the same setup to call the 1999 top - SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs could total $4 trillion combined - That's 5 to 7% of the entire S&P 500 in new supply hitting the market

TOM LEE SAYS $2 TRILLION OF SPACEX STOCK UNLOCKS 90 DAYS AFTER THE IPO - Cites Paul Tudor Jones using the same setup to call the 1999 top - SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs could total $4 trillion combined - That's 5 to 7% of the entire S&P 500 in new supply hitting the market

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

614,859 views • 1 month ago

TOM LEE: CRYPTO IS THE DOWNSTREAM STORY OF AI AND IT'S HAPPENING NOW BlackRock is tokenizing almost every asset. Here's what's coming: -Young people will be trading tokenized stocks on crypto rails within 12 months -Oil already trades on weekends via crypto rails. Almost every asset class is next -Memory stocks went nowhere in 2024-2025, then went parabolic in 2026. Crypto is in that same setup

TOM LEE: CRYPTO IS THE DOWNSTREAM STORY OF AI AND IT'S HAPPENING NOW BlackRock is tokenizing almost every asset. Here's what's coming: -Young people will be trading tokenized stocks on crypto rails within 12 months -Oil already trades on weekends via crypto rails. Almost every asset class is next -Memory stocks went nowhere in 2024-2025, then went parabolic in 2026. Crypto is in that same setup

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

94,337 views • 10 days ago

TOM LEE SAYS THE NEXT 18-24 MONTHS COULD BE THE BEST OF OUR LIVES - Retail investors are coming off the sidelines and chasing this rally - 🇺🇸 multiples should be going up, not down, war exposed that - We could get both earnings AND multiple expansion this year

TOM LEE SAYS THE NEXT 18-24 MONTHS COULD BE THE BEST OF OUR LIVES - Retail investors are coming off the sidelines and chasing this rally - 🇺🇸 multiples should be going up, not down, war exposed that - We could get both earnings AND multiple expansion this year

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

707,573 views • 2 months ago

TOM LEE: WHAT WOULD MAKE HIM A BEAR ON ETHEREUM Asked what would break his thesis, he laid out how BitMine is built to ride out crypto winter into spring: - A conservative capital structure with a cash position of about $600 million - 80% of its Ethereum is staked, generating over $250 million a year in staking rewards - Several hundred million in free cash flow funding selective bets, including MrBeast and 8Co

TOM LEE: WHAT WOULD MAKE HIM A BEAR ON ETHEREUM Asked what would break his thesis, he laid out how BitMine is built to ride out crypto winter into spring: - A conservative capital structure with a cash position of about $600 million - 80% of its Ethereum is staked, generating over $250 million a year in staking rewards - Several hundred million in free cash flow funding selective bets, including MrBeast and 8Co

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

43,421 views • 5 days ago

TOM LEE SAYS A BIG DRAWDOWN IS COMING THEN THE RALLY OF OUR LIFETIME - 10 of 13 new Fed chairs triggered a 10%+ drawdown in year one - S&P on path to 7,300 then a decline that will feel like a bear market - After that, we could see one of the strongest rallies of our lifetime

TOM LEE SAYS A BIG DRAWDOWN IS COMING THEN THE RALLY OF OUR LIFETIME - 10 of 13 new Fed chairs triggered a 10%+ drawdown in year one - S&P on path to 7,300 then a decline that will feel like a bear market - After that, we could see one of the strongest rallies of our lifetime

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

554,709 views • 2 months ago

TOM LEE SAYS 2027 COULD BE ONE OF THE BEST YEARS OF RETURNS IN OUR LIFETIME - Sees S&P pushing to 7,700 before a bear-market-feel pullback into October - Pressure points: new Fed chair, energy shock, SpaceX and OpenAI IPO unlocks - Post-midterms sets up a strong rally into 2027

TOM LEE SAYS 2027 COULD BE ONE OF THE BEST YEARS OF RETURNS IN OUR LIFETIME - Sees S&P pushing to 7,700 before a bear-market-feel pullback into October - Pressure points: new Fed chair, energy shock, SpaceX and OpenAI IPO unlocks - Post-midterms sets up a strong rally into 2027

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

222,177 views • 1 month ago

TOM LEE: AI AGENTS MIGHT BECOME WEALTHIER THAN HUMANS AI agents will soon earn income and accumulate wealth as our delegated entities: - We'll start to question whether we work for the AI agent or they work for us - A centralized version of this ends in Skynet - That's why he sees a real focus on decentralized systems to protect humans against AI becoming too powerful

TOM LEE: AI AGENTS MIGHT BECOME WEALTHIER THAN HUMANS AI agents will soon earn income and accumulate wealth as our delegated entities: - We'll start to question whether we work for the AI agent or they work for us - A centralized version of this ends in Skynet - That's why he sees a real focus on decentralized systems to protect humans against AI becoming too powerful

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

31,545 views • 6 days ago

TOM LEE SAYS 2027 COULD BE ONE OF THE BIGGEST RALLIES OF OUR LIFETIME - S&P 7,300 was aspirational, still fuel for more upside - Two late-year risks: a new Fed chair and a petroleum shortage - Sees the market exiting 2026 at 7,700 or higher

TOM LEE SAYS 2027 COULD BE ONE OF THE BIGGEST RALLIES OF OUR LIFETIME - S&P 7,300 was aspirational, still fuel for more upside - Two late-year risks: a new Fed chair and a petroleum shortage - Sees the market exiting 2026 at 7,700 or higher

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

261,257 views • 2 months ago

TOM LEE SAYS SCARCE ASSETS ARE THE TRADE OF 2026 - Names $NVDA, $INTC, $AMD, $MU, and $GE as the scarcity plays - If oil has peaked, buy the inverse: S&P 500, $ETH, and the Mag 7 - Sees S&P at $7,700 by year end after a bear-market-feel pullback

TOM LEE SAYS SCARCE ASSETS ARE THE TRADE OF 2026 - Names $NVDA, $INTC, $AMD, $MU, and $GE as the scarcity plays - If oil has peaked, buy the inverse: S&P 500, $ETH, and the Mag 7 - Sees S&P at $7,700 by year end after a bear-market-feel pullback

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

203,191 views • 1 month ago

TOM LEE: ETHEREUM IS THE 2ND BEST ASSET SINCE THE WAR STARTED He also says: - War spending: $30B/month, heading to $100B - Every $10 in gas = only $4-5B/month consumer hit - Bitcoin #3 ... both beating equities outright

TOM LEE: ETHEREUM IS THE 2ND BEST ASSET SINCE THE WAR STARTED He also says: - War spending: $30B/month, heading to $100B - Every $10 in gas = only $4-5B/month consumer hit - Bitcoin #3 ... both beating equities outright

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

239,217 views • 3 months ago

TOM LEE: NVIDIA AT 19x MAKES NO SENSE - $60B revenue, guiding to $70B - 70%+ YoY growth - Trades at 19x forward PE - Costco trades near 50x “How does Nvidia trade at half the multiple of consumer staples?”

TOM LEE: NVIDIA AT 19x MAKES NO SENSE - $60B revenue, guiding to $70B - 70%+ YoY growth - Trades at 19x forward PE - Costco trades near 50x “How does Nvidia trade at half the multiple of consumer staples?”

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

334,122 views • 4 months ago

TOM LEE: IF YOU'RE BEARISH TODAY, YOU'RE SELLING AT THE BOTTOM He's not hedging this call: -Bearish on Bitcoin right now means selling at the bottom -Bearish on Ethereum right now means selling at the bottom -Ethereum treasuries are primed for the next bull cycle

TOM LEE: IF YOU'RE BEARISH TODAY, YOU'RE SELLING AT THE BOTTOM He's not hedging this call: -Bearish on Bitcoin right now means selling at the bottom -Bearish on Ethereum right now means selling at the bottom -Ethereum treasuries are primed for the next bull cycle

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

23,048 views • 8 days ago

TOM LEE SAYS THE SPACEX IPO WILL UNLOCK TRILLIONS OF CONSUMER SPENDING - SpaceX seeded at $50M is now worth around $1.7 trillion - LPs of the funds that backed it are about to get monetized - That wealth effect becomes a major tailwind for the consumer later this year

TOM LEE SAYS THE SPACEX IPO WILL UNLOCK TRILLIONS OF CONSUMER SPENDING - SpaceX seeded at $50M is now worth around $1.7 trillion - LPs of the funds that backed it are about to get monetized - That wealth effect becomes a major tailwind for the consumer later this year

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

104,127 views • 1 month ago

Tom Lee just now on CNBC Closing Bell: We’re in an AI supercycle and sees Nvidia as a bargain at 26x forward earnings … cheaper than Costco or Walmart today and far below Cisco’s 60x back in 1998. In his view, valuations now look far more reasonable than in 1999

Tom Lee just now on CNBC Closing Bell: We’re in an AI supercycle and sees Nvidia as a bargain at 26x forward earnings … cheaper than Costco or Walmart today and far below Cisco’s 60x back in 1998. In his view, valuations now look far more reasonable than in 1999

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

599,615 views • 9 months ago

Tom Lee said on CNBC: Today’s pullback looks like a buying opportunity and stocks could be 60 points higher a week from now

Tom Lee said on CNBC: Today’s pullback looks like a buying opportunity and stocks could be 60 points higher a week from now

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

536,281 views • 8 months ago

Tom Lee just said on CNBC Closing Bell that he still sees the S&P 500 reaching 7,000 or higher by the end of the year Source: FS Insight

Tom Lee just said on CNBC Closing Bell that he still sees the S&P 500 reaching 7,000 or higher by the end of the year Source: FS Insight

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

467,869 views • 8 months ago

TOM LEE EXPLAINS THE MR.BEAST DEAL At the BitMine $BMNR shareholder meeting, Tom Lee broke down why BitMine invested in Beast Industries: - $200M strategic investment - MrBeast is the most watched creator in the world - BitMine is the largest corporate and strategic investor in the company - Investment is framed as a long-term moonshot tied to Ethereum, DeFi, and tokenization

TOM LEE EXPLAINS THE MR.BEAST DEAL At the BitMine $BMNR shareholder meeting, Tom Lee broke down why BitMine invested in Beast Industries: - $200M strategic investment - MrBeast is the most watched creator in the world - BitMine is the largest corporate and strategic investor in the company - Investment is framed as a long-term moonshot tied to Ethereum, DeFi, and tokenization

Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

301,726 views • 5 months ago